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NZD/USD and EUR/NZD on watch for me today.NZD/USD: • If price pushes up to and ideally just above our rayline I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back down below our upper trend line, where I'll be looking for a reduced risk entry on the break of a subsequent tight flag. • If price only pushes up to and ideally just above our upper trend line I'll still be happy to wait for a convincing impulse back down, where I'll again be looking for a reduced risk entry on the break of a subsequent tight flag. • If price pushes up to or above our rayline and then it impulses back down convincingly or not I'll not be looking for any entry on the break of a subsequent flag, if the flag forms either through or above either our rayline or our upper trend line or through both. • If neither of these setups present themselves then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises. • If there's any ambiguity then I will not place any of these trades. EUR//NZD: • If price pushes up impulsively to and ideally just above our rayline, then I'll be waiting for a convincing push back down followed by a tight flag where I'll be looking for a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag. • If price pushes up impulsively to and ideally just above our rayline, then I'll be waiting for a convincing push back down followed by a tight flag where I'll be looking for a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag. • If neither of these setups present themselves then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises. • If there's any ambiguity then I will not place any of these trades.
Short
by StewySongs
Learn how to use the head and shoulder pattern in TradingViewIntroduction of Head and Shoulders Pattern Technical analysis is a necessary thing to select the positions of perfect entry and exit. For that, There are many patterns available for trading, the head and shoulders pattern is one of them. This article is all about the head and shoulders pattern. In simple words, this pattern includes three triangles. The first triangle is on the left side, and the second one is on the right side, the last one is in between these two. This, the last triangle is the highest in the height, which is called the head, the other two are called the shoulders. What’s Head and Shoulders? There will be three vertices or bottom points in a certain price area, but the second apex or bottom point is higher or lower than the other two vertices or bottom points. This type is called the head and shoulders type. One with top and two shoulders is head and shoulder top; one with two shoulders is head and shoulder bottom type. However, sometimes there may be more than three vertices or bottoms. If there are one or two heads (or bottoms), two left and right shoulders, it is called a compound head and shoulder top (or compound head and shoulder bottom). The W bottom pattern is an important pattern in morphology, and its trend looks like the English letter "W". The W bottom pattern is a mid-term bottom pattern. It usually occurs at the end of a swing downtrend, and generally does not appear in the middle of a market trend. A mid-term short market must correspond to a mid-term bottom, that is, a W The brewing time of the bottom has its minimum period rule, so the shaping period of the bottom W is a necessary condition for judging the authenticity of the shape. The components of the bottom W have the following two conditions: There must be at least a relatively long distance between the first low point and the second low point of the bottom of W. Sometimes there will be short-term double bottoms in the market. This cannot be regarded as a bottom of W, but only a small market. Rebound at the end, and it is often a trap. The transactions at the first low point are relatively active, while the transactions at the second low point are extremely dull. Moreover, the appearance of the second low point is usually slightly arc-shaped. Therefore, the W bottom pattern has the characteristics of a left-pointed right circle. The formation of the bottom W pattern is due to the fact that after the long-term price decline, some investors who are optimistic about the market outlook believe that the price is already very low and has investment value, and the anticipatory buying is active, and the price will naturally rise, but this will affect the large investment institutions to absorb low-cost chips. Therefore, under the pressure of large investment institutions, the price has returned to the first low point, forming support. The fall this time hurt the enthusiasm of investors, and the shape was arc-shaped. There are two low points and two rebounds in the bottom W pattern. From the first high point, horizontal neckline pressure can be drawn. When the price breaks upward again, it must be accompanied by active transactions before the bottom W is officially established. If the upward breakthrough is unsuccessful, the exchange rate must continue to be adjusted horizontally. After the exchange rate breaks through the neckline, the neckline pressure becomes the neckline support, and the exchange rate will retreat at this time. The exchange rate temporarily retreats to the vicinity of the neckline. After the retreat ends, the exchange rate begins to rise in waves. Generally speaking, the second low point of the W bottom pattern is better than the first low point, which can create a bottom-breaking atmosphere and let retail investors out, thus forming a relatively concentrated bottom of chips to facilitate the pull of large investment institutions. Head and shoulders are the reversal patterns. That includes the concept of the bearish and bullish trend. In this pattern, there would be a one trend line, reacts as support, all three triangles are connected with that, called a neckline. If the trend crosses the neckline, there will be a change in the trend. By this, we can decide the trend (upward or downward). The next is the bearish head and shoulders (top reversal) and the bullish head and shoulders (bottom reversal). Bullish Head and Shoulders (Figure B): In this, the trend enters by falling. And makes the head and shoulders pattern by breaking the neckline. Then it will jump and make an uptrend by crossing the neckline in an incremental way. Bearish Head and Shoulders (Figure A): The trend initials in the uptrend further it crosses the neckline and makes the Head and Shoulders pattern and then after, by breaking the neckline, it will fall. It calls Top reversal, too. In-depth Description of Head and Shoulders Pattern: ============================================== The reversal pattern refers to the pattern formed by the reversal of the stock price trend, that is, the signal that the stock price turns from an uptrend to a downtrend, or from a downtrend to an uptrend. 1. The pattern analysis The head and shoulders trend can be divided into the following different parts: (i) The left shoulder part-lasts a period of ascending time, the trading volume is very large, in the past, people who bought at any time were profitable, so they started to get Profit-selling caused a short-term decline in the stock price, and the turnover was significantly reduced when it reached its peak. (ii) Top, After a short period of time, the stock price rose again strongly, and the transaction also increased. However, compared with the left shoulder part, the highest point of trading volume has significantly decreased. The stock price rose above the previous high and then fell again. The trading volume also decreased during this down period. (iii) The right shoulder part-the stock price fell to close to the last down low point and then gained support to rebound. However, the market investment sentiment was significantly weakened, and the turnover was significantly reduced compared with the left shoulder and the head, and the stock price could not reach the head high The point fell back, and the right shoulder part was formed. (iv) Breakthrough, Fall from the top of the right shoulder and break through the bottom neckline connected by the bottom of the left shoulder and the bottom of the head. The extent of the breakthrough of the neckline must exceed 3% of the market price. Simply put, the shape of the top of the head and shoulders presents three distinct peaks, one of which is in the middle is slightly higher than the other two peaks. As for trading volume, there was a cascading decline. 