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CORRELATION COEFFICIENTS on FOREXHello everybody! Professionals have been aware of correlation for a long time and use it profitably. The essence of correlation is not difficult to understand and using it in trading can significantly increase your profit. Correlation coefficient of currency pairs – what is it? Correlation is a statistical relationship between two or more random variables. The correlation coefficient is an index of the interdependence of quotations of different currency pairs. Correlation of currency pairs is divided into two types: direct (positive) and inverse (mirror or negative). A positive correlation is a similar movement of quotations of different currency pairs. Inverse correlation is the reverse movement of the exchange rate of different currency pairs. For example , EUR/USD and USD/CHF are in a mirror correlation because both European currencies are against the dollar. Any change in the euro affects the franc exchange rate and vice versa, on the chart, the price of the euro and the pound moves the other way around because in the EUR/USD pair, the dollar is in second place, and in USD/CHF in the first. Method Analysts have come up with a method that makes it easier to understand the correlation, it is called the correlation coefficient. Using it, you can understand in which range each pair is relative to the other, where +1 is a complete correlation, and -1 is the opposite. The stronger the link between the economies, the stronger the value tends to unity. Let's consider the main ranges of coefficient values and their impact on the currency pair: • 1 - Denotes the same movement of currency pairs. * From 0.9 to 0.5 – High dependence of currency pairs among themselves. * From 0.5 to 0.1 – There is a decrease in correlation. * 0 – There is no correlation, the instruments do not depend on each other. * From 0.1 to -0.5 - Characterized by a decrease in correlation. * From 0.5 to -0.9 – An increase in correlation and a change in the direction of movement of currency pairs in the opposite direction. * -1 – Inverse dependence of currency pairs. One price is going down, the other is going up. Trading options Novice traders often think that they reduce risks when they invest in different currency pairs, but at the same time they do not understand that a large number of pairs correlate with each other. Forgetting about the correlation, you can start getting double losses. Correlations can be used to confirm signals. For example , the analysis of the EUR/USD chart showed growth. To make sure that the forecast is correct, you need to get a reverse confirmation for USD/CHF. Sometimes, to confirm trading signals, a comparison of three assets that are minimally related to each other is used. Take for example EUR/USD, USD/JPY and EUR/JPY. • If EUR/USD is predicted to go up, then the forecast for the reverse currency pair USD/JPY should signal a fall. In the event that there is no signal for USD/JPY, then it is necessary to carefully study the behavior of EUR/JPY. No matter what tactics a trader uses, you always need to remember about correlation and use several pairs with positive and negative correlation in the analysis to increase the accuracy of the forecast. In addition, correlation helps to hedge transactions. Having decided to invest in one currency pair, you can divide the investment amount into two parts and invest the second part in a currency pair with Time interval in correlation analysis The correlation has the ability to change depending on time. It may be that the daily correlation = 0.6, but when switching to a monthly interval, this value increases and shows a strong correlation. There may be an inverse situation, when the correlation drops relative to the selected interval. Pay attention to this when analyzing. Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
Education
by Lingrid
16
BID AND ASK BASICS📚 🔴In all markets, there is a price at which a market participant is willing to buy an asset and a price that suits the seller. At the same time, traders intend to carry out a purchase and sale transaction only within the amount that is profitable for them. ⚠️In the foreign exchange market, the ask line is the cost of buying an asset or the price that is set by the broker in the Buy order. ⚠️Bid - accordingly, the cost at which the broker opens a sell order when accepting an application for the sale of currency from a trader. ❗️The spread is the difference between ask and bid prices. To be more precise, the spread is the difference between the best bid and ask offers for a specific asset over a certain period. Thus, the spread is dynamic, changing over time. The spread value is formed by the initial value set by the broker, as well as due to the volatility of the currency. The spread can vary from 0.1 to 100 points. ✅In the market of physical goods, a similar example can be given: a seller and a buyer, haggling, narrow the difference between prices that satisfy them, bringing them to one at which they make a deal. ✅In the foreign exchange market, the spread between prices is the commission charged by the broker. It should be borne in mind that the broker takes a commission regardless of the volume of the transaction and its result.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by TopTradingSignals
