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The Wish Turnaround StoryNASDAQ:WISH The Wish Turnaround Story Technical Analysis: Triple Bottom Fun Facts: - Delivery speeds average 8-day y/y improvement in Q1’23 - Customer order cancellation Rate dropped 56% y/y in Q1’23 - Buyer conversion rate improved by 18% y/y in Q1’23 - Customer retention rate improved by ~10% y/y in Q1’23 Financials: March 2023 Cash Balance: $379 Million Free Cash Flow: March 2021 ~$350 Million March 2023 ~$90 Million ($260 Million Improvement) Short Term Investments: March 2021 $154 Million March 2023 $256 Million ($102 Million Improvement) Total Debts: March 2021 $48 Million March 2023 $18 Million ($30 Million Improvement) Operating Expenses: March 2021 $563 Million March 2023 $110 Million ($453 Million improvement) * Q3 Savings on Operating Expenses expected to be around $14-$23 Million on Annualized Basis based on 17% workforce reduction * Current Enterprise Value: March 2021 ~$306 Million (Priced for Bankruptcy) $50 Million Dollar Share Repurchase Program Be warned: This info isn't a recommendation for what you should personally do, so please don't take the data as investment advice. As with any trade, always look first, then dive.
WLong
by AllHart
2
The $WISH Turnaround StoryNASDAQ:WISH The Wish Turnaround Story Technical Analysis: Triple Bottom Fun Facts: - Delivery speeds average 8-day y/y improvement in Q1’23 - Customer order cancellation Rate dropped 56% y/y in Q1’23 - Buyer conversion rate improved by 18% y/y in Q1’23 - Customer retention rate improved by ~10% y/y in Q1’23 Financials: March 2023 Cash Balance: $379 Million Free Cash Flow: March 2021 ~$350 Million March 2023 ~$90 Million ($260 Million Improvement) Short Term Investments: March 2021 $154 Million March 2023 $256 Million ($102 Million Improvement) Total Debts: March 2021 $48 Million March 2023 $18 Million ($30 Million Improvement) Operating Expenses: March 2021 $563 Million March 2023 $110 Million ($453 Million improvement) * Q3 Savings on Operating Expenses expected to be around $14-$23 Million on Annualized Basis based on 17% workforce reduction * Current Enterprise Value: March 2021 ~$306 Million (Priced for Bankruptcy) $50 Million Dollar Share Repurchase Program Be warned: This info isn't a recommendation for what you should personally do, so please don't take the data as investment advice. As with any trade, always look first, then dive.
WLong
by AllHart
HL:Dip buying!Hecla Mining Company Short Term - We look to Buy at 3.87 (stop at 3.42) Although the bears are in control, the stalling negative momentum indicates a turnaround is possible. Previous resistance at 3.90 now becomes support. Dip buying offers good risk/reward. Further upside is expected. Our profit targets will be 4.85 and 5.00 Resistance: 4.90 / 7.50 / 9.50 Support: 3.80 / 2.90 / 2.00 Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
NYSE:HLLong
by VantageMarkets
PYPL: Can Hedgie change fortunes?PayPal Short Term - We look to Buy at 78.86 (stop at 71.88) Activist hedge fund Elliot Management reported to have increased stake. Price jumped 6% in premarket. Although the bears are in control, the stalling negative momentum indicates a turnaround is possible. There is scope for mild selling at the open but losses should be limited. We look to buy dips. Further upside is expected. Our profit targets will be 99.79 and 104.00 Resistance: 100.00 / 123.00 / 154.00 Support: 75.00 / 60.00 / 40.00 Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
NASDAQ:PYPLLong
by VantageMarkets
Wish Wyckoff showtimeResults were as expected and clearly belong to the previous management team.No no point for the current team to show any improvements. As stated by the newly appointed team the real turnaround results should be visible somewhere in Q2 2022, so for Q1, I expect a Wyckoff accumulation. Retail is so depressed and tired that eventually nobody will be left except me. Points looking forward 1. Cash on hand $1b, plenty of time for a turnaround, 0 debt. 2. New C-level executives must prove themselves+receive stock bonuses, so their serious effort is granted. 3. Logistics revenue up 45% YoY, when ad spending resumes this should rocket because shipping times will fall dramatically = happy customers 4. Bad merchants are cleared away, quality is improving slowly but steady = happy customers 5. New redesign in platform launching soon = happy customers 6. Institutional accumulating more and more 7. Everybody(retail) is getting tired and is at a loss of -50% or more, now it's time for a slow death. If markets go up then other stocks will fly and this one will keep accumulating making everyone nervous and anxious, so in the end, everybody will be gone. My targets for this year Q1 : $3-3.50 Q2 : $5-7.5 Q3 : $9-12 Q4: $15 My targets for 2023,2024,2025 1. $22 2. $32 3. $60 Stay safe and always have a plan.
