$TSLA's $207.50 Price Target for a BounceIt's not looking too good for NASDAQ:TSLA holders right now. TSLA has 6 rejections off the yellow resistance line and has been dropping rapidly after the most recent rejection. The green trendline ($207.50) is a key support level on the way down, and there is likely to be a dead cat bounce there before further decline. For now, $207.50 is my short term price target for a bounce. I think NASDAQ:TSLA would be a bit oversold, so there is some potential for a long trade setup. However, TSLA is likely to underperform with its upcoming Jan. 24 earnings report. The forecast is higher than the previous forecast, which TSLA missed. I think there will be more pain ahead after a bounce off the green support line with some more downside in 2024.
Tslashortsetup
TSLA SHORT NASDAQ:TSLA
TSLA on the 4 hour chart appears to be in a downtrending parallel
channel and presently at the upper resistance boundary of
the channel. This could also be a megaphone pattern as the channel
is widening a bit as it descends. I see the horizontal resistance of February 2021
market high as resisting any breakout to higher prices.
I see horizontal support below at 190 from the market lows in March and May this year.
The MACD oscillator is in mid-range as is the RSI oscillator. The latter shows
some bearish divergence suggesting an impending reversal.
I see this as a short setup to synergize with the general market
the downturn from the current market price to 190 or until just before
the earnings report in mid-October. This is about $100 of profit
I will set a stop loss of $5 above the current market price Thid
is a great reward-to-risk ratio even if the price gets jammed up
at Fibonacci retracement levels on its way down. The low-costTR bearish ETF
is a consideration as are out of the money put options.
Tesla Fundamental, Technical and IdeasTSLA—Tesla Fundamental and Price Chart Analysis ( Concluding and comparing historical financial health, stability, growth and value of company to current and future projections to help make investment decisions. )
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TSLA Fundamental Analysis
Income Statement
- Income, Earnings and profit margin for Tesla all increased over past 5 years
- Tesla reported higher than forecast earnings for company for the past 4 quarters
Balance Sheet
- Increasing Assets and liabilities with a shrinking Debt-Asset Ratio
Cash Flow ( Value of the Company is ALWAYS a reflection of FREE CASH FLOW )
- 2018-2019 Tesla free cash flow growth risen by 442.2%.
- 2019-2021 Telsa free cash flow growth is still increasing but by smaller percentages. Since 2019
Tesla free cash flow growth decreased by -455.04%.
- Trailing Twelve Month free cash flow for TSLA is nearly 70% higher than free cash flow ending year 2021.
Source: tradingview.com
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TSLA Price Chart Analysis
Tesla decreased more than 50% in value since November 4, 2021 bringing the value of the company near 52 weeks low between 790.00 - 640.00 on Daily timeframe. Largest movements to downside are near Company Earning Announcements ( though Tesla has reported higher than expected earnings for 4 consecutive quarters, the growth rate between the both has been declining.
*Tesla is expected to announce lower than previously forecasted and actual earnings ( @ 1.81/per share ) and
revenue ( @ 16.5 billion ) report today July 20, 2022 during after market hours.*
Sub-chart indicators demonstrates indecision in direction of price with 750.00 being close to the highest price investors are currently willing to pay for stock. Near 790.00 is assumed to be safest and most profitable position to enter a short term sell entry.
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Sentiment for TSLA:
-Short Term Bearish
- Mid Term Bullish
Entry and Exit Levels for TSLA:
-Short Term SELL - up to 2.5 months Holding period )
- Limit 790.00
- Stop Loss 900.00
- Take Profits 400.00
- Reward-Risk 3.50/1.00
Mid Term BUY - up to 5 month Holding period )
- Limit 500.00
- Stop Loss 400.00
- Take Profits 1000.00
- Reward-Risk 5.00/1.00
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*All information is to help educate and assist you in your investing/trading journey and doesn’t guarantee any favorable outcomes.
Tesla Follow-up with More Detail $550??I have doubled my short position as of today.
Earlier this week, I posted a rather stale chart of Tesla (lol). At any rate, here is what I see from a technical perspective:
Double Top
Lower Highs
Rising F-Flag (bearish)
The CEO out there meme-ing in real life.
It's a set up for a complete catastrophe in $TSLA stock.
I think $500 - $550 is probably.
God bless,
Chief