GOLD RETRACEMENT & CONTINUATIONGold as explained took out higher lows and followed the stream. Price is currently sitting on an important weekly key level at 1862.9 We are seeing some wicks rejecting that level with a tweezer bottom formation and will be expecting price to retrace before making the next potential leg.
Tweezer Bottoms
GLD 1 hour Chart AnalysisSentiment: Neutral to Bearish
As we've observed in the past two weeks Gold has been in a significant uptrend due to its negative correlation with the $DXY (US. Dollar Index) as well as overall volatility in the markets. However as we all know the law of gravity states that all things that go up must eventually come down.
Reasons:
1. Rising Wedge Pattern and Breakdown Confirmation
2. Tweezer Bottom Candlestick Pattern
3. Tweezer Top Candlestick Pattern
CapitaMall Trust - Tweezer bottoms with Bullish divergenceCapitaMall Trust tested a significant support between 1.48-1.50 yesterday and today it formed a pair of tweezer bottom reversal candlestick with bullish divergence on the RSI to boot. Going long on this guy and looking for an initial target around 1.90 (the recent high). However I will be putting an initial stop loss at 1.47 and protect any profit with a trailing stop just below the previous day's candle.
Disclaimer: This is just my own analysis and opinion for discussion and is not a trade advice. Kindly do your own due diligence and trade according to your own risk tolerance. Thank you.
Dow Jones Tweezer Bottom At SupportThe Dow Jones Industrial Average(DJIA, average of top 30 US stocks by market capitalization) closed back above the psychological level of $20,000 today and logged a gain of roughly 1%. Price also closed above the lower broadening wedge line(shared in previous charts) for the second day in a row which indicates that this level is still acting as a technical support level for price.
A popular candlestick pattern has also appeared on this two day hold above the lower wedge line which is called a Tweezer Bottom Candlestick Pattern. A tweezer bottom involves two price candlesticks that can signal a market bottom and are reversal patterns that occur when two or more candlesticks touch the same bottom level after an extended downtrend, indicating that a reversal may soon occur. Tweezer bottoms are considered to be short-term bullish reversal patterns and indicate that sellers were not able to push price any lower. Each price candle in a tweezer bottom consists of a long lower wick which represents the low of the day, while the candle bodies are relatively small and are located near the upper end of the total daily candle range.
This candlestick pattern is forming at a price level that was already expected to act as support(lower wedge line) which could indicate that the level will hold as support in the short-term leading to a relief rally in stock prices, which given the speed and magnitude of the selloff a relief rally is due, but not guaranteed. The lower wicks of each candle in the tweezer pattern are also holding above the 2015 support level highlighted in green. This is a secondary level of support stemming from historic levels of interest stretching back to 2015, which can also be found in previous charts shared.
It would appear that a combination of technical support levels with added fiscal stimulus and Federal Reserve intervention are leading to a pause in the downtrend while showing the potential for a bullish reversal back to the upside, at least in the short-term. Technical and fundamental traders views are aligning right now with a bullish bias in hopes that technical support and fundamental news will remain positive for price going forward.
If a rebound in markets is to come, we can look to overhead resistance levels in the Fibonacci retracement range for an idea of where price may bounce to. This Fibonacci range stretches from 100%(all-time high) down to the current lows(0%), and in between are levels based on the ratios found in the Fibonacci sequence. The first Fib level to watch for is the 23.6% which would represent price regaining 23.6% of the losses seen in during the recent decline and is the first level that price needs to rise above in order to add more bullish/positive bias. As long as price is currently below this 23.6% level the overall trend for price will remain down as price trading below it’s 23.6% Fib is the most bearish/negative level to be below. The most important level for price to move back above is the 50% Fib level which would represent price regaining 50% of the losses seen during the decline. Price trading above the 50% is considered bullish, while trading below the 50% is considered bearish. The ultimate level for price to beat to signal a return to an uptrend is the 61.8% fib level, which is the main ratio in the Fibonacci sequence, and also referred to as the Golden Ratio.
While the 50% and 61.8% are a long way off from price regaining, we can look for short-term movements for signals of trend reversal or downtrend continuation. For now our short-term movements that signal a possible trend reversal are the tweezer bottom candles, technical support holding at the lower broadening wedge line, as well as fundamental support coming from the Federal Reserve and U.S. government in the form of lower interest rates, bailouts for banks/corporations as well as fiscal stimulus for the American workers being affected by the coronavirus outbreak.
