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Lower Parallel Channel/Trendline tested again, 3rd time a charm?NOTE : I am not an expert trader by any means, I am open input and sharing my ideas. I am still learning this is my second time. ************************************* DAILY Price is consolidating or ranging ************************************* 4 HOUR - Price seen between support and resistance (DOWN/BEAR) - Parrallel channel seen: ---- its height is around 5000 pips. a little more. (that i was able to measure) ---- with this being the 3rd test to its bottom line,, still hoovering in the lower channel, which could be bearish. however, it is looking like a rejection (as it is loosing momentum, and a doji is forming and likely to close as so. ---- yet, the channel is sell/short pattern. so next few candles may come with the moment and still turn, to go down ************************************* In contrast (UP/ BULLS) - Ukraine is about to begin to use btc as its national assest and an answer for that is pending soon. ( price will go up b/c this is good for this pair) - two fake-outs seen at support - the channel could continue sideways and actually go up - or the channel will soon be invalidated, moving up, breaking thru top channel line. ************************************* Right now, most technical indications are neutral, a this time for this pair. So lets wait and see. ************************************* Happy trading. Open to comments and advice. *************************************
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by jbae-89
Mastering the MACD - How to use it in trading?The MACD, or Moving Average Convergence Divergence, is one of the most widely used technical indicators in trading. It was developed by Gerald Appel in the late 1970s and is designed to reveal changes in the strength, direction, momentum, and duration of a trend in a stock's price. At its core, the MACD is a momentum oscillator, though it is commonly plotted as a line chart rather than the traditional bounded oscillators like the RSI. Despite being unbounded, traders use the MACD primarily to identify potential buy and sell signals. What will be discussed? - How does the MACD work? - How to use the MACD in trading? - Divergences - Conclusion How does the MACD work? The MACD is calculated by subtracting the 26-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) from the 12-period EMA. The result of this calculation is the MACD line. A nine-period EMA of the MACD line, known as the signal line, is then plotted on top of the MACD line. The third component is the MACD histogram, which represents the difference between the MACD line and the signal line. The histogram gives traders a visual cue about momentum: when the histogram bars are growing in height, momentum is increasing in the direction of the MACD line; when they shrink, momentum is slowing down. How to use the MACD in trading? Understanding how to use the MACD in trading requires some interpretation of the relationships between these components. One of the primary signals traders look for is a crossover between the MACD line and the signal line. When the MACD line crosses above the signal line, it is considered a bullish signal, suggesting that it might be a good time to buy. Conversely, when the MACD line crosses below the signal line, it indicates a bearish signal and potentially a good time to sell. These crossovers tend to be more significant when they occur below or above the zero line, which is where the MACD and signal line are equal. A crossover below the zero line followed by a move above it could signal the beginning of an uptrend, while a crossover above the zero line followed by a move below it might signal a downtrend. Divergences Another important application of the MACD is identifying divergence between the MACD and the price action of the asset. Divergence occurs when the price is moving in one direction and the MACD is moving in the opposite. For instance, if the price makes a new high but the MACD forms a lower high, it can be a warning sign that the upward momentum is weakening and that a reversal could be on the horizon. Similarly, if the price hits a new low but the MACD makes a higher low, it might suggest a potential bullish reversal. Conclusion In summary, the MACD is a versatile and powerful indicator that helps traders analyze the momentum and direction of a market trend. Its ability to provide both trend-following and momentum signals makes it a valuable tool in a trader’s toolkit. While it is not a standalone solution, when used properly and in conjunction with other strategies, the MACD can greatly enhance the accuracy and confidence of trading decisions. Thanks for your support. - Make sure to follow me so you don't miss out on the next analysis! - Drop a like and leave a comment!
INDEX:BTCUSD
by Youriverse
23
Mastering Fair Value Gaps (FVG) - How to use them in trading?In this guide, I’ll explain the concept of the Fair Value Gap (FVG), how it forms, and how you can use it to identify high-probability trading opportunities. You'll learn how to spot FVGs on a chart, understand their significance in price action, and apply a simple strategy to trade them effectively. What will be explained: - What is a FVG? - How can a FVG occur? - What is a bullish FVG? - What is a bearish FVG? - How to trade a FVG? ------------------------------- What is a FVG? A FVG is a technical concept used by traders to identify inefficiencies in price movement on a chart. The idea behind a fair value gap is that during periods of strong momentum, price can move so quickly that it leaves behind a "gap" where not all buy and sell orders were able to be executed efficiently. This gap creates an imbalance in the market, which price may later revisit in an attempt to rebalance supply and demand. A fair value gap is typically observed within a sequence of three candles (or bars). The first candle marks the beginning of a strong move. The second candle shows a significant directional push, either bullish or bearish, often with a long body indicating strong momentum. The third candle continues in the direction of the move, opening and closing beyond the range of the first candle. The fair value gap itself is defined by the price range between the high of the first candle and the low of the third candle (in the case of a bullish move), or between the low of the first candle and the high of the third (in a bearish move). This range represents the area of imbalance or inefficiency. ------------------------------- How can a FVG occur? There are several factors that can trigger a fair value gap - Economic news and announcements - Earnings reports - Market sentiment - Supply and demand imbalances ------------------------------- What is a bullish FVG? A bullish FVG is a specific type of price imbalance that occurs during a strong upward move in the market. It represents a zone where the price moved so aggressively to the upside that it didn’t spend time trading through a particular range, essentially skipping over it. This gap usually forms over the course of three candles. First, a bullish candle marks the beginning of upward momentum. The second candle is also bullish and typically has a large body, indicating strong buying pressure. The third candle opens higher and continues moving upward, confirming the strength of the move. The bullish fair value gap is the price range between the high of the first candle and the low of the third candle. This area is considered an imbalance zone because the market moved too quickly for all buyers and sellers to interact at those prices. ------------------------------- What is a bearish FVG? A bearish FVG is a price imbalance that forms during a strong downward move in the market. It occurs when price drops so rapidly that it leaves behind a section on the chart where little to no trading activity happened. This gap is identified using a three-candle formation. The first candle typically closes bearish or neutral, marking the start of the move. The second candle is strongly bearish, with a long body indicating aggressive selling pressure. The third candle opens lower and continues the move down. The bearish fair value gap is the price range between the low of the first candle and the high of the third candle. That range is considered the imbalance zone, where price skipped over potential trade interactions. ------------------------------- How to trade a FVG? To trade a FVG effectively, wait for price to retrace back into the gap after it has formed. The ideal entry point is around the 50% fill of the FVG, as this often represents a balanced level where price is likely to react. During the retracement, it’s helpful to see if the FVG zone aligns with other key technical areas such as support or resistance levels, Fibonacci retracement levels, or dynamic indicators like moving averages. These additional confluences can strengthen the validity of the zone and increase the probability of a successful trade. Enter the trade at the 50% level of the FVG, and place your stop loss just below the most recent swing low (for a bullish setup) or swing high (for a bearish one). From there, manage the trade according to your risk-to-reward preferences—whether that’s 1:1, 1:2, or a higher ratio depending on your strategy and market conditions. ------------------------------- Thanks for your support. - Make sure to follow me so you don't miss out on the next analysis! - Drop a like and leave a comment!