7
ACCOUNT DRAWDOWN – HOW TO AVOID IT?Today I want to touch on a very important topic - account drawdown. Every trader will face this problem sooner or later, because losses in the forex market are inevitable. And if a professional knows what to do and has experience dealing with such a problem, then beginners often get lost when faced with a drawdown, which leads to even greater losses. What is a Margin Call? Margin Call - is a "call"-notification of the broker with a requirement to deposit additional funds to guarantee open transactions. If no additional funds have been received to the trading account after the Margin Call, and losses continue to grow, then when the price reaches a certain value, the Stop Out procedure will be launched, and the brokerage company will automatically close part, and possibly all transactions on the trading account. Causes of drawdown. There are two possible reasons. The first reason for the drawdown is a bad trading strategy. Each strategy needs to be checked and only then use it. No risk management will help if the strategy is unprofitable. The second reason is psychology. Even if you have a proven strategy, you can still lose money because you lose control of the situation. Discipline is the key to profitable trading. To act according to the strategy and even after a series of losses to adhere to the plan and not exceed the value of risk management - that's what a professional does and a beginner misses. Newcomers try to regain what they have lost by opening deals with a large volume, risking even more money, driving themselves into an even greater minus. First of all, you need to put up with losses, it is impossible to avoid them! Accept losses, do not lose your head, trade further according to the rules and then you will not only return, but also earn even more money. An important thought! Every beginner should remember that the more he loses, the more he will need to make profits in the future in order to reach zero. It is very difficult to make 50% of the profit to the capital in one transaction. It is almost impossible to make 100%, but beginners do not understand this and invest a lot of money, open positions with a large volume and lose even more. Losing 1% is not so scary, losing 10% you need to do 11% already to get to zero. Having lost 50% in the future, you will need to make 100% to go to zero! Don't bring your account to this. Remember: it's better to move up slowly than to fall down quickly and crash. Decide on the drawdown level. Professionals do not let their account fall below reasonable values. A beginner brings his account to exhaustion in two or three transactions. For a beginner, a drawdown of -50% or -70% occurs easily and quickly, a professional cannot afford this. Each trader must decide for himself how much percent of the capital he can lose and still remain calm. For each person, these values are different, someone cannot survive a 20% drop in the bill, and someone lives quietly with -50%. Drawdown levels up to 15% – normal working drawdown. 16-30% is not a reason to panic, but the time is coming to reduce the risks and intensity of trading. And it is also worth reviewing the state, dynamics of the market and the trading instrument. 31 - 60% is the beginning of the end. If the account is down by more than 30%, trading should be stopped and a break should be taken. After that, come back with a modified strategy for making trading decisions. Drawdown is an unpleasant thing, but the main thing is not to start it and not to delay the time after exiting it. If you have already fallen into a drawdown, then you need to follow the following rules: If you use a proven trading strategy that has repeatedly made a profit, then you just need to fix losses and continue trading using the same strategy, but with a more gentle money management system. If the trading strategy used is no longer effective, then you should fix the losses and look for a new working trading system. Due to the fact that there are no exceptionally accurate methods to exit the drawdown, your further actions will be reduced to the same trade. In this situation, the trader should identify weaknesses in his strategy and try to eliminate them. The revision of approaches to risk management and funds will also allow you to balance trading and avoid deep drawdowns in the future. Be disciplined, follow the money management, trade systematically, and the drawdown on the deposit will not bother you. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with Like. Thanks for your support!
