Tslashort
Bearish Put thesis worst case/ Investing long term buying zones
Elon Musk
Chief Executive Officer
It’s difficult to make an accurate guess at this point. Going back to what I said earlier that the ramp is going to be extremely difficult. And like I said, there’s no way around that. If we just try to do some copycat vehicle design, of which there are literally 200 models that are slight variations on a theme in the combustion engine world, distinctions without a difference, then it’s really not that hard. But if you want to do something radical and innovative and something really special, like the Cybertruck, it is extremely difficult because there’s nothing to copy. You have to invent not just the car, but the way to make the car. So, the more uncharted the territory, the less predictable the outcome. Now, I can say that-- if you say, well, where will things end up? I think we’ll end up with roughly a 0.25 million Cybertrucks a year. I don’t think we’re going to reach that output rate next year. I think we’ll probably reach it sometime in 2025. That’s my best guess.
A recession would also be a major blow to Tesla, as consumers would likely tighten their spending and delay or cancel purchases of new cars. In addition, Tesla is still ramping up production at its new factories in Texas and Germany, and a recession could make it more difficult to meet its production targets
Higher interest rates would make it more expensive for consumers to finance Tesla vehicles. Tesla has relied on strong leasing demand to drive sales growth, but this could be hit hard if interest rates rise significantly.
Tighter financial conditions could make it more difficult for Tesla to raise capital. Tesla has ambitious plans to expand its production capacity and product lineup, but it will need to raise a significant amount of money to do so. If financial conditions tighten, it could be more difficult and expensive for Tesla to borrow money.
A recession would lead to lower demand for Tesla vehicles. Tesla vehicles are still relatively expensive, so consumers are more likely to delay or cancel purchases of a Tesla if they are facing financial difficulties.
A recession could disrupt Tesla's supply chain. Tesla relies on a global network of suppliers for its components. A recession could lead to disruptions in this supply chain, which could make it difficult for Tesla to produce vehicles.
Overall, a combination of QT and recession would be a major challenge for Tesla. The company would need to find ways to reduce costs, increase demand, and secure financing in order to weather the storm.
$TSLA Trending Towards $180 Support LevelTSLA had a strong rejection at the yellow resistance line, and has been dropping straight down several support levels over the past few weeks. The $240 orange support line was immediately lost, and TSLA just lost support at the $207.50 green support line. There is a lot of pessimistic news surrounding the sustainability of EVs, and TSLA had a poor earnings report that further hurt investor's future outlook. The $180 light blue support level is the next key price to monitor for a potential bounce. There has been strong support here in the past.
Disturbing News: TSLA Reveals Multiple DOJ SubpoenasI must admit that the news I have to share today is rather disheartening. It is with a heavy heart that I bring your attention to the recent revelation by Tesla Inc. (TSLA) regarding multiple subpoenas from the Department of Justice (DOJ). This development has cast a shadow of uncertainty over the company's future, leaving us with a sense of sadness and concern.
As traders, we have witnessed the rise and success of Tesla over the years, marveled at their groundbreaking innovations, and even celebrated their achievements. However, the recent disclosure of multiple DOJ subpoenas has raised serious questions about the company's practices and ethics. While we cannot jump to conclusions or pass judgment prematurely, it is essential to acknowledge the potential ramifications of such investigations.
In light of these developments, I feel compelled to share my concerns with you, my fellow traders. It is crucial for us to evaluate our positions and consider the potential risks associated with holding Tesla stock. While it is not my intention to dictate your investment decisions, I believe it is essential to be aware of the potential downside risks that may lie ahead.
Therefore, I encourage you to carefully assess your exposure to Tesla and consider the option of shorting TSLA. By taking a short position, you have the opportunity to profit from any downward movement in the stock price, should these investigations lead to unfavorable outcomes for the company. As traders, it is our responsibility to stay informed and make well-informed decisions to protect our portfolios.
Please understand that I do not take pleasure in sharing this information or promoting a bearish sentiment. However, as traders, it is our duty to adapt and react to the changing dynamics of the market. I believe that by being proactive and considering the potential risks associated with Tesla's recent disclosures, we can safeguard our investments and navigate through these uncertain times.
Remember, knowledge is power in the world of trading. Stay informed, stay vigilant, and make decisions that align with your risk tolerance and investment objectives. If you require any further information or would like to discuss this matter further, please do not hesitate to reach out to me by commenting below,
TSLA's Recent Disappointments and the Challenging Road AheadAs an avid follower of the company, it pains me to share the disappointing news that TSLA has fallen short of investor expectations, leaving us with a heavy heart.
One cannot ignore the challenges that Elon Musk and his team are currently facing, particularly the unveiling of the highly anticipated Cybertruck. While the Cybertruck's unique design may have captured attention, it has also sparked skepticism among investors and industry experts alike. The unconventional design has raised concerns about its mass-market appeal and potential impact on Tesla's overall sales.
As investors, it is crucial for us to carefully evaluate the situation and make informed decisions. In light of these recent developments, I believe it is essential to consider the option of shorting TSLA, as it may present an opportunity to mitigate potential losses. By shorting TSLA, we can capitalize on the current challenges the company is facing and potentially benefit from a decline in its stock value.
However, I urge you to conduct thorough research and consult with your financial advisor before making any investment decisions. While shorting TSLA may seem like a viable option, it is essential to consider the inherent risks associated with this strategy. Market volatility and unforeseen developments can significantly impact the outcome, so it is crucial to exercise caution and prudence.
In these uncertain times, it is essential to remember that the market is ever-changing, and opportunities can arise even amidst disappointment. By staying informed and making well-informed decisions, we can navigate these challenging waters with resilience and adaptability.