Education
by Youriverse
85
Mastering Order Blocks: How to Trade Like Smart MoneyIntroduction Order Blocks (OBs) are one of the most critical concepts in Smart Money trading. They represent areas where institutional traders have entered the market with significant volume, typically leading to strong price movements. Identifying and trading Order Blocks gives traders an edge by aligning with the footprints of Smart Money. What is an Order Block? An Order Block is the last bearish candle before a bullish move for bullish OBs, or the last bullish candle before a bearish move for bearish OBs. These candles represent areas where institutions accumulated or distributed large positions, leading to a market shift. Types of Order Blocks A Bullish Order Block appears at the end of a downtrend or during a retracement just before the price moves sharply upward. It is typically represented by the last bearish candle prior to an impulsive bullish move. Price will often return to this level to mitigate institutional orders before continuing upward. A Bearish Order Block, in contrast, forms at the end of an uptrend or retracement where price begins a downward reversal. It is characterized by the last bullish candle before a strong bearish move. Price tends to revisit this level to mitigate before continuing lower. How to Identify a Valid Order Block The key to identifying a valid Order Block is first observing a strong impulsive move, also known as displacement, that follows the OB candle. The move must also result in a break of market structure or a significant shift in direction. Order Blocks that produce Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) or Market Structure Shifts (MSS) tend to be more reliable. Another important sign is when price returns to the OB for mitigation, offering a potential entry. Entry Model Using Order Blocks After locating a valid OB, the next step is to wait for price to return to this area. The ideal entry happens within the OB body or near its 50% level. For extra confirmation, look for a Market Structure Shift or Break of Structure on a lower timeframe. Entries are more powerful when combined with additional elements like Fair Value Gaps, liquidity grabs, or SMT Divergences. The stop-loss should be placed just beyond the OB’s high or low, depending on the direction of the trade. Refinement Techniques To increase precision, higher timeframe OBs can be refined by zooming into lower timeframes like the 1M or 5M chart. Within a broad OB zone, identify internal market structure, displacement candles, or embedded FVGs to determine a more precise entry point. One effective refinement is the Optimal Trade Entry (OTE), which is often found at the 50% level of the Order Block. Order Blocks vs. Supply and Demand Zones While they may seem similar, Order Blocks are more narrowly defined and specifically related to institutional order flow. Supply and Demand zones are broader and typically drawn around areas of price reaction, but OBs are derived from the final institutional candle before a large move and are often confirmed by structure shifts or displacement. This makes OBs more precise and actionable in the context of Smart Money concepts. Target Setting from Order Blocks Targets after entering from an OB should align with liquidity objectives. Common targets include internal liquidity like equal highs or lows, or consolidation zones just beyond the OB. External liquidity targets such as previous major swing highs or lows are also ideal, especially when they align with imbalances or Fair Value Gaps. It's important to adjust targets based on the current market structure and trading session. Common Mistakes to Avoid A frequent mistake is treating any candle before a move as an OB without verifying key signals like displacement or a Break of Structure. Entering without other confirmations, such as an MSS or liquidity sweep, can lead to poor trades. Another common error is placing the stop-loss too tightly within the OB, instead of just beyond it, increasing the chance of premature stop-outs. Traders should also avoid executing OB trades during low-liquidity sessions where price action can be unpredictable and wicky. Final Thoughts Order Blocks are foundational to Smart Money trading. They allow you to enter where institutions have placed large positions and offer clear invalidation and entry logic. With practice, you can identify high-quality OBs and combine them with other concepts like FVGs, MSS, and SMT for powerful, precise trades. Practice on different timeframes and assets, and always look for clean displacement and structure confirmation. Mastering OBs is a big step toward becoming a consistently profitable trader. Trust the Blocks. Trade with Intention.
Education
by Louigi_24
102
Mastering chart patterns - How to use them in trading!Chart patterns are visual formations created by the price movements of a financial asset—like a stock, currency, or cryptocurrency, on a price chart. Traders use these patterns in technical analysis to predict future market direction based on historical behavior. The main chart patterns are the reversal and continuation patterns. ------------------------------- What will we discuss? - Bullish reversal patterns - Bearish reversal patterns - Bullish continuation patterns - Bearish continuation patterns ------------------------------- Bullish reversal patterns: Double bottom A double bottom in trading is a bullish reversal pattern that signals the potential end of a downtrend and the beginning of an uptrend. It forms when the price of an asset falls to a low, bounces back up, then drops again to roughly the same low before rising once more. This creates a "W" shape on the chart. How to trade it: Before entering a trade, wait for the price to break back above the neckline with strong volume, as this indicates a potential bullish reversal. Once the breakout is confirmed, look for an entry on the pullback to the neckline. Inverted head and shoulders An inverted head and shoulders is a bullish reversal pattern that typically forms after a downtrend and signals a possible shift to an uptrend. It consists of three parts: * The left shoulder, where the price makes a low and then bounces. * The head, which is a deeper low followed by another bounce. * The right shoulder, a higher low similar in level to the left shoulder. How to trade it: Before entering a trade, wait for the price to break above the neckline with strong volume, as this confirms the pattern and signals a potential upward move. After the breakout, it's important to wait for a retest of the neckline to look for an entry. Traders typically place a stop-loss just below the right shoulder to manage risk. Falling wedge A falling wedge is a bullish chart pattern that often signals a potential reversal or continuation of an uptrend, depending on where it forms in a price trend. It appears when the price is moving lower but within a narrowing range, creating two downward-sloping, converging trendlines. Both the highs and lows are falling, but the lower highs are coming down faster than the lower lows, which shows that selling pressure is losing strength over time. How to trade it: Wait for the falling wedge to break above the downward trendline and for the price to reclaim the most recent lower high. A breakout alone isn’t always reliable, sometimes the price moves briefly above the trendline without making a higher high, resulting in a fake-out. To confirm the move, wait for a clear higher high and then look to enter on the retracement that follows. ------------------------------- Bearish reversal patterns Double top A double top is a bearish reversal pattern that signals a potential shift from an uptrend to a downtrend. It forms when the price reaches a high, pulls back, then rallies again to the same or similar high but fails to break above it. This creates an "M" shape on the chart. The neckline is the support level at the low point between the two peaks. When the price breaks below this neckline with strong volume, it confirms the pattern and suggests that selling pressure is taking over. How to trade it:
Before entering a trade, wait for the price to break below the neckline with strong volume, as this indicates a potential bearish reversal. Once the breakout is confirmed, look for an entry on the pullback to the neckline. Head and shoulders A head and shoulders is a bearish reversal pattern that typically forms after an uptrend and signals a potential shift to a downtrend. It consists of three peaks: * The left shoulder, where the price rises and then falls. * The head, which is a higher peak followed by another decline. * The right shoulder, a lower high that is roughly equal in height to the left shoulder. How to trade it: Before entering a trade, wait for the price to break below the neckline with strong volume, as this confirms the pattern and signals a potential downside move, After the breakout, it’s important to wait for a retest of the neckline to look for an entry. Traders typically place a stop-loss just above the right shoulder to manage risk Rising wedge A rising wedge is a bearish chart pattern that often signals a potential reversal or continuation of an downtrend, depending on where it forms in a price trend. It appears when the price is moving higher but within a narrowing range, creating two upward-sloping, converging trendlines. Both the highs and lows are rising, but the highs are increasing at a faster rate than the lows. This suggests that buying pressure is weakening over time, and the market may be preparing for a downturn. How to trade it: Wait for the rising wedge to break below the upsloping trendline and for the price to reclaim the most recent high low. A breakout alone isn’t always reliable, sometimes the price moves briefly below the trendline without making a lower low, resulting in a fake-out. To confirm the move, wait for a clear lower low and then look to enter on the retracement that follows. ------------------------------- Bullish continuation patterns Bullflag A bull flag is a continuation pattern that signals the potential for a price to continue moving upward after a brief consolidation or pullback. It forms when the price experiences a strong upward move (the flagpole), followed by a period of consolidation or a slight downward movement (the flag). The flag typically slopes downward or moves sideways, and the consolidation phase usually occurs within two parallel trendlines, creating a rectangle or slight downward channel. How to trade it? Before entering a position, wait for the price to break above the downsloping trendline and establish a higher high. If the price doesn’t make a higher high, it could be a fake-out. Once a higher high is confirmed, look for an entry on the retracement. The target is typically the length of the flagpole projected upward from the breakout point. Bullish pennant A bullish pennant is a continuation pattern that indicates the potential for a price to continue its upward trend after a brief consolidation. It forms when a strong upward move (the flagpole) is followed by a period of consolidation, where the price moves within converging trendlines, creating a small symmetrical triangle or pennant shape. The consolidation typically shows lower highs and higher lows, and the pattern suggests that the market is taking a "breather" before continuing its upward momentum. How to trade it? Before entering a position, wait for the price to break above the downsloping trendline and establish a higher high. If the price doesn’t make a higher high, it could be a fake-out. Once a higher high is confirmed, look for an entry on the retracement. The target is typically the length of the flagpole projected upward form the breakout point. Ascending triangle An ascending triangle is a bullish continuation pattern that typically forms during an uptrend, signaling that the price is likely to continue moving higher. It is characterized by a horizontal resistance line at the top, formed by a series of peaks at roughly the same price level, and an ascending support line at the bottom, formed by higher lows. This creates a triangle shape, where the price is gradually compressing between the horizontal resistance and the rising support. How to trade it? Before entering a position, wait for the price to break above the horizontal resistance level with strong volume. Once the breakout occurs, look for an entry on the retracement back to this area. ------------------------------- Bearish continuation patterns Bearflag A bear flag is a bearish continuation pattern that suggests the price is likely to continue moving downward after a brief consolidation or upward pullback. It forms when there is a strong downward move (the flagpole), followed by a period of consolidation or slight upward movement (the flag). The flag typically slopes upward or moves sideways, and the consolidation occurs within two parallel trendlines, creating a rectangular or upward-sloping channel. This pattern shows that, despite the short-term pullback, the overall downtrend remains intact. How to trade it? Before entering a position, wait for the price to break below the upsloping trendline and establish a lower low. If the price doesn’t make a lower low, it could be a fake-out. Once a lower low is confirmed, look for an entry on the retracement. The target is typically the length of the flagpole projected downward for the breakout point. Bearish pennant A bearish pennant is a bearish continuation pattern that signals a potential continuation of a downtrend after a brief consolidation. It forms when there is a strong downward move (the flagpole), followed by a period of consolidation where the price moves within converging trendlines, creating a small symmetrical triangle or pennant shape. The consolidation typically shows lower highs and higher lows, indicating that the price is taking a pause before continuing its downward movement. How to trade it? Before entering a position, wait for the price to break below the upsloping trendline and establish a lower low. If the price doesn’t make a lower low, it could be a fake-out. Once a lower low is confirmed, look for an entry on the retracement. The target is typically the length of the flagpole projected downward for the breakout point. Descending triangle A descending triangle is a bearish continuation pattern that typically forms during a downtrend, indicating that the price is likely to continue moving lower after a period of consolidation. The pattern is characterized by a horizontal support line at the bottom, formed by a series of lows at approximately the same price level, and a descending resistance line at the top, formed by a series of lower highs. The price contracts between these two trendlines, creating a triangle shape with a downward-sloping upper boundary and a flat lower boundary. How to trade it? Before entering a position, wait for the price to break below the horizontal support level with strong volume. Once the breakout occurs, look for an entry on the retracement back to this area. ------------------------------- Thanks for your support. - Make sure to follow me so you don't miss out on the next analysis! - Drop a like and leave a comment!
