Australian LNG Producers in High-Stakes Talks to Avert Strike...Australian LNG Producers in High-Stakes Talks to Avert Strike Amidst Climbing Energy Prices
Two prominent Australian liquefied natural gas (LNG) producers find themselves embroiled in crucial negotiations with unions, aiming to thwart a potential strike that could cast a shadow over global energy supplies.
The looming specter of industrial action across three strategic locations in Western Australia has reverberated through the energy market, prompting a startling 40% surge in European natural gas prices overnight due to mounting supply concerns. These three critical sites, jointly owned by Australia's Woodside Energy and American firm Chevron, collectively contribute 10% of the world's supply while also constituting half of Australia's LNG output.
Across Asia, the impact was palpable, as futures for liquefied petroleum gas on China's Dalian Commodity Exchange leaped by 6.7%, reaching Rmb4,276 ($597) per tonne on Thursday. Simultaneously, crude oil contracts in Shanghai experienced a 2.5% uptick, nearly reaching Rmb640 per barrel. In contrast, Europe's TTF benchmark gas price experienced a 9% decline, settling at €38.05 per megawatt hour on the same day.
Warren Patterson, Head of Commodities Strategy at ING in Singapore, noted that most of Australia's natural gas supply typically flows to Asian buyers. Should the strike continue for an extended period, it could lead Asian buyers to explore alternative sources, intensifying competition with European buyers.
Unions representing approximately 700 workers from Woodside and Chevron have sought "protected action ballot orders," a move that grants them the right to conduct votes on potential strike actions under Australia's Fair Work Commission.
Negotiations, focused on issues such as pay rates, job security, and working conditions for offshore gas workers, continued between the Offshore Alliance union and the two energy giants. While the negotiation stages with Woodside and Chevron vary, prospects of industrial action loom large toward the end of August, potentially extending for months if resolutions aren't reached.
Recent history serves as a reminder of the potential consequences, as a 76-day strike at Shell's Prelude facility last year resulted in a staggering A$1.5 billion ($980 million) loss in production costs. The union negotiators cite this example as a testament to the tangible impact of their actions.
Brad Gandy, spokesperson for the Offshore Alliance, emphasized that members are striving for a fair and reasonable agreement, aware of the substantial financial implications that protected industrial action could impose on the export of Australian gas.
Both Woodside and Chevron are prepared with a range of contingency plans to mitigate supply disruptions. Woodside reassured its commitment to secure energy supply and employee security, while Chevron reiterated its ongoing efforts to find mutually beneficial outcomes.
As the energy market holds its breath, the outcome of these high-stakes negotiations could indelibly reshape the trajectory of global energy supply chains, reverberating across continents and industries alike.
TTF1!
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Wassup guys?! After my NG short call (two months ago) and reaching it's target I think the drop may not be over yet. I can imagine price is going to test support cluster created by major uptrendline (lime), horizontal support 4.75-5.95, and the yellow trendline. The former support zone 6.46-5.95 now acts as resistance at it seems to me that the upside pullback from the low 4.75 to 7.22 is running out of steam. Closer look (4h)...
...reveals local triangle (yellow) which is just about to break one way or the another. My bet is to the downside breakout.
I wouldn't go long as long as the major downtrendline (red) holds.
Let me know your thoughts in the comment section.
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⚠️Disclaimer: I'm not financial advisor. This is not a financial advice. Do your own due dilingence.