Tutorials
Btc -Gap Trading StrategyGap Trading Strategy Rules-How To Trade Gaps
1. You need to choose a currency pair with a high level of volatility. btcusd is a good example but any currency pair that forms a weekend gap should also be good.
2. When the trading day starts on Monday, look to see if there is a gab. Make sure that the gap is at least 5 times the average spread for the pair. For example, if the spread is 3 pips, make sure that the gap is 15 pips or above. Anything less would be considered irreverent
3. If you see that Monday’s candlestick open is below the Friday’s close then the forex gap is negative and you should open a Long position at market price.
4. If you see Monday’s open is above the Friday’s close the forex gap is positive and you should open a Short position at market price.
5. You can apply two stop loss options: (a) apply no stop loss at all INITIALLY but as price moves in favor by say 50 pips, place stop loss above high or low of the Monday Candlestick when it closes (b) Place stop loss above/below nearest swing high/swing low the you can find in 1hr timeframe or 4 hour timeframe.
6. Just 5 minutes before the market closes on Saturday, (e.g., 5 minutes before the end) you need to close your trade.
Week in Review: New Kid on the BlockHonorable Mentions
This week we've seen a flurry of new open-source scripts hit TradingView, empowering it's users with trading ideas and programming techniques. "By Traders For Traders" by Dunhua-Yao , a potent modification of JustUncleL's "Price Action Candles", uses tighter criteria for 'Hammers' and 'Shooting Stars'; "Blau Divergence RSI", by blindfreddy , gifts us with William Blau's RSI; Quansium's "Quansium Source Layout" suggests ways to use external sources with TradingView; and RafaelZioni's "Bollinger ratio" brings together the MACD and Bollinger Bands in a unique way.
There Goes the Neighborhood
But there was one coder in particular that really caught my attention, introducing new, interesting, accessible, exotic and useful concepts. In the last week he's published 8 scripts, with his most recent strategy garnering a seemingly-outlandish return of 6000%+, although he has been a member for seven months. So the shining light for me this week, a big fan of Ehler's (who isn't?), has to be dasanc: www.tradingview.com
Magnum Opus Currere
The script that encapsulates his talent (for me) is his most recent strategy, "Adaptive Zero Lag EMA v2": This piece of work uses Ehler's ZLEMA and the two methods for Instantaneous Frequency Measurement (IFM) that dasanc's published in the past week. You can also adjust your risk limit, change TP/SL levels and determine your gain limit from within the control panel. Not only that, but it's presented in a clean and understandable manner, allowing beginners and professionals alike to pick up and immediately get started with the algorithms.
Cherry on Top...
So what makes this script so special? Well, the two IFM techniques: (One) (Two) In what seems to be his typical fashion, he's provided excellent descriptions for how these should be used. In short, if you're using an indicator that uses a lookback period (RSI, EMA etc), instead of fiddling with arbitrary numbers you just use the output of either of these techniques as the source for determining the lookback. Realising this concept has resulted in the entire Pine community being gifted with something they might not even know they were looking for.
...And Some Cream
Low Lag Exponential Moving Average:
Cosine, In-Phase and Quadrature IFM:
Moving Forward
With a young account and a recent burst of activity, it's safe to assume that we'll be seeing more of dasanc. Hopefully his singular approach to signal processing (as far as the current TradingView library is concerned) will be emulated by others.
Want to learn?
If you'd like the opportunity to learn Pine but you have difficulty finding resources to guide you, take a look at this rudimentary list: docs.google.com
The list will be updated in the future as more people share the resources that have helped, or continue to help, them. Follow me on Twitter to keep up-to-date with the growing list of resources.
Suggestions or Questions?
Don't even kinda hesitate to forward them to me. My (metaphorical) door is always open.
Honorable Mentions
Mission Statement for the "- in Review" seriesI'm not sure of the exact figures, but I think TradingView has about 7M+ users. That's 7M+ people working towards the same end. 7M+ people with insights and ideas. 7M+ people with access to an in-house programming language tailored for trading and technical analysis. Yet despite this there's only a small, mumbling community for discussing Pine, trading and how to bring them together.
