Uranium Energy Corporation (UEC) AnalysisCompany Overview: Uranium Energy Corporation AMEX:UEC is strategically positioned for growth with the restart of its in-situ recovery (ISR) uranium production at the Christensen Ranch project. This project commenced sending resin to the Irigaray Central Processing Plant in August 2024, marking a significant step in UEC’s operational ramp-up.
Key Catalysts:
Global Nuclear Energy Demand: The increasing demand for nuclear energy, propelled by partnerships with major technology firms like Google and Amazon, bolsters UEC’s market position. These collaborations highlight the role of nuclear energy in achieving sustainability and energy security amid growing global energy needs.
Strategic Focus on North America: UEC's emphasis on North American uranium production aligns with recent U.S. and EU bans on Russian uranium, ensuring a reliable domestic supply. This local production capability enhances UEC's competitive advantage in the face of geopolitical challenges affecting the uranium market.
Unhedged Strategy: UEC’s unhedged approach allows investors to benefit directly from rising uranium prices, which are currently hovering around $80/lb. This strategy positions UEC favorably to capitalize on the anticipated increase in uranium demand and prices in the coming years.
Investment Outlook: Bullish Outlook: We are bullish on UEC above the $6.50-$7.00 range, as the resumption of production and the company’s strategic initiatives pave the way for significant growth opportunities. Upside Potential: Our target for UEC is set at $14.00-$15.00, driven by strong market fundamentals, the growing demand for nuclear energy, and UEC's proactive approach to domestic production.
🚀 UEC—Capitalizing on the Future of Clean Energy. #NuclearEnergy #UraniumMarket #CleanEnergyGrowth
UEC
UROY an energy penny stock LONGUROY basically sells rights to mine uranium for a percentage of the production. It is a penny
stock in the nuclear subsector of energy which is undergoing a renaissance in this era of
fossil fuel addiction detoxification in the context of climate change remediation agendas.
The 240 minute chart shows a parabolic move in mid January followed by consolidation
and capitulation into a double top all at about the first anchored VWAP line above the mean
followed by a trend down into the present level near to the first lower VWAP line.
I will take a long trade here targeting the mean VWAP confluent with a standard Fibonacci
retractment which is the green line on the chart. $.05 is taken as a safe stop loss at the lows.
The target is 0.40 upside yielding a R:r of 8. I have positions in URA and UEC at this time.
The entire uranium subsector is cycling from warm to hot again.
Rising supply could act as a headwind for uranium pricesThe price of uranium, known as yellow cake, has more than doubled in the past year amid a significant imbalance between supply and demand in the global market, sending uranium-related assets soaring to the sky. In addition, the return of Japanese appetite for carbon-free energy and the restart of two nuclear reactors last year, along with plans to restore more units in 2024, also contributed to rising prices. Then, more recently, the announcement of the U.S. ban on Russian imports of uranium and the approval of the GX Decarbonization Power Supply Bill in Japan, aimed at creating a carbon-free energy supply, have had the same effect, helping uranium to regain strength after a brief selloff in February and March 2024.
Illustration 1.01
Uranium-related assets, including Global X Uranium (URA), Sprott Physical Uranium Trust (SRUUF), Sprott Uranium Miners ETF (URNM), and Uranium Energy Corporation (UEC), all recorded huge gains in the past year or so.
Since the start of 2024, uranium has gained approximately 4.7%. Yet, for the year, its performance has been flat, which begs the question of whether the rally is not overdone at this point when the supply is coming online around the world, raising chances of the market moving toward balance and potentially leading to stabilization or reversal in prices. According to the quarterly Domestic Uranium Production Report published by the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), uranium production in the United States for the first quarter of 2024 already surpassed the total output last year. Moreover, data from 2021 and 2022 suggest countries like Australia and Canada are also trying to ramp up their production in response to rising prices.
Illustration 1.02
The image above illustrates the weekly graph of Global X Uranium ETF (URA) and a major resistance at $31.60.
Regarding Global X Uranium ETF (URA), it recorded remarkable 353% gains since its lows in 2020, coupled with a nearly 15% increase in the current year alone. However, despite these impressive gains, the ETF has encountered a significant hurdle at the $31.60 mark, signaling a potential barrier to further upside momentum. Besides that, there is a growing perception that events traditionally viewed as catalysts for price appreciation are losing their potency over time, indicating a potential shift in market dynamics.