I encourage you to keep a close eye on Tesla's future developments, as they may offer insights into potential investment opportunities. Stay vigilant, analyze the market trends, and consider your risk tolerance before taking any action.
Concerns over Tesla's Volume and Margins DropConcerns over Tesla's Volume and Margins Drop: Can the Cybertruck Compensate for Losses?
As you may already be aware, Tesla has experienced a noticeable drop in both its volume and margins in recent times. This decline has raised questions regarding the company's ability to sustain its profitability and meet investor expectations. While Tesla has been a frontrunner in the electric vehicle market, this recent downturn has given rise to uncertainties about the company's financial stability.
In light of these concerns, it is crucial to evaluate the potential impact of Tesla's upcoming product, the Cybertruck. With its futuristic design and promising features, the Cybertruck has garnered significant attention and anticipation from both enthusiasts and investors alike. Tesla has positioned this groundbreaking vehicle as a potential game-changer, capable of revolutionizing the pickup truck market.
Given the current circumstances, it is plausible to consider whether the Cybertruck can compensate for the losses incurred by Tesla's declining volume and margins. The success of this highly-anticipated product could potentially help restore investor confidence and provide a much-needed boost to the company's financial performance.
However, it is important to approach this situation with caution. While the Cybertruck holds significant potential, it is vital to remain objective and critically analyze the possible outcomes. As a result, I would like to encourage you to consider a temporary short position on Tesla (TSLA). By doing so, we can potentially capitalize on the current market sentiment and potential risks associated with Tesla's performance.
Please note that shorting TSLA should only be undertaken after conducting thorough research and analysis, as it carries its own inherent risks. It is essential to consult with your financial advisor or conduct your own due diligence before making any investment decisions.
As fellow traders, it is our responsibility to stay informed, remain vigilant, and adapt our strategies accordingly. By actively monitoring and discussing these developments, we can collectively navigate the ever-changing landscape of the stock market.
Tesla Headed Lower Towards $215Before the earnings hit this chart was a visual representation of askin' your girl, or guy, where they wanna eat. "I don't knowww!", neither did Tesla chads until the post market release. RSI breakin' low does seem legit though. Watch it reverses and full sends for a gap fill because of how rational markets are right now.
Tesla Juicy Short SetupTesla is getting close to what appears to be a big move in either direction and right now I am leaning to the downside with a final target of ~$70.00 for a C wave bottom.
Safest bet would wait to see how this triangle that it is in plays out, but for higher risk/reward you could possibly start shorting now trying to catch a c wave top in this $256-270 area.
What do you think? short or long when it pops?
not financial advice
TESLA ran into the sellers zone againYes, I'm already short TESLA.
And I want to load my boat even more.
Here's why:
1. The grey up-sloping Pendulum Fork produces a big HAGOPIAN.
2. Price get's knocked on the head, every time it trades into the Sellers Zone. (Sellers are still there).
3. Red down-sloping Fork: Price got rejected at the U-MLH.
That's it?
Yes, that's it.
If you want the very details of this analysis, I did a deep dive of TSLA this morning and posted the Video.
Let me know what you think about this trade §8-)
TESLA Approaching right shoulder? Based on what I see, tesla is approaching the right side of the head and shoulder. and roughly gauging the current economic uncertainty and considering tesla's correlation to the market. I think tesla has high probability of reversing down towards 245 by the end of this week.
TSLA (Tesla Wait For Sell)Wait for the break of this range (240 range).
After confirmation, we can take a profit of almost 10% in the sell trade from this stock.
Confirmation: "The closing of the negative candles below this level and the close of other candle close to 238 (my entry point) is confirmation for this failure".
TSLA - AnalysisTSLA
W1 – Since the indices (SPX\NASDAQ) are demonstrating a noticeable slowdown in movement and reversal/downward correction patterns may already begin to form.
You can also try to consider corrective sales.
It can be seen that the 5th wave is still being worked out, but a slowdown is also visible.
Global purchase plan with a target up to 415.32.
It is also clear that a potential reversal of the movement may begin to form; if the pattern is fully formed, then you can see the target in the nearest values 212.69 - globally 101.51.
For further decline, it is necessary to consolidate at the level of 212.69.
What can you expect?
At this stage, you can consider selling with a target of up to 212.69.
Short
Targets – 245.18 – 225.58 – 212.69
Long-term perspective – goals 212.69 – 152.88 – 101.51
$TSLA It shows a repeated Pattern! It show a Pattern we have seen before.
I see Tesla going till 400/600, but I believe it's not yet that moment.
Why not go low and get all the Buyers back in to FLY TO THE MOON.
Tesla is still the most Famous stock because of Elon Musk.
If he doesn't change, get sacked (Steve Jobs) or stops Tesla.
It will be the Future product!!!!
Oh Ok I See You $TSLA...After yet another monster move for TSLA, I am not moved. Today's move confirmed a bullish break of the smaller wedge with the much larger wedge (signified by the red and green trend lines). Long story short, I see a move into the gap above which should bring TSLA to around $285 before it starts its fall down to at least $235 . Still unclear whether it will break out of this wedge anytime soon but these are the price targets I am expecting for now. I could be completely wrong but Only Time Will Tell ...
TSLA D.B. or Next Leg Down?Here is both a bullish and bearish perspective of TSLA. Momentum is currently bearish right now but so ill be more keen to to taking puts at open BUT if price where to break the green level it will stop many bears out and there will be plenty liquidity for an explosive move to the upside for Calls. Be patient because nothing is ever 100% in the market.