Turkish
USDTRY LongIt has just surpassed the 6.79 level, and is now heading to the next level at 7.10.
The MACD is also showing us some bull strenght, and it the candlesticks were strong surpassing the 6.79 lvl (forming two white soldiers, on the 4H chart, and i believe it'll get to three white soldiers)
We can also see a strong bullish trend starting around the early days of March, which was tested a second time in the end of this month and a third time 5 days ago.
The 6.79 level was tested a few times since the start of April.
ridethepig | Squeeze!Recognise that this demand for USD is squeezing USDTRY into the secondary macro swing targets at 6.60xx. This is completely inline with the forecasts and all those in leveraged positions are inclined to take profits. We are not out of the woods (yet) and large hands will continue to buy dips in USDTRY as long as we remain in risk-off flows.
As widely mentioned "local banks will come under pressure and show severe distress above 7" ...increasingly this is becoming the target as weak fundamentals and dictators limit ability to invest in the currency. Expect some consolidation over the coming days before further funding issues add upward pressure via USD demand.
Good luck all those buying the dips, highly recommend tracking TRY as a good benchmark to health in EM FX. Thanks for keeping the support coming with likes, as usual jump into the comments with your charts, view and etc!
ridethepig | TRY Capitulating...The struggle for democracy is being carried out and as long as Erdogan remains at the helm there is only one direction for TRY. Autocrats are typically sticky in nature and difficult to remove, the attack should first be aimed at the currency which will be the base of the capitulation. Attacking the 7.8 will break local bank and looks imminent as markets receive the USD via safe haven flows. Example:
After the technical break of the resistance the swing formation seems to be self fulfilling. So, according to the plan we attacked immediately and that is now clear in the outflows by...
If you wish to undermine democracy; you tend to try to blow up the foundations of capitalism. The natural restructuring of markets will always follow automatically and hence it is only a matter of time before we see 7.80 and Turkish banks capitulating. After Erdogan, the IMF bailouts will have different possibilities. Turkey's plan can be seen at its clearest now that fears of coronavirus have coupled alongside the Saudi / Russia oil action. Remember, Turkey is an importer of Oil ... so with Oil now flirting with a break towards $20 (see diagram) the logical development will be to destroy the highs in USDTRY.
Very simple. Continue to work longs on the first dip you see. Thanks as usual for keeping the likes and comments coming, jump into the discussion with your views on TRY!
USDTRY map: down then huge up then collapseUSDTRY could dip now into 5.45 area to complete small wave X (white label).
Then the final move up with wave Y in larger degree X could emerge, which could tag former top of 7.0830.
After that the large Y to unfold down to retest the bottom of the entire consolidation at 5.1300
Turkish lira - correction !Turkish lira is near to its end, bow trading at 6.1096. Long term technical analysis shows corrections of this trend to S1 support level 5.9880, next target can be S2 level. This levels are calculating based on long term fibonacci retracement, also confirmation fo our analisys can be pattern wedge with trendlines T1-T2. Crossing of T1 will be a signal to sell USDTRY.
USDTRY AnalysisHey Traders,
I hope everyone is having a good time as the year is ending and new one is beginning soon; I saw this market or the dollar-Lira which the market has broken the resistance area and then retested, if the market holds above this level and the breakout turns to be real one, then the Lira is going up, my target is the second resistance area which the wig the market made 26th of Aug this year. however, if the breakout turns to be a fake breakout, then the market is gonna sell-off around 5.80 as my level of support, then the market will decide where to go then.
Here is the trade setup
Scenario 1: Long Trade Setup
USDTRY Buy at 5.93133
Stop Loss at 5.8960
Target Profit at 6.03960
If market movement is now fake and the current support area is broken, then the market would turn into short and here is the second scenario for it:
Scenario 2: Short Trade Setup
USDTRY Sell at 5.88000
Stop Loss at 5.9580
Target Profit at 5.8000
Good Luck and happy new year!
USDTRY is near Buy Zone!The price is near the Support/Resistance Zone.
We can open Buy if daily candle will close above.
Potential profit will be in 3...5 times bigger than risk.
Push like if you think this is a useful idea!
Before to trade my ideas make your own analyze.
Write your comments and questions here!
Thanks for your support!
PENGUINS PLAY WITH TURKEY THIS TIME:) USDTRY 7/12/2019Hello Traders!
We would like to show you a game...
While Penguins are on the hunt, you can easily join them as well!
It is easy, all you need to do is to collect the hearts and watch for the pig and thunder signs.
Targets are marked on the chart as a crosshair.
Heart in the box - a place to jump in/out
Sign with exclamation mark - places to be aware of a few different types of reactions from this level
Target sign - the first target to focus on
Thunder sign - spot to react - possible jump to push into reversal
Penguin - expected direction
Have fun with it, and remember - this game is about the patience. Keep yourself cool, whilst not being greedy.
Like it if it was helpful to you. We appreciate the likes and comments.
Provided feedback helps us with the future service. Got questions? Feel free to PM us!
Thank you for your attention,
GOD BLESS U ALL!
USDTRY - LONG (Gradual)Our risk / reward ratio is 0.28 in the first field and 0.09 in the second field.
There was a close above 5.84.
Long positions can be tried in small lots.
However, losses can be a bit high since the bar cannot be sure without closing, so stoploss should be placed directly at 5.81 or 5.84.
Our sales level for the first area is 6.095.
If the first area breaks down, our sales level is 6.56.