A few people have endeavored to change this and I'd like to play my part. So I'm going to begin publishing a series of articles through TradingView that will try to bring light to the secretly-active Pine community. The three titles I suggest will be: (1) "Week in Review", (2) "Coder in Review" and (3) "Script in Review".
One of the reasons I want to do this is because I think it's incredibly difficult for new users to get recognition for their brilliant work due to the current TradingView search system being an echo-chamber. Those with the most followers get the most views and the most likes and then more followers and more views and... LazyBear, a cherished asset of the TradingView community, is all some people will know and search for. This can be disastrous for building a lasting community around Pine and for developing your own concepts around trading. So I want to give more exposure to those who publish now so that we can all have the opportunity to be involved in conceptual progress. Hopefully in due time TradingView will revamp their search engine. Most popular scripts of the week/month/year would be a start, but I'm sure more could be done.
The articles written will never be defamatory or provocative. I don't want to rouse spirits, but focus minds. In that same vein, I will never shill someone's profile or scripts. All choices will be mine alone (unless I can poll effectively and transparently) and, as such, will have my biases (unless others join me in this effort)
Week in Review
Every Tuesday I'll pore through the scripts that have been published in the last week and select one for review, once it meets the minimum criteria. The criteria for being considered is: (A) for the script to be open-source and (B) not to be a direct copypasta-job from another coder. There's nothing wrong with using something not made by you to help you create something better though, but there has to be obvious improvements made from the original.
The script reviewed is meant to be my pick-of-the-bunch, but that is by no means an ultimate opinion. Some qualities that I'll most likely be looking for are: (A) creativity and innovation; just do as Ezra Pound did and "Make it new!", (B) usefulness: it can either be useful in it's own right, or it can be useful when used as a component within another script; both will be considered, neither will be favored and (C) a decent description of what it's supposed to do or how it's supposed to be used. Clean charts are a plus too: you only need the indicator you're publishing on the chart most of the time.
Aside from the script, there will be a brief mention of the programmer and their body of work.
Coder in Review
This is where I'll look over the portfolio of a user on TradingView and comment on their body of work, some of their best (my favorite) scripts and how they've helped the community to grow as a whole. The criteria for being considered are: (A) must have an account for over six months and (B) must have published at least ten scripts.
These won't be published regularly (at least not at the start), so I'll just push them out when I get the itch. From referencing so much of RicardoSantos' work in my initial builds, I felt indebted enough that I wanted to write him an essay explaining my thanks. I've since had that feeling for a lot of programmers. Some qualities I'll be looking for will be: (A) breadth of analysis and (B) efficient code.
Script in Review
Some weeks we're going to have a handful of top-notch scripts, most which we don't want discluded from the narrative. So in order to accommodate for them there'll also be a "Script in Review" thread of articles. This will also give me the opportunity to discuss scripts that were published a long time ago. Criteria to be included will be the same as the "Week in Review" selection. Like the "Coder in Review", these won't be regularly publications for the time being, but may become so in the future.
Disclaimer
I'm going to talk about scripts and programmers that I like, but that is by no means an endorsement. If someone I talk about sells products or services, I do not want you to make a decision to engage with their products or services based on my opinions. I'm not selling anything or trying to get you to buy something. I just want to open up the discussion about Pine and bring together a community of like-minded people.
Want to learn?
If you'd like the opportunity to learn Pine but you have difficulty finding resources to guide you, take a look at this rudimentary list: docs.google.com
The list will be updated in the future as more people share the resources that have helped, or continue to help, them. Follow me on Twitter to keep up-to-date with the growing list of resources.
Suggestions or Questions?
Don't even kinda hesitate to forward them to me. My (metaphorical) door is always open.
The Famous Risk/Reward Myth If you have been trading or interested in trading for some time, I am sure you have heard some online "teachers" say that you MUST have a 1:3 or 1:5 R/R in order to be profitable.. That is absolutely FALSE! If you hear a "professional trader" say that, odds are they are not truly a trader.. A professional trader understands that R/R & win % are correlated. The higher the R/R, the lower the win %, The lower the R/R, the higher the win %.. Determining an appropriate R/R should be decided based on your strategies performance (derived from backtesting different targets/stop losses) as well as your psychology. In other words, R/R and win % should be viewed as one metric, as they MUST work together in order for you to be a consistently profitable trader. As for the psychology aspect- are you a trader who can lose 70 out of 100 trades so long as your making money? I personally prefer to win 60-70% of my trades but that decision is up to you. The important thing is that you balance these two metrics to ensure profitability while catering to your psychology to maintain confidence in your strategy. There is no right or wrong in trading, only what works and what doesn't! If you are not sure what Risk/Reward or Win % is, please see below-
Win %
Win/Loss Ratio also referred to as Profit/Loss Ratio
What Is Risk/Reward?
