UKOIL Preps to Face a Res-Test Near $90UKOIL didn't have the strength to reach $94, but it seems that Bulls have not gotten the memo just yet. Perhaps a break above $90 reignites the path?
I'm doubtful, but we'll see. Failure to pass and hold levels above $90, will likely send UKOIL back to mid-high $70s (before the next major run).
Crude Oil Brent
USOIL BREAKOUT ON CHANNEL INDICATING SELL-OFF USOIL confirmed a bearish breakout on the bullish channel created under the daily timeframe today. Here I personally expect to see a strong selling back towards the bottom level of support while we have a resistance holding down the pressure on top close to $80. Here we are expecting bearish momentum to be built towards the $70-67 target region.
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Oil In Corrective Wave, Likely Facing Rejections Below 84.80!Any rejection on crudeo oil at current price level will likely cause price to rally above 86.86!
N.B!
- USOIL price might not follow drawn lines . Actual price movement may likely differ from the forecast.
- Let emotions and sentiments work for you
- ALWAYS Use Proper Risk Management In Your Trades
#usoil
#crudeoil
#wti
#brentoil
Crude Oil's Bull Run No Signs of Stopping: Will It Soon Hit $90?Hi Realistic Traders, let's discuss the latest surge in WTI Crude Oil Price
Why have Oil prices surged?
In the second quarter of 2024, Russia plans to cut its crude oil production in line with OPEC+ agreements, gradually reducing output each month from April to June. This decision follows earlier cuts made in April 2023 and March 2024, with export reductions also phased in gradually.
Meanwhile, tensions between Ukraine and Russia escalated over the weekend with both sides conducting airstrikes. Russia targeted Ukraine's western region of Lyiv and the capital, Kyiv, on Sunday, following drone strikes on Russian oil refineries in the Samara region on Saturday. In retaliation, Russia attacked Ukraine's energy infrastructure on Friday. These developments have heightened concerns about further escalation.
After talking about the fundamental drivers, now let's delve into the technical analysis:
In our technical analysis, we have identified several significant indicators suggesting a bullish trend in WTI Crude Oil. The consistent movement of the price above the EMA200 line indicates robust bullish momentum within the market. Moreover, the formation of both a Symmetrical Triangle and a Falling Wedge pattern implies a continuation of the bullish trend. The recent breakout from these patterns further reinforces the potential for an upward movement toward the target area. Additionally, the upward momentum indicated by the momentum indicator confirms the prevailing bullish sentiment in WTI Crude Oil. In summary, these technical signals collectively also support a favorable bullish outlook for the designated target.
It is essential to note that the analysis will no longer hold validity once the target/support area is reached.
Disclaimer:
"Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on TVC:USOIL ."
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UKOil short term bias (Counter trend) looks bearish**Monthly Chart**
Last month's candle closed bullish indicating a continuous uptrend move at least to the monthly MC of Oct 2023. This month candle opened near the high of the previous candle and resumed higher.
**Weekly Chart**
Last week's candle closed bullish, suggesting a continuation of the bullish move at least toward testing the previous MC candle around the 95 level. However, short-term bias (counter trend) is bearish if the price is unable to sustain the move higher and start reversing.
**Daily Chart**
Short-term counter trend bias is bearish at the break of key reversal near the liquidity pool (Supply Zone) at least to test 88.00 level before it continues moving higher.
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USOIL 300 pips analysis (read caption)Hi' trader what do you think USOIL
USOIL now is resistance zone 84.80 I think USOIL go to retest level 80.90
USOIL now is the high price 84.80 and 85.00 i think USOIL movement retracement
support 81.300 and 80.90
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UKOIL daily XABCD bulls 20% upside BUY/HOLD🔸Hello traders, let's review the daily price chart for UKOIL.
Speculative XABCD in progress, with 20% upside potential based on the
current price action / fundamentals.
🔸XABCD structure is defined by point X at 95.60, point A at 73.20, point B
at 92.50, point C at 77.00, point D/PRZ at 105.00, currently most points validated,
point D/PRZ pending in May/June 2024 (PRZ/D = 105.00)
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Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
A Sell on the Rise StrategyFrom a long-term perspective, Oil, in this case, we use the Brent Last Day Financial by NYMEX CME, overall is trending downward!