Education
by Youriverse
74
Mastering volume bars – How to read and use volume bars!When it comes to trading, price action often takes the spotlight, but volume is the quiet force behind the scenes that tells the real story. Volume bars show how much trading activity occurs during a given time period and can offer valuable insight into the strength or weakness of a price move. In this guide, we’ll break down how to read volume bars, what the different colors represent, and how to use them to make more informed trading decisions. Whether you're a beginner or looking to sharpen your strategy, understanding volume is a key step toward becoming a more confident and capable trader. ------------------------------- What will we discuss: - What is the volume indicator? - What are the green and red volume bars + the MA line? - How does the volume indicator work? - How to use volume during Support/resistance flips? - How to use volume while trading pattern breakouts? - How to use volume while trading inside a pattern? ------------------------------- What is the volume indicator The volume Bar indicator is a simple but yet essential tool that helps traders understand the level of activity behind every price movement. When you add the Volume Bar indicator to your chart, you will see vertical bars appear beneath each candlestick under in your chart. This represents the total volume during that time period. These bars show how much buying and selling occurred, but not whether it was mostly buying or mostly selling. The taller the bar, the more active the market was during that candle. ------------------------------- What are the green and red volume bars + the MA line? A green volume bar means the price closed higher than it opened during that period, indicating bullish sentiment and suggesting that buying pressure was stronger. A red volume bar means the price closed lower than it opened, reflecting bearish sentiment and suggesting that selling pressure dominated. While the volume itself shows how much was traded, the color tells you whether that activity occurred mostly during upward or downward price movement. It's important to note that the color doesn't directly show the number of buyers or sellers, since every trade has both. The MA line in a volume bar indicator stands for “Moving Average.” It represents the average trading volume over a specific number of past periods, smoothing out short-term fluctuations to show the overall trend in volume activity. This helps traders see whether the current volume is unusually high or low compared to the average. For example, if the current volume bar is significantly higher than the MA line, it could signal strong interest or momentum behind a price move. Conversely, if volume is consistently below the MA line, it may indicate weak market participation or a lack of conviction behind recent price changes. ------------------------------- How does the volume indicator work? Using volume effectively in trading involves looking at how it behaves in relation to price. For example, if price is moving up and volume is increasing , that usually confirms strong buying interest, suggesting the move is valid. On the other hand, if price rises on low volume, it could be a sign of weakness or a potential reversal. The same logic applies to down moves, if price drops on high volume, it is more likely a strong selling move. If it drops on low volume, it could just be a temporary pullback. ------------------------------- How to use volume during Support/resistance flips? Volume can also play a key role when trading support and resistance levels. When the price breaks through a key resistance level with strong volume, it often signals a shift in market sentiment and increases the likelihood that this level will now act as support. The high volume behind the breakout indicates strong conviction from buyers, meaning bulls were actively stepping in to push price higher. Because of this, if the price comes back down to retest that zone, it's likely that buyers will defend it, turning the former resistance into solid support. This concept is often referred to as a "break and retest" strategy, and volume is what helps confirm whether the breakout was strong enough to validate the level as a new base. Without significant volume, the breakout might lack follow-through, and the price could easily fall back below the level, failing to establish it as support. But when the breakout is backed by high participation, the probability of that level holding increases. I’ve included an example to show exactly how this plays out in action. ------------------------------- How to use volume while trading pattern breakouts? When trading chart patterns, volume can be a powerful tool to confirm whether a breakout is genuine or likely to be a fake-out. Patterns like triangles, flags, head and shoulders, or rectangles often lead to breakouts, but not all of them are trustworthy. That’s where volume comes in. If price breaks out of a pattern, it's important to look at the volume at that moment. A strong breakout is usually accompanied by a noticeable increase in volume. This surge in volume indicates that more market participants are getting involved, adding weight to the move. Essentially, higher volume reflects stronger conviction. It means traders aren’t just watching the breakout, they’re actively trading it. On the other hand, if the price breaks out but the volume remains low or even drops, that’s a red flag. Low volume suggests a lack of interest or commitment, and the breakout may not have enough strength to continue. In such cases, the price might quickly fall back into the pattern, turning what looked like a breakout into a fake-out. ------------------------------- How to use volume while trading inside a pattern? You can also use volume to gain insights while the price is still developing within a chart pattern, such as a rising wedge. In these situations, volume can help reveal the strength, or lack of strength, behind the price movement, even before a breakout occurs. For example, if the price drops sharply with high volume and then starts moving upward again in a rising wedge formation, but this upward move happens on low or declining volume, it can be a sign of potential weakness. The initial high-volume drop shows strong selling pressure, and the lack of buying volume on the recovery suggests that buyers are not fully supporting the move. This imbalance between strong selling and weak buying can indicate that the upward movement is not sustainable. It often means the rising wedge is forming as a corrective or weakening structure, increasing the chances of a breakdown once the pattern completes. In this way, volume becomes a clue, not just for breakouts, but for spotting when a move might be running out of steam even before it happens. ------------------------------- Thanks for your support. - Make sure to follow me so you don't miss out on the next analysis! - Drop a like and leave a comment!
BYBIT:BTCUSDM2025Education
by Youriverse
63
Market Structure Shift (MSS) & Break of Structure (BOS) - GuideIntroduction Understanding market structure is fundamental to becoming a consistently profitable trader. Two key concepts that Smart Money traders rely on are the Break of Structure (BOS) and the Market Structure Shift (MSS) . While they may seem similar at first glance, they serve different purposes and signal different market intentions. In this guide, we will break down: - The difference between BOS and MSS - When and why they occur - How to identify them on your charts - How to trade based on these structures - Real chart examples for visual clarity --- Break of Structure (BOS) A Break of Structure is a continuation signal. It confirms that the current trend remains intact. BOS typically occurs when price breaks a recent swing high or low in the direction of the existing trend . Key Characteristics: - Happens with the trend - Confirms continuation - Can be used to trail stops or add to positions Example: In an uptrend: - Higher High (HH) and Higher Low (HL) form - Price breaks above the last HH → BOS to the upside --- Market Structure Shift (MSS) Market Structure Shift signals a potential reversal . It occurs when price breaks a significant swing level against the prevailing trend and is often followed by a shift in the internal structure (e.g., lower highs after higher highs). Key Characteristics: - Happens against the trend] - Signals possible trend reversal - Often occurs after a liquidity grab or stop hunt - Optional: is created by a displacement candle Example: In an uptrend: - Price takes out a significant high (liquidity grab) - Then aggressively breaks the most recent HL → MSS to the downside --- How to Identify BOS and MSS For BOS: 1. Determine the current trend. 2. Identify swing highs/lows. 3. Look for price breaking past these levels in the same direction as the trend . For MSS: 1. Look for signs of exhaustion or liquidity grabs near swing highs/lows. 2. Watch for price to break against the trend structure . 3. Confirm with a shift in internal structure (e.g., lower highs start forming in an uptrend). --- Using BOS and MSS in Your Trading Strategy With BOS: - Use it to confirm trend continuation - Add to your position after a retracement into an OB or FVG - Trail your stop-loss below the most recent HL or above LH With MSS: - Look for confluence (liquidity sweep + MSS = strong signal) - Use it to spot early reversal entries - Wait for a confirmation candle or structure shift on LTF (1m, 5m, 15m) - If the displacement candle is too big you can wait for the retest --- Common Mistakes to Avoid - Confusing BOS with MSS - Ignoring higher timeframe context - Trading MSS too early without confirmation - Chasing BOS without waiting for a proper retracement Pro Tip: Use BOS/MSS with confluences like SMT Divergence, IFVGs, or key session times for higher probability setups. --- Final Thoughts Mastering BOS and MSS will give you an edge in understanding price delivery and anticipating market moves. BOS confirms strength in the current trend, while MSS warns of a possible reversal and new trend forming. Combine these with smart money tools, and you’ll be equipped to enter the market like a pro. Happy Trading!
