ETHUSDT – Trade Recap & Daily Bias for June 21Trade Recap (June 20):
I. First thing I did was mark out a DOL on the daily — price was hovering near a swing low, and I started noticing trend-side liquidity building up on the lower timeframes.
So my directional bias for today was short.
II. I marked the daily open.
III. With a short bias in mind, I waited for a Turtle Soup setup right above the daily open.
IV. The equal highs above were clean and obvious — textbook liquidity.
V. Once that liquidity was swept, I dropped to the M15 to watch how price reacted — waited for a clean displacement away from that zone before getting involved.
Daily Bias (June 21):
Still leaning short. We’re pretty close to a weekly FVG, which might act as a magnet.
If price forms liquidity during the day and takes it out in-session, I’ll look to short again.
Bread and Butter & Turtle Soup
Turtlesoup
NASDAQ Bread and Butter & Turtle Soup Example XIIaight, so im gonna break down a trade i took on nasdaq today using a setup i picked out myself from the ict concepts. just my own flavor of it, ya know
before i knock out at night, i open up the charts real quick — just tryna see if there's any clean liquidity chillin’ nearby. if there aint, i shut it down and catch some solid sleep. but if there is... bingo baby
this basically means i might just wake up rich tomorrow, bro. on the daily, im seeing two strong green days back to back, and right above that boom some equal highs just sitting there, begging to get run. they are even cleaner on the 1h. bias locked in. im waking up tomorrow and hunting longs, simple as that.
i mark up the daily open first thing. if im lookin for longs, i wanna see some turtle soup under the open. if im hunting shorts, i need that setup above the open. thats just how i roll.
if there is a swing low, trend liquidity, or some equal lows carryin over from yesterday, im locked in on those levels for turtle soup. if not, im just chillin, waitin for price to build some fresh liquidity during the day and then snatch it.
in this setup, i got some leftover liquidity from yesterday plus a clean 4h fvg sittin there like a neon sign.
next, i check the time. liquidity grabs usually hit during one of the killzones depends on the pair, but im watchin asia, london, or new york sessions.
then i scope out if there is any news droppin around that time, especially stuff that could move the pair. no point in getting blindsided.
and yeah, i always peep correlated pairs too sometimes they snitch before your chart even says a word.
when all the stars and planets line up just right, that is when I drop down to the 15m and wait for a clean csd to show up. but here is the thing i dont jump in the second i see it. i wanna see price actually leave the liquidity zone.
yeah, it might lower my rr a bit, but the win rate goes way up. It keeps me outta those fake-ass turtle soups that look good at first but just wanna wreck your stop.
once im in the trade, i usually try to close out half the position the same day take profits where the chance of price reversing is damn near zero. then i let the other half ride toward my target liquidity. just lettin it breathe, do its thing.
thats it, peace out
XAUUSD ICT analysis W1 rejected from the W1 FVG
D1 shows PDL manipulation --> next day model (bullish)
H4 CISD -- This confirmed the bullishnexx
Target - D1 Swing point , but since today was an inside bar , this shows consolidation and creates more liquidity for the price to take on the following day.
But from where ?
from H4 POI - FVG , this POI is located below the today's low which serves as the liquidity.
BTCUSD - Daily CRTDisclaimer: The charts and analysis presented here are based on my personal research and insights. I am not a financial advisor, and this content is not intended as financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instruments. Please conduct your own research and consult with a professional advisor before making any investment decisions.
Credit: Special thanks to Romeo and ICT for their invaluable contributions to the forex industry.
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) 4H Analysis – Long Position Based on Reversal Bitcoin has shown signs of a potential reversal on the 4-hour timeframe after a sharp breakdown below support, which appears to be a classic liquidity grab or Turtle Soup setup. This move likely aimed to flush out weak hands before a possible bullish reversal.
A key 4H candle, forming a doji/hammer pattern, signals that selling pressure may have been exhausted, increasing the probability of an upward move. Based on this confirmation, I have entered a long position, anticipating a recovery toward previous highs.