Risk/Reward is a used by traders to determine how much capital they are willing to risk in order to make a desired reward. For Example- lets pretend you are using a trading strategy that has a 1:1 R/R & you are risking $10 on each trade. A 1:1 R/R would mean that you are risking $10 to potentially make $10. Using this same example with a 1:2 R/R, You are risking $10 to potentially make $20. For a 1:3 R/R, You are risking $10 to potentially make $30 and so on. In order to successfully make a profit with a 1:2 R/R, the market has to move twice as far to hit profit targets than it does to hit your stop loss. In order to successfully make a profit with a 1:3 R/R the market has to move three times as far to hit your profit targets than it does to hit your stop loss & so on.. By default, the further price has to move to hit your profit target, the less likely it is for the trade to be successful, ultimately lowering your win %. With that said, it is important to note that a lower win % does not necessarily mean the strategy is more or less profitable than a strategy with a higher win %. Lets look at some examples below:
Example 1- You are using a strategy that has 1:3 R/R and a 30% win %.. In this example we are going to look at 100 hypothetically trades.
70 losing trades at $10 each (70 x $10 = -$700)
30 winning trades at $30 each (30 x $30 = $900)
Net Profit/Loss = $200
Example 2- You are using a strategy that has a 1:1 R/R and a 60% win %.. Again based on 100 hypothetical trades.
40 losing trades at $10 each (40 x $10 = -$400)
60 winning trades at $10 each (60 x $10 = $600)
Net Profit/Loss = $200
Looking at the examples above, we can see that both strategies made the same amount of money even though one strategy wins 30% of trades, while the other wins 60% of trades! Of course there are small variations to the examples above as not every strategy with a 1:3 or 1:1 R/R will have a 30 or 60% win/loss ratio however the overall concept stands and should be taken into consideration whenever developing or trading ANY strategy.
In my last tutorial- " Simple Patterns Tutorial, The Correct Way To Trade Double Tops " I asked you all to vote on which double top you thought would perform the best out of the 3 common double top formations shown above.. Each top received votes however, top # 2 received the most votes. The answer to this question may have surprised you however, it will be highly beneficial to your trading!
As always I hope this was helpful, the information shared in this educational post regarding risk/reward is an extremely CRUCIAL aspect of risk management and remaining consistently profitable so be sure to read over everything multiple times if need be. Please give this a thumbs up if it was helpful and you would like me to post more material regarding risk management. Also feel free to comment below or message me with any questions you may have.
If you would like access to a free position size and risk calculator that I personally use myself, please use the link below to request yours
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How To Read Structure (Charts) Tutorial- Section: 3 Charts 12-18The highly anticipated release of the How to read structure tutorial is finally here! Thank you for your patience traders, lets get right into it. In Section one and two of the how to read structure tutorial, we spent a lot of time going over the process that I use to identify potential reversals as well as what I consider to be confirmation of a trend reversal. In this section we are going to learn why I use this process & how it helps me identify the difference between a pull back and an actual reversal. We are also going to take our first detailed look into how this process is used to identify trading ranges as they are occurring & we will end with a brief introduction regarding how to properly use multiple timeframes to increase your strategies performance and overall returns.
Section 3 Will Consist of 7 Charts:
Chart 12- Simple Pullbacks Explained.
Chart 13- One Simple Way To Identify A Fake Reversal + Identifying The Complex Pullback.
Chart 14- My Method Of Identifying Trading Ranges Before They Occur.
Chart 15/16- Continuation Of Chart 14 & Why The Complex Pullback Method Is Effective.
Chart 17/18- An Effective Way To Use Multiple Timeframes With A Strategy.