While these bullish signals are a good indication that we could see a bounce in the short-term, the overall outlook remains bearish since we are only in the early stages of the outbreak in the U.S. It is yet to be seen if the current intervention by the Federal Reserve and government will be enough to combat the coronavirus, which is still spreading at an exponential rate within the U.S. Bearish fundamentals are also abound as the US State Department issued a ‘Level 4 Do Not Travel’ advisory for U.S. citizens today. They are advising that all U.S. citizens avoid all international travel due to the coronavirus, and are stating that those currently outside of the U.S. should return immediately unless they are prepared to remain outside of the U.S. for a prolonged period of time. This is likely an indication that the U.S. is about to go into lockdown and halt all international and domestic travel, which would be an even larger burden on the US economic system.
Aside from the State of Emergency declaration made last Friday by President Trump, this travel advisory by the State Department is the most bearish fundamental news to come out arising from the coronavirus outbreak in regard to the U.S. economy and stock market. There has also been a report released by the U.S. government stating that the current outbreak could last 18 months, which mirrors a recent report by scientists at the Imperial College London with both entities stating that we could see waves of outbreaks meaning that even if we manage to successfully slow this virus via quarantines it will likely continue to keep coming back until a vaccine is found. I view these statements as bearish enough to negate any short-term bounces in markets as the overall outbreak appears to be a long-term event rather than short-term event. Markets have priced in a short-term pandemic in this -40% drop from all-time highs with hopes that the government will have it contained and gone by summer. If it becomes apparent that they do not have the situation under control, traders will begin to price in the 18-month prediction by health and government officials meaning we will most certainly see further declines in markets and not enter just a recession, but a depression. Companies can weather a 2-3 slowdown/shutdown in business with the current bailout packages coming, but 18 months of being shutdown means more layoffs and more company doors that will likely never reopen again. If 18 months is the real number we are looking at, we shouldn’t be worried about a recession, but rather a depression.
The short-term view on markets remains neutral, with the potential for a bounce in markets due to technical support being reached and fundamental news via bailouts. Intermediate to long-term view remains bearish due to the fact that this outbreak is still in early stages and still spreading at an exponential rate.
18 months of potential quarantines and businesses not being open with more likely to close. Keep that in mind before you hit that buy button on your trading screen.
BTCUSD 8/31/19 Possible Bullish ReversalThe market is showing signs of a possible bullish reversal of the current downward trend. The volume in the market isn’t supporting further downward motion and prices looks like it’s going to rebound.
Looking at candlestick patterns on the daily chart we have tweezer bottoms and a spinning top formations that are both reversal patterns.If we add in the Bollinger Band indicator we see that we are near the bottom of the band and there is not enough volume to allow for a further breakout in price below.
Next price actions that would validate a bullish reversal would be for the daily to close above the 100 EMA followed by closing above 10,000 and then being able to break through and close above a band of resistance from 10,000 to 10,400 taking out the new monthly pivot point.
forexTrdr NZDUSD - TWEEZER BOTTOM BOUNCE FOR KIWIMorning traders
Another start to the week. Monday 17th of June lets go.
Following a very successful short on Gold on Friday from 1354 down to current market at 1333 for our team we are looking for our next winning trade.
Today we are taking a look at a bullish setup on New Zealand dollar versus US dollar following the formation of a Tweezer Bottom candle pattern on the daily chart. What this points to is a reversal of the bearish trend that we had last week. This lines up with RSI being in extreme oversold levels last seen at the end of April and resulted in an 80 pip move higher for the pair.
We are therefore looking for the pair to follow a similar pattern back towards resistance around 0.66 as per our trading view chart where we have highlighted all of the areas of interest.
Good luck trading
from the Team at forexTrdr
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POA - Free Trade SignalPOA/BTC
Strategy: Possible tweezer bottoms forming on daily candles with falling wedge pattern. Global bitcoin dominance reducing. Please note this signal could be preemptive, if the market dominance reverses.
Buy Around - 336 - 341
T1 - 355 (5%)
T2 - 374 (11%)
T3 - 405 (20%)
Stop-Loss - 327 (3%)
Risk / Reward
T1 - 1 / 1.5
T2 - 1 / 3.2
T3 - 1 / 6.0
P/L Opportunity
Upside: 5 - 20%
Downside: 3%
AUDNZD long tweezer bottom textbook formationJust noticed this while i was playing with the charts
AUDNZD has formed a consolidation range, and on the lower side we have some tweezer bottoms, text book like.
