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TSLA Future Outlook | Technical Analysis | Support & Resistance - TSLA is currently in a neutral trend, sitting close to support but also right under 186.5 range resistance - TSLA has been performing relatively weaker than QQQ as of this week. - Earnings seasons are coming up and there's fear of earnings recession so either earnings come in normal and the fear alleviated and we get bull moves or vice versa. - QQQ also closed right at resistance on Friday, if QQQ dont continue moving higher its going to drag TSLA down as well.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by ArcadiaTrading
4
TSLA Break-Out & Fake-Out?Tsla has been consolidating and broke-out of a bullish bullish flag today with weak conviction ... Bulls need to see a big volume break-out tomorrow and regain $200 as support. *Call Wall Options may have prevented Tsla from advancing with a strong break-out $197 is strong resistance + weekly resistance line just above @ $198 $198.84 If Tsla does not open above $198 we may see a drop to test bull flag break-out & gap-fill. Close below $195 Tsla will consolidate until re-testing highs. *Bulls: Tsla is above 8 ema, 20 ma & 50 ma -Cup & Handle on Daily w/ Bullish Flag Break-Out.... Dips are being bought up *APRIL is STRONG Month for Growth & Tech Bears- Weakness compared to overall Bull Run in Tech & Markets - Selling volume has been larger on 1 hr, 4hr, daily. Markets are feeling pretty Frothy Possible Bearish Wedge Pattern...this could be wave a of c in Correction Pattern - lack of testing or either Strong Rejection at $200 could begin wave b. Bearish Divergence on MACD & RSI 1hr & likely forming on Daily if we see the move past $200.66 This could go Bullish or Bearish *Key Points of interest: Key Close above $198.84 / Ability to Test $200.66 & Rection off of that will give us a better Idea of where TSLA Plans to go for the next 3 weeks until next Earnings Current Bias: Neutral to Slightly Bearish
NASDAQ:TSLA
by Black_Sheep1
1
TSLA possible Bearish PathWe have formed a bearish Rounding top today after rejecting off the bottom channel of Larger Bearish Ascending Wedge. Rounding Top measured move: $185-$184 area. *Rounding Top patterns tend to test the neckline $192-$193.75 & have false bullish breaks -keep an eye on volume with price action if TSLA breaks through $186 and does not recover quickly, it will become resistance. ( FYI never breaking $186 could setup bullish H&S) next support will be $176 area with a gap that needs filled at $174.5 possible consolidation & new trading range between $176-$186... H&S pattern created if Neckline @ $176 is broken (also confirming Bearish Flag) (Measured move is to $151 area) Retest of previous low $163.76 .. next support $155 This is just a "possible path" to fill the gap at the $145 area. If Market decides to go Bullish then $186 support should hold and set-up for move back to $200's *I have not done a volume analysis on this theory yet, I will try to confirm or provide contrarian view of this Bearish analysis when I can. If you have some ideas or analysis to point out- please feel free to comment.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by Black_Sheep1
3
TSLA $200's ResistanceTSLA opening above $198.5 should go up towards $204 gap fill possibly $206 retracement ... resistance @ $$199.5-200.5 then $204 (2 sigma weekly Move) If Fed is Dovish today with a 25bp hike this will help to push bullish narrative Fed with 25bps and Hawkish rhetoric can stop the bull run. Below $194, we could see Tesla go for Gap fill below and settle around $190 to finish the week This Feels like a Bull Trap set-up- just my opinion I bought back in @ 175 Since I plan on taking Profits for this week I will look into selling $200-$205 calls against my $175 price positions *** this is a profit taking options position, I would not sell calls if I did not own shares at that lower price.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by Black_Sheep1