It would be tempting to initiate a “sell on rise strategy” especially when a long term trend line (in blue) is challenged. The trend line majors the historical highs of Brent (BZ) as well as Crude (CL) since the second all-time-high (ATH) in March 2022.
Diving deeper and a closer look to what's happening in 2024! Brent has been consolidating way too long already! Crude oil touched-and-go, the same immediate resistance, and marked a 4-month high before closing just below $87 per barrel. Meanwhile, from a short-term perspective, it coincides with a broad technical bullish consolidation within a channel formation (Orange lines). All recent higher-highs and higher-lows in 2024 have indicated an uptrend and the current bullish bias was well supported at triple bottom (Purple line) in the last couple of weeks.
Ideally, Oil should consolidate within the wedge formation until a sustained clear breakout. Oil is trading in an overbought territory and reversal should be in cards!
A suggested trade to bet on the stronger challenge downtrend would be to short at 87.50 level and an appropriate stop loss above an immediate significant resistance. Fundamentally still overbought am looking to break the congested trend channel downwards!
UKOil Looks Bullish**Monthly Chart**
UKOIL last month's candle closed bullish after it tested the demand zone in Dec 2023 around 70 levels. This suggests a continuation of the bullish trend at least to test the MC around 95 level.
**Weekly Chart**
Last week's candle closed bullish after Breaking the recent weekly high at around 84 level. The price might continue moving higher to at least test the liquidity pool at around 88 levels. There is a high probability chance that UKOil will continue the up-move for this week.
**Daily Chart**
Last two weeks there were good buying opportunities and USOIL broke the high of the range. This week will continue to look for buying opportunities if the price moves below 84.00 level with next target around 88 level. If the price does not sustain the move and starts showing reversals then we will look to sell it instead.
UKOIL (Brent) Technical Analysis - VideoIn my previous post, I shared my analysis on Brent crude oil. Here's a video explaining the reasoning behind my trade idea:
Currently, Brent is trading within a daily range-bound channel. It's pushing against the upper boundary, which hints at a possible retracement to test previous lows. Interestingly, historical data over the past decade suggests that March tends to be a bearish period for Brent.
Disclaimer: Remember, this analysis is based on technical factors and should not be seen as direct financial advice. Trading commodities is inherently risky. Before making any trades, always consult with a qualified financial professional and carefully consider your own risk appetite.
UKOIL (Brent) Technical AnalysisBrent crude oil is presently confined within a daily range-bound channel. The price is currently testing the upper bounds of the range, suggesting a potential retracement to retest previous lows. This analysis incorporates a seasonal perspective – historical data over the past decade indicates a tendency for Brent to experience declines during the month of March.
Disclaimer: This analysis offers a technical viewpoint and does not constitute direct financial advice. Trading commodities carries inherent risk. Always consult a qualified financial professional and carefully evaluate your individual risk tolerance before making investment decisions.
Crude Oil Analysis: Bullish Momentum Expected After BreakoutCrude oil has recently encountered resistance and experienced a pullback from this level. However, it is currently trading within an ascending channel, suggesting that the bears are losing momentum, while the bulls are gaining control of the market dynamics.
Key Observations:
1. Resistance Encounter: Crude oil faced resistance at a significant level, prompting a temporary retreat.
2. Ascending Channel: The price action is confined within an ascending channel, indicating a bullish bias in the market sentiment.
3. Breakout Confirmation: Notably, the price has broken and closed above the critical resistance level of 83.00, signaling a potential shift in momentum towards the upside.
Anticipated Move:
- With the breakout above 83.00, I anticipate a continuation of bullish momentum in the near term.
- The breakout suggests renewed strength in the market, potentially leading to further upside movement.
- Bulls are likely to dominate as the momentum shifts in their favor, with potential targets being the next resistance levels.
Trading Implications:
- Consider long positions or bullish strategies in anticipation of the upward momentum.
- Implement risk management strategies, including stop-loss orders, to mitigate potential downside risks.
- Monitor price action for confirmation and adjust trading plans accordingly based on evolving market dynamics.
Overall, the breakout above the resistance level of 83.00 suggests a bullish outlook for crude oil, with the potential for further upside movement in the near term.
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