Education
by DeGRAM
6
PRINCIPLES OF DRAWING UP A TRADING PLANHello traders! Today we will talk about WHAT should be in the trading plan of any self-respecting trader. Many, as it turned out, do not know the basic principles of building a trading plan. This article will help beginners understand WHAT should be added to their trading arsenal. 1. Timeframe. The first stage of drawing up a trading plan is to determine the timeframe. Every trader should know in what time interval he is going to look for entry opportunities and build a trading strategy accordingly. As a rule, timeframes are divided into three types: 2. Risk management. Risk control is probably the most important issue in any trading plan. The ability to control risks and follow principles distinguishes a professional from a beginner. In this section, the best rule is rule 1-3% 3. Market structure. Every trader should have a trading strategy even before opening a position during periods when the market is trending or in a sideways movement and, of course, be able to correctly determine when the market is moving from one phase to another. 4. Markets. Each market has its own characteristics. Not every trader, for example, can approach the forex market. You need to know where you are trading and use the appropriate tools. It may be worth trying all the markets to understand what is right for you. Study the markets, gain experience. 5. Entry conditions. The entry point must be chosen by the trader according to the rules prescribed in the strategy. A trader should know when and under what conditions to enter a position. Strategies can be different: based on a pullback or a breakout of the level, or maybe you want to trade according to the intersection of the indicator lines. And, yes, no one forbids using all strategies at once, the main thing is not to get confused. 6. Stops. Placing stops is an important part of the strategy. A properly placed stop can protect you from premature closing of the transaction. Failure to place a stop order may result in the loss of all capital. In any case, the strategy of placing stops should be in every trading plan. You can set a stop according to some percentage you have chosen, or you can set a stop for the maximum or minimum, it's up to you, but you need to decide before entering the position. 7. Target. A correctly set goal and a set take profit helps a trader to take profit and not stay in a position until it turns from profitable to unprofitable. There are different ways to fix profits: fixed - the value you have chosen according to your trading strategy. Trailing stop is a slightly advanced method, the essence of which is that the stop will move along with the price at the distance you choose and will close when the price goes against you too much. Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
Education
by Lingrid
37
Some important questions & answers (for beginner investors)Today we prepared for you several questions and answers that might be helpful to new investors. Please feel free to post your own questions and answers in the comment section. What is technical analysis and why does it work? Technical analysis is a scientific discipline that analyzes investments by evaluating statistical data (usually price and volume). This method works because of fractal nature which represents the ability of same price patterns to appear across multiple different time frames independently. This applies also to patterns observable in oscillators, indexes and other technical tools. What trading systems are the best performing ones? Best performing trading systems are trend based. Purpose of such trading systems is to identify the trend and then „ride it“ – which means investing in its early stage and taking profits in its latter stage. Which time frame is the most reliable? Generally, bigger time frames are more reliable as opposed to smaller time frames. Though, patterns and trading signals usually take longer to develop when using a bigger time frame. Most common time frames are: 1-hour, 4-hours, daily and weekly. What is leverage? Is it a really fast way to make money? Leverage simply represents borrowing money in order to fund an investment. For example, when a trader uses leverage with ratio 1:10 and underlying asset moves by 1% then leveraged asset moves by 10% in the same direction. Leverage is definitely one of the possible ways to generate money fast. However, it is also a quick way to lose money. Should I use a leverage when I am new (unexperienced) investor? Use of leverage by new investors is pretty common as it represents an enticing opportunity to make money fast. However, in our opinion, an unexperienced investor should not use leverage at all. That is because leverage is very difficult to manage and its use by an unexperienced trader usually results in loss of capital. Is it possible to time exact market tops and bottoms? Timing exact market tops and bottoms is incredibly difficult even for an experienced trader. There are several technical tools at disposal of a technical analyst which he or she can use to indicate market reversal points. However, picking these exact spots is not necessary in order to turn profitable in trading. As mentioned previously, best performing trading systems are trend based. Such trading systems work by identifying trends and by exploiting them (without requirement to identify exact market top or bottom). What is diversification? Why should I implement it? Diversification is one of the possible ways to manage risk in the portfolio. It simply stands for diversifying capital into multiple different investments rather than focusing capital in a single investment. Proper diversification protects investor's capital from price fluctuations within particular market sectors. Additionally, it is crucial in order to build a long-term lasting portfolio. Should I invest in the stock market when it just reached all time high? Probably not. Usually, the market tends to pull back when it reaches a new all time high. Therefore, in our opinion it is not best to add to the long position just when a new all time high was reached by an asset. One of the best strategies in a strong bull market is to add to the long position when price drops and then sell the position once an asset reaches new all time high. Should I invest in an asset just because it fell 90% in value recently? Not necessarily. Fall of such high magnitude does not necessarily mean that the price trend will reverse. There may be various reasons why an asset fell by so much; and therefore, doing your own due diligence is highly advised before entering any trade. Is past performance of an asset indicative of its future performance? No. Past performance of an asset should not serve as a basis for predicting future performance of that same asset. Should I use options/other derivatives as a new trader? There is no restriction to use options as a new trader but derivatives in general are more complex instruments than stocks or bonds; additionally, their price is determined by numerous factors that an investor should be aware of. If a trader does not fully understand how some asset class behaves, then he or she should avoid such a particular asset class. Should I keep holding a losing position? It depends on the investor's own assumption but in general it is better to close positions that keep losing to prevent further losses and to be able to use capital somewhere else. I feel I haven’t made many trades in the recent past. What should I do? Trading is not about making enough trades but about generating profit. Sometimes there are not enough opportunities in the market; making too many trades could lead to entering positions that a trader is not fully comfortable with. Also too many trades reduce profit due to trading fees being stacked up. So if a trader can not find another opportunity to make a trade, the best solution is to take a “break” and to keep looking for the next opportunity rather than force himself or herself into trading. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as basis for taking any trade action by individual investor. Your own due dilligence is highly advised before entering trade. This content serves solely educational purposes.
