Apple Next Target is Channel TopNow Apple Successfully Breakout above the Resistance level and Trading Within the Channel. Apple Next Target is the Channel Top.
Refer this image, Before Breakout the Resistance level.
I shared the Same Channel Pattern on TradingView for Bitcoin. Refer to this Images, showing Before and After the Target was Achieved.
The Channel is used to identified the Next Target (or) Next Impulse. Refer below
I want to help people Make Profit all over the "World". Additionally, I am Eager to Receive Money form Worldwide because of my Potential. Thank you
Tutorials
BTT/USDT Psychology. Reversible evolution of hamster thinkingLogarithm. Time frame 4 hours.
1️⃣ Exit from the long accumulation by pump the price using the “stick” method +135%. From the average price of the accumulation +200%. CODE 237 (pump time)
2️⃣ Formation of bullish (ascending triangle). Not returning the price after the pampa by a significant percentage to cause bewilderment and regret about the sale of those who sold with profit).
3️⃣ Breaking through its resistance and fixing the price. Special clamping of the price with orders to "compress the spring". Launch of positive “news” (background to accompany the price movement). Expectations for the majority to see the “connection”.
4️⃣ Further development of the game with a round dance of those connected to the "money egregor", without antivirus (knowledge and experience). Pulling their strings in thinking using greed and low intelligence. Waves of trend development and position resetting.
Decoding the NFP Report: Trading Strategies.In the dynamic world of forex trading, strategies that cater to the ever-changing market conditions are invaluable. While fundamental analysis is widely embraced in stock trading, its effectiveness in the forex market is often questioned. Unlike the stock market, where financial statements can significantly impact individual stocks, the forex market is influenced by a myriad of factors, including central bank policies and political leadership.
In this article, we explore the limitations of fundamental analysis in the forex market and delve into an intriguing momentum trading strategy centered around a key macroeconomic indicator—the Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP). This strategy harnesses the unpredictable yet powerful market reactions triggered by the release of NFP data, offering traders a unique opportunity to capitalize on momentum.
Fundamental Analysis in Forex:
Fundamental analysis, a staple in stock trading, faces challenges in the forex market due to its limited impact on currency exchange rates. Forex stability relies not only on economic indicators but also on the nuanced decisions of central banks and political leadership. Despite these challenges, successful forex trading doesn't necessitate rigid adherence to a specific scenario. Traders can leverage price momentum and increased liquidity to execute effective impulse trading strategies.
Non-Farm Payrolls Trading Strategy:
The Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) trading strategy capitalizes on the release of crucial U.S. economic data—the Non-Farm Payrolls report. This multicurrency strategy is applicable to all currency pairs involving the U.S. dollar, allowing traders to explore numerous assets simultaneously. The primary objective of this strategy is to capture price momentum, making it adaptable to various time frames.
Non-Farm Payrolls: Predictable Unpredictability:
The NFP report, published every first Friday of the month, serves as a linchpin for speculative traders. It provides insights into the strength and growth of the U.S. economy, consequently influencing the value of the U.S. dollar. The report focuses on the non-agricultural sector, which contributes significantly to the nation's GDP.
The sheer importance of the NFP report lies in its ability to reflect the health of the U.S. economy. The release of this data sparks maximum market volatility, with prices witnessing rapid fluctuations, often ranging from 100-200 points in a short period. However, interpreting the aftermath of the news poses a unique challenge due to the simultaneous release of unemployment statistics, which can sometimes contradict each other.
Despite the inherent unpredictability, the NFP trading strategy capitalizes on the strong price spikes triggered by the news release. While predicting post-news price behavior may be challenging, the strategy offers a systematic approach to navigate and profit from the volatile market conditions that follow the NFP announcement.
Rules of Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) Trading Strategy:
Stay Informed with an Economic Calendar:
Use a reliable economic calendar to stay informed about upcoming NFP releases. The economic calendar will help you track the scheduled date and time of the NFP report.
Check for News Release Postponements:
Understand that postponements of data releases are common in economic calendars. Monitor the calendar regularly to stay updated on any changes to the scheduled release time of the NFP report.
