UKX Hourly - Feeling heavy The index failed to make a higher high and has been trending lower all day. The 6980/7025 area has been tested 4 times and bounced aggressively - I doubt this will be the case on the next test. THe more times a level is tested the more likely it is to break/fail. I'm currently holding a short position (to hedge equity), but keeping an eye on the overhead open gap. I feel much better delta neutral at these levels
FTSE 100 Index
UKX Hourly - Consolidating below overhead lateral resistance Battle lines have been drawn between 7040 and 7055. Trend & sideways consolidation favours a break higher... suspect we will have to wait until US open to get our break. Move higher likely to be quick and fast when (if) it does break higher.
UKX Hourly - Rejection off double resistanceIndex hit double resistance this morning (lateral and prior upward sloping) - and reversed. I am still holding my short positions initiated a couple of days ago. Today's high is the line in the sand for now & hopefully we go back to the bottom of the range at 6850.
UKX Hourly - Opens higher but still not bullishIndex opened higher and (unexpected to me) closed the gap at 7006. However - the picture is still not bullish. We have yet to see higher highs, and there is hidden bearish RSI divergence coming through. I am holding onto my shorts for now (albeit a little more uncomfortably than yesterday) & definitely not ready to add until we see further bearish developments.
UKX Hourly - Beautiful bounce BUT time for downtrend to resume Lovely bounce this morning following the RSI divergence identified. Looks a bit overdone here and I think we can see the downward trend resume. There is a gap around 7000 but will take time to see that filled I think. First a move to at least 6900
UKX Hourly - Worth a cheeky long Our bear flag played out beautifully and I don't think the selling has finished BUT it was a very quick move and we now have some RSI divergence. I have taken profit on my shorts and swung long looking for a bounce towards 6900. Against the trend so will be keeping my stops tights. NB only looking for a bounce here - can only hold longs if we see a trend change.
UKX Hourly - Bearish false break higherSuccessful gap close at 6944 following a bearish false break higher. Significant support at 6955, through which we could see 6695 again. I took profit on my shorts at the gap close, but will cautiously start to sell the rallies towards 6980, and add should we break support