TSLA Mechanical Rally Failed To Hold MomentumTSLA has been lackluster while the broader market is finally catching a bid. The momentum behind TSLA is gone. Volume is drying up. The Market maker has already bought an un-holy amount of shares in the previous gamma squeezes. TSLA will only see a bounce if there is a huge resurgence of volume and with the uncertainty of the FOMC meeting coming, I do not see that volume entering into TSLA. I will say there is a bull flag consolidation that is very apparent on the 1 hour time frame that may cause a bounce in TSLA, however, I believe that would be short-lived. Not financial advice just my opinion.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by Buildabear
TSLA Down Trend Signal: Sensitive LineTSLA (Tesla, Inc.) currently trades at a price of 179.0314 USD with a change of 0.32580555% and a change of 0.5814 USD. Over the last month, TSLA has traded between a high of 217.65 USD and a low of 163.91 USD. The oscillators rating for TSLA is currently neutral, with an average directional index (14) of 27.54. The stock has seen a trading volume of 18,041,026 and a volume*price of 3,229,910,142.22 over the last 24 hours. The awesome oscillator for TSLA is currently at -12.36887088, and the average true range (14) is 6.41231939. The commodity channel index (20) is at -49.63085532, indicating that the stock may be oversold. The MACD level (12, 26) is at -4.86180021, and the MACD signal (12, 26) is at -4.93418895. The momentum (10) for TSLA is currently at -3.0186, indicating that the stock may be experiencing a short-term downtrend. The relative strength index (14) is at 42.13, indicating that the stock is trading near oversold levels. The stochastic %K (14, 3, 3) is at 50.56, while the stochastic %D (14, 3, 3) is at 48.93. The Aroon up (14) and Aroon down (14) are both at 0, indicating that the stock is in a sideways trend. The bull bear power is currently at 0, indicating a lack of momentum in either direction. The parabolic SAR is at 165.07969112, which is currently above the stock price, indicating a downtrend. The simple moving average (10) for TSLA is at 176.90264, and the moving averages rating is strong sell. The pivot Fibonacci P is at 180.15326667, and the Ichimoku conversion line (9, 26, 52, 26) is not provided. Overall, based on the technical analysis provided, TSLA appears to be experiencing a short-term downtrend, with oversold levels indicated by the relative strength index and commodity channel index. The moving averages rating is strong sell, indicating that the stock may continue to experience a downtrend in the near term.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by BorsaMerkezi
Tesla's stock price to fall below $100?! It is reported that Tesla's vehicles are not allowed to enter government institutions in China. Recently, there have been news that some cities in China have been planning restrictions, which will limit Tesla's access to more places. If this news is true, it will be very unfavorable for Tesla. China is a populous country with a huge demand for vehicles, especially given the strong support from the Chinese government for new energy vehicles. By the end of 2022, Tesla's sales in China ranked first in the region. If Tesla loses the Chinese market, the consequences can be imagined, and its stock price may fall below $100! Follow me and you'll get more interesting investment information! Plus, I'll share real-time trading strategies during trading hours, including stocks, gold , crude oil , forex, cryptocurrencies, and more!
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by EagleEyeStrategy
2
TSLA SHORT TSLA up trended well from a double bottom to close out 2022 to a head and shoulders pattern through February and is now in a downtrend. Within that downtrend, there have been some small pullbacks. The MACD indicator suggests with the lines crossing under the histogram, that a pullback will soon occur. I see this an opportunity to buy put options with mid-May expiration at a strike midway between current price and the retracement zone from the January up trend. Fundamentally, competition in China and maybe the USA with Lucid, continue to challenge Telse as does union efforts in the NY solar panel plant, the delays in Cybertruck and rising interest rates. Demand has been soft lately TSLA dropped its prices to stimulate interest and revenues could stall one way or another. This suggests the downtrend may maintain its momentum.