2. Market meaning The head and shoulders is a technical trend that cannot be ignored. From this pattern, we can observe the fierce competition between the poor and the weak. At the beginning, the optimistic forces continued to push the stock price up, the market investment sentiment was high, and a large number of transactions occurred. After a short-term downturn adjustment, those who had experienced the last uptrend of germanium bought during the adjustment period, and the stock price continued to rise. At the second high point, the market appears to be healthy and optimistic on the surface, but the transaction has been much lower than before, reflecting the weakening of the buyer's power. Those who did not have confidence in the prospects and missed the last high point and profit-taking, or those who bought at the falling low point for short-term speculation all sold, and the stock price fell again. The third rise provides an opportunity for those investors who later realized that they missed the opportunity of the last rise, but the stock price is unable to rise above the previous high, and when the trading volume drops further, it is almost certain that the past bullish optimism is almost certain The mood has been completely reversed. The future market will be weak and weak, and a sharp drop is about to come. The analysis of this pattern is: (i) This is a turning pattern of a long-term trend, which usually appears at the end of a bull market. (ii) When the trading volume of the most recent high is lower than the previous high, it implies the possibility of head and shoulders; when the stock price cannot rise to the previous high for the third time, trading will continue When it drops, experienced investors will seize the opportunity to sell. (iii) When the head-shoulders-top-neckline breaks, it is a real sell signal. Although the stock price has fallen by a considerable amount from the highest point, the decline has only just begun. Investors who have not shipped yet continue to sell. (iv) When the neckline breaks below, we can predict which level the stock price will fall to according to this type of measurement method of least drop. The method of this measurement is to draw a vertical line one by one from the highest point of the head to the neckline, and then start at the point where the right shoulder breaks through the neckline, and measure the same length downwards. The price thus measured is the stock price. The smallest drop. 3. Tips (i) Generally speaking, the height of the left shoulder and the right shoulder are roughly equal, and the right shoulder on the top of the head and shoulders is lower than the left shoulder. But if the height of the right shoulder is higher than the head, the pattern cannot be established. (ii) If its neckline slopes downward, it indicates that the market is very weak. (iii) In terms of trading volume, the left shoulder is the largest, followed by the head, and the right shoulder is the smallest. However, according to some statistics, about one-third of the head and shoulders have more turnover on the left shoulder than the head, one-third of the turnover is roughly equal, and the remaining one-third have more turnover on the head than the left shoulder. . (iv) When the neckline breaks, there is no need to increase the turnover. If the turnover increases sharply when the break, it shows that the selling power of the market is very strong, and the stock price will decline more rapidly as the turnover increases. (v) After breaking the neckline, there may be a temporary rebound (post-draw). This situation usually occurs when a break of low volume occurs. However, the temporary recovery should not exceed the neckline level. (vi) The head-and-shoulders top is a very lethal form, and its drop is usually greater than the smallest drop measured. (vii) If the stock price finally rebounds at the neckline level and is higher than the head, or if the stock price drops below the neckline and then rises above the neckline, this may be a failed head and shoulders and should not be trusted. Reversal pattern-head and shoulders bottom =+=+=+=+=+=+=+=+=+=+=+=+=+=+=+=+=+=+=+=+= 1. The shape analysis [ Figure B ] is the same as the shape of the head and shoulders, except that the whole shape is reversed, also known as "inverted head and shoulders". When the left shoulder is formed, the stock price drops and the trading volume increases, followed by a secondary increase with a small volume. Then the stock price fell again and fell below the lowest point of the last time, and the trading volume increased again with the decline, which was more than the trading volume during the rebound phase of the left shoulder-forming a head; when it rebounded from the lowest point of the head, the trading volume was May increase. The volume of the entire head is more than that of the left shoulder. When the stock price rebounded to the last rebound high, there was a third fall. At this time, the trading volume was obviously less than that of the left shoulder and head. When the stock price fell to the level of the left shoulder, the decline stabilized, forming the right shoulder. . Finally, the stock price formally instigated an upward trend, and accompanied by a large increase in transactions, when the neckline resistance broke through, the transaction increased significantly, and the whole pattern was established. 2. Market meaning The analytical significance of the head and shoulders bottom is no different from that of the head and shoulders top. It tells us that the past long-term trend has been reversed. Stock prices have fallen again and again, and the second low (head) is obviously lower than the previous one. The price was low, but it quickly turned around and bounced back. The next fall, the stock price fell to the last low level and has gained support and rebounded, reflecting the optimistic forces that are gradually changing the market’s past weakening situation. When the high resistance line (neckline) of the two rebounds breaks, it shows that the optimistic side has completely knocked down the weak side, and the buyer replaces the seller to completely control the entire market. 