SP:SPXEducation
by Tradersweekly
114
Principles Of Risk Management One of the main topics, and perhaps the most important, is the topic of risk management and risk reward. Beginners often do not take this topic seriously, trying to hit the jackpot in every transaction, risking all or almost all of the capital and not realizing what the consequences of such actions may be. Whatever trading style you use, whether it's day trading or scalping, the way you manage risk will still be decisive in the question of whether you will be profitable at a distance or not. Margin trading gives a lot of advantages, but most often it ruins newcomers who open deals with a large volume and quickly lose money when the price goes against them. The ability to manage risks correctly will help you stay in the game for a long time and be profitable at a distance. Focus on protecting what you have. In the pursuit of profit, traders forget about risks, forget about capital protection. It is important to remember that after each loss, the percentage of profit that needs to be returned to breakeven increases exponentially, depending on how much you lose. Fundamentals of Risk Management The market is changing every second and at any moment there may be news that will make the price go against you. The desire to risk everything in one transaction leads to the closure of novice accounts, instead, it is better to manage risks and stay in the game for a long time, making a profit. Anything can happen in the markets and it is simply unwise to risk everything in one transaction. You must remember: 1. You should not risk more than you can afford to lose. 2. Each trade must be opened with the correct risk reward ratio. (RRR) The Risk Reward Ratio (RRR) is how much you are willing to lose, compared to the expected profit in each trade. You should strive for a ratio of less risk / more profit. One of the best ways to manage risk is the 1% method. This method of risk control means that in each transaction a trader risks 1% of his capital. This is correctly used even by managers of large hedge funds and they do it for a reason. Do not think that only 1% of the capital can be traded. You can use at least all your capital for trading, but your stop loss should be no more than 1% - this is your risk. You can use leverage if you need to, but don't lose more than 1% in one trade if you want to become a professional. The Best Risk-Reward Ratio For Trading Before opening a position, you should know how much you can lose and how much you expect to win, and the ratio should not be lower than 1:1. A ratio below 1:1 means that you lose more than you can win, and this is an extremely dangerous activity that can eventually lead to the loss of the entire account. If the ratio is 1:1, you will be at breakeven, even if 50% of your trades are unprofitable. If the ratio is higher than 1:1, then you will be in the black, even if more than half of your trades are closed in the negative. Do not forget that it is impossible to win in every transaction and without proper risk management, such a game will lead to big losses. Do not forget about the rules of risk management, use a profitable strategy and act according to the rules, do not give in to emotions and then success awaits you. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with Like. Thanks for your support!
Education
by DeGRAM
1
BSVUSDT is the best choice to open a position todaymost of the tokens are going somehow exactly as bitcoin is going, so I analyse BTCUSDT chart first then I choose the token with more movement (based on the percent it has gone up or down) so today BSV is the best choice for higher gains everything is on the chart, if the price comes below 146 I will open a short position after a pullback and if the price goes above 155 I will open a long position after a pullback. My Bet is On the Downward movement based on my analyses.
