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EW Analysis: Cable Can See More Weakness After A PullbackHello tradars! Today we will talk about Cable (GBPUSD) and its price action + wave structure from Elliott Wave perspective. Cable is turning south and it's pointing even lower after we noticed a bigger A-B-C corrective rally from March lows. So currently, after recent broken channel support line, we are tracking at least a three-wave A/1-B/2-C/3 decline that can send the price at least back to the 1.2250 support area. But, before that sell-off for wave C/3, we may see a temporary intraday recovery for wave "c" to complete an a-b-c, a higher degree expanded flat correction in wave B/2, where ideal resistance would be at that trendline connected from March lows, 61,8% Fibonacci retracement and 1.30 - 1.32 zone. We will expect more weakness for GBPUSD as long as it's trading below 1.3488 invalidation level. It is worth reporting that the UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson will hold talks with the European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen agreed in a phone call on Saturday to step up negotiations on a post-Brexit deal. Given the lack of progress in the ninth round of Brexit negotiations, the efforts to close gaps extended some support to the British pound. However, it might be only a temporary support and recovery ahead of important October 15 deadline for Brexit deal . All that being said, wave structures and upcoming news match nicely, so timing can be perfect. Be humble and trade smart! If you like what we do, then please like and share the idea! Disclosure: Please be informed that information we provide is NOT a trading recommendation or investment advice. All of our work is for educational purposes only.
by ew-forecast
6
Brexit All you Need to Know about the UK Leaving the EU 🍃📌 Brexit: What happens now? The UK left the EU on 31 January 2020 and is now in an 11-month transition period. During this period the UK effectively remains in the EU's customs union and single market and continues to obey EU rules. However, it is no longer part of the political institutions. So, for example, there are no longer any British MEPs in the European Parliament. 📍 MP's back Boris Johnson's plan 📍 What is Boris Johnson's deal with the EU? Future trade deal Negotiations on a trade deal with the EU have been proceeding for several months. The UK wants as much access as possible for its goods and services to the EU. But the government has made clear that the UK must leave the customs union and single market and end the overall jurisdiction of the European Court of Justice. Both sides say there a still significant areas of disagreement - for example, on EU proposals for a so-called "level playing field", which would see the UK and EU maintain similar minimum standards on things like workers' rights and environmental protection. 📌 Brexit: What is a level playing field? The deadline for the two sides to agree an extension to the transition period has now passed. If no trade deal has been agreed and ratified by the end of the year, then the UK faces the prospect of tariffs on exports to the EU. The prime minister has argued that as the UK is completely aligned to EU rules, the negotiation should be straightforward. But critics have pointed out that the UK wishes to have the freedom to diverge from EU rules so it can do deals with other countries - and that makes negotiations more difficult. It's not just a trade deal that needs to be sorted out. The UK must agree how it is going to co-operate with the EU on security and law enforcement. The UK is set to leave the European Arrest Warrant scheme and will have to agree a replacement. It must also agree deals in a number of other areas where co-operation is needed. It's also important to recognize that major changes will take effect on 1 January 2021 whether or not a trade deal is agreed. Free movement of people will end and businesses trading with the EU will have to follow new rules. 📌 What are the big issues at stake here? Top of the list is a trade deal to ensure the tariff and quota-free flow of goods between the EU and UK. But the EU will only agree to zero tariffs and zero quotas if the UK pledges zero dumping – that is, not lowering social and environmental standards to outcompete the EU. Negotiators will almost certainly clash over the EU’s refusal to bring services into the trade deal, leaving the City of London reliant on a patchwork of market access agreements that can be withdrawn at any moment. Another early fight will be over fish, as the EU seeks to link goods trade to maintaining the status quo on access to British waters, a demand seen as outrageous in London. The non-trade topics sound easier, but are full of political landmines. For instance, agreeing a replacement for the European arrest warrant will require Germany to change its constitution. The UK will struggle to achieve the historic first of securing outside access to some EU crime-fighting databases. 📌 What will happen to the economy? It depends who you ask. In the short term, much of the risk seems to have been priced in, at least on currency markets, where sterling still languishes compared to where it was in June 2016. The stock market is well ahead. 📍 Sterling is still down on its pre-Brexit vote position 📍 Shares have rallied recently, partly fueled by greater Brexit certainty 📍 Investment in UK business has fallen behind other G7 countries Share your Views and comments ideas below to make things more better. Thank you
Education
by Ridethemacro
Weak dollar pushing pound to above 1.29 handleTechnically, GBPUSD holding abv 1.28 handle strongl and heading for 1.29 and sustain abv can test 1.32. Intraday perspective h4 chart holding above 50ma at 1.2822 and h1 200ma at 1.2822 saying 1.2820 a strong support for the day. One can build a buy positions for the upside target 1.2920 yesterday high also a 136ma too in h4, followed by 200ma at 1.3045 h4 timeframe. Overall buy on dips is advised for the day. Suggestion: BUY GBPUSD FROM CMP 1.2855 SL BELOW 1.2800 TGT 1.2920/2950 ELSE SELL BELOW 1.2800 FOR 1.2755/2730 SL ABV 1.2830