Education
by Louigi_24
45
Mastering Candlestick Patterns - How to use them in trading!Introduction Candlesticks are one of the most popular and widely used tools in technical analysis. They offer a visual representation of price movements within a specific time period, providing valuable insights into market trends, sentiment, and potential future price movements. Understanding candlestick patterns is crucial for traders, as these formations can indicate whether a market is bullish or bearish, and can even signal potential reversals or continuations in price. While candlesticks can be powerful on their own, trading purely based on candlestick patterns can be challenging and risky. ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- What are we going to discuss: 1. What are candlesticks? 2. What are bullish candlestick patterns? 3. What are bearish candlestick patterns? 4. How to use candlestick patterns in trading? ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1. What are candlesticks? A candlestick in trading is a visual representation of price movement in a specific time period on a chart. It is a fundamental element used in technical analysis to study market trends, determine price levels, and predict potential future price movements. A single candlestick consists of four main components: the open, close, high, and low prices for that time period. Here’s how a candlestick works: - The Body: The rectangular area between the open and close prices. If the close is higher than the open, the body is green, indicating a bullish (upward) movement. If the close is lower than the open, the body is red, signaling a bearish (downward) movement. - The Wick (high and low of the candle): The thin lines extending above and below the body. These represent the highest and lowest prices reached during the period. The upper wick shows the highest price, while the lower wick shows the lowest price. - The Open Price: The price at which the asset began trading in that time period (for example, the start of a day, hour, or minute depending on the chart timeframe). - The Close Price: The price at which the asset finished trading at the end of the period. ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 2. What are bullish candlestick patterns? What is a Hammer Candlestick Pattern?
 A hammer candlestick pattern has a small body near the top of the candle and a long lower wick, typically two to three times the length of the body. There is little to no upper wick. This formation shows that during the trading session, sellers managed to push the price significantly lower, continuing the downward momentum. However, buyers eventually stepped in with strong demand and drove the price back up near the opening level by the close. What is an Inverted Hammer? An inverted hammer has a small body near the bottom of the candle with a long upper wick, usually at least two to three times the size of the body, and little to no lower wick. This unique shape resembles an upside-down hammer, hence the name. What is a Dragonfly Doji?
 A dragonfly doji has a unique shape where the open, close, and high prices are all at or very close to the same level, forming a flat top with a long lower wick and little to no upper wick. This gives the candle the appearance of a "T," resembling a dragonfly. What is a Bullish Engulfing? A bullish engulfing candlestick consists of two candles. The first candle is bearish, indicating that sellers are still in control. The second candle is a large bullish candle that completely engulfs the body of the first one, meaning it opens below the previous close and closes above the previous open. This pattern reflects a clear shift in market sentiment. During the second candle, buyers step in with significant strength, overpowering the previous selling pressure and reversing the momentum. The fact that the bullish candle completely engulfs the previous bearish candle indicates that demand has taken over, signaling a potential trend reversal. What is a Morning Star?
 The morning star consists of three candles. The first is a long bearish candle, indicating that the downtrend is in full force, with strong selling pressure. The second candle is a small-bodied candle, which can be either bullish or bearish, representing indecision or a pause in the downtrend. Often, the second candle gaps down from the first, indicating that the selling pressure is subsiding but not yet fully reversed. The third candle is a long bullish candle that closes well above the midpoint of the first candle, confirming that buyers have taken control and signaling the potential start of an uptrend. ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 3. What are bearish candlestick patterns? What is a Shooting Star?
 A shooting star has a smal body near the low of the candle and a long upper wick, usually at least twice the size of the body, with little to no lower wick. This shape shows that buyers initially pushed the price higher during the session, continuing the upward momentum. However, by the close, sellers stepped in and drove the price back down near the opening level. What is a Hanging Man?
 A hanging man has a distinct shape, with a small body positioned near the top of the candle and a long lower wick, usually at least twice the length of the body. There is little to no upper wick. The appearance of this candle suggests that although there was strong selling pressure during the session, buyers managed to bring the price back up near the opening level by the close. Despite the recovery, the long lower wick shows that sellers were able to push the price down significantly at one point. This introduces uncertainty into the uptrend and can indicate that bullish momentum is weakening. What is a Gravestone Doji?
 A gravestone doji has a distinctive shape where the open, low, and close prices are all at or near the same level, forming a flat base. The upper wick is long and stretches upward. This shape resembles a gravestone, which is where the pattern gets its name. What is a Bearish Engulfing?
 A bearish engulfing candlestick pattern is a two-candle reversal pattern that typically appears at the end of an uptrend and signals a potential shift from bullish to bearish sentiment. The first candle is a smaller bullish candle, reflecting continued upward momentum. The second candle is a larger bearish candle that completely engulfs the body of the first one, meaning it opens higher than the previous close and closes lower than the previous open. This indicates that bears have taken control, overpowering the buyers, and suggests a potential downside movement. What is an Evening Star?
 An evening star is a bearish candlestick pattern that typically signals a potential reversal at the top of an uptrend. It consists of three candles and reflects a shift in momentum from buyers to sellers. The pattern starts with a strong bullish candle, showing continued buying pressure and confidence in the upward move. This is followed by a smaller-bodied candle, which can be bullish or bearish, and represents indecision or a slowdown in the uptrend. The middle candle often gaps up from the first candle, showing that buyers are still trying to push higher, but the momentum is starting to weaken. The third candle is a strong bearish candle that closes well into the body of the first bullish candle. This candle confirms that sellers have taken control and that a trend reversal could be underway. The more this third candle erases the gains of the first, the stronger the reversal signal becomes. ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 4. How to use candlestick patterns in trading? Candlestick patterns are most useful when they appear at key levels, such as support, resistance, or significant trendlines. For instance, if a bullish reversal pattern like a hammer or bullish engulfing forms at a support level, it may indicate that the downtrend is losing momentum, and a reversal could be coming. Trading based on candlestick patterns alone can be risky. To improve your chances of success, always seek additional confirmation from other technical analysis tools. Here are some common ones: - Support and Resistance Levels: Look for candlestick patterns that form near key support or resistance levels. For instance, if the price reaches a support zone and a bullish reversal candlestick pattern forms, this may suggest a potential upward reversal. - Fibonacci Retracement: Use Fibonacci levels to identify potential reversal zones. If a candlestick pattern appears near a key Fibonacci level (such as the Golden Pocket), it adds confirmation to the idea that the price may reverse. - Liquidity Zones: These are areas where there is a high concentration of buy or sell orders. Candlestick patterns forming in high liquidity zones can indicate a stronger potential for a reversal or continuation. - Indicators and Oscillators: Incorporating indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI), Moving Averages, MACD, or Stochastic RSI can help confirm the momentum of the price. For example, if a candlestick pattern forms and the RSI shows an oversold condition (below 30), this could indicate a potential reversal to the upside. It’s crucial to wait for confirmation before entering a trade. After a candlestick pattern forms, it’s important to wait for the next candle or price action to confirm the signal. For example, if you spot a bullish reversal candlestick like a hammer at support, wait for the next candle to close above the hammer’s high to confirm that buyers are in control and a reversal is likely. ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Thanks for your support. - Make sure to follow me so you don't miss out on the next analysis! - Drop a like and leave a comment!