3. Tips (i) The shape of the top of the head and shoulders is similar to that of the bottom of the head and shoulders. The main difference lies in the volume. (ii) When the head-shoulders-bottom-neckline breaks, it is a real buy signal. Although the stock price has risen by a certain amount compared with the lowest point, the upward trend is only just beginning. Investors who still suggest buying should continue to chase. The method of measuring the least increase is to draw a vertical line from the lowest point of the head to intersect the neckline, and then start at the point where the right shoulder breaks through the neckline, and measure the same height upwards. The measured price is that the stock will rise. The smallest amplitude. In addition, when the neckline resistance breaks, there must be a surge in volume, otherwise it may be a wrong break. However, if the transaction gradually increases after the breakthrough, the pattern can also be confirmed. (iii) Generally speaking, the head and shoulders pattern is relatively flat, so it takes a longer time to complete. (iv) After breaking through the neckline, there may be a temporary fall back, but it should not fall below the line. If it falls below the neckline, or if the stock price falls back at the neckline level, the neckline resistance cannot be broken, and it falls below the head, this may be a failed head and shoulders pattern. (v) Head-and-shoulders bottom is one of the most predictive patterns. Once confirmed, the increase will mostly exceed the minimum increase. Reversal pattern-compound head and shoulders =+=+=+=+=+=+=+=+=+=+=+=+=+=+=+=+=+=+=+=+= 1. [ Figure A & B ] Shape analysis The compound head and shoulders type is the deformation trend of the head and shoulders (head and shoulders top or head and shoulders bottom), and its shape is very similar to the head and shoulders, except that the shoulder, head, or both appear more than once at the same time, roughly It can be divided into the following categories: (i) One-head and two-shoulder style: One head has two left and right shoulders of the same size, and the left and right shoulders are roughly balanced. More often is a pair of right shoulders. When the first right shoulder is formed, the stock price does not immediately fall below the neckline, but instead turns to rebound, but the rebound stops below the right shoulder height, and finally the stock price continues to follow the original The trend is down. (ii) One-head and multiple-shoulder style: The general head-and-shoulder style tends to be symmetrical, so when two left shoulders are formed, it is likely that one shoulder will also be formed. Except for the volume, the left and right half of the graph is almost identical. (iii) Long-headed and multi-shouldered pattern: During the formation of the head, the stock price has risen again and again, and it has risen to the same high level as last time before falling back down, forming two obvious heads. Trend. One thing must be noted: the volume of the second head tends to decrease compared to the first one. 2. Meaning market analysis significance complex head and shoulders patterns and common type of head and shoulders patterns as when appears at the bottom, it means that a longer-term rising market around the corner; if appear at the top, that the market will become more fall. In the initial stage of forming a compound head and shoulders pattern, the volume may be irregular, making the pattern difficult to identify, but after a while, it is easy to see that it is exactly the same as the head and shoulders pattern. Many people overestimate the expected rise (or fall) power of the compound head and shoulders pattern. In fact, the power of the compound head and shoulders pattern is often weaker than the ordinary head and shoulders pattern. When a mid-term trend appears, the compound head-and-shoulders pattern completes its minimum increase (or decline) and then no longer continues, while the increase (or decline) of the ordinary head-and-shoulders pattern is often the most measured big. 3. Key points (i) The minimum increase/decrease measurement method of the composite head and shoulders pattern is the same as that of the ordinary head and shoulders pattern. (ii) It is difficult to draw the neckline of the composite head-and-shoulders pattern, because each shoulder and the falling part of the head (the bottom of the composite head and shoulders is the rising part), not all fall on the same line. Therefore, the two most obvious short-term lows (compound head and shoulders are short-term rebound highs) should be connected to form a neckline. In addition, it may be connected to the neckline at the level where the price has fallen (or rebounded) the most times. Reversal pattern-single-day (double-day) reversal =+=+=+=+=+=+=+=+=+=+=+=+=+=+=+=+=+=+=+=+=+ 1. Pattern analysis [ Figure B ] When a stock continues to rise for a period of time, the stock price is suddenly and unusually pushed up on a certain trading day, but it is immediately under strong selling pressure, and all the gains of the day are completely reduced. If you fall more and close at the lowest price of the day (or close to the lowest price of the day), this trading day is called the top one-day reversal. Also when it fell, the stock price suddenly fell sharply on a certain trading day, but it was immediately supported by strong buying. All the declines of the day may be increased, and the highest price of the day (or close to the highest price of the day) Price) closes, this is the bottom one-day reversal. The two-day reversal is a deformation of this pattern. In the process of rising, the stock price of the stock rose sharply on a certain trading day and closed at the highest price of the day. However, after the stock price opened at yesterday’s closing price on the next day, the price continued to fall throughout the day. It is the closing of the lowest price of the previous day, and the performance of this trend is called the top two-day counter. Also when it fell, the stock price suddenly fell sharply on a certain trading day, but the following trading day completely recovered the lost ground and closed at the highest price of the day, which is the bottom two-day reversal. 2. Market implications Let us take the bottom one-day reversal as an example to explain the cause of this phenomenon. During the downward phase, as the stock price continued to fall, more and more investors were unable to bear greater losses, so they stopped loss and sold. Their selling further pushed down the stock price, and the lower price made them more eager to sell, which caused the price to fall sharply that day. When they finished selling, the selling pressure suddenly disappeared. Other investors tried to buy because of the lure of new low prices and immediately made profits. Therefore, more investors joined the ranks of buying. The order has been completely digested, so the buying order quickly pushed up the stock price, bringing back all the prices that fell that day. The market meaning of the one-day reversal pattern has at least two points: (i) The market temporarily peaks (when the top one-day reversal occurs) or bottoms (when the bottom one-day reversal occurs). The top one-day reversal usually occurs in the late period of a consumable rise; the bottom one-day reversal occurs at the end of the panic selling. (ii) This is not a signal of a long-term trend reversal. It usually appears at the top of the consolidation pattern, although it may also appear at the peak (or bottom) of the long-term trend. 3. Key points revealed (i) On the day of the single-day reversal, the transaction volume suddenly increased, and the price fluctuation range was very large, both of which were significantly larger than usual. If the trading volume is not high or the price volatility throughout the day is not large, the pattern cannot be confirmed. (ii) The volatility of the stock price within one or two hours may be greater than the volatility of the usual three or four trading days. When the top one-day reversal, the stock price opened a lot higher than the previous trading day, but the situation quickly reversed, the price quickly moved in the opposite direction, and the closing price of the last day was almost nothing compared to the previous trading day Variety. The bottom one-day reversal situation is exactly the opposite. (iii) Generally, 15 minutes before the market closes, there is a sudden increase in trading and the price quickly moves in the opposite direction. (iv) The volatility of the two-day reversal of the transaction and price is also huge. The top two-day reversal completely falls back to the previous trading day's gain on the second trading day; while the bottom two-day reversal fully returns to the previous trading day's decline. IF YOU LIKE MY ARTICLES, PLEASE SHOW YOUR LOVE TOWARDS MY ARTICLES BY GIVING LIKES AND COMMENTS. The analysis and discussion provided are for your education and entertainment only. If you have any concerns or questions, DM me.
