Intel Corporation - Buy the Raid, Ride the WaveSemiconductors were supposed to be the "21st century oil," but they aren't. Whoever believed that was really not rational. Because oil is for heating stuff, making plastic, and fueling vehicles, while computers are just computers are just computers are just computers.
Intel has not been bullish, only trading within a $6 range since October. A lot of other tech/Nasdaq stuff has been a lot more interesting to trade, but I personally like these companies that are in the low double digits and usually don't do insane things in one day, because the premium and spread for the options market is usually much more sane, and risk management is really the most important thing.
Plus, once these kinds of equities go, they tend to surprise well and are a lot better than gambling on if you can catch the latest 10% day on Tesla (you won't. Mastodon's socialists told you ELON MUSK BAD).
Anyways, I am expecting that markets at large will bear trap in and around the beginning of February and FOMC. The next FOMC is 6 weeks away in the third week of March, which gives a lot of time to head fake and take traders in the direction they like seeing the least right now (up).
Thus, based on Intel's price action post-earnings after missing EPS estimates by 50% and yet only dumping $1.50, that the market makers' intention is to gun the October low.
I believe you can buy $23.50-$25 in anticipation of a marketwide pump that will ultimately prove to be an exit pump designed to unload bags, fill banks' "big short" strategy, and totally destroy the existing short sellers in the market, heading into roughly May and July of this year.
Intel's long term price action is prime for this, as we have a large volume gap spanning 7 years in the $42 to $37 range, most evident on the monthly.
You may not see another run below the $24.87 low, since it was taken months ago.
But since Intel has yet to bounce, but has also proven to not actually be very bearish, a raid below the lows seems more likely than not.
The problem from a risk perspective is that a raid may not really be a raid. Intel can just be on its way to $0, but at the same time, the company really is the biggest processor manufacture for all the computers normal people use, and is "only" market capped at present at $116 billion.
Rival Taiwan Semiconductor TSM has a similar breadth pattern, but never took a previous low, and has bounced vigorously into a volume gap of its own from 2021.
Right now, the world is not okay. The pandemic situation in China with Wuhan Pneumonia is countless times more dire than mainstream media and social media are leading you to believe. It's really serious, as many individuals, corporations, and governments are tightly wed to China.
But unfortunately, many of those weddings weren't with "China" but the heinous and unforgivable "Chinese Communist Party."
The situation in this world can change overnight and all long trades have significant risk of total liquidation, no matter the appearance.
Make sure you take good care of yourselves and your families. Remember, money is a thing that you can't take with you.
TSM
TSM Potential for Bullish Continuation | 23rd February 2023Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for TSM is bullish due to the current price being above the Ichimoku cloud , indicating a bullish market.
Looking for a buy entry at 82.87, where the overlap support and 61.8% Fibonacci line is. Stop loss will be at 72.84, where the previous swing low is.
Take profit will be at 107.90, where the overlap resistance is.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
TSM Potential for Bullish Continuation | 23rd February 2023Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for TSM is bullish due to the current price being above the Ichimoku cloud , indicating a bullish market.
Looking for a buy entry at 82.87, where the overlap support and 61.8% Fibonacci line is. Stop loss will be at 72.84, where the previous swing low is.
Take profit will be at 107.90, where the overlap resistance is.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
TSM Taiwan Semiconductor ADR Sponsored$TSM #TSM TSM
Team solo mid (haha jk) is in a rough spot here. After an impeccable print of $98.87 it shot right past the 200 ema on the hourly chart. TEAM: If you were in at lower levels and raked profit before the slam, CONGRATULATIONS YOU DESERVE TO WIN!
It is not an easy PLAY to execute when opening up certain windows of print gain green.
The stock market is a powerFULL and wonderful drill. The longer you can drill and dig deep, the closer you are to the brightest gains that the stock market has to offer.
Be a leader in the markets, it's the only way.
Everyday watching film.
Enhancing craft is critical to a future in the stock market no matter which instrument you choose. And remember, all tools require understanding before they can be dominated on the live trading field. Stay alert even when you think you are too good at it, trust
She may climb briefly to approximately $93.97 then drip further down.
Overall, feels like a decent short setting up for a bit here for the short term. We'll see. Please remember, entry is critical to print win rate.
Everyone is a trading different size port folder at any given second in the stock markets existence.
The markets have their own DNA. Tap into and embrace your inner algorithm to become a leading gainer in any given market conditions.
RULE: AS SOON AS YOU LET THE MONEY GO IT BEGINS EARNING FOR YOU RIGHT AWAY
Stay productive and stay safe!
=stikstockitslive
Could Buffet Get Mollywopped? TSM to drop? Keep an eye on semi-conductors in general and another eye on ES, SPY, etc. We have the 200ma and weekly vwap on daily time frame coming together. We also have momentum to the downside, sellers seem to have control. Not financial advice, DYOR.
#berkshirehathaway #warrenbuffet
The CHIP War has begun........Read some of these articles to have a background knowledge
here .
here ,
here
here
On a simpler note, we are aware that the global economy is becoming more digitalised, though not moving at same velocity and growth. The chips are the "heart' of what goes into many things that are used in our daily lives , whether we are aware of them or not - from smart phones, data centres, military equipment, computers, etc.