Education
by Youriverse
89
Smart Money Technique (SMT) Divergences - The Ultimate GuideIntroduction SMT Divergences are a powerful concept used by professional traders to spot inefficiencies in the market. By comparing correlated assets, traders can identify hidden opportunities where one market shows strength while the other shows weakness. This guide will break down the major SMT divergences: EURUSD/GBPUSD, US100/US500, and XAUUSD/XAGUSD . --- What is SMT Divergence? SMT Divergence occurs when two correlated assets do not move in sync, signaling potential liquidity grabs or market inefficiencies. These divergences can be used to confirm trend reversals, identify smart money movements, and improve trade precision. Key Concepts: - If one asset makes a higher high while the correlated asset fails to do so, this suggests potential weakness in the pair making the higher high. - If one asset makes a lower low while the correlated asset does not, this suggests potential strength in the pair that did not make a lower low. - Smart Money often exploits these inefficiencies to engineer liquidity hunts before moving price in the intended direction. --- EURUSD vs. GBPUSD SMT Divergence These two forex pairs are highly correlated because both share the USD as the quote currency. However, when divergence occurs, it often signals liquidity manipulations. How to Use: - If GBPUSD makes a higher high but EURUSD does not, GBPUSD may be trapping breakout traders before reversing. - If EURUSD makes a lower low but GBPUSD does not, EURUSD might be in a liquidity grab, signaling a potential reversal. --- US100 vs. US500 SMT Divergence The NASDAQ (US100) and S&P 500 (US500) are both major indices with a strong correlation, but tech-heavy NASDAQ can sometimes lead or lag the S&P. How to Use: - If US100 makes a higher high but US500 does not, it suggests US100 is extended and may reverse soon. - If US500 makes a lower low but US100 does not, US500 might be experiencing a liquidity grab before a reversal. --- XAUUSD vs. XAGUSD SMT Divergence Gold (XAUUSD) and Silver (XAGUSD) have a historic correlation. However, due to differences in volatility and liquidity, they can diverge, presenting trading opportunities. How to Use: - If Gold makes a higher high but Silver does not, Gold might be overextended and ready to reverse. - If Silver makes a lower low but Gold does not, Silver might be in a liquidity grab, signaling strength. --- Indicator Used for SMT Divergences To simplify the process of identifying SMT divergences, this guide utilizes the TradingView indicator TehThomas ICT SMT Divergences . This tool automatically detects divergences between correlated assets, highlighting potential trade opportunities. You can access the indicator here: Why Use This Indicator? - Automatically plots divergences, saving time on manual comparisons. - Works across multiple asset classes (Forex, Indices, Metals, etc.). - Helps traders spot Smart Money inefficiencies with ease. --- Final Tips for Trading SMT Divergences 1. Use Higher Timeframes for Confirmation: SMT Divergences on 1H or 4H hold more weight than those on lower timeframes. 2. Combine with Other Confluences: ICT concepts like Order Blocks, FVGs, or liquidity sweeps can strengthen the SMT setup. 3. Wait for Market Structure Confirmation: After spotting SMT divergence, look for a market structure shift before entering trades. 4. Be Mindful of Economic Events: Divergences can appear due to news releases, so always check the economic calendar. --- Conclusion SMT Divergences are a valuable tool for traders looking to gain an edge in the markets. By analyzing inefficiencies between correlated assets, traders can anticipate smart money movements and improve trade precision. Practice spotting these divergences on real charts, and soon, you'll develop a keen eye for hidden liquidity traps. Happy trading!
Education
by Louigi_24
98
Think Like a Pro: Trade with Discipline, Not Emotion **Taming Greed: The Secret to Long-Term Trading Success** Trading is a battlefield of emotions—**excitement, fear, hope, and greed**. Among them, **greed is the silent killer**, pushing traders to overtrade, overleverage, and chase the market, ultimately leading to disaster. As the saying goes: 📉 **“Bulls make money, bears make money, but pigs get slaughtered.”** **Why Greed is Your Worst Enemy** Fear may hold you back, but **greed pushes you into reckless decisions**. It makes you **ignore your trading plan, risk too much, and hold losing trades for too long**—all in pursuit of bigger gains. But here’s the truth: **The market rewards patience, not desperation.** **How to Keep Greed in Check & Trade Like a Pro** 🔥 **Follow a Strict Trading Plan** A well-defined **plan is your shield against impulsive decisions**. Know your entry, exit, and risk before placing a trade. **Discipline beats greed—every time.** 📊 **Master Risk Management** Avoid the temptation to **bet big for quick gains**. A strong **risk strategy protects your capital** and ensures survival in the long run. The goal isn’t just to win—it’s to stay in the game. ⏳ **Say No to Overtrading** More trades don’t mean more profits—**it usually means more losses**. Trade **with precision, not emotion**. If you’re trading just for the thrill, **you’re gambling, not investing**. **Success = Patience + Discipline** Greed is an illusion—it promises wealth but delivers ruin. The real path to trading mastery lies in **consistency, control, and calculated risks**. 💡 **Trade smart. Stay disciplined. Build wealth the right way.**
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDEducation
by elitetrader9090
HMSTR Main Trend. Trader's Tactics and Risk Control 01 2025Logarithm. Time interval 1 day. A triangle is being formed, almost in the final phase of its formation. The price is in its lower zone. A breakthrough of the triangle resistance is a big pump, the minimum is its % from the base. ⚠️ It is worth noting that locally there may be a “dump” under the dynamic support of the formation for collecting liquidity. Although, in fact, this has already happened a little earlier. But, if the market allows, this can happen again. Just take this into account in your risk management. It is worth emphasizing, for those who have tolerance, that in the center of the triangle (its integral part) a double bottom with a flat top (projection of forced actions of the market maker) has formed, which, as a rule, has a very positive effect on long-term goals (they are "not" on the chart). There is a local correction of bitcoin and the market as a projection as a whole. A good time to accumulate altcoins . This is one of the candidates for accumulation. You can buy in parts (an acceptable average price is important): 1️⃣ That is, according to the market now, the first zone. 1/3 of the volume. If you are afraid, then wait for a breakout of the triangle , that is, a breakout of the downtrend. You can set trigger orders for a breakout so as not to “freeze” money. If on your exchange, where you trade “dinosaur functionality” (for example, Binance), then in this zone you set a regular stop loss for buying (breakout). 2️⃣ The other part (you set trigger or limit orders) as the price decreases to collect liquidity, depending on the market situation. Zone 2 is the zone where everyone sets a stop loss, that is, everything is the other way around. It is displayed as a capitulation zone. 3️⃣ Third zone — in case of deep price slippage due to low liquidity (optional and unlikely). You simply place a grid of orders. If you use trigger orders , which do not freeze money in the order, then you can also use this volume for a breakout. That is, resistance in the form of a triangle, and in the case of a negative scenario, key resistance levels that will form when the price falls, the breakout of which determines the trend reversal. Linear for trend clarity and formation without market noise. Don't get stuck in the market noise, as well as in the noise of the majority opinions, which is formed by the breath of micro-market movements and news FUD of deception, which forms the anti-logic of the market behavior at the moment, radically, to the opposite, and so many times. If, conditionally, you are isolated from all this meaningless “important”, then as a consequence, you will have: a clear mind, a healthy psyche and many times greater profit over the distance. Always stick to your trading plan and control risks, regardless of the news flow, and the opinions of others who want to convince you and incline you to their "correct" opinion. Your trading plan should not change from the opinion of the majority or "unforeseen market movements". If this is observed, then admit that you have no trading plan (hard work and intelligence), and you hope for luck, like most of those who "give to the market", and in the end you drain your life energy to the “golden Baal”. It will work once, the second time, in the end, the end is still the same - a negative sacrificial emotional explosion and devastation. That is, your luck (Fortune-Tyche-chance) will turn away from you, and emotionally rape your psyche, empty your pocket (a resource for the realization of your desires on merit earlier), and the time previously spent on "I'll risk the last time". If a person deceives himself like this, encourages himself, then the last time turns into a trip with many alternations of stops - "good" / "a little painful", to the final stop, called — "big unbearable pain") ...
by SpartaBTC
8
Reminder - Bitcoin back below these trendlinesI encourage you guys to draw these trendlines on your chart and experiment by doing some exercises. 1. Draw the main two trendlines. 2. Spend time on each by duplicating it, keeping the angle the same, and moving it to different spots on the chart. Notice how Bitcoin works on this ascending diagonal support resistance structure. You’ll find that the correct trendline can be duplicated infinitely and the price respects it at any point you place it. 3. Notice that price consolidates on these ascending lines. We see breaks above or below depending on the stop losses from futures positions and liquidity that’s collected. In other words, a break above doesn’t invalidate it. 4. Notice that Bitcoin moves above and below these trendlines. 5. It’s in my opinion that THIS is the structure that explains why Bitcoin isn’t moving higher, telling me the market wants to keep price below these trendlines and take back the liquidity in these zones (look at my previous posts for liquidity maps) Personally this is still my trade. God bless and may you live to trade another day!