CME_MINI:ES1!Education
by forextidings
NZD/USD and GBP/USD on watch for me today.NZD/USD: • If price pushes up to and ideally just above our rayline I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back down below our upper trend line, where I'll be looking for a reduced risk entry on the break of a subsequent tight flag. • If price only pushes up to and ideally just above our upper trend line I'll still be happy to wait for a convincing impulse back down, where I'll again be looking for a reduced risk entry on the break of a subsequent tight flag. • If price pushes up to or above our rayline and then it impulses back down convincingly or not I'll not be looking for any entry on the break of a subsequent flag, if the flag forms either through or above either our rayline or our upper trend line or through both. • If neither of these setups present themselves then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises. • If there's any ambiguity then I will not place any of these trades. GBP/USD: • If price impulses back down convincingly below both of our raylines I'll be waiting for a tight flag, where I'll be looking for a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag. • If price impulses back down convincingly below both of our raylines I'll be waiting for a tight flag, where I'll be looking for a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag and if the flag forms just below our lower rayline then I'll be hiding my stop loss above it for extra protection as illustrated. • If price impulses back down convincingly or not I'll not be looking for any entry on the break of a subsequent flag if the flag forms either through or above either of our raylines. • If neither of these setups present themselves then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises. • If there's any ambiguity then I will not place any of these trades.
Short
by StewySongs
4
GBP/USD and NZD/USD on watch for me today.GBP/USD: • If price impulses back down convincingly below both of our raylines I'll be waiting for a tight flag, where I'll be looking for a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag. • If price impulses back down convincingly below both of our raylines I'll be waiting for a tight flag, where I'll be looking for a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag and if the flag forms just below our lower rayline then I'll be hiding my stop loss above it for extra protection as illustrated. • If price impulses back down convincingly or not I'll not be looking for any entry on the break of a subsequent flag if the flag forms either through or above either of our raylines. • If neither of these setups present themselves then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises. • If there's any ambiguity then I will not place any of these trades. NZD/USD: • If price pushes up to and ideally just above our rayline I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back down below our upper trend line, where I'll be looking for a reduced risk entry on the break of a subsequent tight flag. • If price only pushes up to and ideally just above our upper trend line I'll still be happy to wait for a convincing impulse back down, where I'll again be looking for a reduced risk entry on the break of a subsequent tight flag. • If price pushes up to or above our rayline and then it impulses back down convincingly or not I'll not be looking for any entry on the break of a subsequent flag, if the flag forms either through or above either our rayline or our upper trend line or through both. • If neither of these setups present themselves then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises. • If there's any ambiguity then I will not place any of these trades.
Short
by StewySongs
GBP/USD and EUR/NZD on watch for me today.GBP/USD: • If price pushes up to and ideally just above our upper trend line and the last part of the move is corrective, then I'll be looking for a risk entry after a phase line break on either the one hour or the fifteen minute chart. • If price pushes up impulsively to and ideally just above either our upper trend line or our lower rayline, then I'll be waiting for a convincing push back down followed by a tight flag where I'll be looking for reduced risk entries on the break of the flag. • If price pushes up to and ideally just above our lower rayline, then regardless of how price does so I'll be waiting for a convincing push back down followed by a tight flag where I'll be looking for reduced risk entries on the break of the flag. • If none of these setups present themselves then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises. • If there's any ambiguity then I will not place any of these trades. EUR/NZD: • If price impulses back into our expanding pattern convincingly after giving us a third touch, I'll simply be waiting for a subsequent tight flag where I'll be looking for a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag. • If price impulses back into our expanding pattern convincingly after giving us a third touch, I'll simply be waiting for a subsequent tight flag where I'll be looking for a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag. But if the flag forms close to our rayline, then I'll be hiding my stop loss above the rayline as illustrated for extra protection. • If price impulses back towards our expanding pattern after giving us a third touch, due to personal preference I'll not be looking for any entries on the break of a subsequent tight flag, regardless of with the impulse is convincing or not if the flag forms either through or above our rayline. • If neither of these setups present themselves then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises. • If there's any ambiguity then I will not place any of these trades.
Short
by StewySongs
USD/CAD, GBP/USD and EUR/NZD on watch for me today.USD/CAD: • If price pushes down to give us a confirmed second bottom and then it pushes up to and ideally just above our upper trend line and the last part of the move is corrective, then I'll be looking for a risk entry after a phase line break on either the one hour or the fifteen minute chart. • If price pushes down to give us a confirmed second bottom and then it pushes up impulsively to and ideally just above our upper trend line, then I'll be waiting for a convincing push back down below our rayline followed by a tight flag where I'll be looking for a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag. • If price pushes down to give us a confirmed second bottom and then it pushes up to and ideally just above our rayline, then however it gets there I'll be waiting for a convincing push back down followed by a tight flag where I'll be looking for reduced risk entries on the break of the flag. • If none of these setups present themselves then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises. • If there's any ambiguity then I will not place any of these trades. GBP/USD: • If price pushes up to and ideally just above our upper rayline line and the last part of the move is corrective, then I'll be looking for a risk entry after a phase line break on either the one hour or the fifteen minute chart. • If price pushes up impulsively to and ideally just above either our upper or our lower rayline, then I'll be waiting for a convincing push back down followed by a tight flag where I'll be looking for reduced risk entries on the break of the flag. • If price pushes up to and ideally just above our lower rayline, then regardless of how price does so I'll be waiting for a convincing push back down followed by a tight flag where I'll be looking for reduced risk entries on the break of the flag. • If none of these setups present themselves then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises. • If there's any ambiguity then I will not place any of these trades. EUR/NZD: • If price pushes up to and ideally just above our upper trend line and the last part of the move is corrective, then I'll be looking for a risk entry after a phase line break on either the one hour or the fifteen minute chart. • If price pushes up impulsively to and ideally just above our upper trend line, then I'll be waiting for a convincing push back down below our rayline followed by a tight flag where I'll be looking for a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag. • If price pushes up to and ideally just above our rayline, then however it gets there I'll be waiting for a convincing push back down followed by a tight flag where I'll be looking for reduced risk entries on the break of the flag. • If none of these setups present themselves then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises. • If there's any ambiguity then I will not place any of these trades.
