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UAL

THE WEEK AHEAD: LYFT, UAL, MGM, DAL, CNX, SLV, GDXJEARNINGS: LYFT (20/82/19.8%) announces earnings on Wednesday after the close, so look to put on a play in the waning hours of Wednesday's New York session if you want to play the volatility contraction. Pictured here is a directionally neutral 29/38 short strangle camped out at the 20 delta in the September monthly. Paying 1.26 as of Friday close, it has 27.74/39.26 break evens, which are wide of 2 times the expected move on the call side, but somewhat short of 2 times on the put side due to skew; delta/theta .25/3.58. You'll have to go somewhat tighter (the 25 delta) to get one-third the width out of an iron condor, with the 27/30/37/40 iron condor paying .97; 29.03/37.97 break evens, which are at the expected move on both sides; delta/theta 2/1.31. I've stuck on an UBER line just to show how LYFT's competitor did with its earnings in the coronavirus environment ... . CSCO (28/36/8.4%) also announces, but has less than ideal metrics for a volatility contraction play. EARNINGS AFTERGLOW: There are a number of underlyings with earnings in the rear view that still have sufficient implied to potentially make them worthwhile just as pure premium selling plays. Here are a number of them, ranked by the percentage that the September at-the-money short straddle is paying relative to stock price and screened for those paying greater than 15%: UAL: 20.8% MGM: 17.7% DAL: 17.7% CNX: 17.6% WYNN: 16.9% PINS: 16.1% ROKU: 16.0% BYND: 15.8% SNAP: 15.7% BA: 15.3% SQ: 15.2% AMD: 15.1% LUV: 15.1% I may pick one or more of these if I have nothing better to do, keeping in mind correlations here (i.e., UAL, DAL, and LUV are all airlines; BA is airline-related). EXCHANGE-TRADED FUNDS, RANKED BY SEPTEMBER AT-THE-MONEY SHORT STRADDLE PRICE/STOCK PRICE RATIO AND SCREENED FOR >35% 30-DAY IMPLIED: SLV (70/81/19.9%) GDXJ (24/62/15.6%) GDX (24/43/12.8%) XOP (11/48/12.7%) EWZ (18/43/11.2%) Here, I've screened out those paying <10%. I'm in an August GDXJ play, but may re-up with a SLV, even though there is going to be some correlation with miners. The September 18th 20 delta 22/36 short strangle was paying 1.45 as of Friday close, with the 25 delta 20/23/33.5/36 iron condor paying .99. There is some massive call side skew to potentially accommodate here, so could see going "double double" (double the contracts on the put side, but double the width on the call). Two Examples: September 18th 2 x 18/2 x 20.5/33/38 "double double" iron condor, paying .98 or September 18th 2 x 15.5/2 x 25.5/33.5/44 "double double", paying 1.30, the latter of which approaches the metrics of the naked short strangle. BROAD MARKET EXCHANGE-TRADED FUNDS: Most of the fun has bled out ... : IWM (25/30/7.3%) QQQ (25/28/7.2%) EFA (17/21/4.8%) SPY (15/22/5.1%)
NYSE:UBER
by NaughtyPines
3
AAL DAL and the Airline Destiny Airlines earning are all due in July: DAL 14 July BMO est. $-4.06 / $2.17B UAL 21 July AMC est $-9.41 / $1.14B AAL 23 July BMO est. $-7.03 / $1.43B LUV 23 July BMO est. $-2.67 / $0.54B All eyes will be on DAL tomorrow to sense where this mess is going. As for AAL, it closed above the downward sloping trendline but this could be easily a bull trap. I will not get excited yet. I believe DAL earnings will have a big impact on the industry. Trendline may act as support and hence may create a better odds for long positions. With FIB resistances intact, I need to see decisive solid breaks to get in. Volume Volume Volume. This analysis represents my own view and it isn't a recommendation. Readers should do their own studies before taking on any position. Data in this analysis aren't guaranteed for accuracy. Wise trading everyone.
NASDAQ:AAL
by Ekuities
UAL Long Trade Setup ( Technically ) Welcome to Profitlio Trading! What's up traders! Thanks for Jumping back on my Analysis, 👨💻 Trader champ is here on your Service, Also hit thumbs up 👍 and support the work Sketch up your own trade setup and make sure you meet with the required confirmations first before you make your move! ⭕️ ✅ Scroll Down 👇 ⬇️ to signature section for 📲 contact details 💰💰💰 Profitlio Trading ( Since 2014 in Financial Markets ) ________________________________________________ Traders Disclaimer: Non of our analysis or trade setups being shared here on trading view is a trading advice. As we keep on weekly updates with our predictions and expectations. We may take them as a trade only if trade setup meets the required criteria ( Confirmations ). Unless we will never take them as a trade if it never reach our trading requirements. Take them at your own risk as trading is highly risky and you may loss your investments. Our trades are based on Swinging and Mid to long term approaches. All trades executed will be handled under the name of Profitlio Trading only.
NASDAQ:UALLong
by Profitlio_Trading
Profit Taking for UALThe airline sector has been rock solid over the past 2 weeks. With hopes of travel once again starting to open up the price of major airlines saw a considerable boost. I feel that the impulse has exhausted its buying supply and that we will see some selling going on for the first few days of the week next week. Currently the RSI is in oversbought territory, indicating a good time to lock in some profits before we see some potential downside. I think that in the short term we will see UAL revisit the mid 37.50 level. This appears to be a good level of support that has been established since May 14th. If this support falls, I would be looking for entry points around $33.72 (.500 Fib Level) and if we are lucky enough to see it continue down to the .786 fib level at around $24.89 that would be a gift. If the down trend continues past 24.89, I would expect to see a bounce to test the resistance flipped to support (purple line) at around $22.50. I would then expect to see the stock have another strong resurgence and set new local highs. Happy trading.
NASDAQ:UALShort
by xcbickel