TS ❕ BRENT: time for correction"Black Gold" showed excellent results and the price closed above $94. However, soon the instrument will need a downward correction, at least.
SELL scenario: The short entry point is expected to be found at the resistance line of the uptrend channel. You can enter both on a rebound from this line or after a false breakout, which will be a more conservative option.
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Remember, there is no place for luck in trading - only strategy!
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Crude Oil Brent
CRUDE OIL - Watching Closely!Hello everyone, if you like the idea, do not forget to support with a like and follow.
Here is the top-down analysis for CRUDE OIL, feel free to request any pair/instrument or ask any questions in the comment section below.
Best of luck!
TS ❕ BRENT: re-approach The rapid growth of oil continues. After reaching the level of 94, as expected, buyers have not calmed down and are aiming for new highs.
BUY scenario: At the moment, longs are relevant, especially from the level of 91.08, where the support line is also located. The price is expected to re-approach the level of 94.
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Remember, there is no place for luck in trading - only strategy!
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USOIL hit blue channel Oil received a reaction from the blue channel, if it does not break the channel, the first target is 92.86 and then 93.82 is expected.
I'm using Fibonacci circle , Fibonacci levels , Fibonacci channel to create this analysis
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DISCLAIMER: This post does not provide financial advice. It is for educational purposes only! You can use the information from the post to make your own trading plan for the market. But you must do your own research and use it as the priority. Trading is risky, and it is not suitable for everyone. Only you can be responsible for your trading.
CRUDE OIL (WTI) Bearish Move Initiates 🛢
On our morning's live stream we discussed Oil.
It looks like the market is finally preparing for a bearish move.
On hourly time frame, the price formed a descending triangle formation - a classic reversal pattern.
Its neckline breakout is our trigger to sell.
I expect a bearish move at least to 89.5 level.
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DeGRAM| USDCAD inside the range The Canadian dollar is moving in the range of 1.26660 - 1.27798 and is currently trading at its lower border. This setup allows considering long trades up to the level of 1.27440.
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Technical analysis update: WTI oil (17th January 2022)WTI oil continues to march higher and we continue to maintain a bullish outlook on oil. Our view is supported by a combination of bullish technical and fundamental factors. Currently, we will observe whether USOIL will manage to break above the major resistance at 85.39 USD which will further bolster the bullish case for WTI oil. We would like to set a new short-term price target for USOIL to 85 USD per barrel. Our long-term price target is 90 USD per barrel.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
RSI is very bullish and due to perform crossover above 70 points (into overbought zone). We expect such a phenomenon to be accompanied by further rise in price. However, after completion of crossover we think it is likely that price will retrace lower before continuing towards a price tag of 90 USD per barrel. MACD and Stochastic are also bullish. DM+ and DM- signal bullish trend. Additionally, ADX exhibits growth which suggests that the prevailing bullish trend is gaining strength. Overall, the daily time frame is bullish.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
RSI is bullish. Same applies to MACD and Stochastic. DM+ and DM- performed bullish crossover recently. ADX undergoes reset as it declines. Overall, the weekly time frame is bullish.
Support and resistance
Major resistance sits at 85.39 USD while major support lies at 61.76 USD. Support 1 sits at 80.81 USD and Support 2 at 78.28 USD.
Please feel free to express your own ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Your own due diligence is highly advised before entering trade.
CRUDE OIL: Buying A Pullback To Key Support 6-2-2022CRUDE OIL – Futures
Price Action: There is no price action signal to note at this time.
The recent Bearish Tailed Bar Signal, failed (We did not consider trading this signal and hopefully saved some members on this market).
Price moved significantly higher from the prior Bullish Tailed Bar Signal + Inside Bar Breakout Pattern (Combo Setup) that had formed just under the $84.91 – $85.41 prior resistance area – which now acts as a short-term support area, also a minor Event area.
Potential Trade Idea 1: For more aggressive traders, we are still considering buying on a retracement lower and after a clear price action buy signal, at or around the $84.91 – $85.41 short-term support area (Minor Event Area)
Potential Trade Idea 2: We are still considering buying on a deeper pullback and/or after a price action buy signal, whilst price holds above the $74.17 – $77.46 short-term support area.
TS ❕ CADJPY: down movement As previously stated, we should expect the price to approach support 89.935. Current prices make it possible to consider a short trade with the target at the above support.