Short
by StewySongs
2
GBP/USD and EUR/NZD on watch for me today.GBP/USD: • If price pushes up to and ideally just above our upper rayline line and the last part of the move is corrective, then I'll be looking for a risk entry after a phase line break on either the one hour or the fifteen minute chart. • If price pushes up impulsively to and ideally just above either our upper or our lower rayline, then I'll be waiting for a convincing push back down followed by a tight flag where I'll be looking for reduced risk entries on the break of the flag. • If price pushes up to and ideally just above our lower rayline, then regardless of how price does so I'll be waiting for a convincing push back down followed by a tight flag where I'll be looking for reduced risk entries on the break of the flag. • If none of these setups present themselves then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises. • If there's any ambiguity then I will not place any of these trades. EUR/NZD: • If price pushes up to and ideally just above our upper trend line and the last part of the move is corrective, then I'll be looking for a risk entry after a phase line break on either the one hour or the fifteen minute chart. • If price pushes up impulsively to and ideally just above our upper trend line, then I'll be waiting for a convincing push back down below our rayline followed by a tight flag where I'll be looking for a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag. • If price pushes up to and ideally just above our rayline, then however it gets there I'll be waiting for a convincing push back down followed by a tight flag where I'll be looking for reduced risk entries on the break of the flag. • If none of these setups present themselves then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises. • If there's any ambiguity then I will not place any of these trades.
Short
by StewySongs
2
GBP/USD and EUR/JPY on watch for me today.GBP/USD: • If price pushes up to and ideally just above our rayline and the last part of the move is corrective, then I'll be looking for risk entries beneath the correction. • If price pushes up impulsively to and ideally just above our rayline, then I'll be waiting for a convincing push back down followed by a tight flag where I'll be looking for reduced risk entries on the break of the flag. • If price pushes up impulsively to and ideally just above our rayline, then I'll be waiting for a convincing push back down followed by a tight flag where I'll be looking for reduced risk entries on the break of the flag. But if the flag forms close to our rayline, then I'll be hiding my stop loss above the rayline as illustrated for extra protection. • If none of these setups present themselves then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises. • If there's any ambiguity then I will not place any of these trades. EUR/JPY: • If price pushes down to give us a confirmed second bottom and then it pushes up to and ideally just above our rayline and the last part of the move is corrective, then I'll be looking for risk entries beneath the correction. • If price pushes down to give us a confirmed second bottom and then it pushes up impulsively to and ideally just above our rayline, then I'll be waiting for a convincing push back down followed by a tight flag where I'll be looking for reduced risk entries on the break of the flag. • If price pushes down to give us a confirmed second bottom and then it pushes up impulsively to and ideally just above our rayline, then I'll be waiting for a convincing push back down followed by a tight flag where I'll be looking for reduced risk entries on the break of the flag. But if the flag forms close to our rayline, then I'll be hiding my stop loss above the rayline as illustrated for extra protection. • If none of these setups present themselves then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises. • If there's any ambiguity then I will not place any of these trades.
Short
by StewySongs
2
GBP/USD and EUR/NZD on watch for me today.GBP/USD: • If price pushes up to and ideally just above our rayline line and the last part of the move is corrective, then I'll be looking for risk entries beneath the correction. • If price pushes up impulsively to and ideally just above our rayline, then I'll be waiting for a convincing push back down followed by a tight flag where I'll be looking for reduced risk entries on the break of the flag. • If price pushes up impulsively to and ideally just above our rayline, then I'll be waiting for a convincing push back down followed by a tight flag where I'll be looking for reduced risk entries on the break of the flag. But if the flag forms close to our rayline, then I'll be hiding my stop loss above the rayline as illustrated for extra protection. • If neither of these setups present themselves then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises. • If there's any ambiguity then I will not place any of these trades. EUR/NZD: • If price pushes up to and ideally just above our upper trend line and the last part of the move is corrective, then I'll be looking for risk entries beneath the correction. • However if the correction doesn't quite reach our upper trend line but it meets my entry criteria, then I'll be using the trend line as a shield by hiding my stop loss above it just encase price trickles up a little further before retracing. • If price pushes up to and ideally just above our upper rayline and then we get a convincing push back down followed by a tight flag, then I'll be looking for reduced risk entries on the break of the flag. • If neither of these setups present themselves then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises. • If there's any ambiguity then I will not place any of these trades.
Short
by StewySongs
GBP/USD and EUR/NZD on watch for me today.GBP/USD: If price pushes up to and ideally just above our rayline line and the last part of the move is corrective, then I'll be looking for risk entries beneath the correction. If price pushes up to and ideally just above our rayline impulsively and it doesn't give us an entry, then I'll be waiting for a convincing push back down followed by a tight flag where I'll be looking for reduced risk entries on the break of the flag. If price pushes up to and ideally just above our rayline impulsively and it doesn't give us an entry, then I'll be waiting for a convincing push back down followed by a tight flag where I'll be looking for reduced risk entries on the break of the flag. But if the flag forms close to our rayline, then I'll be hiding my stop loss above the rayline as illustrated for extra protection. If neither of these setups present themselves then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises. If there's any ambiguity then I will not place any of these trades. EUR/NZD: If price pushes up to and ideally just above our upper trend line and the last part of the move is corrective, then I'll be looking for risk entries beneath the correction. However if the correction doesn't quite reach our upper trend line but it meets my entry criteria, then I'll be using the trend line as a shield by hiding my stop loss above it just encase price trickles up a little further before retracing. If price pushes up to and ideally just above our upper rayline and then we get a convincing push back down followed by a tight flag, then I'll be looking for reduced risk entries on the break of the flag. If neither of these setups present themselves then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises. If there's any ambiguity then I will not place any of these trades.