Short
by DickDandy
DOGS Main Trend. Tactics of Working on Risky Crypto 03 2025Logarithm. Time frame 3 days. Tactics of working on super-risky cryptocurrencies of low liquidity, which are always sold (without loading the glass), by the creators of “nothing”. In order to increase sales, of course, when they rationally reverse the trend and make pumps at a large % and marketing positive news "have time to buy". On such assets with such liquidity, “killed faith” (at the moment), and control of the emission in “one hand” it is not difficult. Something like in BabyDOGE. On such assets you should always remember: 1️⃣ allocate a certain amount for work in general on such assets from the deposit as a whole. 2️⃣ distribute money (potential reversal and decline zones) from this allocated amount to each similar asset in advance. 3️⃣ diversify similar assets themselves (5-10 cryptocurrencies), understanding that sooner or later they will scam. The scam of one of them should not be reflected significantly on the balance of the pump/dump group of low liquidity. It is impossible to guess everything that does not depend on you, and it is not necessary. Your miscalculations (what does not depend on you) are smoothed out by your initial trading plan and risk control, that is, money management (money management). 4️⃣ Set adequate goals. Part of the position locally trade 40-80% (not necessary, but this sometimes reduces the risk). 5️⃣ Work with trigger orders and lower them if they did not work and the price falls. 6️⃣ Remember that in consolidation and cut zones in assets of such liquidity, stops are always knocked out, so the size of the stop does not really matter. It will be knocked out, especially before the reversal. 7️⃣ Before the reversal of the secondary trend, as a rule, they first do a “hamster pump” by a conditionally significant %, when everyone is "tired of waiting". They absorb all sales. Then the main pumping without passengers by a very large % takes place to form a distribution zone. As a rule, it will be lower than the pump highs, that is, in the zone when they are not afraid to buy, but believe that after a large pump, the highs will be overcome significantly. 8️⃣ Remember that assets of such liquidity decrease after listings or highs by: a) active hype, bull market -50-70% b) secondary trend without extraordinary events -90-93% c) cycle change -96-98% or scam, if it is a 1-2 cycle project (there is no point in supporting the legend, how it is easier to make a candy wrapper from scratch without believing holders with coins). 9️⃣In the capitulation zone, there can be several of them depending on the trend of the market as a whole and rationality, the asset is of no interest to anyone. Everyone gets the impression that everything is a scam. That is, on the contrary, you need to collect the asset, observing money management, that is, your initial distribution of money and the risk that you agreed with in advance. As a rule, in such zones people "give up" and abandon their earlier vision. 🔟 After the entire position is set (pre-planned, according to your money management), stop and do not get stuck in the market and news noise. Wait for your first goals. Remember, people always buy expensive, and refuse to buy cheap ("it's a scam", they try to "catch the bottom"), when "the Internet is not buzzing". This all happens because there is no vision, and as a consequence, no tactics of work and risk control . Many want to guess the “bottom”, or “maximums”, and refuse to sell when they are reached. The first and second are not conditionally available, on assets of such liquidity and emission control. But, there are probabilities that you can operate and earn on this, without getting stuck in the market noise. And also in the opinions of the majority (inclination to the dominant opinion and rejection of your plan and risk control), from which you must fence yourself off. Most people, immersed in market noise and the opinions of others , choose for themselves the price movement, which is beneficial to them at the moment , and to which they are inclined, but do not provide themselves with the tactics of work. This is a key mistake, and the main manipulation that the conditional manipulator achieves, who, by the way, is sometimes not on the asset, to form an opinion and, as a consequence, the actions of the majority. Because, in essence, most people do not have the tactics of work. Where the news FUD (inclination to the dominant opinion), “market noise” (cutting zones and collecting liquidity), the opinion of the majority, is directed, that is what they are inclined to. When the price goes in the other direction, it is disappointment. If these are futures — liquidation of the position. Zeroing out due to greed. If this is spot — "proud random holders" , without the ability to average the position (no money), to reduce the average price of the position set as a whole, and as a result increase the % of profit in the future. A trading plan and risk control are the basis, not guessing the price movement. If you do not have the first “two whales” of trading in your arsenal, then you have nothing. It doesn't matter how much you guess the potential movement, as the outcome of such practice is always the same, and it is not comforting.
Education
by SpartaBTC
10
$TUT Token Set for 100% Leap Amidst Symmetrical Triangle PatternTutorial Token ($TUT) an AI-powered educational tool designed to help people learn about blockchain, cryptocurrency, and specifically the BNB chain ecosystem is set for a 100% surge amidst a bullish symmetrical triangle pattern depicted on the chart. The first product "Tutorial Agent" is a smart tutor that uses artificial intelligence to break down complex topics—like setting up a crypto wallet, trading on decentralized exchanges (DEXs), or even writing smart contracts—into bite-sized, easy-to-understand lessons. The $Tut token is used to reward users, unlock features, and govern the platform. With the Token's RSI at 51 this gives $TUT more room to capitalize on the lack of buying pressure to pick momentum up and spark a bullish renaissance. A breakout above the ceiling of the symmetrical triangle will be the catalyst $TUT need for a turnaround. Tutorial Price Live Data The live Tutorial price today is $0.023490 USD with a 24-hour trading volume of $40,688,559 USD. Tutorial is down 19.19% in the last 24 hours, with a live market cap of $22,315,621 USD. It has a circulating supply of 949,999,986 TUT coins and a max. supply of 1,000,000,000 TUT coins.
PANCAKESWAP3BSC:TUTWBNB_6DAFBF.USDLong
by DEXWireNews
BTC/USDT updateBefore the correction, we had already shared the most probable scenario for #BTC in Spot Club and, with a slight delay, in this channel. As expected, the price dropped around 11% in spot within wave C, leading to significant liquidity being absorbed in the market. However, we had already warned tarde-ai.bot members about this potential move in advance. We still consider our previous outlook as the most probable scenario for Bitcoin's next move. If our perspective changes, we will update the analysis accordingly.
by Tradeaione
USDT dominance. (USDC is similar). 03 2025Time frame 1 week. Crypto market dominance to % USDT. I showed this for the first time on 03 2022, nothing has changed since then, everything is the same and the logic is identical. USDT dominance. USDT pumping indicator to the market 03 2022 USDT dominance. Indicator of USDT pumping to and from the market 05 2022 ✔️Stablecoin dominance is falling — the market is growing. ✔️Stablecoin dominance is growing — the market is falling. It cannot be otherwise (capital movement), until the time when ETFs with the US dollar are not massively introduced and popular, they will draw some of the liquidity to themselves. Which will slightly change the logic of this trend itself. Comparable, in terms of impact on the market, as before the introduction of trading pairs to alts/USDT instead of BTC/alts (everyone was like that). Until then, USDT was needed. You need to understand that the main " transitional dollar for the people ", that is, USDT , - reflects the trend of all stablecoins. In particular, the main "competitor" - USDC, all the others (a temporary phenomenon) do not matter. Until USDT exists and can be used to track the direction of the money flow, that is, the direction of the cryptocurrency market. In 2022 09, I also showed this game of liquidity flow into ideas with the combined dominance of USDC + USDT + BTC chart. But this is already a complication, everything is already visible and clear on the dominance of USDT. Domination of USDT + USDC and lows/maxims of BTC. Correlation 2022 09 Remember, any stablecoin is an alt. The experience with UST (Moon Falling into an Urn) has taught many not to equate stablecoins to a real dollar. The price stability of any stablecoin depends only on people's faith in its stability. This faith is projected by marketing activity, and first of all by the real capital that stands behind the creators. Everything conceived and implemented has a beginning and an end. Bitcoin dominance to alts. I will duplicate my latest idea on Bitcoin dominance here once again. I used it before (it was rational), before 2020 (I used to make a lot of ideas about local zones as triggers for market reversals). Now it doesn't do much. But I see people are fixated on this, not understanding the essence, and why it was so effective before and childishly clear when the market would be reversed (there were no pairs to USDT, but only alts to BTC). Before 2018 (100% efficiency), before 2020 (partial), the dominance of Bitcoin to other alts was such an indicator of the pump/dump of the market. As it was the main direction of money flow. Almost all alts were traded only to Bitcoin. Доминация BTC к альткоинам. Доминация стейблкоинов и памп рынка. 07 2022 Have a plan and understand what you are doing, observing money and risk management. As a result, you will be calm and satisfied with your profit from the market, if you are an adequate person. Alt dominance. And this is the idea of ​​training/work (understanding the reversal zones of the crypto market of secondary trends) in 2023 on alts. That is, the dominance of alts without stablecoins, bitcoin and ether, which take away most of the market capitalization as a whole. The dominance is growing, naturally money is pouring into alta and vice versa. There are also similar ideas (look for publications in 2023) for certain groups of assets. That is, the point is to catch the hype, by groups of candy wrappers or, on the contrary, the threshold of stopping the flow of money into another hype. BTC dominance to altcoins. Dominance of stablecoins and market pump . 07 2022 Without pain, there is no way for someone to gain benefits in the speculative market. Who will experience pain and who will gain benefits depends only on the qualities of the person who decided to engage in trading. That is, the totality of his positive/negative qualities that project his actions in the market. Everything is extremely simple and honest. Dollar Index. There are a series of interrelated ideas (three, detailed explanation), about the dollar index, that is, the larger cyclicality of the markets in general, and the crypto market as a small projection. Also, all publications of 2022-2023. DXY Dollar Index USA. Recession and Pump/Dump Market Indicator 09 2022 DXY (Dollar Index) and Pump/Dump BTC. Market Cycles . 09 2022