Utilize a Trusted Economic Calendar:
Choose a reputable economic calendar platform to ensure accurate and timely information. The provided link www.tradingview.com can be a valuable resource for tracking economic events.
Prepare for High Volatility:
Recognize that the release of the NFP report triggers significant market volatility. Prepare for rapid price movements and be cautious about entering trades during the initial moments following the release.
Focus on the Non-Agricultural Sector Employment Data:
Prioritize the non-agricultural sector employment data within the NFP report. This indicator is crucial for gauging the strength of the U.S. economy and can have a substantial impact on currency pairs involving the U.S. dollar.
Monitor Unemployment Statistics:
Simultaneously track unemployment statistics released alongside the NFP report. While the primary focus is on non-agricultural employment, an understanding of unemployment trends can provide additional context for market reactions.
Be Cautious of Contradictory Data:
Acknowledge that data within the NFP report, especially non-agricultural employment and unemployment figures, may occasionally present contradictory signals. Exercise caution during such instances, as market predictability diminishes.
Wait for Initial Volatility to Subside:
Post NFP release, wait for the initial surge in volatility to subside before considering trade entries. Initial reactions can be impulsive, and waiting allows for a more informed decision-making process.
Consider Multiple Currency Pairs:
Since the NFP report influences the U.S. dollar, the strategy can be applied to various currency pairs involving the dollar. Explore multiple pairs simultaneously to identify the most favorable trading opportunities.
Implement Risk Management:
Prioritize risk management strategies to protect your trading capital. Set stop-loss orders and determine the appropriate position size based on your risk tolerance and account size.
Practice on Demo Accounts:
Before implementing the NFP trading strategy in live markets, practice on demo accounts to familiarize yourself with the dynamics of the strategy and refine your execution.
Continuous Learning and Adaptation:
Stay informed about changes in market conditions and continuously adapt your strategy. The forex market evolves, and traders need to adjust their approaches based on ongoing developments.
By adhering to these rules, traders can enhance their effectiveness when employing the Non-Farm Payrolls trading strategy and navigate the unique challenges posed by this high-impact economic event.
Traders often seek strategies to capitalize on this volatility, and one popular approach is the Pending Orders strategy. In this article, we'll explore the intricacies of the Pending Orders strategy , shedding light on its advanced nature and its application by both novice and experienced traders.
1 ) Pending Orders Strategy:
Set Buy Stop and Sell Stop Orders:
Minutes before the NFP publication, set two pending orders: Buy Stop and Sell Stop. These orders are strategically placed 25-30 points away from the current price to avoid simultaneous triggering due to heightened volatility.
Manage Triggered Orders:
When the price reacts to the news release, triggering one of the pending orders, promptly delete the other as a non-operational scenario. This prevents both orders from activating simultaneously.
As observed in this image, during the latest NFP event on Friday, December 8, 2023, the price exhibited a robust bearish impulse immediately after the report release at 5:30 pm. This triggered our sell stop pending order, shifting our trade into a profitable position.
Following the bearish movement, the strategy aims to close the buy stop position (the opposite direction). At this juncture, traders should take proactive measures to manage the open position.
Stop Loss Considerations:
Place a Stop Loss in the opposite order or opt not to set it at all, provided the second pending order remains intact to limit potential losses. This ensures that the remaining order acts as a safeguard against adverse market movements.
Trailing Stop for Profit Maximization:
Implement a Trailing Stop to secure profits. Continuously adjust the Trailing Stop as the price advances, allowing you to capitalize on the maximum price momentum. This dynamic approach helps lock in gains while navigating the evolving market conditions.
As depicted in the image, the price, after experiencing a bearish movement, rebounds upward. What could be the reason behind this?
The Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report assesses the percentage of the total workforce that is unemployed and actively seeking employment in the previous month. For this specific event, the forecasted unemployment rate was 3.9%. However, the actual percentage revealed in the report was 3.7%, indicating a lower number of individuals unemployed and actively seeking employment in the preceding month. This positive deviation from the forecast serves as a favorable signal for the USD, prompting an upward movement in its value following the event.
