FTSE 100 Stock Index trading near top end of the price channelSqueezed
UK retail sales fell hard in September, higher cost of living hitting the pockets of consumers
UK recent economic data highlights
The drop in UK retail sales indicates that consumer spending slowed in September; actual -1.4% vs -0.3% forecast
Highlights little signs UK household spending to pick up soon as higher prices push consumers to become more careful about spending
FTSE 100 Stock Index trading near top end of the downward price channel
UK100 Index: current price remains vulnerable towards the downside, although price has traded slightly stronger since touching the 52-week low at 6,713 last week momentum indicators seem to suggest further price weakness ahead for the index
Scenario
(a) Price fails to consolidate above it’s 10-day very short term moving average around (6,900) which exposes a re-test of last weeks low near 6,713, and if the 52-week low fails to hold a further extension lower towards 6,400 (2.618% lower extension from the August highs - September lows)
(b) Price breaks out of the downward price channel (chart 1) and makes a move toward the upper 7,180 resistance
UK100 CFD
FTSE100 next down drop thanks LIZ!FTSE - 100
Symmetrical Triangle
Price broken down and showing momentum picking up
RSI is below 50 and is making lower highs - BEARISH
BEARISH target 6,256
UK100 price action forming a bottom?UK100 - Intraday 9pm UK time - We look to Buy at 6850 (stop at 6790)
Previous support located at 6900.
Previous resistance located at 6950.
Price action looks to be forming a bottom.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
Bullish engulfing has been posted recently.
Our profit targets will be 7000 and 7050
Resistance: 6950 / 7000 / 7050
Support: 6900 / 6850 / 6800
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
FTSE approaches Yearly Low Watching FTSE 100 as it approaches the yearly low @ 6760. The market has been slightly more resilient than its counter parts due to the decentralised nature of the companies that make up the index, however breaking the low would be a significant moment and could spell further downside.
There are levels to watch below this but we need to reference the Covid drop and recovery so I would anticipate a large flush down on a level break before we stabilise.
Short UK stocks until the red line support is met.Every time the short term support line is broken the FTSE100 index has always reverted down to the red long term support trendline.
Therefore, it is sensible to assume that this will be the case again. A buy target of 5000-5500 is reasonable, however if the index drops below 5000, all bets are off.
UK100 D2: TOPPED OUT // correction looming // SHORT IT!(NEW)Why get subbed to me on Tradingview?
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UK100 D2: TOPPED OUT // correction looming // SHORT IT!(NEW)
IMPORTANT NOTE: speculative setup. do your own
due dill. use STOP LOSS. don't overleverage.
🔸 Summary and potential trade setup
::: US/Global stock markets are maxed out
::: UK economy managed by team of degens
::: Hundreds of thousands of people have already lost their jobs
::: FAKE money printing won't prevent the collapse
::: 20/25% correction incoming soon
::: trading inside 10 year range
::: maxed out / overbought conditions
::: UK100 distribution in progress
::: expect limited upside going forward
::: SHORT IT 25% gains at least mid-term
::: more coming over next few months
::: unsustainable gains, game over now
::: distribution at the TOP setup
::: spells MAJOR trouble for the BULLS
::: BEAR cubs will turn into GRIZZLY
::: expecting CORRECTION to last next 4-8 months
::: distribution at the top in progress
::: will lose up to 25% during correction
::: There is no upside in this market
::: Get out / trim exposure / or SHORT IT
::: Game over bulls and market will shift
::: into BEAR mode soon
::: either way setting up for 25%+ correction
::: 4-8 months of correction incoming soon
::: better be prepared in advance
::: when there's GREED there's also PAIN
::: good luck traders
🔸 Supply/Demand Zones
::: N/A
::: N/A
🔸 Other noteworthy technicals/fundies
::: TD9 /Combo update: N/A
::: Sentiment: BEARS
::: Sentiment outlook short-term: BEARISH
RISK DISCLAIMER:
Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
Joe Gun2Head Trade - Will the major support at 6822 hold?Trade Idea: Selling FTSE100
Reasoning: Intraday Bullish Flag on CADCHF
Entry Level: 6853
Take Profit Level: 6700
Stop Loss: 6928
Risk/Reward: 2.04:1
Disclaimer – Signal Centre. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
uk100 long nowThis market is witnessing an unusual movement and the possibility of a rise is very high
My advice is to buy
Buying UK100 at market.UK100 - Intraday - We look to Buy at 7000 (stop at 6940)
Previous support located at 7050.