Short
by StewySongs
EUR/AUD and GBP/USD on watch for me today.EUR/AUD: If price pushes up to and ideally just above our upper rayline and then we get a convincing push back down followed by a tight flag, then I'll be looking for reduced risk entries on the break of the flag. If price pushes up to and ideally just above our upper rayline and then we get a convincing push back down followed by a tight flag, then I'll be looking for reduced risk entries on the break of the flag. But if the flag forms close to our raylines, then I'll be hiding my stop loss above both raylines as illustrated for extra protection. I'll not be getting involved if the flag that forms after a subsequent push back up to our upper rayline followed by a convincing push down forms either through or above structure as illustrated. If neither of these setups present themselves then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises. If there's any ambiguity I will not place any of these trades. GBP/USD: If price pushes up to and ideally just above our rayline and then we get a convincing push back down followed by a tight flag, then I'll be looking for reduced risk entries on the break of the flag. If price pushes up to and ideally just above our rayline and then we get a convincing push back down followed by a tight flag, then I'll be looking for reduced risk entries on the break of the flag. But if the flag forms close to our rayline, then I'll be hiding my stop loss above the rayline as illustrated for extra protection. I'll not be getting involved if the flag that forms after a subsequent push back up to our rayline followed by a convincing push down forms either through or above structure as illustrated. If neither of these setups present themselves then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises. If there's any ambiguity I will not place any of these trades.
Short
by StewySongs
2
AUD/USD, EUR/JPY and AUD/JPY on watch for me today.AUD/USD: I'll be looking for reduced risk entries if price pushes up to and ideally just above our rayline, pushes back down and then forms a tight flag. I'll be looking for reduced risk entries if price pushes up to and ideally just above our rayline, pushes back down and then forms a tight flag. But if the flag forms close to our rayline, then I'll be hiding my stop loss above the rayline as illustrated for extra protection. If price pushes up to and ideally just above our rayline, pushes back down and then forms a tight flag I'll not be getting involved if the flag forms either through or above structure as illustrated. If neither of these setups present themselves then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises. If there's any ambiguity I will not place any of these trades. EUR/JPY: I'll be looking for reduced risk entries if price pushes up to and ideally just above our rayline, pushes back down and then forms a tight flag. I'll be looking for reduced risk entries if price pushes up to and ideally just above our rayline, pushes back down and then forms a tight flag. But if the flag forms close to our rayline, then I'll be hiding my stop loss above the rayline as illustrated for extra protection. If price pushes up to and ideally just above our rayline, pushes back down and then forms a tight flag I'll not be getting involved if the flag forms either through or above structure as illustrated. If neither of these setups present themselves then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises. If there's any ambiguity I will not place any of these trades. AUD/JPY: I'll be looking for reduced risk entries if price pushes down below our rayline and then forms a tight flag. I'll be looking for reduced risk entries if price pushes down below our rayline and then forms a tight flag. But if the flag forms close to our rayline, then I'll be hiding my stop loss above the rayline as illustrated for extra protection. If price pushes down and then forms a tight flag either through or above our rayline as illustrated I'll not be placing a trade. If neither of these setups present themselves then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises. If there's any ambiguity I will not place any of these trades.
Short
by StewySongs
EUR/USD, AUD/USD and EUR/JPY on watch for me today.EUR/USD: I'll be looking for reduced risk entries if price pushes up to and ideally just above our rayline, pushes back down and then forms a tight flag. I'll be looking for reduced risk entries if price pushes up to and ideally just above our rayline, pushes back down and then forms a tight flag. But if the flag forms close to our rayline, then I'll be hiding my stop loss above the rayline as illustrated for extra protection. If price pushes up to and ideally just above our rayline, pushes back down and then forms a tight flag I'll not be getting involved if the flag forms either through or above structure as illustrated. If neither of these setups present themselves then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises. If there's any ambiguity I will not place any of these trades. AUD/USD: I'll be looking for reduced risk entries if price pushes up to and ideally just above our rayline, pushes back down and then forms a tight flag. I'll be looking for reduced risk entries if price pushes up to and ideally just above our rayline, pushes back down and then forms a tight flag. But if the flag forms close to our rayline, then I'll be hiding my stop loss above the rayline as illustrated for extra protection. If price pushes up to and ideally just above our rayline, pushes back down and then forms a tight flag I'll not be getting involved if the flag forms either through or above structure as illustrated. If neither of these setups present themselves then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises. If there's any ambiguity I will not place any of these trades. EUR/JPY: I'll be looking for reduced risk entries if price pushes up to and ideally just above our rayline, pushes back down and then forms a tight flag. I'll be looking for reduced risk entries if price pushes up to and ideally just above our rayline, pushes back down and then forms a tight flag. But if the flag forms close to our rayline, then I'll be hiding my stop loss above the rayline as illustrated for extra protection. If price pushes up to and ideally just above our rayline, pushes back down and then forms a tight flag I'll not be getting involved if the flag forms either through or above structure as illustrated. If neither of these setups present themselves then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises. If there's any ambiguity I will not place any of these trades.
Short
by StewySongs
EUR/JPY and EUR/USD on watch for me today.EUR/JPY: If price pushes up to and ideally above our upper rayline I'll be looking for a convincing impulse down followed by a tight flag where I'll look to get short with a reduced risk entry. If the flag forms a little lower than in the example to the left I'll use the lower rayline as a shield by hiding my stop loss behind it for extra protection. If price pushes up to and ideally above our lower rayline I'll be looking for a convincing impulse down followed by a tight flag where I'll look to get short with a reduced risk entry. If none of these setups present themselves then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises. If there's any ambiguity I will not place any of these trades. EUR/USD: If price convincingly breaks below our descending correction I'll be looking for a reduced risk entry on the break of a more confirmed one hour tight flag. If price convincingly breaks above both our descending correction and our rayline I'll be looking for a reduced risk entry on the break of any kind of tight flag. If price impulses above our descending correction and flags below or even through our rayline I'll not be looking to place a trade. If neither of these setups present themselves then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises. If there's any ambiguity I will not place any of these trades.
by StewySongs
2
EUR/JPY and EUR/USD on watch for me today.EUR/JPY: If price pushes up to and ideally above our upper rayline I'll be looking for an impulse down followed by a tight flag where I'll look to get short with a reduced risk entry. If the flag forms a little lower than in the example to the left I'll use the lower rayline as a shield by hiding my stop loss behind it for extra protection. If the flag doesn't form below our lower rayline I will not be interested in taking this trade. If none of these setups present themselves then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises. If there's any ambiguity I will not place any of these trades. EUR/USD: If price convincingly breaks below our descending correction I'll be looking for a reduced risk entry on the break of a more confirmed one hour tight flag. If price convincingly breaks above our descending correction I'll be looking for a reduced risk entry on the break of any kind of tight flag. If none of these setups present themselves then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises. If there's any ambiguity I will not place any of these trades.