If it goes as the literature would say, the stop just on the other side of the candles, and a TP on the next significant zone, and i think it would be the one marked
BTC - Price Analysis (weekly tf)On 6/29 tweezer bottoms began forming on the weekly charts of BTC. There was also a strong buy signal on the stochastic at that time.
Since then, MACD has exhibited a bull cross. The first one since December.
Why is this important?
Because that MACD is a lagging indicator. It's does not pick up quick market movements very well. Therefore, it is much more indicative of a trend reversal than the prior two upward movements we've had this year.
Furthermore, the ADX is close to signalling a trend reversal as well. If the DIs continue to move in a bullish fashion a crossover would help confirm a reversal.
Lastly, we also have the Kijun working as support currently sitting at the 7.8k price point. This is another difference in support than what we've had. Although, Kijun has begun moving sideways and it could also mean some sideways market movement for a week or two.
IOTA - Free SignalYellow = Buy zone
Green = Sell Targets
Red = Stop Loss
Tweezer bottoms (Green Box) - Reversal pattern
Falling wedge - Reversal pattern
Stochastic RSI low. Bull Cross
RVI - Need to break resistance to confirm continued momentum upward.
Smaller timeframes are overbought which should pull the price back within to buy range before continued upward action.
BCH - Price AnalysisOverall, BCH price is within a descending channel. We had a small reversal after the tweezer bottoms (in orange) that formed 3/4 days prior.
Tenkan san shows the market is ranging. At the same time, Kijun Sen is falling to meet the price which signals a lessening in momentum. The wicks under the past two daily candles further supports that idea as well as the RVI.
Due to the oversold conditions on the stochastic RSI there is a likely chance we'll see the price fall.
A potential bounce from previous psychological support or the .236 fib level could cause an upside break of the descending channel which could bring about a fib extension to the .382 levels.
If the channel fails to break to the topside, our next levels of support are, 711, 694, and 672.
Trade Safe!
Long opportunity for AudJpy ?81.80 - 80.80 is the key area of support.
Two pin bars was formed side-by-side, or another forex term "tweezer bottom" can be spotted on the Weekly chart.
Will decide whether to Long the market when it opens tomorrow.
Stay tuned.
** This is not a But/Sell recommendation **
** Please do your own due diligence **
ADA Price Analysis There are potential tweezer bottoms forming on the candles which could signal a small reversal of trend. This price action is further reinforced by the falling wedge pattern being formed.
However, ADA has some strong resistance to overcome at the top of the wedge both in the form of psychological resistance as well as the .5 fibonacci level.
There's a small bullish twist on the Kumo followed up by another twist back into a bearish formation.
Stochastic RSI has bottomed out and the signal line is attempting another bull cross.
RVI shows us we are gaining momentum. Although the past resistance on the RVI aligns well with the resistance at the top of the wedge.
Small bullish curl on the DI -
We are still in a strong downtrend.
It will be interesting to see how this price action plays out.
Is There Any Fresh Money coming in? #consensus2018, Reversal?This is the bounce we are most waiting for.
I see many bull divergence from some of time frames such as 30 min, 1hour and 4 hour.
In addition, i see that we will break this falling wedge.
The bull scenario:
The thing is, we need to close above the red line 50-MA (recent support) around 8300 for daily candle today.
If it happens, we will see a tweezer bottom, and thats good for the bulls.
The other resistance is seen around 8400-8450 build upon the falling green line, if we break it, we will likely to test the next resistance 0.382 - 0.5 base on fibb, and thats around 8800 USD.
And, if we break this big resistance, i will be verry bullish for the next move.
The bear scenario:
The bear scenario is simpler. If we fail to break the red line 50-MA, we will back to test the support at 7900 USD.
SoybeansMay Soybeans rose out of a tweezer candlestick reversal today. May see another up day tomorrow. Seeing that beans are pressured by Brazil harvest, we consider this a retracement and fall into bullish Butterfly. Suggest 50% or 61.8% next target. However, open interest is still rising and we are still in an uptrend. If market continues up, possible double top.
GLD about to push back?Despite the dollar going up we saw some major moves on a lot of metals (including GLD) this friday and we ended the week with 9 pennys away from a tweezer bottom on the weekly
I´m right now waiting to see what the dollar might do in the near term future before entering any longer term trades but my trading plan allows for 1-5 days trades on metalls