CRYPTOCAP:USDT.DEducation
by SpartaBTC
6
How to develop a simple Buy&Sell strategy using Pine ScriptIn this article, will explain how to develop a simple backtesting for a Buy&Sell trading strategy using Pine Script language and simple moving average (SMA). Strategy description The strategy illustrated works on price movements around the 200-period simple moving average (SMA). Open long positions when the price crossing-down and moves below the average. Close position when the price crossing-up and moves above the average. A single trade is opened at a time, using 5% of the total capital. Behind the code Now let's try to break down the logic behind the strategy to provide a method for properly organizing the source code. In this specific example, we can identify three main actions: 1) Data extrapolation 2) Researching condition and data filtering 3) Trading execution 1. GENERAL PARAMETERS OF THE STRATEGY First define the general parameters of the script. Let's define the name. "Buy&Sell Strategy Template " Select whether to show the output on the chart or within a dashboard. In this example will show the output on the chart. overlay = true Specify that a percentage of the equity will be used for each trade. default_qty_type = strategy.percent_of_equity Specify percentage quantity to be used for each trade. Will be 5%. default_qty_value = 5 Choose the backtesting currency. currency = currency.EUR Choose the capital portfolio amount. initial_capital = 10000 Let's define percentage commissions. commission_type = strategy.commission.percent Let's set the commission at 0.07%. commission_value = 0.07 Let's define a slippage of 3. slippage = 3 Calculate data only when the price is closed, for more accurate output. process_orders_on_close = true 2. DATA EXTRAPOLATION In this second step we extrapolate data from the historical series. Call the calculation of the simple moving average using close price and 200 period bars. sma = ta.sma(close, 200) 3. DEFINITION OF TRADING CONDITIONS Now define the trading conditions. entry_condition = ta.crossunder(close, sma) The close condition involves a bullish crossing of the closing price with the average. exit_condition = ta.crossover(close, sma) 4. TRADING EXECUTION At this step, our script will execute trades using the conditions described above. if (entry_condition==true and strategy.opentrades==0) strategy.entry(id = "Buy", direction = strategy.long, limit = close) if (exit_condition==true) strategy.exit(id = "Sell", from_entry = "Buy", limit = close) 5. DESIGN In this last step will draw the SMA indicator, representing it with a red line. plot(sma, title = "SMA", color = color.red) Complete code below. //@version=6 strategy( "Buy&Sell Strategy Template ", overlay = true, default_qty_type = strategy.percent_of_equity, default_qty_value = 5, currency = currency.EUR, initial_capital = 10000, commission_type = strategy.commission.percent, commission_value = 0.07, slippage = 3, process_orders_on_close = true ) sma = ta.sma(close, 200) entry_condition = ta.crossunder(close, sma) exit_condition = ta.crossover(close, sma) if (entry_condition==true and strategy.opentrades==0) strategy.entry(id = "Buy", direction = strategy.long, limit = close) if (exit_condition==true) strategy.exit(id = "Sell", from_entry = "Buy", limit = close) plot(sma, title = "SMA", color = color.red) The completed script will display the moving average with open and close trading signals. IMPORTANT! Remember, this strategy was created for educational purposes only. Not use it in real trading.
Education
by thequantscience
USDT.DIn the series of pinned posts, we've analyzed and predicted all the ups, downs, and waves of the index for you. (How perfectly the analysis played out! 😉) Here’s the sharp drop in USDT dominance within W4, a 18% dump, leading to a market pump. Of course, many are linking it to Trump’s speech in support of crypto, but did we know in advance what he was going to say? No! We just read the charts, analyzed market conditions, and presented a single scenario, which once again proved to be spot on! Once this current hype settles, we'll update you on the next moves of dominance. But of course, it all depends on your reactions and energy! ❤️
CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D
by Tradeaione
Impulsive Trading:Understanding the Risks and Regaining ControlHave you found yourself hastily clicking the “Buy” or “Sell” button only to be engulfed by regret almost immediately afterward? If so, you're in good company 😃. Impulsive trading is a widespread issue that affects traders of all experience levels, often leading to significant financial losses. Studies reveal that a considerable portion of traders battle with impulsive decision-making, which can drastically influence their overall financial health. Impulsive trading typically arises from emotions rather than careful market analysis or strategic planning. Factors such as the fear of missing out (FOMO), frustration after a loss, or the temptation of quick profits often cloud judgment, resulting in decisions that deviate from disciplined trading practices. This behavior is especially pronounced during volatile market conditions, where emotions can run high. Acknowledging the signs of impulsive trading is essential for fostering discipline and achieving sustained trading success. Understanding the Risks of Impulsive Trading The implications of impulsive trading reach far beyond individual poor trades. Each impulsive action can generate a cascade of errors, diverting traders from their predefined strategies. Engaging in impulsive trading often leads to overtrading, where traders make numerous trades in quick succession while hoping for fast returns, ultimately resulting in mounting losses. This not only increases exposure to market volatility but also raises transaction costs, systematically eroding any potential gains. Another major risk associated with impulsive trading is flawed decision-making. Actions born out of emotional responses lack the rational foundation necessary for sound trading, pushing traders towards choices that diverge from their overall objectives. For instance, abandoning a Stop Loss order or ramping up position sizes following a loss can lead to dramatic financial damage. Moreover, the psychological impact of impulsive trading can result in burnout, heightened stress, and diminished confidence, all of which threaten a trader's long-term viability. Recognizing and understanding these risks highlights the need for self-regulation and a disciplined approach—critical elements for successful trading. Psychological Triggers Behind Impulsive Trading The tendency to trade impulsively often stems from various psychological factors that can be difficult to manage. One of the main culprits is the fear of missing out (FOMO); in fast-paced markets, traders may feel an urgent need to enter positions quickly to seize potential profits. This urgency can lead to ill-timed trades, making them more vulnerable to reversals. Greed is another significant factor that plays a role in impulsive trading. The relentless pursuit of maximizing profits can quickly overshadow a trader’s original plan. As a result, they may prolong a successful trade or increase leverage in hopes of capturing even greater returns, leading to heightened risks. Loss aversion, the instinct to avoid losing money, also contributes to impulsivity. When faced with setbacks, traders might engage in “revenge trading,” making rash decisions in an attempt to recover losses—often dismissing their foundational analytical methods. External factors like social media and market news also amplify these emotional triggers. The overload of information—from Twitter updates to various trading forums—can create a sense of urgency and spur impulsive behavior, even among experienced traders. By acknowledging these psychological influences, traders can cultivate a more deliberate and strategic approach to their decision-making processes. Read also: Identifying Impulsive Trading Behavior Recognizing the signs of impulsive trading is crucial for anyone looking to regain control and establish a more strategic trading method. Indicators of such behavior include: - Ignoring Your Trading Plan: Frequently deviating from established entry and exit criteria in favor of fleeting emotions can indicate a pattern of impulsivity. - Constantly Monitoring Trades: Habitually checking price movements or refreshing trading platforms often suggests an emotional attachment to positions, prompting unnecessary reactions to minor fluctuations. - Execution of Unplanned Trades: Making trades without forethought, especially after emotional highs from winning trades or lows from losses, disrupts a carefully crafted trading plan and exposes one to greater risks. - Neglecting Risk Management Practices: Exceeding leverage limits or disabling Stop Loss orders indicates a tendency to focus on immediate gains rather than sustainable trading strategies. By becoming aware of these behaviors and taking deliberate steps to reflect on each trade's alignment with the overarching strategy, traders can minimize impulsivity and foster a disciplined mindset grounded in rationality. Read Also: Strategies for Overcoming Impulsive Trading Successfully overcoming impulsive trading requires a blend of discipline, self-awareness, and effective strategies. Here are some actionable steps: 1. Set Clear Entry and Exit Criteria: Define explicit guidelines for entering and exiting trades, based on predetermined market conditions or technical indicators. Adhering to these rules minimizes the likelihood of impulsive actions. 2. Employ Stop Loss Orders: Utilize Stop Loss orders to automatically close trades when certain price levels are met. This helps protect against significant losses and allows traders to step back from their positions. 3. Maintain a Trading Journal: Keeping a detailed record of every trade—including motivations, emotions experienced, and outcomes—encourages self-reflection and helps to identify recurring patterns in behavior. 4. Practice Self-Discipline: Establish realistic trading goals and commit to your trading plan. Taking a pause before executing trades can help you refocus on your long-term objectives, minimizing the urge to act impulsively. 