by StewySongs
MTL/BTC Channel + local trending. 9 months - 5 pumps + 100-220%MTL / BTC Work in the accumulation channel + from local trend lines. Important reversal areas. For 9 months in the horizontal channel there were 5 pumps + 100% + 150% + 50% + 100% + 220% In real work in the channel by averaging, you can take profits from 60% to 80% of each movement. The coin is not a "promising technological derma" for believing crypto hamsters. Coin "perspective scam" for making real money. I showed the logic of the work on the chart, I also have several ideas for training and articles on this topic, I won’t repeat myself. Volatility is the quality of a trading instrument that, when used skillfully, can inflate your trading deposit to indecent sizes. Also on such instruments, do not forget to withdraw part of the profit from the exchange after each pumping of the price. It is very important. Greed begets poverty. In such highly volatile instruments as in any other cryptocurrencies, sooner or later the time will come for the evaporation of the object of faith of fools (the disappearance of the project). Therefore, it is very important to always cash out part of the profit. Work the rest of the amount by increasing the working volume with a complex percentage. And from here the big next potential profit. Remember, no matter how much virtual money you earn on the exchange, without converting into real money, your profit is always zero A similar coin with such volatility for making real money in a short KIN time. + 111% + 140% + 80% + 160% The work is similar. I showed all movements in advance on this coin, all in related trading ideas, I will not repeat. Kin profit for 3 months of work + 111% + 140% + 80% + 160%. Do not be theorists, but be practitioners. A theory without practice is zero. Only the "weight" of your deposit matters. Everything else is "water." I also emphasize that most of the crowd is waiting - lazy people, they have always been, are and will be outsiders. This is fuel. Do not be him. More information about the trading and not only in my telegram channel SpartaBTC.
Education
by SpartaBTC
4
Identifying support and resistance levels for swing tradingSupport and resistance are essential levels for all traders in swing trading. Before one can start placing orders on the buy/sell side, these key levels will form the battlefield for buying or selling. In the video above, I will show you how to identify the support and resistance levels for swing trading so that you can buy near the support and sell near the resistance to maximize our profit while keeping risk exposure low, to have a better reward to risk ratio.  Depending on your strategy, preference and personality, you always have a choice to participate the swing within the range or in a trend. Swing trader always aim to catch the swing low as early as possible and sell when the swing is ended.  Resistance becomes support level once it was broken up. Always extend the support level to the right and pay attention if the price respect the support level. Do treat support as a zone/area instead of single line/level.
DJ:DJIEducation
by mingjong
12
5-0 pattern. Bearish + 20% and bullish model + 51% Real tradingI must say almost all of this movement I took. Short + 8% (instead of 20%). At long + 55%, entry into the long was lower than shown in this example. I will attach the trading idea for which I worked below. She was published here on January 22. I used other methods of analysis and work, but I used this method that I want to talk about as evidence for my methods. The graph shows a bearish pattern , which immediately turns into a bullish 5-0 pattern, a very rare phenomenon. And that's why I decided to make this idea of ​​training. I want to say that the 5-0 harmonious pattern is very widely used in other markets, rarely in the cryptocurrency, due to the very low professional preparedness of the participants in this market. Trading in this pattern can be either profitable or unprofitable, in the first place it depends not on the method itself, but on the person who uses this method. The 5-0 pattern is effective in areas of potential trend reversal. Just the pair ETH / BTC was in such a zone. The profitability of trade largely depends not on the method of trading, but on the ability to use it. ________________________________________ A bit of history. Harmonic patterns are the development of the idea of ​​ordinary geometric patterns, using Fibonacci levels to more accurately determine pivot points . By the way, I almost never use the Fibonacci levels, as I see without them, what they show. For beginners in trading, it is better to use them. By the way, who did not know initially in the father of harmonious trading Harold Gartley there were no Fibonacci levels. Only more than 80 years after the creation of the theory and the successful application of Larry Pesavento in practice, did Scott Kearney begin to pervert and sculpt exact numbers for each pattern that are far from real application on the market. It’s not customary to talk about this, but their main business is not real trading, but selling books, unlike Harold Gartley , who was a successful trader in the 20-30s during the Great Depression and became a millionaire! This is not an imaginary millionaire trader, a seller of courses and books, but a real trader who made all his fortune on real trading. In mid-1935, Harold published his best work and the first book, which, translated into Russian, was called "Profit in the Stock Market." The initial circulation of this book totaled only 1,000 copies. This book was very popular among traders, despite its very high cost. The book was worth 1,500 dollars, at that time it was possible to buy three new Ford cars for this amount. This is many times higher than $ 1,500 nowadays. One fact is that his books, which were being sold at the height of the Great Depression, let us understand how high authority he enjoyed among the people of the world of finance. The name of the pattern is Gartley Butterfly , which bears the name of its discoverer. Already after the death of Harold, Billy Jones bought from Harold Gartley's wife the patent rights to the book “Profit in the Stock Market”, then continued to print it in large volumes. And a "perverse improvement" in working methods for making money on book sales started. That's why I have such a negative attitude towards such "specialists." You have to be, not seem to be. ________________________________________________ 5-0 pattern. Pattern 5-0 is the youngest harmonious model (it is a variation of it with the Fibonacci grid thanks to traders of books on TA). The model usually represents the first pullback of a significant reversal trend. This is a relatively new model with 4 segments and specific Fibonacci measurements of each point in its structure, which excludes the possibility of a flexible interpretation. Formation of the figure begins with a slight movement of the market, in the direction of a previously existing trend (segment AB), which was preceded by a comparable depth correction (XA). Point B, in this case, should not be higher than the level of 161.8% of point X. This is a fundamental point. If point B "goes" higher, then almost certainly the trader is dealing with short-term correction and the continuation of the existing trend. The segment of the aircraft, in relation to the segment AB, is formed in the range between 161.8% and 224%. The CD segment is a correction within the framework of an emerging trend. The correction depth (according to the classical pattern algorithm) should be 50% of the BC segment. 