In currency markets, an 'actual' percentage lower than the 'forecast' is generally considered beneficial for the respective currency.
By the way, Short-term trades had the opportunity to secure a few pips in gains after the activation of the Sell Stop order.
Strategy N.2
Meanwhile, in this other image, I have marked a vertical line at the recent NFP event. Additionally, I've incorporated a 20-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) to illustrate the short-term trend. After the release of this significant economic news, you can observe an increase in volatility.
This could serve as a component of a monthly strategy where the release of such news acts as a trigger. This second scenario or strategy, especially for beginners, is considered much safer. By analyzing the NFP report results, understanding economic dynamics, and gaining insights into the potential continuation of the trend or a possible pause for a reversal, traders can make informed decisions.
In conclusion, it's essential to backtest the presented strategies and conduct a forward backtest in a demo account. Your thorough understanding and application of these strategies are crucial.
Thank you for taking the time to read my article.
EUR/JPY, AUD/JPY, EUR/AUD and USD/CHF on watch for me today.EUR/JPY:
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our upper trend line and the last part of the move is corrective, then I'll be looking to get short with a risk entry after a phase line break on either the fifteen minute or the one hour chart.
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our upper trend line and it does so impulsively, then I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get short with a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If price only pushes up to and ideally just above our rayline, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll again be looking to get short with a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If none of these setups present themselves then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place any of these trades.
AUD/JPY:
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our upper trend line and the last part of the move is corrective, then I'll be looking to get short with a risk entry after a phase line break on either the fifteen minute or the one hour chart.
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our upper trend line and it does so impulsively, then I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get short with a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If price only pushes up to and ideally just above our rayline, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll again be looking to get short with a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If none of these setups present themselves then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place any of these trades.
EUR/AUD:
• If price pushes down to and ideally just below our lower trend line and the last part of the move is corrective, then I'll be looking to get long with a risk entry after a phase line break on either the fifteen minute or the one hour chart.
• If price pushes down to and ideally just below our lower trend line and it does so impulsively, then I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back up followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get long with a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If price only pushes down to and ideally just below our rayline, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back up followed by a tight flag and then I'll again be looking to get long with a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If none of these setups present themselves then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place any of these trades.
USD/CHF:
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our upper rayline, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back down flag and then I'll be looking to get short with a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If price simply impulses back down below our lower rayline and a subsequent tight flag forms, then I'll once again be looking to get short with a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If price simply impulses back down below our most recent corrective channel and it starts to correct but it doesn't correct below our lower rayline, then I'll be waiting for this correction to turn into a one hour flag and then I'll once again be looking to get short with a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If none of these setups present themselves then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place any of these trades.
GBP/USD, AUD/JPY, NZD/JPY and USD/JPY on watch for me today.GBP/USD:
• If price pushes up to give us a confirmed second top and the last part of the move is corrective, then I'll be looking to get short with a risk entry after a phase line break on either the one hour or the fifteen minute chart.
• If price pushes up to give us a confirmed second top and the last part of the move is impulsive, then I'll be awaiting a subsequent convincing impulse down followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get short with a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If neither of these setups present themselves then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place either of these trades.
AUD/JPY:
• If price pushes down to give us a confirmed second bottom and then it pushes up to give us a confirmed second top and the last part of the move is corrective, then I'll be looking to get short with a risk entry after a phase line break on either the one hour or the fifteen minute chart.
• If price pushes down to give us a confirmed second bottom and then it pushes up to give us a confirmed second top and the last part of the move is impulsive, then I'll be awaiting a subsequent convincing impulse down followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get short with a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If neither of these setups present themselves then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place either of these trades.
NZD/JPY:
• If price pushes down to give us a more horizontal pair of bottoms and then it pushes up to and ideally just above our rayline, then so long as the last part of this move up is corrective I'll be looking to get short with a risk entry after a phase line break on the one hour or the fifteen minute chart.