TShort
by AwesomeAvani
TSLA G3 DUMP? Markets bounced strong today... but will Tsla join or be the one to take the hit so the other stocks can run? TSLA had a Rough Day I'll Keep this simple.. Here are my thoughts on Distribution Schematic: 114% Bull Run in 1 Month - Mainly Short-Squeeze Move We could see one more move up in a Wyckoff fashion - this will burn the $200 call options along with all the puts added in past 2 days, setting up a Bear Trap and generating more FOMO for Bull Trap 3 thus providing Liquidity for "Composite Man" to make the most $$$ -I also believe that a Markdown is needed for Institutional Buyers to get back into the stock @ lower pricing. Both Scenarios are viable, yet I'm leaning towards#1 .. but will be prepared to go with the trend. Long-Term Bull/ Short-Term Bear good Trading Today
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by Black_Sheep1
2
TSLA DROP & POPBearish Pattern upon Bearish Patterns ... 2-3% Drop expected $182.5 is my target Bulls- TSLA needs to Bounce @ $187 -$185.42 , if not then tsla will see $183.7 -$182.56 ....below $182.56 we can see $179 then $176 *BELOW $179 is going to be tough to get back above $182.. the 50 Daily MA could be next target Weekly Expected Moves: High $210 Low:$184 Max Pain Options: $195 I do not see TSLA loosing $182 due to Options Wall. Most Likely, Wall-street will drop price to Liquidate positions and increase put buying. Bullish Divergence is forming in 1 hr *Providing we drop below $186 and recover quickly, then We can see Tsla try to move to $194 Thursday
NASDAQ:TSLA
by Black_Sheep1
TSLA Kangaroo Market 3/1VIP Day for TSLA *DUMP & PUMP or PUMP & DUMP... Manipulation is Strong at these levels This Consolidation will end soon leading to continuation break-out or distribution Bullish Target $221.5 + Close above $224 will show Buyer Commitment Bearish Target: Close below $197 *POC My Patterns & Targets are on Chart Detailed Insight from: 2/28 TESLA is currently one of if not the Strongest Stock and is helping to hold up the Markets. I believe that the Rally is close to wrapping up at this stage of the "Mark-UP" *Wyckoff Distribution" I can see "Pump & Dump" -Final UTAD and Possible Continuation through Wednesday with Distribution. ****TSLA is BULLISH - do not mistake my bearish insights as a short confirmation *Daily Chart is very Bullish (The best moves keep going in the same direction) I Technical/Trend/Patterns: 200 Daily MA & 0.382 Fib are psychological zones that Bulls will want to ensure TSLA gets too .. -^Bullish double bottom pattern places TSLA move to $220-$224 area -^Potential Island Reversal to the bullish side BEARISH: -Bearish Rising Wedge on Daily- if pattern completes, measured move will go to fill gap @ $147.61 (MACRO-2-3 weeks) --Bearish Divergences are formed on lower time frames (4hr-1hr) -Daily Bearish Divergences are looking to follow suit if a new High is made (speculation) -OBV & Momentum indicators are diverging to the negative (OBV is High but Momentum is low -contrary) -Price has been moving down but A/D Line continues rising *I analyze this as Higher Distribution _____________________________ -***TIME FRAME: Analyzing consolidation patterns and impulse moves (Mark-UP) - I am seeing Consolidation on average of 25-27 days and Impulse Moves lasting 14 days *Tesla is going to hit 27 days of consolidation on Wednesday I can foresee the Markdown Phase Beginning for 2 weeks and moving into consolidation until before next earnings in April before the Next Mark-UP This aligns up with Seasonal Market Trends ( Bullish in Jan - Decline mid Feb to mid March) - Options Current Options info: *$200 Call Option Wall -Contrarian view is that with High Call Options @ $200 price will close below that by end of week (Market Makers do not want to pay-out) Max-Pain is currently at 197.5 -Bullish view: amount of options could create a "Gamma Squeeze" -Squeezing Tesla to test or surpass Highs in the short-term, ***Short-term pump & Dump Weekly Expected Move: $215 High $197 Low Positives: -Investor Day is Hyping up the bullish trend as everyone is preparing for Elon to showcase "GEN 3" platform -a new commodity vehicle for $25-30k before mark-up. This has retail piling into TSLA stock with an enormous $200 call Option wall again.. -Berlin Higher production levels --QQQ Potential Island Reversal to the bullish side - Help to continue Rally Analysis: Short-Term Neutral/ Bearish (Long-Term Bullish ) My bias is Bearish with a possible pump & dump scenario in play ... $200 Daily MA & 0.382 Fib are psychological zones that Bulls will want to ensure TSLA gets to .. If Tuesday shows strong Commitment and closes at the highs.. We could see Bullish continuation to $234. Tomorrow is VERY CRITICAL - Monthly close above $200 shows strong buyer commitment - if there is a sell-off and we see a close below $197, I feel confident that Tsla will retrace to $145 area to fill gap ( 0.618 retracement ) Tsla Closing strong tomorrow will lead me to believe that consolidation may continue through next week until we get March Payroll Data (this puts my target price to $232-$234 before we see "Mark-Down" *watch how TSLA reacts to Weekly Expected high at $215 area -I am staying away from Options except for "Day-Of" -Day Trading has been exceptional - waiting 15min after market open has proved beneficial
NASDAQ:TSLA
by Black_Sheep1
7
TESLA BUY the Rumor Sell the FactTESLA is currently one of if not the Strongest Stock and is helping to hold up the Markets. Strong Move today on Lower Volume. I believe that the Rally is close to wrapping up at this stage of the "Mark-UP" *Wyckoff Distribution" I can see Possible Bullish Continuation through Wednesday. Technicals/Indicators/Patterns: $200 Daily MA & 0.382 Fib are psychological zones that Bulls will want to ensure TSLA gets too .. -^Bullish double bottom pattern places TSLA move to $220 area -^Potential Island Reversal to the bullish side BEARISH: -Bearish Rising Wedge on Daily- if pattern completes, measured move will go to fill gap @ $147.61 --Bearish Divergences are formed on lower time frames (4hr-1hr) -Daily Bearish Divergences are looking to follow suit -OBV & Momentum indicators are diverging to the negative (OBV is High but Momentum is contrary) -Price has been moving down but A/D Line continues rising *I analyze this as Higher Distribution _____________________________ -***TIME FRAME: Analyzing consolidation patterns and impulse moves (Mark-UP) - I am seeing Consolidation on average of 25-27 days and Impulse Moves lasting 14 days *Tesla is going to hit 27 days of consolidation on Wednesday I can foresee the Markdown Phase Beginning for 2 weeks and moving into consolidation until before next earnings in April before the Next Mark-UP This aligns up with Seasonal Market Trends (Bullish in Jan - Decline mid Feb to mid March) - Options Current Options info: *$200 Call Option Wall -Contrarian view is that with High Call Options @ $200 price will close below that by end of week (Market Makers do not want to pay-out) Max-Pain is currently at 197.5 -Bullish view: amount of options could create a "Gamma Squeeze" -Squeezing Tesla to test or surpass Highs in the short-term, ***Short-term pump & Dump Weekly Expected Move: $215 High $197 Low Positives: -Investor Day is Hyping up the bullish trend as everyone is preparing for Elon to showcase "GEN 3" platform -a new commodity vehicle for $25-30k before mark-up. This has retail piling into TSLA stock with an enormous $200 call Option wall again.. -Berlin Higher production levels --QQQ Potential Island Reversal to the bullish side - Help to continue Rally Analysis: Short-Term Neutral/Bearish (Long-Term Bullish) My bias is Bearish with a possible pump & dump scenario in play ... $200 Daily MA & 0.382 Fib are psychological zones that Bulls will want to ensure TSLA gets to .. If Tuesday shows strong Commitment and closes at the highs.. We could see Bullish continuation to $234. Tomorrow is VERY CRITICAL - Monthly close above $200 shows strong buyer commitment - if there is a sell-off and we see a close below $197, I feel confident that Tsla will retrace to $145 area to fill gap (0.618 retracement) Tsla Closing strong tomorrow will lead me to believe that consolidation may continue through next week until we get March Payroll Data (this puts my target price to $232-$234 before we see "Mark-Down" *watch how TSLA reacts to Weekly Expected high at $215 area -I am staying away from Options except for "Day-Of" -Day Trading has been exceptional - waiting 15min after market open has proved beneficial