My stop-loss is placed just below the recent low to manage risk effectively. If Bitcoin holds above this level and gains momentum, I expect a retest of previous range highs and potentially all-time highs. A breakout and close above the 109,000 resistance zone would further validate the bullish case, while failure to sustain support could invalidate the setup.
The Trump DumpCaution to the sensitive bulls, you're not going to like this one...
I know we all like hopium and up-only charts, but this isn't it. Those only exist in fairytales. This is trading and we have to stay grounded if you plan to actually profit outside of the HODL philosophy.
The truth is that elections don't matter, new events doesn't matter. At least not how the majority thinks they do. These events merely mark points in time, they can be catalysts or pivots. But those time points don't care about your philosophy on the actual event.
Let the emotion and philosophy in and you'll lose, guaranteed. Close those out and look only at the charts, using those events to understand important time points to pay attention to and you might see that this one is going to be critical.
On a macro picture, this market structure has been clear, simply a series of expansions and ranges (I know, obvious, this is how all price moves). But recently we had a strong expansion beyond the all-time high, which might seem bullish at first glance but is going to be a liquidity trap in hindsight.
On a more local view, we have our range forming after this larger expansion and that range has already generated a fakeout higher and come back into the range, with the next breakout of the range to be to the downside. I do not trade blind FVGs or other ICT stuff, but there will be a lot of hindsight analysis from people claiming that this daily FVG was obvious.
Combine this with the important time events that has everyone so bullish, like elections or whatever, and you have the perfect recipe to wreck almost everyone.
From here, I am looking for AT LEAST a 30% drop . Targets may get lower as data comes in, but keeping it conservative until more high timeframe candles come in.
You may disagree with the post, but at least it has a clear bias.
Don't go chasing the Gold RushGold has had quite a year, but I’m here to speculate that the run is nearing its end.
The focus is on lower targets. Until that level is hit, the framework for trades remains bearish. Whether you’re taking smaller trades within the move or holding for the broader swing, the direction is clear: bearish until proven otherwise.
Targets may shift lower as new data comes in, but the current target is set in stone. Invalidation level is the current all-time high at 2800
Dogecoin - False breakout in play?This is an update to my previous post about Doge.
Last analysis was a bullish triangle play, the analysis has now been changed alongside my view on this coin.
Price have printed a turtle soup at the recent high after a good run to the upside.
Price have broken out of the pattern and now retested.
I am now short based on the retest with a SL of 0.4360
I am now curious to see if my thesis is right and if Doge rolls over i will taget 0.15 area where we have a old major channel that is visible on the 4H if you zoom out alot.
Long Nasdaq Turtle soup from potential Low of weekSeasonally bullish July. HTF still bullish imo. Turtle soup long after deep sweep of Weds 3rd July low and after touching +bkr 4hr CE, and after reaching ABCD down projection. Ideally now i want hourly bodies to respect one of these levels, and us to get a lower timeframe break up in structure. If it keeps spooling down all day, then i'll take the loss.
-NQ has been very much weak sister for many days now, feels to me like it's time for it to start showing relative strength now and and become the stronger sister to ES.
-Seeing if we put in Low of week here in the opening hour, or later today.
-Buying around the ABCD downleg projection, and the +OB wick CE W
-Stop below +OBMT W and just below an old daily low (Tues 2nd July): Basically full exit/loss if we properly lose the +OBMT W below.
-Ultimate target is the nice 20600 ABCD confluence (ABCD projections align here from both the 2023-2024 swing and the June'24 swing). Gut says we have NOT properly topped in indices.
-Will take paritals at FVG H nearby overhead, and move stop for remaining position to breakeven.
-Will take further partials and trail stop if we breach ATH Nasdaq.
-Will take last of position off at the beautiful ABCD projection confluence 21600, if we get up there before early August.
