Two channels at OIL. A small one seems to be broken upside. I have paid attention that UKOIL ascending channel from 2015 was recently broken upside, which allows us to draw a big ascending channel which start from 2014. I believe that there is some good possibility if price will rises above of the middle of this channel. Let's hope for a best!
Crude Oil Brent
USOIL - WTI oil peaked and now it is headed lowerFor the past year, we were predominantly bullish on USOIL. However, this came to a change recently, and we turned neutral to bearish on USOIL. That is due to Strategic Petroleum Reserves being released in vast quantities, production hike talks, and the eventual need to lower energy prices. Therefore, despite the general bullish narrative, we make a contrarian case for the lower cost of oil. Indeed, we would like to set a long-term price for USOIL to 90 USD per barrel.
Illustration 1.01
The picture above shows USOIL on the daily time frame. It also shows the resistance at a slope (white line) and the bullish breakout above it (indicated by the yellow arrow). We will look for a potential breakdown in price and invalidation of the bullish breakout.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
RSI and MACD are neutral. However, MACD needs to be observed for potential bullish crossover above 0 points in the following days. Stochastic oscillates in the bearish area, although it points to the upside. DM+ and DM- show bearish conditions in the market. ADX indicates the trend is weak. Overall, the daily time frame is neutral.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
RSI continues to develop a bearish structure. However, for the past three weeks, RSI started to flatten, making it neutral. MACD also started to flatten, making it neutral too. DM+ and DM- are bullish. ADX seems to have peaked; indeed, ADX started to decline, which suggests that the bullish trend of a higher degree is weakening.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
CRUDE OIL (WTI) Key Levels to Watch 🛢
For the last three weeks, WTI Crude Oil is very bearish.
Recently the price broke and closed below a strong rising trend line and now is approaching strong horizontal support.
Here are key levels for you to watch for oil trading:
Support 1: 93.2 - 95.0 area.
Support 2: 86.6 - 89.7 area.
Support 3: 72.5 - 75.3 area.
Resistance: vertical trend line.
Resistance 1: 106.9 - 109.0.
Resistance 2: 114.3 - 116.7.
Breakout of one of those will trigger a bullish/bearish continuation to the next structure.
While a test and confirmation may give you a counter-trend/trend-following trade.
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UKOILSPOT bearish continuation! | 12 April 2022Prices are on bearish momentum and abiding by a descending trendline resistance. We see the potential for a dip from our sell entry at 102.02 in line with 61.8% Fibonacci Projection towards our Take Profit at 95.38 which is graphical swing low.
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⭐️USDJPY: forecast for Apr 11-Apr 15➡️ The US dollar remains strong against the Japanese yen thanks to stronger US yields. The divergence between the Bank of Japan and the Fed is widening. The growth potential of this pair has fully justified itself and most likely now the price will be in the range of 121.315 - 125.085 , forming a potential balance.
Technically, there are signs of buying the yen and a likely downward movement can be considered at the level of 125.085 . The main task of the sellers is to close/fix the price below the given level. Once this is done, one can start to open shorts. For the upcoming week, a sure target is at 123.153. The downside potential lies at the lower boundary of the expected balance, namely at the level of 121.315.
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UKOILSPOT further bearish momentum! | 11th April 2022Prices are on bearish momentum and abiding by a descending trendline. We see the potential for a dip from our sell entry at 102.07 in line with 78.6% Fibonacci retracement towards our Take profit at 95.48 in line with 78.6% Fibonacci Projection. Prices are trading below our ichimoku cloud resistance and RSI is on bearish momentum, further supporting our bearish bias.
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Crude Oil Idea Nr_two (Brent Oil)Hello Traders
I posted an idea on WTI earlier today. This one is the same idea on UKOIL.
Here is a similar picture despite that the resistance above the price is a bit stronger. The support levels are similar to them on WTI and the downside move should be for both around 22%.
☑️USDCAD: medium-term long➡️ At the moment, in the medium term, the USDCAD currency pair is considered long. Globally, the price is in the range of 1.20000 - 1.45000 and has already rebounded from its lower border. Locally (on the chart) the price is clearly in the balance of 1.24697 - 1.25929 and the sellers are getting ready for another drop to the level of 1.24697 today. After that, the expected medium-term long will become a reality.
Considering the fundamental aspect, the market is increasingly betting that the Bank of Canada ( BoC ) will raise its key rate by 50 bp . at the next meeting. Expectations of a rate hike were likely caused by the publication on Monday of a survey of business prospects of the Bank of Canada. Also today, data on the labor market is expected to be released, which will also clarify fundamentally.
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UKOIL potential for a bounce! | 8th April 2022Prices are approaching a pivot. We see the potential for a bounce from our buy entry at 100.83 in line with 127.2% Fibonacci extension and 78.6% Fibonacci retracement towards our Take Profit at 109.49 in line with 127.2% Fibonacci Projection. RSI is at levels where bounces previously occurred.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
UKOIL potential for bounce! | 6th April 2022Prices are on bullish momentum and abiding by an ascending trendline. We see the potential for bullish continuation from our Buy Entry at 105.19 in line with 61.8% Fibonacci retracement towards our Take Profit at 111.61 which is an area of Fibonacci confluences. RSI is portraying bullish momentum.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
USOIL's Monthly Resistance is super strong and creating selloffUSOIL's monthly resistance is playing an important role in all time frames. Even on the higher timeframes, we can clearly see that the price got faked out by breaching the upside with a fake bull run. The following resistance is holding stronger against the bulls while we see strong selling pressure in the 110 price area. I have a decent expectation of a further decline in oil prices to create and revisit the level highlighted close to 75
USOIL (Crude OIL) /WTI Full Top Down AnalysisAfter rising paraboilically in past few weeks, USOIL completed a multi year W pattern and fell down for a correction. After a parabolic move, a market usually falls down to a shallow target level and tries to consolidates a bit before retesting few levels and making its move again in further correction. WTI (Crude Oil) is in the second stage of it. It is right now consolidating on higher time frames and is trying to test few levels before it starts to fall again. In this Crude Oil Analysis & Forecast Updates - WTI (USOIL) Technical Analysis For April 05, 2022 we will see the scenarios which may come in the play while trading USOIL.
Market conditions are still not very good and we have a new quarter along with new week starting. So trade what you are comfortable with. Do not rush into trades.
Trade what you see and ignore any hypes. Stay objective.
Rules:
1. Never trade too much
2. Never trade without a confirmation
3. Never rely on signals, do your own analysis and research too
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Take care and trade well
-Vik
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📌 DISCLAIMER
The content on this analysis is subject to change at any time without notice, and is provided for the sole purpose of education only.
Not a financial advice or signal. Please make your own independent investment decisions.
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UKOILSPOT potential for bounce! 5th April 2022Prices are consolidating in a triangle pattern. We see the potential for bullish continuation from our Buy Entry at 105.19 in line with 61.8% Fibonacci retracement towards our Take Profit at 111.61 which is an area of Fibonacci confluences. MacD is on bullish momentum.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.