UK100 CFD
UK100: Could the slide bellow 7,190 extend?FTSE100 (UK100) index is also an interesting one to watch this week. The index was bounded in a range above 7,000 handle since August. Note that FTSE has been in a loose inverse relation with the pound since the Brexit referendum.
So, in case of a clear Conservative win this Thursday, a strong rally in both the pound and FTSE would be a strong sign of return in investor confidence. Take in mind that the UK elections are held when markets are open, and a new government may be formed on Friday, so volatility could be significant throughout the night and also during all day at Friday.
UK100 index were steady on Monday after posting the biggest weekly loss in 9 weeks last week. A firmer pound prevented more extreme gains as the latest poll showed the Conservatives increasing its lead over Labour by two-digits percentage points.
The UK100 index is trading below the 50-day and 200-day SMAs on 4-hour chart. The RSI indicator is sloping down on both H4 and D time frames. This morning FTSE broke the first support at 7,200. We opened Short position at 7,190 with Stop Loss above 7,250 and Take Profit around 7,130. There is located the lower line of Bollinger Bands on 4-hour chart and since October this level is acting as key support.
On opposite side, the first resistance is the top in the last 3 days at 7,256, followed by H4 50 SMA, middle line of BBs and 200 SMA (on both H4 and daily charts is around 7,320).
Do you trade this index and how?
FTSE Bottoming Pattern on 4 Hour Trade/ British ElectionsJust before I talk about this trade, just a fair warning that the British Elections are this week on Thursday December 12th. So a high risk event, and will be dominated by Brexit promises.
I have spoken about how Central Banks in the Western world are stuck, and they are now attempting to maintain confidence in the system. They want to go back to easing and QE but remember, QE was supposed to be a one time desperate policy to prevent a 1920-30's like great depression. When we go back to QE, people will realize it did not work in the first place. They will use different names to mask QE, but this is the confidence crisis that looms.
These central banks have one role now: to keep assets propped. This will eventually be morphed into buyers of LAST RESORT (instead of lenders of last resort...which was the central banks original mandate when they were first being formed).
I am expecting higher equity prices in the US because there is nowhere to go for yield anymore. Also, many investors know the Fed will support this market. Not to mention the President needs high stock markets if he wants to win the next election using "Keeping America Great" slogan.
Yes, we will have pullbacks, but equity markets will go higher. I speak about why this can be a problem for the Fed and the US Dollar. Post linked below.
In terms of the current FTSE chart, we did make a bottoming/ double bottom pattern at a flip/support zone. From here, we had a nice break above a flip zone marked in blue, a strong break, and now it seems we are making our first higher low which will be confirmed with this current 4 hour candle close.
Target will be the flip zone at 7340 for the trade.
UKX Price Action Analysis | Distribution SchematicThe Distribution Schematic #2, by Richard Wyckoff:
bit.ly
UK100 is currently in Phase D and has already done a Bearish SFP, which indicates a possible downtrend. This seems like a nice example of the Distribution Schematic #2 and also has a fundamental background due to #Brexit. Rest is Risk Management.
Entry: 7390
SL: 7810
TP-1: 6910
TP-2: 6610
TP-3: 6360
R/R: 2.44
Please let me know if you have any suggestions or any ideas to add. I can also give you more detailed explanation for this specific trade setup.
The ideas published here are not financial advices.
FTSE 100 - Can it clear the cluster of resistance?We look to Sell at 7445
Bespoke resistance is located at 7445
Positive overnight flows lead to an expectation of a firm open this morning
We have a 61.8% Fibonacci pullback level of 7432 from 7729 to 7003
Although the anticipated move lower is corrective, it does offer ample risk/reward today
Expect trading to remain mixed and volatile
Stop: 7485
Target 1: 7275
Target 2: 7205
Ferguson - Turning up the heatBuy Ferguson (FERG.L)
Ferguson PLC is a distributor of plumbing and heating products. The Company operates through seven business units: Blended Branches, Waterworks standalone, HVAC standalone, Industrial standalone, Fire and Fabrication, Facilities Supply standalone and B2C e-commerce.