Technical conditions
Daily time frame = Bullish (losing momentum)
Weekly time frame = Bullish
Monthly time frame = Bullish
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor or any other entity. Your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
UEC an uranium miner rerverses and warms up LONGUEC in the past several days has put in a double and bottom appears to be gaining bullish
momentum based on the trend angle from today. The volatility indicator triggered buying
price pressure five days ago as shown on the indicator and encirled. the volatility of yesterday
and today may be shorts covering to close synergized with new buyers. The uranium sector
is heating up at this time. Many of the stocks in this sector are over the counter. The ETFs
are URA and URNM. I will add to my long position in UEC now.
PLUG - flagging at rest for continuation LONGPLUG on the 120 minute chart is resting on its trend up. Earnings are about 4 weeks ahead.
The uptrend has been solid. Two bull flag patterns are noted along the way. They follow
pops on the Relative Trend Index indicator also showing bullish buying volatility on the
Relative Volatility indicator. I see the rest ( consolidation) as a good point to add into my
ongoing long position for PLUG which recently got an upgrade and higher target by more than
one analyst. For a basic and simple trade, take the 3rd upper VWAP band at 6.35 as the target
the mean VWAP at 4 as the stop loss for a basic3:! R:r trade. For something better zoom into
a 15-30 minute time frame reset the anchored VWAP and fine tune.
UROY Uranium finance lease mining play LONGUROY does royalties foe uranium mining ore to refined et cetera. On the 60 minute chart,
it has been on fire this week picking up 30% in market cap showing explosive volumes
at 5X and sustained. The past two days have been rest and recuperation in consolidation.
The zero-lag MACD suggests there is more upside in the near term with a line cross under a
histogram rising from zero. The advanced RSI indicator shows a relative strength pullback from
80ish to about 65 and surprisingly the linear regression lines suggest an oversold state at
present. I will take a long position here which may be risky at nearly 2 standard deviations
above a rising mean VWAP and extended from the POC line of the volume profile but the
supertrend indicator is showing a stepped rise and that is good enough for me. I have a
new position in UEC a penny energy stock in the uranium subsector.
UROY Short Sell Trade from High Tight Flag Breakdown SHORTUROY topped out as shown by my other ideas. Profits are redeployed into it in a short trade
to play the volatility. Expect 10% in 1-3 days. Text box comments are on the chart. The
volatility is increased;the uranium sector is hot ( no pun here) given the climate warming and t
the ongoing debates on fossil fuels and government initiatives supporting green energy and
trying to wean the oil addiction. ( ZOOM out and to the left for text comments )
UROY Swing Trade Recap Volume Profile Analysis LONGUROY on a 15-minute chart with the volume profile and the EMA cloud as the indicators
demonstrates a one-week-long swing trade. Both stock shares and inexpensive call contracts
were traded. The stock trade profit was 30% over five trading days ( MLK Holiday ignored).
Options dramatically more profit for the expiration of 1/19th. The analysis, setup and
trade management occupied about 5 minutes per day as assisted by typical alerts and
notifications on the indicators as per TV.
The options contracts were closed as they were expiring later that Friday afternoon. The stock
position could have continued over a closed market weekend but I opted to close the
the entire position of stock simultaneously with the options.
This idea demonstrates the utility of the volume profile in this case applied to a penny stock
the hot uranium subsector within the energy sector at large. See also my other ideas on UROY
and also UEC.
The profits here will be used to take another long call option for UROY striking $ 5.00
for January 2025 sith some change left over for the next re-entry.
UEC an energy penny stock pops out of ascending channel LONGUEC is a uranium company somewhat independent of the oil, solar and lithium stocks that
dominate the energy sector. Nuclear is touted as green and not contributory to climate change
with no carbon impact. It pollution or radioactivity is self-contained and isolated with heavy
regulatory safeguards All that said, a few days ago analysts at Eight Capital raised the status
of UEC to "strong buy" with a price target of $13 or about 75% above current valuation. Such
a high upside is uncommon in the energy sector.
The 4H chart shows price broke out from an ascending channel of several months
duration with a corresponding relative volume of 4x the running mean. The price action
is that of a high tight flag patter n invoking the moderately strong probability of more
bullish momentum after a consolidation is completed.