• If price pushes down to give us a more horizontal pair of bottoms and then it pushes up to and ideally just above our rayline then so long as this move up is impulsive I'll be awaiting an impulse back down below it followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get short with a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If neither of these setups present themselves then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place either of these trades.
USD/JPY:
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our higher time frame rayline, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing push back down below both it and the lower ascending trend line of the corrective channel to the left followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get short with a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If this setup doesn't present itself then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place this trade.
GBP/JPY, EUR/JPY and USD/CAD on watch for me today.GBP/JPY:
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our upper trend line and the last part of the move is corrective, then I'll be looking for a risk entry after a phase line break on either the one hour or the fifteen minute chart.
• If price pushes up impulsively to and ideally just above our upper trend line, then I'll be waiting for a convincing push back down below our rayline followed by a tight flag where I'll be looking for a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our rayline, then regardless of how price does so I'll be waiting for a convincing push back down followed by a tight flag where I'll be looking for a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If none of these setups present themselves then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place any of these trades.
EUR/JPY
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our upper trend line and the last part of the move is corrective, then I'll be looking for a risk entry after a phase line break on either the one hour or the fifteen minute chart.
• If price pushes up impulsively to and ideally just above our upper trend line, then I'll be waiting for a convincing push back down below our rayline followed by a tight flag where I'll be looking for a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our rayline, then regardless of how price does so I'll be waiting for a convincing push back down followed by a tight flag where I'll be looking for a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If none of these setups present themselves then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place any of these trades.
USD/CAD
• If price pushes down to and ideally just below our lower trend line and the last part of the move is corrective, then I'll be looking for a risk entry after a phase line break on either the one hour or the fifteen minute chart.
• If price pushes down to and ideally just below our lower rayline, then regardless of how price does so I'll be waiting for a convincing push back up followed by a tight flag where I'll be looking for a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If price only pushes down to our upper rayline, then again regardless of how price does so I'll be waiting for a convincing push back up followed by a tight flag where I'll again be looking for a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If none of these setups present themselves then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place any of these trades.
View on Nifty Bank for trading on 19th June 23Here I'm publishing my views on BANKNIFTY for next-day trading as per the closing of 16th June 23
This is Just an Idea based on chart analysis as per the data, you may disagree or agree...
1) If BANKNIFTY is trading between the range 43759 to 43908 then the day is for Option Seller only and all the Option Buyers are free for searching the opportunity based on breakout or breakdown
2) If BANKNIFTY opens above the range 43759 to 43908 and does not cross 44085 then Option Buyers wait for the breakout above 44085 and enter with an RSI above 65 confirmation in a 15M time frame, The possible resistance is already placed in a picture [ 44219 / 44344 / 44494 ]
3) If BANKNIFTY opens below the range 43759 - 43908 and does not close below 43633 then Option Buyers wait for the breakdown below 43633 and enter with an RSI below 35 confirmation in a 15M time frame, The possible supports is already placed in a picture [ 43397 / 43242 / 43077 ]
This is only the view on BANKNIFTY not advice to play like, please trade with your own knowledge and strategies you follow...
The analysis in this article is purely for Educational Purposes not for trade setup or advice to trade and based on my personal experience I'm just sharing my views on BANKNIFTY on this platform...
NZD/USD and GBP/USD on watch for me today.NZD/USD:
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our upper trend line and the last part of the move is corrective, then I'll be looking for a risk entry after a phase line break on either the one hour or the fifteen minute chart.
• If price pushes up impulsively to and ideally just above our upper trend line , then I'll be waiting for a convincing push back down below our rayline followed by a tight flag where I'll be looking for a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our rayline, then regardless of how price does so I'll be waiting for a convincing push back down followed by a tight flag where I'll be looking for a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If neither of these setups present themselves then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place any of these trades.
GBP/USD:
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our upper trend line and the last part of the move is corrective, then I'll be looking for a risk entry after a phase line break on either the one hour or the fifteen minute chart.