Previous resistance located at 7100.
Price action looks to be forming a bottom.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
Our profit targets will be 7150 and 7170
Resistance: 7100 / 7150 / 7170
Support: 7050 / 7000 / 6950
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
uk100 short nowThis market is witnessing an unusual movement and the possibility of a decline is very high
My advice is to sell
FTSE broke out of weekly rangeHi Everyone!✋🏽
UK100 closed below the lower boundary of the range that started to build up in April '21. It can easily fall to the next weekly breakout that is approx. the same distance as the size of the range. Every countertrend on the lower timeframe is an opportunity to go short until the start of the Daily impulse wave is taken back by the buyers on the Daily chart - currently marked as the validity zone.
ANYWAY, a lot of Qs about the direction of the price. But it doesn't matter. WE JUST REACT!
Trade safe! ⚪️⚫️
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UK100 Analysis &Trade Plans Trade Plan A
1- A strong support area
if the price gets rejection then go for long
Trade Plan B
1- If the price breaks the
above support then go for short
at the new HH
uk100What is the UK100?
The UK100 index is a capitalisation-weighted share index that comprises 100 companies listed on the London Stock Exchange with the largest full market value. Founded in 1984, the UK100 index has since superseded the FT30 index as the foremost benchmark of UK equity.
Europe&Japan to perform better than USA from now on, 3-UKComparision of "FTSE (UKX) in USD dollars" to "SPX".
I am publishing the same for all (please see my other analysis): Germany, UK, Japan.
I ignore all the fundamentals and only make technical analysis. Fall of EUR&GBP&JPY and their stock market's negative divergence compared to USA (SPX) is about to end, I believe.
Important: This doesn't mean that the equities&indices are going to rise from now on. My analysis only says: Europe&Japan will perform better than USA. Just because they are very cheap.
Watching both directionsLONG CASE
FTSE has found its footing from the lows of yesterday and has started to build a 30min higher low structure, with the most recent higher low coming very quickly after the recent swing higher. Would need to see a clear break of the 7080 level and a backtest of support with a bullish close before taking a position.
SHORT CASE
Price action has been beat over the past week and the recent budget announcement has done little to quell fears of further inflation. The technical perspective is this resistance line at 7080 which is the only local level we have until ~7200. Would need to see a clear rejection of higher prices followed by a bearish close.
Jamie Gun2Head Idea - Buying FTSETrade Idea: Buying FTSE
Reasoning: Holding major support on the daily timeframe, RSI oversold too. On hourly chart, RSI divergence and market opening strong today. Looking for a corrective move higher.
Entry Level: 7060
Take Profit Level: 7185
Stop Loss: 7011
Risk/Reward: 2.55:1
Disclaimer – Signal Centre. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Back to Square One, 14th Sep 2022🖼 Daily Technical Picture 📈
➤ A momentous day in markets, momentous to do downside that is. All the up momentum was snuffed out today. Prices in S&P500 have dropped back to the support level. As I previously mentioned, there were subtle hints of a drop. The big surprise is the degree of the drop we just experienced.
➤ The only good news is that prices have hit support levels. This could lead to a rebound of some kind. Also mentioned a few updates ago, this support level has never been a firm one. Prices have sliced through easily at times. IMO, this level may just hold.
➤ I reduced my short positions in SPX500 and DJIA to take some profit. I still hold DAX and EUSTX50 long positions. This meant I ended the day with my exposure at 0% (or neutral). I am hedged to a large degree. Profits or losses will stem from the degree that US markets out/under perform European markets. The maximum exposure is +/- 200%, the level of highest conviction.
➤ Conclusion: Downward bias worked in my favour. Both my portfolio and equity price levels are back to square one. I'm eager to see what happens next.