Chart 12- Simple Pullbacks Explained & Ground Work For Learning The Complex Pullback Method
The majority of people who try their hand at trading, do not have any formal training or education of any kind therefore most of the trading related knowledge they learn is obtained through free sources, books or online courses that never fully go all the way, leaving them with a ton of questions and confused. Proper chart reading and structure analysis is one of the most commonly misunderstood aspects amongst novice traders, and at little to no fault of their own. It is important to understand that not all structure analysis is the performed the same, each trader may have his/her own process for reading structure so if this is a topic you wish to learn, I highly recommend learning one traders specific process to avoid confusion and conflicts with education that you may have learned elsewhere.
Chart 13- One Simple Way To Identify A Fake Reversal & Identifying The Complex Pullback (my process)
It is said and assumed that- "In order to identify a trading range, price must trade in it for an extended period of time". This is true with the traditional method of technical analysis however the Complex Pullback is an advanced structure analysis method that I have used to successfully identify trading ranges as they are occurring for years... With this method, we do not have to wait for a trading range to be established before identifying it as one, which gives us the ability to spot & avoid many false reversals. Incorporating this method into your strategies, can dramatically increase its performance & returns. Please see the chart below to get a better understanding of how this method works.
Chart 14- My Method Of Identifying Trading Ranges Before They Occur
Chart 15/16- Continuation Of Chart 14 & Why The Complex Pullback Method Is Effective
Each 4hr candle represents 4hrs of price action therefore, each 4hr candle can be seen as 4- 1hr candles. Lower timeframes, can be used to obtain more information about price action. For example- If your strategy uses a specific candlestick as an entry signal, dropping down to the 1hr chart would give you an additional 3 candles which would result in 3 more opportunities for your entry signal to appear.
Chart 17/18- An Effective Way To Use Multiple Timeframes With A Strategy
As always, I hope this tutorial was helpful to you. Please leave your feedback in the comments below, & if you got value from this please share & give the tutorial a thumbs up. Your Shares & Likes really help to get these tutorials out to traders who are trying to learn, While your feedback lets me know that these free tutorials are helpful to you. I will continue to share them if they are of value. If you would like to learn more about how to read charts, and structure based trading please see sections 1 & 2 of the "How to read charts, structure based trading tutorials" (linked in the related ideas section below) or head over to TradersNsights:
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More Free Trading Related Education
How To Read Structure (Charts) Tutorial. Charts 1-5By the time you are done with this tutorial, You will understand Structure, Trends, Reversals & much more! This tutorial will teach you how to dig deep into the charts & analyze where price is likely to go next!
Reading Structure can be difficult when you first start trading, however most professional traders (if not all) understand structure very well and it is definitely a skill that will dramatically help you on your journey to becoming a professional trader. I tried to make this as clear & simple as possible for anyone to understand but do not worry if this is complicated or a little confusing at first. If you are new to trading, you will benefit by studying and looking over these charts multiple times. I have found that it is also helpful if you grab a piece of paper and a pencil so you can draw the chart that you are looking at. Draw a very simple line chart and mark the highs & lows as shown in the tutorial with support & resistance lines.. You will learn much faster by doing this while training your eyes to identify trends & reversals. After you do this enough, it will start to become 2nd nature & you will spot these crucial moments in structure with a quick glance at the charts.
This is the first section of the Reading Structure Tutorial. This section will consist of 6 Charts total:
Chart 1- An Easy and effective way to determine trend.
Chart 2- Following The Trend with Support & Resistance (Highs & Lows)
Chart 3- Continuation of Chart 2
Chart 4- Identifying Possible Trend Reversals
Chart 5 - When Structure Doesn't Make Sense, Do Not Trade!
Chart 6- Another Reversal
I have put a lot of time & effort into this tutorial so feel free to ask any questions you may have.. I will be publishing section 2 of the "How To Read Structure" tutorial next week. Please leave a comment below or message me with your thoughts regarding this lesson. I am happy to continue publishing them if they are helpful to you.
We are going to scroll through this chart & follow structure. This is a 60 Minute Chart of GBP-USD.
Chart 1
Chart 2, In this Chart we are going to look at the highs & lows shown on Chart 1.
Chart 2 Continued, (Continuation of Chart 2.)
Chart 3, Identifying Possible Trend Reversals.
Chart 4, In depth Analysis of Chart 3.