• If price pushes up impulsively to and ideally just above our upper trend line , then I'll be waiting for a convincing push back down below our rayline followed by a tight flag where I'll be looking for a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our rayline, then regardless of how price does so I'll be waiting for a convincing push back down followed by a tight flag where I'll be looking for a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If none of these setups present themselves then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place any of these trades.
GBP/USD on watch for me today.GBP/USD:
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our upper trend line and the last part of the move is corrective, then I'll be looking for a risk entry after a phase line break on either the one hour or the fifteen minute chart because we will have had a completed three touch structure.
• If price pushes up impulsively to and ideally just above either our upper trend line, our upper rayline or our lower rayline, then I'll be waiting for a convincing push back down followed by a tight flag where I'll be looking for a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag and if the flag forms just below our lower rayline as illustrated I'll be hiding my stop loss above it for extra protection as illustrated.
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our lower rayline, then regardless of how price does so I'll be waiting for a convincing push back down followed by a tight flag where I'll be looking for a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If none of these setups present themselves then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place any of these trades.
SOYBN/USD and NZD/CHF on watch for me today.SOYBN/USD:
• If price pushes up above our upper rayline, it does so impulsively a subsequent tight one hour flag forms, then I'll be looking to get long with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
NZD/CHF:
• If price impulses down below our rayline, it does so in a convincing manner and a subsequent tight one hour flag forms, then I'll be looking to get short with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
AUD/USD, USD/SGD, EUR/CAD and USD/CAD on watch for me today.AUD/USD:
• If price pushes down to and ideally just below the lower descending trend line of our most recent piece of structure, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back up followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get long with a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If price simply impulses back up above our rayline, it does so in a convincing manner and a subsequent tight flag forms, then I'll again be looking to get short with a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If neither of these setups present themselves then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place either of these trades.
USD/SGD:
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our rayline, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get short with a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If this setup doesn't present itself then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place this trade.
EUR/CAD:
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our rayline, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get short with a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If price simply impulses back down, it does so in a convincing manner and a subsequent tight one hour flag forms, then I'll again be looking to get short with a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If neither of these setups present themselves then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place either of these trades.
USD/CAD:
• If price impulses down below our rayline and it does so in a convincing manner, then I'll be looking to get short with a reduced risk entry on the break of a subsequent tight flag.
• If this setup doesn't present itself then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place this trade.
WTICO/USD, USD/JPY and AUD/USD on watch for me today.WTICO/USD:
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our outer structure upper rayline, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get short with a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If price only pushes up to and ideally just above the upper rayline of our most recent piece of structure, then regardless of how it does so I'll once again be waiting for a convincing impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll again be looking to get short with a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If neither of these setups present themselves then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place either of these trades.
USD/JPY:
• If price impulses back down below the upper trend line of our most recent piece of structure, it does so in a convincing manor and a subsequent tight flag forms, then I'll be looking to get short with a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If this setup doesn't present itself then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place this trade.
AUD/USD:
• If price impulses back up, it does so impulsively and in a convincing manner and a subsequent tight one hour flag forms, then I'll be looking to get long with a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If this setup doesn't present itself then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place this trade.
EUR/JPY, USD/JPY and USD/CAD on watch for me today.EUR/JPY:
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our rayline, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get short with a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If this setup doesn't present itself then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place this trade.
USD/JPY:
• If price continues to correct between now and I'm awake to place the order then I'll be looking to get short with a reduced risk entry on the break of this tight one hour flag.
• If this setup doesn't present itself then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place this trade.
USD/CAD:
• If price breaks the upper descending trend line of our most recent piece of structure, it does so impulsively and in a convincing manner and a subsequent tight flag forms, then I'll be looking to get long with a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If this setup doesn't present itself then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place this trade.
