Possible Reversal in Sight for USDJPYLiquidity is all around you.
Price is coming into a strong support area. If the bottom isn't already in, then maybe it taps once more
into the downside target zone before reversing up. There are 3 immediate targets. The first has the highest chance of keeping UJ bearish. If it turns over there at Target 1 after making a new low on M15, then this idea could be scrapped.
But i like my chances for a good bounce here.
Uj
USDJPY 4hour Analysis January 23rd, 2022USDJPY Neutral Idea
Weekly Trend: Bullish
Daily Trend: Bearish
4hour Trend: Bearish
Trade scenario 1: We are looking very bearish here on USDJPY and price action has broken back into a range so our opportunity is very limited.
Ideally we see rejection from our new resistance near 114.150 followed by a confirming lower high.
Trade scenario 2: For us to start considering UJ bullish again we need to see a higher low above 114.150.
USDJPY 4hour Analysis January 16th, 2021USDJPY Neutral Idea
Weekly Trend: Bullish
Daily Trend: Bullish
4hour Trend: Bearish
Trade scenario 1: Looking very bearish here on the 4hour timeframe while the higher timeframes remain overall bullish.
Price action is in a tricky area because we have re-entered a known range and the trend now becomes less clear.
The most likely scenario is that price action finds resistance around 114.150 and falls back into the range.
Trade scenario 2: For us to consider UJ bullish we would first need to see a higher low above 114.150 resistance.
watch for UJ sell next weekWe can see the uptrend from the previous has now been broken. The US dollar did have hard news last week while Japan had some great news on their end. The buyers will come in on Sunday and see if they can get ahead again but it looks like its in a retrace and the bears should start to take charge. If this is in a bearish direction. The first TP would be 113.110 as that is when price will start to retrace again.
Let me know what you think will happen this week.
USDJPY 4hour Analysis January 9th, 2021USDJPY Bullish Idea
Weekly Trend: Bullish
Daily Trend: Bullish
4hour Trend: Bullish
Trade scenario 1: We are extremely over extended here on UJ. For us to enter long we need to see a pullback with a structure forming higher low.
Keep in mind that UJ is still overall bullish as long as we’re above 114.150.
Trade scenario 2: No short opportunities are available yet. We would need to see a massive amount of bearish pressure breaking through support levels as low as 114.150 first.
USDJPY 4hour Analysis December 26th, 2021USDJPY Bullish Idea
Weekly Trend: Bullish
Daily Trend: Bullish
4hour Trend: Bullish
Trade scenario 1: Looking bullish here on UJ but i’m not that convinced that we are going to push higher.
Ideally we can consolidate a little above 114.150 support followed by some strong bullish volume.
Trade scenario 2: For us to consider UJ again we would need to see price action form a lower high below 114.150 support.
USDJPY 4hour Analysis December 19th, 2021USDJPY Bullish Idea
Weekly Trend: Bullish
Daily Trend: Bullish
4hour Trend: Bullish
Trade scenario 1: The 4hour is looking bearish but we still have a lot of resistance near 114.150.
Ideally, price action breaks and forms a higher low above 114.150 so we can enter long.
Trade scenario 2: For us to consider UJ bearish we first would need to see price action head back toward 112.700 support.
USDJPY 4hour Analysis December 12th, 2021USDJPY Neutral Idea
Weekly Trend: Bullish
Daily Trend: Bullish
4hour Trend: Bearish
Trade scenario 1: Overall we are mainly bullish on the higher timeframes but we’ve seen a very strong 4hour bearish trend lately.
The unfortunate thing is we’re seeing a ton of traffic on this pair with tons of consolidation and s/r levels in the area.
To play this safely we’re looking for higher lows above 114.150
Trade scenario 2: The same goes for the bearish scenario, we need to see a lower high below 112.700.
USDJPY 4hour Analysis November 14th 2021USDJPY Neutral Idea
Weekly Trend: Bullish
Daily Trend: Bullish
4hour Trend: Neutral
Trade scenario 1: We have a wild range here on UJ so we have to play it safe. Overall we are pretty bullish on the higher timeframes.
Ideally, we see bullish price action break the range and resistance near 114.150 and present a higher low above.
Trade scenario 2: For us to consider UJ bearish we would need to see bearish price action break the range.
You could trade the range if you want but I do not recommend it.
USDJPY - Live Weekly Elliott plotAs per plotting of the Weekly in Advanced Get - we will update these ideas & add daily plots.
Disclaimer
This idea does not constitute as financial advice. It is for educational purposes only, our principle trader has over 20 years’ experience in stocks, ETF’s, and Forex. Hence each trade setup might have different hold times, entry or exit conditions, and will vary from the post/idea shared here. You can use the information from this post to make your own trading plan for the instrument discussed. Trading carries a risk; a high percentage of retail traders lose money. Please keep this in mind when entering any trade. Stay safe.
USDJPY 4hour Analysis November, 7th 2021USDJPY Bearish Idea
Weekly Trend: Bullish
Daily Trend: Bearish
4hour Trend: Bearish
Trade scenario 1: Definitely looking bearish here on UJ but will this current break confirm or fakeout.
Ideally, we see a lower high form here below 113.450 with strong bearish setups to enter short on. Look to target lower toward 113.000
Trade scenario 2: If this current attempt to push lower fails, look for a higher high above 113.450 to enter long on and target higher toward the top of the range.
Bearish movement in UJ ahead!In my analysis, I think there will be a large bearish movement in USDJPY. UJ have in kind of rectangle chart pattern from past few weeks. In addition to this, yesterday's candlestick closes with a tri-star chart pattern, which is a moderate reversal pattern. See the picture below and I would love to have your say on this.
USDJPY 4hour Analysis October 31st, 2021USDJPY Bullish Idea
Weekly Trend: Bullish
Daily Trend: Bullish
4hour Trend: Bullish
Trade scenario 1: Clear bullishness here on UJ but we can see on the 4hour that we have a bit of a range forming.
Ideally we continue with the overall bullish trend and enter long after we can see a higher low above the range.
Trade scenario 2: The other trade idea would be to play the range and catch a reversal near the top of the range while targeting the bottom.
USDJPY Daily Analysis October 24th, 2021USDJPY Bullish Idea
Weekly Trend: Bullish
Daily Trend: Bullish
4hour Trend: Bullish
Trade scenario 1: Finally UJ retraced after a very extended rally. From here we’re looking for a reversal near our 38.2% fib level. Look to enter long on bullish setups confirming structure.
Trade scenario 2: If we see a break of our weekly near 113.000 we will consider entering short on lower highs below 113.000. Look to target lower toward support around 111.500.