What are the global players like TSMC and ASML charts telling us ? So, the SMH ETF is not doing too bad either if you are not good at picking up individual stocks.
The black dotted line shows all 3 have broke out from their bearish trend and are moving up higher weeks after weeks.
Please DYODD and all the best to your investment!
TSMC to break higher?Taiwan Semiconducotor - 30d expiry - We look to Buy a break of 83.72 (stop at 81.28)
Short term momentum is bullish.
In our opinion this stock is undervalued.
83.63 has been pivotal.
A break of the recent high at 83.63 should result in a further move higher.
We are trading at oversold extremes.
This is curremtly an actively traded stock.
Our profit targets will be 93.93 and 94.93
Resistance: 83.63 / 87.50 / 91.94
Support: 78.50 / 76.00 / 72.84
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
TSM in an ascending triangle.Taiwan Semiconducotor - 30d expiry- We look to Buy a break of 83.22 (stop at 79.92)
Prices have reacted from 59.44.
Short term momentum is bullish.
Price action has formed a bullish ascending triangle formation.
A break of the recent high at 83.18 should result in a further move higher.
Our outlook is bullish.
Our profit targets will be 91.48 and 92.48
Resistance: 83.20 / 84.00 / 88.00
Support: 81.50 / 79.50 / 76.20
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group.
Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
TSM, 7d/+20%rising cycle 20% in 7 days.
==================================================================================================================================================================
This data is analyzed by robots. Analyze historical trends based on The Adam Theory of Markets (20 moving averages/60 moving averages/120 moving averages/240 moving averages) and estimate the trend in the next 10 days. The white line is the robot's expected price, and the upper and lower horizontal line stop loss and stop profit prices have no financial basis. The results are for reference only.
Taiwan Semiconductor - A Precarious Situation, Warren Bought...Apple apparently uses TSM chips with plans in the future to use more. My old friend Warren bought some recently, I noticed a gap in the chart after he bought. He bought quite a lot... I am wondering if we will fill the gap then go up. Or is it possible that we could go lower after testing the gap? Could Warren B wrong? This is one tough chart to predict! Just pointing out important levels where we can pivot. NFA, DYOR.
Info to consider:
Apple is a priority customer for TSMC's advanced manufacturing process. According to equipment manufacturers and Apple's production chain, Apple will use TSMC's 3nm wafers for the first time in the second half of the year.
seekingalpha.com
TSM ShortTSM has created gap galore on its rally up. with the vix down at 20, indices at resistance, the 4 gaps created, RSI over cooked at 80 and a wedge created, id say a breakdown below wedge trend line around 80 and you'll see the first gap fill at least at 77then 72. big sell volume come at the top of this last run too.
TSM bull flag with buffet and AAPL news behind it. TSM making a nice bull flag with buffet stake and AAPL saying they will buy chips from arizona. good news behind it too and foundries have been looking strong in last month or so compared to other chip making companies.
looking at 84C fro DEC 2 on this flag intraday. over 83 can rip to 88
TSM | Very Overbought Buffett Pick | SHORTTaiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited manufactures, packages, tests, and sells integrated circuits and other semiconductor devices in Taiwan, China, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Japan, the United States, and internationally. It provides complementary metal oxide silicon wafer fabrication processes to manufacture logic, mixed-signal, radio frequency, and embedded memory semiconductors. The company also offers customer support, account management, and engineering services, as well as manufactures masks. Its products are used in mobile devices, high performance computing, automotive electronics, and internet of things markets. The company was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Hsinchu City, Taiwan.
TSM | Oversold Semiconductor | LONGTaiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited manufactures, packages, tests, and sells integrated circuits and other semiconductor devices in Taiwan, China, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Japan, the United States, and internationally. It provides complementary metal oxide silicon wafer fabrication processes to manufacture logic, mixed-signal, radio frequency, and embedded memory semiconductors. The company also offers customer support, account management, and engineering services, as well as manufactures masks. Its products are used in mobile devices, high performance computing, automotive electronics, and internet of things markets. The company was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Hsinchu City, Taiwan.
TSM, 6d+/64.99~58.08shaking at 58.05~64.99 in 6 days.
==================================================================================================================================================================
This data is analyzed by robots. Analyze historical trends based on The Adam Theory of Markets (20 moving averages/60 moving averages/120 moving averages/240 moving averages) and estimate the trend in the next 10 days. The white line is the robot's expected price, and the upper and lower horizontal line stop loss and stop profit prices have no financial basis. The results are for reference only.
SMH ETF (Global Semiconductor’s trend”..20/Oct/22VanEck ETF which “tracking /invest” on 25 global major semiconductors stocks. Probably found its “base” @ around 148.90 - P/s. Probably the “next recession” might be caused by “geopolitical tensions” cause by 2 big brothers..A kinds of “wars e.g chips war, trade war, or “actual war”....” Probably an “Imposed /sanctioned by” a “freedom democracy/free trade” country toward “a so called not a democracy country”..
TSM, 10d+/-17.18%falling cycle -17.18% more than 10 days
This data is analyzed by robots. Analyze historical trends based on The Adam Theory of Markets (20 moving averages/60 moving averages/120 moving averages/240 moving averages) and estimate the trend in the next 10 days. The white line is the robot's expected price, and the upper and lower horizontal line stop loss and stop profit prices have no financial basis. The results are for reference only.