USD/SGD, NZD/USD and AUD/USD on watch for me today.USD/SGD:
• If price impulses back down below our upper rayline, it does so in a convincing manner and a subsequent tight flag forms, then I'll be looking to get short with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
NZD/USD:
• If price pushes back up above our lower rayline, it does so impulsively and in a convincing manner and a subsequent tight flag forms, then I'll be looking to get long with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
AUD/USD:
• If price pushes back up above the lower trend line of our most recent piece of structure, it does so impulsively and in a convincing manner and a subsequent tight flag forms, then I'll be looking to get long with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
AUD/CAD, EUR/JPY, NZD/USD and AUD/USD on watch for me today.AUD/CAD:
• If price corrects and a tight flag forms, or it impulses up still further and a subsequent tight flag forms, then I'll be looking to get long with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
EUR/JPY:
• If price corrects and a tight flag forms, or it impulses up still further and a subsequent tight flag forms, then I'll be looking to get long with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
NZD/USD:
• If price corrects and a tight flag forms, or it impulses up still further and a subsequent tight flag forms, then I'll be looking to get long with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
AUD/USD:
• If price pushes up above our most recent high, it does so impulsively and in a convincing manner, it then corrects and a tight flag forms, then I'll be looking to get long with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
1,2,3 Confirmation PatternWhat does it consist of?
It consists primarily of 3 candles, and the fourth one is where we will enter the operation. In a bearish scenario the High of 2nd candle must be higher than the high of the 1st candle. The high of the 3er candle must be below the high of the 2nd candle. The 4th candle must re test the point of origin of the 3er candle.
How can you use it?
It is extremely important to complement and use this with a strong idea of where the price is heading. To know where the price will move, we need to understand that it moves towards the most liquid areas. The most liquid areas can be the unfulfilled Daily, Weekly, or Monthly lows and highs.
Where should you place the entry?
You should wait till the 3er candle close and place the entry at the point of origin of the 3er candle.
Where should you place the stop loss?
The stop loss should be above the 3er candle.
Important
I use this technique in D,W and M timeframes. After establishing a bias I look for the pattern. After the 3er candle is complete I move to 1hr or 15minutes to find the point of origin of the 3er candle.Then, I place the order.
Institutional Demand: AUD/JPY LongHi trader!
Over the past weeks I've been sharing a lot of charts, which you can check out on my profile!
Almost all our zones have been playing out, hopefully it becomes a lot more clear to you now that you need to keep your charts simple, and keep a consistent approach to your analysis.
For today, I am looking for upside for NZD/JPY! The same type of zones as normally, let's see if we can move a few hundred pips higher.
Trade your plan, if you don't have one, get one!
Kind regards,
Max Nieveld
why DCA is the best strategy for trading?Today I’ll be talking about what is Dollar Cost Averaging (DCA) and how is it used in trading.
i will also shine a light on what importance it holds
What is dollar-cost averaging (DCA):
It is an investment strategy in which you invest a fixed small amount of money at regular intervals.
This allows you to take benefit of a market bearish without risking excess funds
Allowing you to keep up with greater liquidity and take benefit of market bullish.
let's show that with examle :
Let's imagine that there is a person called Cecilion and he invests in filusdt with a fixed amount of $ 20 every month.
let's imagine the price of that currency in March was $ 5 Then Cecilion will have 4 pieces of filusdt in March.
And in April, the value of filusdt fell to $4, and Cecilion bought it for the same amount ($20) to have 4 + 5 = 9 pieces of filusdt in april.
And in May, the value of filusdt fell again to $2, and Cecilion bought it for the same $20 , so that he owned 4+5+10 = 19 pieces of filusdt in May.
And in the following month, the price of filusdt raise to $10, and Cecilion bought it for the same $20, so that he owned 4+5+10+2=21 pieces of filusdt in June.
let's do some math to show the efficiency of this strategy:
- Cecilion invested $80 in 4 months and owned 21 pieces of filusdt to be The average purchase price is 80/21 = $3.8
- Let's imagine that Cecilion did not use this strategy and bought filusdt for $80 at once in March when its price was $5
Then a cecilion would have 80/5 = only 16 pieces of filusdt instead of 21 pieces.
hope this article was useful to you and appreciated ur support with likes , comment and follow for more.🎯
How to find strong Support and Resistance levels using MA.Hey Traders!