Long
by OfficialYaMarkets
BTCUSD ANALYSES 04,9,2020Hello traders, today's analyses is very important, cause after we had a very strong bullish, we are now having a bearish but is it a free shot, perhaps it is , cause all indicators and probabilities are giving about 78% that market we thouch the strong support in price 10089-9665. and if we break the support then we will have a real free shot of the year, but always there is a probabilities of 65% that market will make a pull back on the support to reach again the resistance. hope you enjoy the analyze, don't forget to put like and comment if you agree with me
BITFINEX:BTCUSDLong
by elmorabit
2
Pound sells off on Brexit woesThe pound is down 2% against the U.S dollar in the past couple of days, on growing prospects that the United Kingdom will leave the European Union without a trade agreement. Brexit talks are set to continue this week, with UK’s Prime Minister Boris Johnson playing hardball with European Officials. He has imposed a October 15 deadline, to which he plans to quit Brexit talks if no deal is reached. The pounds have mostly forgotten Brexit, with the Coronavirus pandemic guiding everyone’s attention away from the non-completion of Brexit. Seema Shah, Portfolio manager at Principal Global Investors, stated that headlines over the weekend were a “timely reminder that, while the markets have been distracted by the UK’s struggle to rejuvenate the economy, Brexit negotiations have quietly been going nowhere.” The main issues include competition, fisheries, and solving disputes. UK government undermining Brexit, pushing pound lower Further downwards pressure came from the revelation of the UK government is planning to release legislation that would override critical parts of the withdrawal agreement – notably the deal that would undermine the agreement that Boris Johnson signed last year to avoid a return to a hard border. The pound has been rallying since its March lows, up 14.13%. However, it has underperformed compared to its peers. For example, the Australian dollar has rallied 31% since its March lows. The main issue for the pound comes from its appreciation, not discounting Brexit talks. As headlines start to creep up about Brexit near Boris’ October 15 date, the pound’s volatility will increase. Petr Krapta, a currency strategist at ING bank, stated that “the Brexit head is back on and sterling is, in our view, unprepared.” This comes at a time when the UK’s grip on the Coronavirus continues to slip, with daily cases spiking, recording the highest number of daily Coronavirus cases since May.
by BlackBull_Markets
GBP - 1.35 Next area?! I'm actually very excited to share this chart! For months I've been loving the dollar weakness keeping a key eye, that's been the main dominance in the market at this moment of time - Forget Brexit..It's like long going divorce which none of them can agree on anything at this moment of time. I posted a video explaining we might reach 1.35 areas - we've come above a long term trend-line down - Keep in mind a VERY long trend-line going on for years. This was posted 2 months ago. Fundamentals to keep in mind we have FED speakers speaking this week, if we get further clarity how they are going to rise inflation which tools will they be implementing in, or if they don't it could drag the dollar either direction, which you should keep in mind major pairs, precious metals and real yields. Technical terms of GBP - We are in a tight range, keep in mind this is longer time frame. If we do extend further of the area we are in, we should be going back to the areas of 1.35 half areas. Which will reach my long term targets for GBP - 1.35, EUR - 1.20, AUD 0.74/0.75 . That's if we get further decline in dollar. (Keep in mind most majors had key trend-line long terms they've battled with). If you'd like further information regarding minor pair targets or any other instruments, please do message privately. However, if we do get key pull back for GBP keep an eye on the levels area of 1.32 if further decline, bulls will come into control. Key tip: The trend is your friend....Don't forget UK, We are on Bank holiday - I don't expect large movements for today and end of month flows. Trade safe and great week ahead to you all. (Just a trade idea, not a recommendation) Trade Journal.
by Trade_Journal
GBPUSD - More downside? GBPUSD - What clean moves we have had. When it comes to trading and you don't understand what's going on go through higher time frames and concentrate on the levels and then go through more in depth technical approach the shorter the time frames you go into or having few bad runs - take a day or two off and come back refreshed. I've been selling this pair since 1.31200 areas. Now is a key area to be looking at - Why? Let me explain further...! Technical terms: We have a bear flag forming - it's having a pull back as this current time - But question yourself for me if this pull back goes extending further towards lower ends of 1.31010 areas. Could be a fake break out! I will be thinking perhaps bulls are back in control and will be looking at the price action to keep an eye on. However, if this pull back validates and we have further weakness bears are still in control under 1.30150 area. You could measure the bear flag which reach towards areas of: 1.29558. You could even put: EMA's, Fib Retracement, or Elliott wave. Either direction - With my analysis, I keep a non-bias approach. Keep in mind - The beautiful pull back we had in precious metals, 10 yr/5 yr T notes and DXY. Just a trade idea, not a recommendation. All the best, Trade Journal.
by Trade_Journal