by Belachi
TRADING PRINCIPLES THAT EVERYONE SHOULD KNOW. PART 2.Hello traders! Today we will continue to explore the principles that every trader should know and do. READ THE NEWS. The impact of news on ALL markets is enormous. Every news can turn the market against you and break any trading plan. Read news, professional analytics, reports, any information that may be useful. You should always be up to date with the latest news in order to correctly assess future movements. MAKE A TRADING PLAN. Every trader should have a well-built strategy and a clear plan of action. Before each trading session, the trader analyzes the market and outlines the possible direction of the market and opportunities for opening positions. Even before the market opens, you should be ready and know what you will do. After each trading day, you have to analyze positions and work on mistakes. BE RESTRAINED AND DISCIPLINED. Do not give in to emotions. Don't go into a new position often. Don't change your mind every five minutes. Don't forget about the risks! A good strategy will help you not to drown in this emotional storm. ACCEPT YOUR LOSSES AND MOVE ON. There are thousands of profit opportunities on the market every day. But if you lose all your money in the pursuit of winning back the lost money, you will not have the opportunity to trade for a long time and will not have the opportunity to become a successful trader. Trading is a long distance where you need to be able to stay on track, be able to accept losses and move on. Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
Education
by Lingrid
12
UNSUCCESSFUL vs. SUCCESSFUL TRADERUnsuccessful Trader You are trading without a Specific Trading Strategy The main reason for opening positions for you is not clear strategy rules, but your own intuition. And even after several failures, you continue to repeat your mistakes due to the lack of discipline and the lack of a trader's trading journal. You often over-trade and get Margin Calls Your instincts make you trade too much, open new positions again and again, forgetting about the risk and thus getting frequent margin calls. Because of such disorderly market entries, you become very emotional, lose control and lose money quickly. You get attached to Open Positions Following your own emotions, you often hold on to an open position for too long, hoping that the profit will become even greater, while forgetting about the take profit that you set yourself. As a result, a profitable position becomes unprofitable, and you begin to believe and expect that it will become profitable again, overstaying the unprofitable position. You're Too Emotional Your mood changes with every price reversal. Forgetting about the analysis, you often open new positions and lose more than your risk management can afford. Successful Trader You have an Effective Trading Plan You have written on a piece of paper a strategy of actions for any market situation and always follow the rules prescribed in the strategy. You often analyze your trades in a trade journal and always remember your mistakes and hits. You Understand What Risk Is You have clear rules of risk management. Even before opening a position, you know how much you can lose in this trade and do not lose more than allowed by the rules of risk management. You don't move your stop loss and you don't act emotionally. You Control Your Emotions You clearly follow your strategy, leaving no room for emotions. Even before opening a deal, you have analyzed everything and know exactly what to do – you have a plan of action. You always fix a part of the profit You do not forget to protect your capital, so you close part of the position in plus or zero, and let the rest of the position grow further. Now you will not only not lose your money, but you can also earn. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with Like. Thanks for your support!
Education
by DeGRAM
2
Bites Of Trading Knowledge For New TOP Traders #6 (short read)Bites Of Trading Knowledge For New TOP Traders #6 --------------------------------------------------------------- What is Hedging? – Hedging is the action taken through the use of a financial instrument to minimize the loss or risk of the loss of value of an asset due to adverse asset price movements. Who are Hedgers? – Hedgers are market participants such as commodity producers who want to lock in selling prices of commodities they produce, or food manufacturers who want to lock in buying prices of raw materials purchased. Market participants also include financial institutions handling financial assets and use derivative products such as futures to manage the risk of a portfolio of financial assets. What is the difference between Physically Delivered vs Cash Settled Futures Contracts? – Physical delivery is a term in a futures contract which requires the actual underlying asset to be “physically delivered” upon the specified delivery date, rather than being traded out with an offsetting contract. Cash settled futures on the other hand allows for the net cash amount to be paid or received on the settlement date of the futures contract. Futures exchanges may offer both types of contracts to market participants who have different purposes for trading futures contracts. RISKS AND OPPORTUNITIES FOR CORPORATES AND INDIVIDUAL INVESTORS – Diversification: Correlation in Futures – Investors could allocate a portion of their portfolio to establish a managed futures position to deliver non-correlated results under most market conditions, which may serve as a risk mediator within an overall portfolio. This may deliver lower relative returns during periods of price stability. However, during periods of market stress, managed futures could outperform the broad market. For example, the Asia Tech 30 index which has no Thai companies as a component stock would not be expected to have any Thai Baht (USDTHB) currency exposure and which could be included in a managed futures portfolio at times where there is no or low correlation between the two markets and could be used as a hedge during times of negative correlation. Source: ICE Connect Diversification: Portfolio Focused on Asset Returns – Individual investors who have a portfolio of foreign stocks will have a return that is composed of the return of the foreign currency-denominated stock plus the change in currency exchange rates. Therefore, investing abroad means having exposure to two different sources of risk and return made up of the underlying asset and the exchange rate. For a long-term investor, the focus on return-generating assets may be the priority rather than returns from currency exchange rates. This could imply removing currency risk through a clearly defined hedging strategy process initially, and then adding back currency exposure at a later stage if it is determined that currency exposures could improve a portfolio’s return. Investors would need to analyze their expected returns with and without currency exposures and determine their net currency exposure to be removed. U.S. Dollar based portfolios could use futures contracts such as the Mini US Dollar Index ® Futures to hedge a basket of foreign stocks denominated in their respective domestic currencies. TRADDICTIV · Research Team -------- Disclaimer: We do not provide investment advice, nor provide any personalized investment recommendations and/or advice in making a decision to trade. Before you start trading, please make sure you have considered your entire financial situation, including financial commitments and you understand that trading is highly speculative and that you could sustain significant losses.