Above is a brief video in which i explain a simple way to find strong support and resistance zones using the moving average indicator starting from bigger timeframes to smaller ones.
i hope this video is useful for you!
let us know your questions in the comment section!
Joe.
✍️WEEKLY QUOTE: Remember the errors✍️..I advocate that you focus on eliminating your biggest errors, rather than trying to acquire new knowledge..
..It may feel like you are taking a step back, but this is a very useful heuristic for learning, because you are always acutely aware of what your biggest leaks are, and it is a much more efficient way to progress. When you constantly chop off your C-trade errors, eventually your A-trade becomes your B-trade, and you develop an entirely new, better A-trade..
When you are simply working on preventing your biggest leaks, all you have to do is make an effort to remember not to do them. If you are falling out of the Zone, it is much easier to steady the ship when you have simple reminders of what not to do, then trying to apply 10 pages of notes on complex trading concepts.
This was from How to Get in the Zone More Often – Minimize Active Learning by Jared Tendler
Sinusoidal movement in channel, GalaIn this post, I am not referring to physics and math equations and probabilities, I'm just saying that the Display method of the probability of a numerical event is between 0 and 1,
and just for easy recall in tutorials, I consider a number between 0 and 100.
0 indicates impossibility and we know that 100 indicates certainty.
Therefore, will explain this price movement detection method in a simple and concise way.
Consider a few general rules:
1- The price chart in a channel always tends to approach and return to the middle line of the channel.
This is true for all types of the uptrend, downtrend, and neutral channels.
2- Sinusoidal movement is dynamic (of course, I mean in the financial market) and the range of movement, speed, and volume can vary.
3- the price chart after hitting the middle line, faces 3 possibilities.
Usually, we consider these possibilities as 33 - 33 - 33 %
3-1- Reversal (pull-back ) to the previous direction.
3-2- Crossing the middle line and moving to hit the other line of the channel.
3-3- The price chart attached to the middle line of the channel continues to move.
(I will publish the third point and its reasons in another post because this one is a complete and long tutorial for himself)
4- usually In uptrend and downtrend channels, the movement angle of 45 degrees is the most appropriate movement angle to create sinusoidal movements (consider between 30 and 50 degrees).
And the 5:
"Keep this last point in mind in all the training you read and learn from different people.
From great masters in financial market analysis to an ordinary person like me "
** No theory, method of analysis, or analysis is ever 100% correct.
In probabilities, we always have the nearest states, which means that when we say 100 for the certainty of occurrence,
A probability may be up to 99.999999, but it is NOT 100%.
So remember that there is always a possibility of a movement or change contrary to our analysis, rules, or imagination, and
"This is one of the main reasons for placing a Stop-loss limit in trading"
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Please write any advice or suggestions.
Dear friends, request any cryptocurrency pair, currencies pair for forex, and any index that you want to be analyzed and ask any questions.
Thanks for your attention
5 Reasons for and against trading forex 🤷♂️They make it look easy, posting lifestyle posts all over your Instagram feed.⠀
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Truth is, that's not real. 😒 Sorry.⠀
With that being said lets break this down into reason you should and shouldn't trade forex.
The reason I'm covering this as a forex idea is I am predominantly a forex trader and made my way to where I am trading forex.
This however does apply to any trading you might be thinking of getting involved with.
So lets get into it👍⠀
FIVE REASONS NOT TO TRADE FOREX
1. Can you afford to lose money?
If you cannot afford to lose money or you are desperate to make money then this really isn't for you.
Only trade with money you can afford to lose. If you are trading with money you really need to survive then your problems are about to get a whole lot bigger!
2. You don't know what you're doing!
We have all been there at some point of not knowing what we are doing.
But before even considering placing a life trade focus on learning and developing strategies.
Focus in on the process and the desired outcome will naturally happen.
We live in a world with so much resource and information at our finger tips.
Go do the research before getting in to deep to quickly.
3. You can't handle it when you're wrong or you're losing.
You will be wrong at times and that's okay.
So long as your winners cover the losses.