I see this as a great long swing trade with earnings coming in two months or call options
OTM targeting a strike price of $10 for the mid-March expiration. Given the stock price at
present such call options would have about $40 premium per contract.
Lastly, the ETFs URA and URNM appear to track the price action of UEC fairly well. If a trader
prefers diversification or risk moderation of ETFs these two are reasonable alternatives.
Uranium trades do not have geopolitical risk to consider as much as oil and gas yet another
reason to give this a further look.
.
Uranium Energy Corp (NASDAQ: UEC) In-depth Analysis
The previous day’s close for UEC stock was $6.07, and it opened slightly lower at $6.06. Throughout the day, the stock experienced a range between $5.93 and $6.09. The trading volume for the day was 7,439 shares. The market capitalization for UEC is currently valued at $2.2 billion.
When examining the company’s earnings growth, it is evident that UEC has faced challenges in recent years. The earnings growth for the last year was reported at -146.91%, while the earnings growth for this year stands at -266.67%.
In contrast to the negative earnings growth, UEC experienced a significant revenue growth of 609.77% in the last year.
In terms of the company’s financial performance in the previous year, UEC reported an annual revenue of $164.4 million, but unfortunately, it incurred a net loss of -$3.3 million. The net profit margin for UEC is -2.01%.
Price Momentum
UEC is trading near the top of its 52-week range and above its 200-day simple moving average.
What does this mean?
Investors have been pushing the share price higher, and the stock still appears to have upward momentum. This is a positive sign for the stock's future value.
October rally ready to resume?If you have been anticipating a resumption in the October rally, this may be the trigger. The SMH/SOX is the (I believe) the last of the major indicies to still have a gap left unfilled. If it closes today (or this week), then maybe we can get going to the upside. Some resource stocks have already started their ascent (GDX, SILJ, UUUU, UEC, NXE, etc.)
Uranium in a Good Spot?The uranium spot price and mining equities have experienced a significant run since the pandemic lows-- largely due to SPUT purchasing from the spot market, panic buying by utilities at the beginning of Russia's invasion of Ukraine, and the prospect of Japanese restarts. But the days of going up multiple times over seem to be over: the spot price has been drifting sideways to downwards both due to SPUT reducing their buying and the typical utilities purchasing cycle having been completed earlier in the year. In the social media uranium space on Reddit, Twitter, and Youtube there is a mood of pessimism and disappointment. An endless parade of bullish catalysts--such as mergers and acquisitions, increased mineral estimates, incredible earnings, US Strategic Uranium Reserve purchasing and HALEU funding-- all seem to have limited impacts on the sector, raising up a penny stock here and there.
As we enter 2023, I have two arguements for a reversal in the downtrend; one fundamental and another technical.
I'm assuming the fundamental catalysts for another run in the uranium sector will be similar to the previous run. Sprott will increase their purchasing of precious metals in a declining interest rate environment, and that will extend to their purchasing of uranium as well. Utilities will enter another contracting cycle-- whether that is in early spring like 2022, or in late fall like it usually is, remains to be seen. And SWU prices (the cost of enrichment) remain elevated, no doubt having a downstream impact on the spot price. The uranium spot price is the main driver of bull runs in the uranium equities-- e.g. just take a look at the similarities between charts of $LEU and UX1!. Headlines about DOE funding and X-Energy's SPAC may drive inflows into the sector next year, but remember that sentiment in the stock market does not drive up purchases on the spot market
On a technical note, take a look at the three points where I've circled on the daily chart of $URNM above. There is bullish divergence on the RSI (where it is making a higher high while the candles make a lower high). The MACD is crossing over to the upside, which often precedes a significant amount of momentum to the upside. The candlesticks from the past week have made a double bottom at $29.75, also touching for the third time the supporting trendline that has marked a temporary bottom in the structure where we have been for the past two years. Now this larger pattern has neither confirmed as a descending wedge (bullish) or a head and shoulders with a diagonal neckline (bearish). But I will wager that this is a bottom for $URNM and many uranium mining stocks for the near and possibly long term, barring new lows on the broader market.
UROY LONG SETUPNASDAQ:UROY
On the daily chart UROY which is a uranium royalty play
is at a three month long. Outlook is good when energy
costs are rising and uraniums is widely considered
more green than Oil, natural gas and other CO2 producing
fuels.