SELL scenario: One can try to sell from current prices, near the level of 90.640. CAD news is expected, so one need to take this into account when placing an order. It is possible that the price will drop much lower than the level of 89.935 on the impulsive movement.
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Remember, there is no place for luck in trading - only strategy!
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DeGRAM| USDCAD in the spotlightQuite a relevant pair for today, so news on the labor market is expected for both currencies. At the moment, it is expected to rise to 1.27440, with the potential for growth to 1.28370. However, in connection with today's news, you need to be careful when placing orders.
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CRUDE OIL (WTI) Key Resistance Ahead! 🛢
Hey traders,
Oil is unstoppable.
From the beginning of December, the market gained more than 35%.
Ahead is a strong supply cluster.
It is based on a major rising trend line that the price respected 3 times in a row in the past.
Let the price test that structure and then look for a confirmation to short catching a pullback from there.
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TS ❕ GOLD: rather downBuyers are very likely to complete their hike to the level of 1809.985, from where a rollback should already be expected. The target of the rollback is the level of 1788.960.
SELL scenario: One can open shorts at the level of 1809.985. In this case, of course, it is better to wait for the entry point at which the price will not close above this level.
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Remember, there is no place for luck in trading - only strategy!
Thanks for the likes and comments.
TS ❕ BRENT: to 94$The price of oil is strengthening its bullish potential more and more. As before, the price approach to 94 is expected.
BUY scenario: Mainly growth is expected from the same level of 88.65. Longs are relevant from the current ones. But it must be remembered that closing the price under 88.65 cancels all purchases.
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Remember, there is no place for luck in trading - only strategy!
Thanks for the likes and comments.
TS ❕ BRENT: positive wayThe oil situation most likely continues to develop in a positive way. Presumably, the support level at 88.65 will be the starting point for the continuation of the upward momentum.
BUY scenario: The 88.65 level would be a good place to place a buy order. Growth target level 94. This idea is medium-term.
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Remember, there is no place for luck in trading - only strategy!
Thanks for the likes and comments.
OIL - History Repeats Itself... ⚡️⚡️In the market we see patterns and price action repeat itself over and over again. This is the very framework of technical analysis - where we forecast future price action based on historical price patterns.
In one of our previous posts, we looked at a very similar price behaviour from EURUSD where we had the same sequence of price action play out almost identically to historic price action. See below:
EURUSD went on to play out exactly how it did previously.
Here we have USOIL making eerily similar price action before. We have the following:
1. Bullish correction
2. Major impulse
3. Minor impulse after a brief retracement
4. Double top... Kinda = The second peak went above the first peak
5. Major Drop
It is possible that we'll see very similar price action now in Phase B and have a major drop just like we did in Phase B.
Trade Idea:
- Watch for price to break the double top and then reverse
- Enter with stops above the highs
- Long term target will be the structure level indicated in the chart (5000pips) but take your positions off gradually
Goodluck and as always, trade safe!
USDCAD x USOIL - A Peek Into The Future Of Oil 🛢👀USDCAD and USOIL are inversely correlated - meaning when USDCAD goes up, OIL goes down (and vice versa).
In the chart we have USOIL at the top and USDCAD inverted at the bottom. It appears that USDCAD is ahead of Oil by around a month or so. When USDCAD started it bearish wave, USOIL was starting its bullish wave (after a month).
We recently saw a third touch of a trendline for USDCAD and price rejected nicely and USDCAD is now bullish. We haven't yet seen that for USOIL. We're still yet to touch the trendline for the 3rd time, which will very likely follow USDCAD inversely.
FUNDAMENTALS
Fundamentally we have reason to believe that in early Feb Oil prices will head lower. Opec Plus is expected to adhere to its current strategy at its February 2nd Meeting, raising its March production target to 400,000 barrels per day.
More supply = Lower prices = USOIL Shorts.
It just so happens that the third touch of the trendline for USOIL falls around the Feb 2nd - which would give us a perfect reason to short.
In conclusion, we have the following reason to short OIL:
- USDCAD is leading the way a month early whilst USOIL follows
- USDCAD has already hit the trendline for the 3rd time and is bullish
- USOIL is about to hit the trendline for the 3rd time and turn bearish
- If the OPEC meeting goes well and they adhere to the 400k barrels a day, we will see USOIL move lower.
What do you guys think? Do you agree? Did you know about this correlation? Let me know below.
Goodluck and as always, trade safe!