Market Cap: £15.35Billion
Ferguson is trading in a bullish long term channel. The shares are trading just below all time high and there is no sign of the momentum slowing. The small corrective move lower in recent days has attracted buying interest and a move to new highs is expected.
Stop: 6545p
Target 1: 7200p
Target 2: 7600p
Target 3: 8000p
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Convatec - Chronically undervalued?Buy Convatec (CTEC.L)
ConvaTec Group PLC is a United Kingdom-based medical product and technology company. The Company focuses on therapies for the management of chronic conditions, including products used for advanced chronic and acute wound care, ostomy care, continence and critical care and infusion devices used in the treatment of diabetes and other conditions.
Market Cap: £3.79Billion
The recovery over the medium term continues as the shares trade in a sequence of higher highs and higher lows. The recent corrective move back to the trend line has attracted some buying interest. The formation and break of a small wedge is also an encouraging sign that we can expect a continuation. There is an unfilled gap at 223p to target on the upside.
Stop: 181.6p
Target 1: 211p
Target 2: 222p
Target 3: 240p
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BT - Dialling upBuy BT Group (BT.A.L)
BT Group plc is a communications services company. The Company is engaged in selling fixed-voice services, broadband, mobile and television products and services, as well as various communications services ranging from phone and broadband to managed networked information technology (IT) solutions and cyber security protection.
Market Cap: £18.96Billion
BT has broken out of a channel pattern on the daily chart. The breakout move has retraced 50% of the impulsive move higher and retested the broken channel. The shares appear to be stabilising around 185p, while the Conservatives remain in the lead in the opinion polls then the shares could continue higher in relief of avoiding the threat of part nationalisation from a Labour Government.
Stop: 181.6p
Target 1: 212p
Target 2: 230p
Target 3: 265p
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Barclays - Heading higherBuy Barclays (BARC.L)
Barclays PLC is a global financial service holding company. The Company is engaged in credit cards, wholesale banking, investment banking, wealth management and investment management services.
Market Cap: £29.60Billion
Barclays appears to have completed an inverse head and shoulders bottom pattern back on the 11th of October 2019. The shares continue to hold up well as a Conservative win at the upcoming election remains the most likely outcome. the medium-term target is up at 200p.
Stop: 163.65p
Target 1: 181p
Target 2: 193p
Target 3: 200p
Interested in UK Stocks?
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FTSE 100 - Possible sequence of lower highs.We look to Sell at 7380
Trading has been mixed and volatile.
The trend of lower highs is located at 7382.
Positive overnight flows lead to an expectation of a firm open this morning.
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
Expect trading to remain mixed and volatile.
Stop: 7415
Target 1:7275
Target 2: 7200
UK100 - If you like big money moves UK100 delivers?When UK100 moves, it moves Big - Big Losses - Big Wins. Is your psychology right for this pair? Well it time to 'mine for diamonds' (Fib ABCD patterns). We hit a deposit. So let's fill our buckets and get out of here!! Let's see what pattern forms at this area of interest 'C'. Then, we will see if it tunnels over to 'D'. Remember - You only need a small chunk out of UK100, don't stay in too long til it starts to bite back.
FTSE 100 - Selling ralliesTrade Idea
Broken out of the channel formation to the downside.
Continued downward momentum from 7404 resulted in the pair posting net daily losses yesterday.
Negative overnight flows lead to an expectation of a weaker open this morning.
Further downside is expected although we prefer to set shorts at our bespoke resistance levels at 7310, resulting in improved risk/reward.
Expect trading to remain mixed and volatile.
We look to Sell at 7310
Stop: 7355
Target 1; 7095
Target 2: 7005
FTSE trade updateAfter yesterday's news from USA, that they back Hong Kong's bill, China said they will retaliate if it becomes a law. Tensions arise and we are back in risk off mood.
Now approaching big support soon and 200SMA. A break lower for a short. A bounce of support before continuation may offer earlier entry with better risk-reward.
Good Luck!