5-0 pattern template measurements: The segment AB should be from 1,130 - 1,618. before the XA extension. The segment BC should be a continuation of the segment AB from 1.618 to 2.240. Point D should be formed at the level of 0.5 segment BC . The segment AB must be equal to the segment CD, (AB = CD). _______________________________________________ There are bullish and bearish formations of this pattern on the market. The graph shows both variants of the 5-0 pattern. Bullish 5-0 pattern. As you can see, the structure of the price movement at the time of the formation of the 5-0 pattern is generally very similar to the model of the Dragon figure with the development of goals. I made the ideas of training on this model of a figure and will fix it in ideas under the article. Point 0 - the beginning of the downward movement, point X - the first correction upward, point A - the completion of the correction and the beginning of the fall down, point B - the end of the fall and the beginning of the strong upward movement, should be located at a level between 1.13-1.618 from XA, that the point C - the completion of a strong upward movement should be located between 1.618-2.24 from AB, point D is the end of the fall and the beginning of the upward movement, here we are trying to enter the market. The input should be at the level of 50% correction from the BC . Bearish 5-0 pattern. The structure of the bearish model of the 5-0 pattern is remotely similar to the model of an asymmetric head and shoulders or an inverted Dragon figure with a working out target. Point O is the beginning of growth and the beginning of the formation of the model, point X is the beginning of correction down, point A is the beginning of growth and completion of correction, point B is the end of growth, should be located at the Fibonacci projection level between levels 1.13-1.618, point C is the end of a strong fall and the beginning of growth, point D - completion of growth, the place where we should open a deal for sale should be at the level of 50% correction from the BC . Conservative traders are looking for additional confirmation before entering the trade. The 5-0 pattern can be either bullish or bearish . Goals can be set at the discretion of the trader, as the pivot point may be the beginning of a new trend. The common stop loss levels lie beyond the structure level beyond point D or the next important level for the Fibonacci sequence. _______________________________________ Objectives for this pattern. As it is a reversal pattern, which can act as a reversal pattern of the whole trend (the emergence of a new trend). You understand that there can be no clear goals, unlike simple figures. If you really get to the beginning of a new trend, the goals can be huge. It is important here not to exit the market prematurely. So that your profit does not turn into a loss, use the movement of stop-loss as the upward movement develops, but take into account the volatility of the instrument. In this example, on the chart on the ETH / BTC pair, you can clearly see what the goals for this pattern can be. The bearish model made a profit of + 20% Channel support stopped a further drop in prices. The bullish model made a profit of + 51% The first goal is the resistance of the rising channel + 18%, as we see the price there was delayed for some time. From this zone the reverse corrective movement to the support of the channel could take place. But, the price has successfully overcome this zone. In total, the profit is + 51% of the entry point (point D). In two models, the profit in theory was + 20 + 51% = + 70%. But the reality is different, I have a profit of + 8% + 55% = + 60% I rounded the interest for a better understanding, I will say one thing, there was no liquidity at the maximum to reset a significant position, and therefore the profit is much less than the theoretical one on the schedule. ______________________________________ Violations of the pattern 5-0 . More than any other pattern, the 5-0 structure presents a unique opportunity for decision making when the area of ​​opening positions breaks through. In all 5-0 models, the best moment to enter depends on various ratios within the structure. When trying to make a deal while forming an unsuccessful 5-0 pattern, the trader still needs to look at the prevailing trend and at models at smaller time intervals. Of course, the 5-0 pattern is not an ultra-precise model, and it may not work out even in the most correct situations on the market. What to do if the price has broken through all levels and left the channel, in such cases, the authors of harmonious trading offer quality ideas for opening positions. The first target in this case may be the area of ​​correction 0.886 from the entire movement. Therefore, if prices fell outside the channel and broke through the 50% area, then we should expect continued decline. ______________________________________ Advantages and disadvantages of pattern 5.0 Despite the popularity of this pattern, I would like to first consider the disadvantages of the pattern. The main of its shortcomings should be called the poor "recognition" of the figure. After all, not all formations in the real market, exactly correspond to the ideal book example. In this example, I used exactly the ideal option for the ease of presenting information, and a person who is interested in adding this pattern to his arsenal of trading can also look for more complex formations for work. I would advise beginners to look for ideal models for work, as they are more predictable. The developers and "popularizers" of the pattern emphasize its versatility. In their opinion, the pattern works with equal efficiency on any trading instruments and at any time intervals. If in the first part this statement is undeniable, then with regard to timeframes, the use of the pattern raises many questions. On short timeframes, this pattern is not effective due to the high content of "white noise" and which does not allow to clearly identify and build the boundaries of the pattern. Over long periods of time, the created corridor is so wide that, in fact, it can only indicate the direction of the trend (and even then in the long term). Thus, the efficiency of using this figure very much depends on the correctly selected timeframe. The ideal timeframe for work is 4 hours-1 day. Remember the most important thing, this 5-0 pattern is effective in areas of potential trend reversal. _____________________________________ I wrote above that I will attach trading ideas for this pair that I worked on. Which trading ideas made it possible to take profits in shorts + 8% and long + 55%. 1) This one worked in short when the head and shoulders formed. Published November 24th. ETH / BTC Pivot Points . Ascending Triangle - Head and Shoulders Result in short + 8% 2) The trading idea for which he worked in long. Published January 22. ETH / BTC Coin operation. Reversal zones. Double bottom . The result is now + 55%, the entrance was practically at the very minimum price when confirming support. Perhaps we will see a reversal of the main trend by ETH18, if the price closes above the downtrend line (red line). Also, in the idea of training on this graph, you probably all noticed which figure is being formed and how much you can earn from fulfilling its target. Remember, trading is a game of probabilities. Who trades from the situation created in the market - earns. Who trades on the basis of what he wants - receives a loss. The crowd trades out of their desires, not market probabilities. The crowd always loses. From the pixels of thinking of individuals, a way of thinking of the crowd is created. Thanks to the thinking and desires of the crowd, we earn. The more stupid a society is, the higher the percentage of earnings in it is smart. To earn, you need someone to lose money. No other way. Under the article, I have fixed 31 learning ideas. I didn’t even know that I already have so many of them. Knowledge and experience are power!!!
Education
by SpartaBTC
2