Chart 5, Another Example of a trend reversal
Section 2 of "How To Read Structure" will be published next week & I will be sure to update this tutorial with the new charts as well as publish a separate idea. Take your time & really study these charts. There is a ton of valuable information in this tutorial & by the time you get through all the sections, you will have a much easier time reading structure. Please be sure to give this tutorial a thumbs up if it was helpful & you would like me to continue posting them. Thanks Traders & I hope you enjoyed the 1st section of this tutorial!
Trading Fundamentals: How To Use Oscillators Correctly!Note: A prerequisite tutorial about trends is posted in the related links below.
Oscillators can be a very useful indicators in trading if used correctly. However misusing them will only return disappointing results.
Some of the most popular examples of oscillators are the stochastics, and relative strength index . I will use stochastic in this tutorial, but the same logic applies to most other oscillators.
Definitions:
What are oscillators:
Oscillators are indicators that derive their value from the price . The price is an input for the oscillator formula. The formula is usually a simple calculation that compares the latest close value for the price to a the range of price over a specific period of time( u can change this period in the oscillators settings). Then give the result in a percentage format(0 to 100). The main purpose of this calculation is to show whether the price is overbought or oversold compared to that period range. For example: if stochastic reading is at 80% or above, its said to be overbought. And if at 20% below it is oversold.
Divergence:
When the price is making new highs and the oscillator fails to make a new high, this is called a bearish divergence. The opposite is true, when the price is making new lows and the oscillator fails to make new lows this is called a bullish divergence. Bullish divergence is a buy signal and bearish divergence is sell signal.
If you follow the overbought and oversold signals and divergences as a sell and buy signals without taking in consideration the price trend, the results will be catastrophic. ill explain why shortly
How to use oscillators to maximize your chances:
1) In TRENDING MARKETS
Rule #1: Oversold signals in uptrending market is a reliable buy signal.
Overbought signals in downtrending market is reliable sell signal.
Look at the chart, start from the left, you can see that the price broke above the latest swing high for the prior down trend, And that signalled a potential reversal. Accordingly, a trader should had looked to buy new oversold signals on stochastic. Afterwards, every time the stoch. was oversold in this uptrending market, we witnessed a rebound and resumption of the uptrend.
Same logic should be applied to downtrending market.
Rule #2: Overbought doesn't mean sell if occurs in an uptrend, and oversold doesn't mean buy if in downtrend.
Rule #3 : Bearish divergence doesn't mean sell if occurs in an uptrend, and bullish divergence doesn't mean buy if occurs in a downtrend.
This might be counter intuitive, but the chart above gives a clear example:
As you can see on the chart, when the market is up-trending, overbought, and bearish divergences signals are very common due to the fact that there is a strong demand. Therefore these signals are NOT RELIABLE and should be ignored. UNLESS there are other major multiple technical indications of reversal such as a major resistance level, and a bearish candlestick formation, or trend structure break. Same logic goes for down-trending market, where you should ignore oversold signals and bullish divergences.
At the end of the chart, another example of a bearish breakout below the uptrend structure. That was an early signal of a new downtrend. After that breakout, traders should look to sell new OB signals on stochastic.
2) In SIDEWAYS MARKETS
Overbought and oversold are reliable on a sideways market. Have a look at the image below
If you spot a side-ways market, look to buy oversold signals and sell overbought signals. As the price tends to reverse direction near the top and bottom of the range. If the range is broken, you should exit your trade and stop applying the the logic of sideways market. instead look to apply the logic of the trending market explained above.
Hope this will help you trade better
Best
Tech
Harmonic Trading Tutorial - Bullish Shark - EURUSDBullish Shark Ratios
B (XA) = 0.618 Maximum
C (AB) = 1.13 ~ 1.618
D (BC) = 1.618 ~ 2.240
D (XC) = 0.886 ~ 1.13
StopLoss Below D
Targets : 0.382 & 0.618 CD of CD
Go Long when point D is completed according to above ratios and when it is confirmed with oscillator such as RSI Divergence
LONG AUDCADHere on the AUDCAD we have what i see as a good opportunity to hop on what i am hoping to be a reversal or just a brief retracement from our bearish move on the higher time frame. I did alot of different analysis in order to get involved in this trade, so instead of typing it here i have decided to do a video tutorial on the analysis i did for the trade on my YOUTUBE channel in the hopes that anyone who is struggling at trading will get to see how to do top down analysis, price action symbols and other indicators to spot reversals and trend continuation opportunities. Go to my channel and subscribe so that you are alerted when i publish the video. Good luck trading!