The RSI Oscillator is in mid-range. Within the past
few days, a high spike of buying volume is noted.
A Doji candle a few days ago signaled the reversal.
It is there that I will set the stop loss.
I am targetting a 40-60 % retracement of the downtrend
mindful of the Fibonacci levels and so about a 20-25%
upside.
URAs breaking out on volumeUranium miners jumped over short-term resistance this morning (9 & 21 DSMAs). With strong volume at 11 am and support at 200 DSMA having held from two days ago, I'm looking for URA to maybe catch its breath at the 50 DSMA before pushing through and targeting 28 in September.
Uranium Energy Corp having a meltdown. UECWe are not in the business of getting every prediction right, no one ever does and that is not the aim of the game. The Fibonacci targets are highlighted in purple with invalidation in red. Fibonacci goals, it is prudent to suggest, are nothing more than mere fractally evident and therefore statistically likely levels that the market will go to. Having said that, the market will always do what it wants and always has a mind of its own. Therefore, none of this is financial advice, so do your own research and rely only on your own analysis. Trading is a true one man sport. Good luck out there and stay safe
Uranium - Is it getting ready for yet another rally? Over the past two years, the uranium sector has been experiencing a deficit on the supply side which led to a surge of more than 300% in the price of Global X Uranium ETF. The situation was even further exacerbated when in January 2022 Kazakhstan, world's largest producer, saw civil unrest spreading across the country. We foresee the deficit in the uranium market to be persistent throughout the whole year 2022 which we expect to have a positive impact on the price of this yellow metal. Recently, URA ETF saw bullish developments taking place on the daily time frame which possibly sets it for another rally.
Top ten biggest producers of uranium by country (2020):
1. Kazakhstan = 19 477 tonnes (approximately 41% of world supply)
2. Australia = 6 203 tonnes
3. Namibia = 5 413 tonnes
4. Canada = 3 885 tonnes
5. Uzbekistan = 3 500 tonnes
6. Niger = 2 991 tonnes
7. Russia = 2 846 tonnes
8. China = 1 885 tonnes
9. Ukraine = 744 tonnes
10. India = 400 tonnes
Meanwhile, the U.S. produced only 6 tonnes of uranium in 2020 which leaves it heavily dependent on foreign producers.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
RSI is very bullish. MACD is bullish, though it still remains in the bearish territory. Stochastic is bullish. DM+ and DM- performed bullish crossover recently. However, ADX contains low value which suggests no trend is currently present in URA. Overall, the daily time frame is bullish.
Illustration 1.01
Picture above depicts the daily chart of the URA ETF. It also shows resistance at slope. We will observe price action closely and we will look whether it manages to break above the resistance. If breakout occurs, then we expect such a phenomenon to strongly bolster the bullish case for the URA ETF.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
RSI continues to develop bearish structure. However, it already reversed which is bullish. We will watch whether it will manage to break its bearish structure. MACD is bearish but it shows first signs of flattening. Stochastic oscillates in the bearish territory, however, it points to the upside at the moment. DM+ and DM- show bearish conditions in the market. ADX suggests a lack of prevailing trend. Overall, the weekly time frame is bearish but signals very weak or no trend at all.
Support and resistance
Major resistance lies at 31.60 USD. Short-term resistance sits at 23.26 USD. Resistance 1 is at 26.37 USD and Resistance 2 at 28.72 USD. Resistance 3 is at 29.77 USD. Short-term support sits at 21.72 USD. Support 2 can be found at 17.23 USD.
Please feel free to express your own ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Your own due diligence is highly advised before entering trade.
uranium stockuranium is possibly an emerging market. as governments look for more ways to meet their bottom line energy requirements, uranium is looking like the new oil. But you can't openly bid on the uranium market, probably a good thing, so here is a uranium stock.
Is this a good uranium pick? Is there a different one you are looking at?
UEC Are we there yet ? Bottem ? Deeper than I had envisioned. upon reaching the previous golden pocket on the shortest uptrend, the price bounced back but was rejected at $4.5.
so downtrend is extended.. now the price is already in the zone from where it could turn. we are low in the RSI and so the bulls may have the energy to move upwards again.
- red bar is the next resistance.
- blue bars are support (if bulls can't hold the $3.14 then $2.41 is next)