ICESG:SDX1!Education
by traddictiv
TRADING PRINCIPLES THAT EVERYONE SHOULD KNOW. PART 1.Hello traders! For a long time, the Forex market has created a large number of trading methods. Finding your strategy that suits you specifically is one of the main steps in achieving success in the Forex market. And it is worth remembering that successful traders do not use anything magical in their trading. Everything has been invented for a long time for both a novice trader and a successful trader. The main task of beginners is to choose a fairly easy strategy and strictly follow its principles and rules. So what does a beginner need to know in order to trade profitably? Price levels. It is difficult for a beginner to determine price levels and trade them correctly. There are no specific rules in this topic, since the price does not draw clear points, but forms zones. Many traders use support and resistance levels in their trading and for beginners, the main task at the beginning of the journey will be the concept of selling from resistance and buying from support. There are three types of trading systems based on price levels. 1. If the price moves within the framework of a sideways movement, the trader can sell from resistance and buy from support. 2. If there is a prevailing trend in the market, for example, bearish, a trader can sell from resistance and expect support to break through. 3. The same rules work in the bull market, only in a different direction. If the price breaks through the resistance, then this zone becomes a support from which you can buy. Consider the principles of trading from price levels. #1 Understanding the market context. The key to profitable trading from the levels is the ability to correctly understand the market context. Bearish pressure leads the market movement through an impulse movement that breaks through support and creates new lows – in this context, selling strategies will not work well. That is why it is so important to follow the concept of the market context: When the market falls, creating new highs and lows, we are talking about an impulsive bearish context. The correction is created by an impulse that is weaker than the main trend. A sideways movement occurs when both demand and supply are approximately equal and the price cannot move in a certain direction. As soon as the bulls or bears take over, the price will make an impulse in the direction of the strong side. #2 Top-Down Analysis The market is ruled by big money, which pays great importance to large timelines. And it is vital for an ordinary trader to know where smart money is pushing the market. To do this, it is worth noting strong levels on the monthly-weekly-daily timeframes in order to know exactly where the price is most likely to rebound. On the other hand, if the price is above the key levels, then the market is bullish. #3 Candlestick Patterns Almost every trader uses candlestick patterns in his analysis, which are a very strong analysis tool. Reversal candlestick patterns create an excellent opportunity to enter a trend reversal. The higher the timeframe on which the pattern was formed, the stronger its signal will be. Knowing candlestick formations is a very important part of a trader's professional growth. #4 Risk Management Any trader should be aware of the risks and be able to control them. Although this topic goes beyond the definition of the market context, it is still very important. There are many ways to control risks. An important rule is to set a stop loss and risk in each position, as recommended, no more than 2% percent. Hedge fund managers risk an even smaller percentage in each transaction, sometimes 1% or even lower. It is better to grow slowly than to fall quickly. If you lose 2% of the capital, in the next transaction, in order to get your money back, you will already need to make 4%, which in general is not difficult to do. But if you lose 50%, you will need to make 100% profit already, which is almost unrealistic. Conclusions Summarizing the above, you can make the following sequence of actions: Identify the key support and resistance levels. Wait for the candle to form in the desired direction. Stop loss above or below the candlestick pattern. Take profit is placed at the following support or resistance levels. Always make sure to use proper money management for each trade, and never take on a risk that exceeds the return. Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩‍💻
Education
by Lingrid
113
The Shark Pattern Tutorial (Basic) #BitcoinThe Shark pattern is a relatively new addition to the Harmonic collection which was discovered and defined by Scott Carney in 2010. As a trend continuation structure, the expectation at the completion point of the Shark is for price to continue in the direction of the trend. The Shark, like all continuation structures, begins with an initial impulsive move ( X - A ) in the direction of the trend. Draw the Fib retracement tool from the low point ( X ) to the high point ( A ) using the levels 0%, 38.2%, 61.8% and 100%. The A-B leg must retrace a minimum 38.2% and maximum 61.8% of the X-A leg. Reverse the fib tool in situ then add the 113% and 127.2% levels. Price must break the 113% level but must not exceed 127.2%. Draw the fib tool from point X to Point C using levels 0%,88.6%, 100% and 113%. After all confirmations are met, price is expected to reverse between the 88.6% and 113% retracement of XC Draw the long position tool with entry at 88.6%, Stop at 113% and TP at 2R (risk to reward ratio 1-2). At TP close at least 50% of your position.