You also have to handle and learn that no matter how good of a strategy loser runs and periods of draw down happen to every trader.
No one can be 100% right all the time.
4. You are risk averse.
In any form of trading you are taking a risk.
If you are to risk averse then it's really not for you.
Risk management is key but if you are to averse trading wont fit your personality.
5. You don't have time.
A lot of people say they want this and then say time is a factor stopping them.
That's fine if you either make time and sacrifice or simply forget about trading.
If time is precious and you really don't have time due to important life commitments then focus in on them.
If you spend all your time on PlayStation and Netflix and say you haven't got time. Well then it comes down to lifestyle choice.
We all want trading success few realise how time consuming especially at the start when learning it can be.
There are also 5 good reasons why you should take up trading so lets cover them now.
FIVE REASON TO TRADE FOREX
1. You want freedom
Bored of working 50 hour weeks?
Be your own boss take control of your own destiny.
It's hard work but when achieved you'll wonder why you didn't do it sooner.
Very fulfilling seeing your kids grow up instead of getting in at 7pm as they are tucked up ready for bed. ⠀
No more missing school sports days or the certificates in assembly.⠀
Time for more golf maybe? ⠀
Remember to do it for these reasons and not a big shiny Lambo.
2. You have learned the basics and understand the upsides and downsides.
It's crucial to get educated and then still understand you will have up days and down days in trading.
Don't even trade until you are emotionally sound with all possible outcomes when placing trades.
You understand what is required along with being aware of the positives and the dangers.
3. You can deal with a high risk environment.
You understand the risk at stake but above all else you understand and practise good risk management.
Anxiety, worry, stress, not sleeping, losing money - I could go on.🤦♂️⠀
If you're feeling any of the above you haven't ticked the box on this one.
If you don't feel any of these you on the right path.
4. You are patient and will persevere.
We all want that quick money.
Social media makes us think it's easy
Fast money fast cars, trips to Dubai.
Commitment patience and dedication are the most important traits in trading.
This is not an overnight success game it takes time and will to learn the skills needed.
If you haven't got patience or commitment don't even bother.
So much more to this than just placing a few trades on your tea break.
5. You can stick to a plan and understand probabilities.
Once you have a plan that you have tested and take confidence in, understand probabilities and stick to it.
If you're hoping from one thing to the next with no real time spent on one plan you not got the traits needed.
If you understand probabilities and can let a proven plan with a known edge play out then your on the right track already.
FINAL THOUGHTS
Most fail - the common denominator in the ones that make it work are they don't quit.👍 Simple as that.😎⠀
Trading isn't for everyone. 🤯⠀
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Yes, there are upsides for sure - I touched on them.
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But it can be f**king horrible. 😢⠀
The negative emotions when trading can hit hard.
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That's not how trading 'should' be or feel, but its still a reality for a lot of traders.⠀
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If you're chasing money, if you're desperate to make a quid or three - don't do it.👌⠀
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This isn't the game for you.⠀
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There is simply no room for desperation - it will quickly find you out.⠀
If you can get emotions on point and a proven plan however the upsides are massive.
The key here is knowing to grow and get to where you want to be will take time.
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If you had more time doing whatever you wanted each day, that's pretty cool right?🙌⠀
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Going on holiday whenever you want - like tomorrow? Just because you can.⠀
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Or just chilling in your garden on a nice day ☀️⠀
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Whatever floats your ⛵.⠀
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Time for you? Prioritising your health and fitness because you have never had time before?⠀
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Exactly - the benefits are endless.
But be ready to put the long hard miles in to get there and make sure you're doing it for the right reasons. ⠀
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Also, the cost to start this is like no other 'business' you could go and start.⠀
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No stock, no big start up costs - just you and your initial deposit. ⠀
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However big or small that may be it doesn't matter.⠀
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Learn to trade properly and there are now a wealth of funded trader programmes that can give you the freedom you crave without you having to save up for a lifetime.
Focus on getting your process right and then enjoy the inevitable outcomes.
Thanks for looking and enjoy your weekend.
Darren 🙌