WLong
by Philoslother
7
Can United Parcel Keep Delivering?United Parcel Service started delivering new highs in the summer of 2020. Now the chart could be interesting again after an eight-month pause. First, notice the bullish gap after the last quarterly report on October 26. Earnings, revenue and guidance all surprised to the upside as CEO Carol Tome (installed last year) continues to execute her turnaround plan . UPS pulled back after the surge. It tested and held its 200-day simple moving average (SMA), then reclaimed the 50-day SMA. Price formed a downward-sloping trendline in the process, which it broke on Friday. Next, the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) recently pushed above the 21-day EMA. That’s a potential sign of the shorter-term trend growing more bullish. Stepping back to the weekly chart, a high basing pattern appears with UPS making higher lows in June and late November. Santa also left a bullish outside candle under the tree. TradeStation is a pioneer in the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options, futures and cryptocurrencies. See our Overview for more. Important Information TradingView is not affiliated with TradeStation Securities Inc. or its affiliates. TradeStation Securities, Inc., TradeStation Crypto, Inc., and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., all operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Please click here for further important information explaining what this means. This content is for informational and educational purposes only. This is not a recommendation regarding any investment or investment strategy. Any opinions expressed herein are those of the author and do not represent the views or opinions of TradeStation or any of its affiliates. Investing involves risks. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options, futures, or digital assets); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Before trading any asset class, first read the relevant risk disclosure statements on the Important Documents page, found here: www.tradestation.com .
NYSE:UPS
by TradeStation
I have no fear left Technicals ✓✓✓ (multiple divergences) Short ratio ✓✓ Upcoming changes in platform / CEO ✓✓ Retail psychology ✓✓ Institutions buying ✓✓ Lockdowns possibility after x-mas ✓ E-commerce growth - especially mobile ✓ If these are not enough for you in a $2.5b market cap with $1-1.2b in cash, around $2.5b in sales 0 debt and estimation from management to break even during the next Qs i don't know what is. *Selling shitty products and all the rest comments i read here and there are no-sense... if they were to sell shitty products with one month plus shipping time how the hell did they manage to do Billions in sales? ( you might say ads and high acquisition costs) still they have a beautiful buyers pool which if they play it right: 1. Quality control 2. Higher shipping rates 3. Local pick ups They can thrive!!! This bet needs a good vision and an even better stomach! if it plays as i see it $100-150b could be on the horizon. **There is also a chance they get acquired but risk/reward here (possibility of going bankrupt or even become a zombie company in the ERA OF E-COMMERCE) seems too ridiculous for me. *** I have a position in wish with average cost of $8.5, therefore as of know my estimates are wrong and for sure i was terrible in timing this but i hold and believe on the above. Worst case scenario i lose a bet but in the best case i expect my returns from here to be of minimum 2x. Do your own research and think for yourself
WLong
by Philoslother
4
The bull case for wish I do not want to get into details about fundamentals etc we all saw wish quarterly results but with some much retail in this stock i was expecting a huge decline, the fact that retail investors all over the web are so pissed about wish and start panicking and exiting their positions is a + for me as i hold a long position. Now there are some interesting things i want to point out. There was a Wish pump on reddit based on the story that there is a 50% short float, which led to a 100% increase in price in 2days!!! at the same time Peter Thiel's founders fund start liquidating their positions together with galileo and temasek holdings which all were VC's that were with wish from the beginning. (www.nasdaq.com) Now why did these guys sold? 1. They already had a good return on investment since they were wish first investors 2. With so much publicity on wish stock and the pump to $15 they had they chance to sell so many shares instantly (insane demand from retail) 3. ***I am not sure about this one but a general rule of thumb on VC's is that they sell roughly 75% of their shares when a company does IPO. (makes sense because they need liquidity to look for other Startups) Now let's look at wish itself and where it could go from here. 1. We have rsi divergence on daily chart 2. Macd is higher than the previous drop 3. DMI is also in divergence 4. The company is worth right now $3.9b with $1.5b cash and $2.5-$3b in sales 5.They are losing users which is a very bad sign long term but even if they decide to close the business they could easily sell it for 2-3x sales meaning a market cap close to $8-10b 6. If they were to go bankrupt as many people say why did they hire new C level people , why did they spend so much money on logisticis and why did they get a banking license in Europe ? 7. I hear a lot the phrase "wish sells crap" well what most people that play the markets do not understand that wish customers are the majority of the population out there, what they do not understand is the fact that people are looking to buy cheap things from china because they do not have money to afford buying from amazon,etsy,shop etc... There are no wish buyers that trade stocks, this is the one thing you all have to understand! Wish buyers are people who used to buy on traditional brick & mortar, on illegal sales on the streets , on chinese stores etc.. These people have started to explore the web with Covid and still do not have much presence online as customers of amazon and others. 8. Wish #1 competitive advantage is that even people who never bought from it have heard about it. If they manage to improve delivery times and merchants quality they are about to address the largest % of the population out there. 9. Even if they do not manage to do that , even if they drop to $2b in sales , even if they are about to get out of business i cannot imagine that there is no one big player out there that is willing to buy them for a mediocre multiple of sales. 10. IF they execute right i believe this is easily a $100b+ company in the next 3-5years stop whining and either sell and admit you were wrong or hold tight and wait.
WLong
by Philoslother
4