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Turkeytrading

Macro Monday 55 - European gateway to M.East & Russia Macro Monday 55 Turkey - Europe’s gateway to the Middle East and Russia Turkey holds a vital strategic position as the bridge between Europe and the Middle East. Turkey’s economy has been making leaps and bounds over the past decade and the war in Ukraine has resulted in significant increase in trade through the country, benefiting its logistic companies and economic status. As one of the main corridors from Europe to the Middle East and beyond, let’s see what this blossoming trade Centre can offer us. Russia’s Trade Enabler Turkey has become a crucial transit point for Russian goods, especially since the war. Its strategic location at the crossroads of Europe and Asia allows it to facilitate trade routes between all these regions. As a result, Russian produce has increasingly passed through Turkey, benefiting both countries economically, and indirectly benefitting Europe. In June 2023, Turkey’s exports to Russia increased by 23.9%, reaching $848.4 million—a substantial surge compared to the previous year’s figure of $684.9 million. Moreover, during the first half of the year (January to June), Turkey’s exports to Russia more than doubled, reaching $4.9 billion compared to last year’s $2.6 billion. Despite a decline in imports, Russia remains Turkey’s largest trading partner in terms of goods purchased. Russia’s favor to Turkey during the currency crisis, including postponing a natural gas debt and recognizing Turkey as a reliable gas route to Europe, has further strengthened their economic ties Robust GDP Growth Turkey’s GDP expanded by 4.5% in 2023, driven by strong private consumption, increased investment, and government spending. Additionally, in 2021, Turkey achieved an impressive 11% annual GDP growth, making it the fastest-growing economy globally for the 2021 year. For the 2024 year a GDP growth rate of between 2.9% and 4% is expected depending on the authority advising. Amazingly, according to Trading Economics, the GDP annual growth rate in the first quarter of 2024 was 5.7%, a significant acceleration from the previous quarter. On a seasonally adjusted quarterly basis, the GDP rose by 2.4% in Q1. Demographics With a population of 85.8 million, Turkey has a sizable labor force and a young demographic profile. As of 2023, the median age of the Turkish population is 34 years, up from 28.3 in 2007. This youthful demographic profile contributes to productivity and economic dynamism. Produce and Exports Turkey’s top exports include refined petroleum oils, cars, jewelry, automotive parts, and trucks. Turkey has a complex and varied array of produce that contribute significantly to its versatile economy. Turkeys produce and exports are so diverse that they don’t appear to be a global leader in any one item, however In 2023, Turkey exported $12.3 billion worth of Refined Petroleum, making it the 24th largest exporter of this product globally. Refined Petroleum accounted for 12.1% of Turkeys total exports. Poverty Reduction Rapid economic growth has led to substantial poverty reduction. The poverty rate decreased from above 20% in 2007 to 7.6% in 2021. Investment Climate Turkey’s business-friendly environment attracts foreign direct investment (FDI). It offers incentives, a skilled workforce, and access to diverse markets. We can see that it has even bolstered relations with Russia and Europe during their conflict, being a go between, between the two. Tourism Tourism plays a crucial role, with Turkey being a popular destination for travelers and medical tourism. Turkey’s efforts to enhance its healthcare sector have positioned it as a prominent player in European medical tourism and now other continents are starting to travel here for affordable medical procedures. Resilience and Adaptation Despite challenges, Turkey continues to adapt to global economic shifts, such as the EU’s Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism, emphasizing sustainability and resilience. The Chart NASDAQ TURKEY Index - NASDAQ:NQTR The NASDAQ Turkey Index is a float adjusted market capitalization-weighted index designed to track the performance of securities assigned to Turkey Subject chart - The chart speaks for itself. - We have broken out of long term downtrend and have a great trading opportunity with a 6:1 reward to risk when looking for a bounce from support. And that’s it for this week folks, we have the wind at our backs for the above trade and its worth reviewing logistic companies in Turkey. We will be looking out for them here. The liked of Reysas Lojistic - BIST:RYSAS has been on an absolute tear. All these charts are available on my TradingView Page and you can go to them at any stage over the next few years press play and you'll get the chart updated with the easy visual guide to see how Turkey market is performing. I hope its helpful. PUKA
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by PukaCharts
Will Turkish lira reverse if new leader is elected?Could the upcoming Turkey election effect how their currency lira performs against western currencies including the USD? Any potential new leader may be able to get the lira to be much stronger then over the last few years. As for today, the USD against the Turkish lira is the only currency which seems to be somewhat strong in the world of Oanda forex. When my usual frequent scanning across forex and CFD universe, there are very few instruments that showed a consistent profit for the day. Something very strange is happening in the global markets today
Long
by bryandowningqln
USDTRY market speculationAfter the Turkish president Recep Tayyip Erdoğan announced the measures that the Turkish government would take to improve their currency slippage, over $1 billion was sold to trade for the Turkish lira which caused the USDTRY to drop over 20% making the greatest recovery in any currency in over 40 years. Understanding how the forex markets operate, the USDTRY will attempt to stabilize sooner or later, fears that it will drop to 20 USDTRY by the end of the year 2022, investors are hopeful that Turkey will recover. This is my technical analysis in the event that investors hold their positions and stabilize the Turkish lira.
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by Mezzoforte_Privilege
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GOING BACK TO NORMAL AFTER AUTUMN ATTACK - GLYHO - WEEKLYThank you for your likes and shares! Much Appreciated! _________________________________________________________________________________ The Global Yatirim Holding Shares Price Evolution Is Very Interesting And Shows How To React To Surprises! Be careful this green line is probably not very solid support, it can break at anytime. The black line possibly acts like a gravity center price line. As you can see we traced vertical lines of the previous super fall and reported that line to the recent super squeeze of buyers. We have here probably a vision on the elasticity of the market. Like when you stretch an elastic and it comes back. Between 28/09 and 3/11, it was probably the moment during the year when big actors where the most active to win the fight against smaller traders. Many have probably lost money during that period. That is when it is good to know when to cut losses and wait for better day. We are probably back to normal market shape and are waiting for a break of the new channel to enter in the market. Looking for short direction trades opportunity will possibly be clever. From last post, you can see that we just extended the lines, there no coincidences. Last time we said: """ Beware, possibility of continuous uptrend then a pullback down from the red line. Other possibility is a market fear which could lead to a brief retreat to the down red support """ What happen next is exactly this scenario, we have seen the market going down very strongly with high volumes involved, this to squeeze seller and then run up alone to reach new highs, breaking then one after the other. At the end of the run on the top squeezing very violently the remaining happy buyers who are now holding on very RED positions. What is happening next? When those people will liquidate to limit loses the market probably will go back up again and the same story, new big actor comes, see the opportunity and push help them by squeezing up and the market possibly retracing to the black super strong resistance line. Have this scenario for next traded on GLYHO. Happy End of Year!
BIST:GLYHO
by Diallo_Charts_Ideas
BIST100/USDTRY TURKEY STOCK LONG TERM CHARTEM countries have suffered a lot from the pandemic. As the relief packages are announcing across the world and central banks providing money, some EM countries have seen a rise in stock markets. At this point, we should take into consideration currency losses. When we look at the Turkish stock exchange based on USDTRY chart, it is clear that it has still not surpassed the downward trend, however, it is a breakthrough period. I expect that BIST100 will touch the downward trend by Feb'21, despite some corrections on the way.
BIST:XU100
by bazingatr