YOUTUBE CHANNEL LINK: www.youtube.com
Technical Analysis Basics: Trends, Support and Resistance #forexWhat is an Uptrend:
Uptrend: A series of higher highs and higher lows. Each highs surpasses the previous high and each low is either above or equal to the previous low.
If you are able to spot this structure on any chart, then you can clearly say the trend is up.
The opposite is true for a downtrend.
How the trend is reversed?
A break of the structure of higher highs and higher lows is the main threat for an uptrend and could lead to a reversal from an Uptrend to a Downtrend.
Note that its not always the case some times the trend resumes to create a new highs or move in sideways manner.
Support and Resistance
Support and resistance levels are simply those highs and lows that you draw on the chart. For example. The latest higher low in the chart above is the most important support level in the uptrend. Why i say the most important? because simply if the price breaks below that higher low, the the structure of higher highs and higher lows is no longer intact, as we will have a new low that's below the latest higher low as shown on chart. Read(2) on chart.
If that happens, a trader should be very careful, as the price may create a new lower high now somewhere below the latest high and resume the move lower to create a new lower low.
My best regards
Technician
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Technical Analysis Basics: Support & Resistance #forexThis is a clear illustration for how support and resistance change roles when a breakout occurs. This is not a rule that most happen, but it usually does.
Starting point at the latest higher low of the previous bullish trend.(It was a typo on chart, its higher low not higher high)
When a breakout below support materializes, the level usually reverses its role to resistance.
My best regards
Technician
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This is How the 5-0 Pattern Looks Like #forexThis is not a forecast that the pattern will complete. This is just an illustration of the harmonic 5-0 pattern. (Price could go in any direction from current levels).
The Pattern
The first requirement for the pattern is a new low that exceeds the prior low( Point B and X)
Point B should be within the range of 1.13 and 1.618. Shouldn't exceed 1.618 extension of wave XA
A rally should followe now, creating wave BC, where it should reach at least near the 1.618 extension of wave AB, and can reach up to 2.24.
A correction of wave BC should follow, the correction should complete wave CD at point D.
Point D should be around 0.5 retracement of Wave BC. Thats the "Potential Reversal Zone" OR PRZ of the pattern
This is not a place where you immediately Buy. Its a place to look for buy confirmation signals over the lower time intervals.
As you can see, the pattern on chart is still a potential pattern, and far from complete. So that doesn't mean that we should look to short now looking for a move to point D.
Good luck
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My best regards
Technician
Spotting Support & Resistance through Candles #forexHere is another example of how the high and low for high wave candles are usually trade-able support and resistance levels. I think the chart explains it all.
When spotting a long legged candle(long shadows) its important to keep an eye on the high and low of the candle as potential key levels of resistance and support. In many cases those levels act as barriers for the price action and could provide good trading signals if accompanied with other technical analysis tools within your whole strategy.
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My best regards
Technician
#AUDJPY: How to Spot a Potential Trade(Example) | #forex*Correction: It's a LH not LL on the weekly chart
This is an attempt to demonstrate one way I use to approach the market and find potenital trades.
Starting from the higher time-frame - Weekly Chart
identinfied highs and lows to clearly identify the trend(Bearish)
Drawn the main falling trend line, and the fibonacci retracement levels.
The latest upside pullback have reached the trend line and near the latest "L" and 38.2 retracement level
The price formed a long-legged doji candle then a shooting star candle near that resistance area and trend line
The price is retesting the low of the doji candle which is in my view key to a bearish resumption of the overall bearish trend.
Going to the lower time-frame - Four-hour Chart
I have identified all the higher highs and higher lows for the recent major upside pullback.
The price has recently broken the latest "HL" and thus has damaged the structure of higher highs and higher lows. and started a new possible structure of lower highs and lower lows.
A pullback towards the area of interest or near that, then a bearish pin bar or a double top pattern could be the trigger for my short position,
If no confirmation, no trade
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My best regards
Technician