by Cryptsyxalt
1
Psychology of the market circle Hello traders! Euphoria and Anxiety, Fear and Greed Psychology of the market cycle Any trader finds himself under the influence of changing market cycles. At favorable moments, investors feel joy and are overwhelmed with self-confidence. On dark days, the investor falls into despair and feels anxiety attacks. The only way not to succumb to such an emotional influence is to follow the clear rules of a properly compiled system. Unfortunately, most traders have no plan and no strategy. In order not to become a victim of emotions, a trader must have an idea of the emotional stages of the market cycle. Psychological stages of trading An uptrend is a trader's emotions. Optimism When the market is growing, the trader sees an opportunity to earn and invests money. The economy is growing, the price is rising, profits are growing. At such a moment, the trader feels confident, begins to open new positions after each pullback, which eventually turns into a kind of instinct. At this stage, the trader begins to forget about the risks. Enthusiasm and Abundance The market is starting to accelerate. Traders experience pleasant feelings of joy and enthusiasm. The trader begins to lose his head, confidence overwhelms him. Euphoria After that, the last stage of the upward trend comes - Euphoria. Money comes very easily, the trader is overwhelmed with confidence in his actions and decides to open positions using leverage. At some point, the trader begins to think that he is a professional analyst, and it is not he who is following the market, but the market is following him. This stage in the market helps large investors to discount their shares to self-confident traders who buy everything in a row, believing in the continuation of the upward trend. In fact, this phase is the most risky, after which the trend is reversed. Emotional stages of a Downtrend in the market Anxiety The price is starting to slow down, there are fewer and fewer sellers, bears are gaining momentum. For a trader blinded by luck, this phase looks like another correction. But the market can no longer create new highs and falls, forming new lows. Such a fall creates anxiety in the trader's soul, easy profits begin to melt. Denial and Fear Fear fills the market, traders are afraid to be wrong, because recently they ruled the market. At this stage, the trader denies that he is wrong and tries in every way to justify holding unprofitable positions. Like any beginner, a trader believes that sooner or later the price will not only return, but also go beyond the maximum. Denial brings the trader to a state of helplessness and inaction, from misunderstanding of the situation on the market. The trader gets lost, not knowing what to do and waits without knowing what, without closing unprofitable positions. Despair and Panic The price continues to fall, and the trader falls into despair, because the confidence in holding a losing position is already beginning to disappear. This phase is the most painful, because the severity of losses presses too hard to stay calm. Surrender The unprofitability of the position is increasing, traders can no longer tolerate this pain. In this phase, traders have to capitulate just to stop these torments. Traders are starting to close positions and it is here that large companies are included, for which this moment gives a new opportunity for large profits. Asset buying begins, because a reversal is possible soon. Despondency and Confusion As it often happens, as soon as a trader has closed a position, the market begins to grow. It looks like the law of meanness. This phase drives the trader into despondency, because the position was closed a moment before the rise. It is here that newcomers begin to think about whether it is worth investing further. Hope The market is starting to revive. The price shows new highs and the investor has hope. It seems that here it is, a new opportunity. The trader begins to enter the market, forgetting about the past, without drawing conclusions. A trader enters the market when the price has already accelerated, at points where the risk is again close to a critical value, the cycle begins again. Traders should keep this cycle in mind. Such emotional roller coasters can ruin anyone. A well-designed strategy can help avoid these painful blows. Remember the risks, remember the cycles, work on the mistakes, and victory will not take long to wait. Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩‍💻
Education
by Lingrid
40