5. Restrict Trading Frequency: Set limits on the number of trades you make each day or week to ensure that you only engage in high-quality opportunities, rather than reacting to every market fluctuation. By adopting these strategies, traders can cultivate the discipline necessary to move away from impulsive decision-making, emphasizing logical and goal-oriented actions instead. Cultivating a Rational Trading Mindset Developing a rational mindset is essential for long-term trading success and evading the pitfalls of emotional decision-making. Consider implementing the following techniques: - Mindfulness and Relaxation Practices: Engage in mindfulness exercises to enhance awareness of your thoughts and feelings. Awareness allows you to recognize when emotions may be influencing trading decisions. Even short moments of focused breathing can provide clarity. - Take Breaks Regularly: Long trading sessions can lead to fatigue and impaired judgment. By stepping away from your work periodically, you can recharge and return to your trading activities with fresh insight. - Avoid Trading During Emotionally Charged Situations: If you find yourself facing personal stress or strong emotions, it may be wise to refrain from trading until you regain an even temperament. - Focus on Long-Term Objectives: Prioritize sustained success over immediate rewards. Remind yourself that while impulsive decisions might provide short-term satisfaction, they often result in long-term setbacks. Building a rational trading mindset requires patience and dedicated effort, but it is instrumental in improving trading performance. By incorporating these habits into your routine, you can enhance emotional control and make decisions that reflect logic rather than impulse. I suggest to read also..: The Critical Role of a Trading Plan An effective trading plan is a cornerstone for preventing impulsive decisions that can undermine a trader's performance. The emotional responses associated with impulsive trading—such as fear and greed—can derail even the best-laid strategies. A comprehensive trading plan serves as a guiding framework, providing clarity and structured guidelines to help traders manage emotional impulses. By defining specific goals, a trading plan equips traders with a clear sense of direction, reducing the temptation to chase fleeting opportunities or react to market noise. Furthermore, by integrating principles of risk management into your trading strategy, you ensure that engagement with risks aligns with your personal threshold, thereby minimizing unnecessary exposure. Establishing entry and exit guidelines allows traders to base their decisions on objective criteria, independent of emotion-driven impulses. Read also: Enhancing Trading Discipline with Tools and Techniques Employing specific tools and strategies can support a disciplined trading approach and reduce impulsive behavior. Trading software with alert functions can help by notifying traders when predefined conditions for trades are met, ensuring decisions are based on strategic analysis rather than reactive impulses. Regularly reviewing trading performance is equally vital. This practice allows traders to analyze trades, recognize behavior patterns, fine-tune their strategies, and verify their alignment with their trading plan. Drawing insights from these reviews fosters adherence to disciplined trading and helps traders remain focused and make informed decisions. Read also: In conclusion.. Achieving lasting success in trading depends on rational thought processes and emotional management. A well-developed trading plan, complemented by the right tools and techniques, empowers traders to avoid impulsivity and concentrate on their goals. Although the temptation for quick gains can be powerful, maintaining a disciplined approach is essential for sustainable success. Remember, trading is a journey rather than a sprint. By remaining consistent and methodical, traders can navigate risks effectively, ultimately crafting a strategy that yields long-term results. ✅ Please share your thoughts about this article in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my post. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by FOREXN1
2
LTC/USD Main trend. Halving. Cycles The psychology of repetitionMain trend. The graph is logarithmic. The timeframe is 1 month. This idea is relevant both for understanding the secondary trend work and as a training in simple cyclic, logical manipulation processes. Note also the halving of the LTC and the designated time zones between cycles. The primary trend is an uptrend in which a huge butterfly is forming (forming part 2) Secondary trend is a downward channel. Local trend in the secondary trend is a wedge. Coin in the coin market : Litecoin The chart is taken from the Bitfiniex exchange, I used it because of the long price history (the coin has been traded on this exchange for a long time). Of course, the chart is relevant for all exchanges with liquidity. The coin and the pair are liquid, it is acceptable to set large positions. The price behavior is predictable. Ups/Downs are similar. Let's consider them below. Everything is unpredictable only for absolutely predictable people, it always was, is and will be. Same time frame on a line chart (no market noise, pure trend direction) A close-up of this area on the line chart. And this area on the candlestick chart. What matters is the average buy/sell. Approach the market regardless of the size of your deposit as a major market participant. Stop thinking like a "hamster". You don't need to guess, you need to know and be prepared for any outcome, even unlikely scenarios. Psychology of behavior in the market. Expectation. Reality. "Stop-loss resets. Cyclicality of predictable behavior. . Predictable price behavior. "Knockouts" of obedient (acting by the rules) and naughty (acting on emotion) fools are as logical and predictable as anything else everywhere else. Increase your knowledge and experience, and it won't affect you. Remember, theory without practice is nothing. Real trading is very different from theory, you should understand that. That's why all "programmed traders" lose money or their earnings are quite modest. You should not ask anyone where to buy/sell this or that crypto-asset. You should initially know yourself under what conditions you will buy and under what conditions you will sell. Past "stop-losses" before secondary trend reversals . Secondary trend reversal zones and "takeout" before pullbacks in 2019 (+450 average) and 2021 (+900% average). Candlestick chart. 3-day timeframe. Fear peak zones. Line chart. Three-day timeframe. Fear peak zones. (without market noise). As we can see, this "fear peak" on the line chart evaporates, all these local "super resets" have no effect on the trend. It's just the "death of hamsters." The capitulation of human stupidity and greed. You can add predictability and submissiveness to this. The train always leaves without such marketable characters. Such always sell (fear) at the lowest prices, shortly before the trend reverses. It is worth adding that they buy at the highest prices "at the behest" of the pump to get fabulously "rich. This makes the cryptocurrency market super profitable. Such fuel is the basis of profit. "Market fuel flows" lend themselves to cycles. Price management is the psychology and manipulation of people's minds through basic instincts through price values. All of this is real and as old as the world. A foolish person keeps stepping on the same rake, each time telling himself that this is the last time, or this is a special case. This "last case" must be repeated systematically, but in different conditions that you create. Your effectiveness depends on how masterful you are at forming such obsessive thoughts in the mind of such market characters. Fundamentals of Trading. Trading strategy. Capital management. Price forecasting. It is your trading strategy and money management, based on your experience, that is the basis of trading, not guessing the price. But guessing is what most people want. Such people should have no money. As a rule, such people in real life are very poor, do not have their own business, go "to work" (do not want to take responsibility). They think real life doesn't give them many resources, but market speculation will quickly make them fabulously rich. Rather the opposite is true. Total impoverishment regardless of the direction of the trend due to the reinforcement of destructive qualities of a person with financial instruments. The behavior of such people in the market is a projection of what they are like in real life. The behavior of people in financial markets is a projection of what they are in real life. That is, their positive and negative psychological qualities. You can't run away from yourself. A stupid person will be overtaken by his own stupidity, a greedy person by greed, an intolerant person by intolerance, an indecisive person by indecision, an irresponsible person by irresponsibility. Such will be punished by their own destructive qualities. The main thing is that the victim draws conclusions from this and it is an incentive to correct the root cause and basis of the failures, rather than looking for the culprit of his own stupidity in "random events" and other people. You guessed once, second time, third time zeroed in and hit your own self-confidence with your own stupidity and predictability. Consequently, all your previous guesses at the distance equals zero. Trading is a probability game. It is impossible to guess everything because of the many components of pricing. It is possible not to guess, but to know the more and less potentially realizable probabilities because of certain market conditions. No one knows the exact future, there is only an assumed more likely future and the work that leads to it. The basis of profit/loss is what you are in the here and now. Your knowledge and experience are projected onto the chart. The symbiosis of these two parameters makes or loses money in practice. Read these 6 points carefully: 1) The first problem most marketers have is that everyone wants to get a lot of money in the moment and, most importantly, without effort. That's what most people want, so it's not rational or dangerous to satisfy their desires. 2) The second problem is that they can't be "out of the market" until they find a good entry point. "Fear of missing out" does its destructive work. 3) The third problem is, of course, the disease from "childhood," which manifests itself in adulthood. People begin to collect various crypto coins, endowing them with different values according to their beliefs and, above all, their desires. 4) The fourth problem is greed, insatiability combined with inexperience. People don't want to protect their profits, they want more and more and more and more and more, eventually from greed and inexperience they completely (more greedy) or partially (less greedy) nullify themselves. 5) Lack of knowledge and experience. Lack of desire to develop and learn. The less experienced a market participant is, the more confident he is in his competence and "screams text". 6) The sixth most serious problem - laziness. It manifests itself in the fact that few people want to work, everyone wants to have. Under ideas are captured my trading ideas for this trading pair over the past 3 years. Most of them are previously closed trade ideas. There are 3 learning ideas that I have shown on this trading pair (based on publicly published simple trading ideas) .
BITFINEX:LTCUSD
by SpartaBTC
19