-If this runs up, i'm willing to hold til the end of the month (Indices are seasonally bullish in July)
-For confirmation of shift back to bull in earnest, i want to see the FVG H above us 'flipped' bullish (resist, small retrace, then power on up through it)
*Note to self: i should really wait to enter after getting low timeframe confirmation of a bottom, but i'll be totally honest: i want the satisfaction of potentially catching the low of week; I accept the risk of price just spooling on down and stopping me out today.
**Just an idea for paper trading, not financial advice
15m TurtleSoup ICT Concept SET50 Index FutureFor Educational
15m Turtle Soup ICT Concept SET50 Index Future
Trade Setup
Price Delivery = Consolidation +Expansion
1) BSL (Buyside Liquidity)
2) SSL (Sellside Liquidity)
3) Turtle Soup
4) Entry by iFVG (Inverse Fair Value Gap)
Ref: The INNER CIRCLE TRADER via TraderDen Vol1
GBPUSD: False Break Prompts Bullish MomentumCurrently, GBPUSD has exhibited a false break of structure, commonly known as Turtle Soup, suggesting a potential bullish draw towards the daily Fair Value Gap (FVG) . Price has retested an m15 bullish order block, indicating a possible bullish continuation.
Alternatively, price may reach the H1 Order block, where a confirmation entry can be sought for a buy opportunity.
Please note that I will be closing my trade at 12 PM NY Time as I cease trading for the day.
Kind Regards,
The_Architect
EUR/USD Scalp IdeaPay close attention!
This is the Last 7 Days (Trading Days ofc) !
I drew the London Session's Low , You see Every time we Hunted the London Low in NY Session and Reclaimed it, So We had a Scalp Chance to Long at London Low and Take Profit after 24 hours.
the only day that we didn't reclaim London Low, it was Thursday and the price was effected by the news.
Thursday's News:
🕯USD: Core PPI m/m
🕯USD: Core Retail Sales m/m
🕯USD: PPI m/m
🕯USD: Retail Sales m/m
🕯USD: Unemployment Claims
Do you Think we Should keep using this Pattern for the next couple days?
How we can improve our Stop and TP?
EURUSD 08/07-11 WKLY OUTLOOK BLACKBULL:EURUSD
Happy Sunday
Time Frame H1
- First week of August brought us a Turtle Soup set up @ 1.1040
- Price currently filling the gaps in liquidity that was created by NFP
Outlook 👁️🗨️
Have ours eyes set out price to retrace back into a discounted PDA
1.1097 and 1.1095 are my buy zones
how the zone was created, with the fib tool (most recent swing high to swing low)
1.095 is also the top of H4 +OB for more of a passive p.o.e.
Possible ES MMBM in play for the rest of the week.I'm looking for possible MMBM in play for the remainder of the week. Reason being since the market opened on Sunday it has been seeking SellSide liquidity exclusively with today trading into a discount liquidity pool after the lunch hour.
While certainly there is room for further downside expansion, I believe that the market could begin trading back into its weekly range to liquidate any buy stops stacked along the way all while filling inefficiencies. As long as we remain below 4150 I think we could expect further downside but if the market shows a willingness to break aggressively above 4150 then we could expect some new highs to possibly be formed. This is not financial advice just pure speculation from a neophyte trader, GLGT.
P2P | DXY - Lets Finish This...Alright guys and gals so I wanted to post this chart to detail the movement of the dollar index.
For some time we've been bearish and following the downward Fib levels. I can see price making equal lows which tells me price could be attempting to turn around or just building up more buy orders to sell off!
The small white trend lines you see are Turtle Soups, meaning price made a short high, and then that high was eventually taken out and continued lower.
So my final level on my Fib is my POI, where I believe price will reach and immediately turn around. It's all about levels, price action, and time sequences.
But as always everyone happy trading, trade well, and lets run it up from 2023 til infinity!
You can continue to grow the page by liking and following the channel, and if you get any value from this to boost it too!
DISCLAIMER
***This page is for educational purposes only and is not intended for any financial arise. I am not a financial advisor nor do I manage any other accounts for users. Any trades you take will be of your own doing and P2P will not be held responsible.***