FALSE BREAKOUTS | SPOT/AVOID/TRADE THEM LIKE PRO📈📉 FALSE BREAKOUTS | SPOT/AVOID/TRADE THEM LIKE PRO📈📉 How often have you opened a key level breakout trade, and then the price turned against you? False breakout happens quite often and it is a problem for many traders who buy at highs and sell at lows. ❗️Breakout trading is a fairly popular and viable trading strategy. However, some breakouts often turn out to be false. This can be quite frustrating, not to mention that it can often lead to a losing trade. However, in many cases, an experienced trader can analyze the market situation and react to it accordingly. False breakouts can make a profit if you know how to trade them correctly. ⚠️A false breakdown is a situation when the price violates an obvious level, but then suddenly changes direction. When the initial breakout of the level occurs, many traders open a trade in the direction of the breakdown. These traders are trapped when the price reverses, which triggers a series of stop losses. New traders are also entering the market, and this puts additional pressure on the price. This often turns the price into a new trend, the opposite of the initial breakout. A breakout that turns out to be false is a sign of strength in a downtrend or weakness in an uptrend. As you can see, a false breakout can easily cause significant losses for any trader. Some traders develop their entire strategy around trading false breakouts, as this can be a very powerful trading approach. Some of the best trades happen when market players fall into a trap and their stops start to work. ✅How to find patterns of false breakouts? 🟢If you do not learn how to correctly identify false breakouts, you will not be able to trade them profitably. For example, there will be situations when the price returns to the breakout point, and only then continues its movement. 🟢One of the ways to detect false breakouts is to monitor the volume. Real breakouts are usually accompanied by strong indications of trading volume at the time of the breakout. When this volume is absent, there is a higher probability that the breakout will not happen. 🟢Thus, if the trading volume is low or it decreases during the breakout, a false breakout is likely to occur. In contrast, if the volume is large or it increases, a real breakdown is likely. 🟢It is also useful to monitor not only the trading volume but also the price movement on the lower timeframe. In many cases, you will see that the price makes a very sharp pullback on the lower timeframe, which is not visible on the higher timeframe. ✅False Breakout Trap 🔴After all, many trading textbooks say that a breakout can be considered confirmed when a candle closes above the resistance level. However, the price moves in your direction for a while and then turns 180 degrees. As a result, you have a stop loss triggered. 🔴The false breakout trap includes several candlesticks, usually 1-4, that go beyond the key support or resistance level. Such breakouts occur after a strong movement, as the market has reached an important level, but the price momentum still retains its strength. Have you ever been trapped by a false breakout?
BITFINEX:BTCUSDEducation
by TopTradingSignals
8
BTC UpdateThe Anchored VWAP is a modified version of VWAP. It ties calculations to a specific price bar decided by the trader. It is similar to the traditional VWAP, as it incorporates price and trading volume in a weighted average. Like VWAP, it can also identify the areas of support and resistance on the chart. This indicator can warn you of a heavy price drop. Take a look at the bitcoin chart. If around 54000, the price breaks this line. This will be a serious warning for a heavy fall.
by abolfazlizadi
5
BTC poor bearsJust a very fast update to demonstrate something. Don't take this idea as an analyze , Timeframe is only 4H. consider it more like a tutorial to optimize your chart reading. - now it's been 5 times that the bears are trying to push TheKing under 60k. - Results : 5 Fails. (can see on chart attempts) What does it could means ? Going up is same as going down but just reversed : - When BTC goes up and attempts to break the last ATH and fails many times , then the probability to go down is higher. - When BTC Goes down, if bears fail many times to push TheKing down, then it creates some divergences with time, then probability increase to go up. - Right now TheKing stays very strong, it's very hard with the Fomo for bears to back from their caverns. - Anyway if we break down 60k the next Supports are around 55k$, followed by 52k$. Happy Tr4Ding !
Long
by thecryer
40
GOOD REACTION IN DUMP AND CORRECTION 😍when market have correction or dump people scared and sell portfolio and same place market come back and who sell portfolio, buy again in pump and this happen repeat and repeat to zero portfolio... Please read this part carefully , When market have a correction you must buy more and wait for come back and get profit to this correction instead of sell portfolio and think market will have bear season to this time , So now buy more and wait just this no more . Remember market in any time have new trend and never Fixed in one trend , You must smart and think about market and news and charts next select good position ! NOW If we can't understand chart or market condition , what we must to do ??? Answer : You have nothing to do , Sometimes we must just watch and wait to good place for login and each time feel market have bad trend and you can't understand that , just sit down and noting to do just watch !!!! Cryptocurrency market have a more than 12.000 coins and token and we can't keep all and get all profit , So make your watchlist about 10 to 20 for starts and check that . Have a good times guys :)
by ABOLFAZLVAZIRI