NASDAQ:TSLA
by Black_Sheep1
2
TSLA DAY TRADING 2/28 FOLLOW PRICE ACTION & KNOW S&R Bullish Target $221.5 Bearish Target:$197 I will use this to track Day trading Price Action Detailed Insight: 2/28 TESLA is currently one of if not the Strongest Stock and is helping to hold up the Markets. Strong Move today on Lower Volume . I believe that the Rally is close to wrapping up at this stage of the "Mark-UP" *Wyckoff Distribution" I can see Possible Bullish Continuation through Wednesday. Technicals/Indicators/Patterns: $200 Daily MA & 0.382 Fib are psychological zones that Bulls will want to ensure TSLA gets too .. -^Bullish double bottom pattern places TSLA move to $220 area -^Potential Island Reversal to the bullish side BEARISH: -Bearish Rising Wedge on Daily- if pattern completes, measured move will go to fill gap @ $147.61 --Bearish Divergences are formed on lower time frames (4hr-1hr) -Daily Bearish Divergences are looking to follow suit -OBV & Momentum indicators are diverging to the negative (OBV is High but Momentum is contrary) -Price has been moving down but A/D Line continues rising *I analyze this as Higher Distribution _____________________________ -***TIME FRAME: Analyzing consolidation patterns and impulse moves (Mark-UP) - I am seeing Consolidation on average of 25-27 days and Impulse Moves lasting 14 days *Tesla is going to hit 27 days of consolidation on Wednesday I can foresee the Markdown Phase Beginning for 2 weeks and moving into consolidation until before next earnings in April before the Next Mark-UP This aligns up with Seasonal Market Trends ( Bullish in Jan - Decline mid Feb to mid March) - Options Current Options info: *$200 Call Option Wall -Contrarian view is that with High Call Options @ $200 price will close below that by end of week (Market Makers do not want to pay-out) Max-Pain is currently at 197.5 -Bullish view: amount of options could create a "Gamma Squeeze" -Squeezing Tesla to test or surpass Highs in the short-term, ***Short-term pump & Dump Weekly Expected Move: $215 High $197 Low Positives: -Investor Day is Hyping up the bullish trend as everyone is preparing for Elon to showcase "GEN 3" platform -a new commodity vehicle for $25-30k before mark-up. This has retail piling into TSLA stock with an enormous $200 call Option wall again.. -Berlin Higher production levels --QQQ Potential Island Reversal to the bullish side - Help to continue Rally Analysis: Short-Term Neutral/ Bearish (Long-Term Bullish ) My bias is Bearish with a possible pump & dump scenario in play ... $200 Daily MA & 0.382 Fib are psychological zones that Bulls will want to ensure TSLA gets to .. If Tuesday shows strong Commitment and closes at the highs.. We could see Bullish continuation to $234. Tomorrow is VERY CRITICAL - Monthly close above $200 shows strong buyer commitment - if there is a sell-off and we see a close below $197, I feel confident that Tsla will retrace to $145 area to fill gap ( 0.618 retracement ) Tsla Closing strong tomorrow will lead me to believe that consolidation may continue through next week until we get March Payroll Data (this puts my target price to $232-$234 before we see "Mark-Down" *watch how TSLA reacts to Weekly Expected high at $215 area -I am staying away from Options except for "Day-Of" -Day Trading has been exceptional - waiting 15min after market open has proved beneficial
NASDAQ:TSLA
by Black_Sheep1
13
TSLA Revised DistributionRevised Distribution - TSLA is beginning or completing final Phase of distribution, I would like to see one more Liquidity grab (UTAD) to 0.382 Fib from all time Highs ($221) , but $200 call option wall may prevent this. I would think that today would be the day to rally past $214 and drop below $200 in order for Wall-street to make most $ from Options. ... Still we could see this pattern continue into next week before final distribution. *Past $224 with-out strong pullback or rejection will indicate that $214 was Buying Climax- not first UT* and $187.4 was the CHoch This could put UTAD past $240 before distribution - We will see how price reacts with retest of $214 again
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by Black_Sheep1