FTSE 100 Index
ridethepig | Positional Play in UK Equities 📌 UK Equities remain vulnerable with Brexit & Covid in play.
(Similar representation for those tracking the moves in S&P, NQ, DJIA and etc...)
(1) Firstly challenge the view that Rishi's stimulus produces an immediate effect and anything more than a spring mattress; the furlough scheme is incredibly expensive and weighing heavy despite being totally justified.
(2) Recognise the idea that we are in a dead-cat-bounce in Equities broadly and that the UK is particularly exposed to these corrections which is key in positional swings! With this said, I struggle to find positives in the UK and in doing so prevents exposure on the bid. In order to bring interest in UK Equities I would need to see the current lows swept and in the event of a no-deal Brexit then we can see as low as 3579.x.
(3) Keep to the strategy - avoid getting soft hands and closing out too early (out of fear of missing the rally) and try rather to operate with a sense of calm and tranquility.
(4) Aim for total destruction of UK assets in the coming year, sadly the individual mobility of almost every sector will be affected from the political suicide.
(5) Get used to observing the complacency and "sell on rallies"; do not let an emotional retail approach be decisive.
(6) Remember what is important for Positional swings ... we are not attacking, or even defending, but remaining nimble with the capital outflows, rather like meandering water.
Thanks as usual for keeping the feedback coming 👍 or 👎
🐻FTSE is in a bear market - 2 levels to look out for.The FTSE100 is clearly in a bear market
It's running under the Ichimoku cloud, the 50 day MA is turning lower, RSI moment is bearish and major UK stocks are heading back to their March lows. There seems to be a small section of UK stocks that are doing well, but even those are looking a little overstretched now.
Levels to look out for 5,700 and major support at 5,550.
I have linked to my last idea where I went over in detail the bull and bear cases for the FTSE should you want to learn more.
FTSE100 - UKX - Range Bound. FTSE100 Weighted by various components, as well as that there was news that few companies from FTSE100 index will be removed and replaced.
However, let's focus on technical aspects:
We are within a range bound area for a while! Could look at it like bullish flag or a wedge/Triangle pattern (Be careful of fake break out). Which ever way this index breaks - I have kept the key support and resistance areas lined up. Those will be the areas I will be looking into in-depth. I advise you to perhaps add alerts or feeling towards risky side at limit orders, so you won't miss the trade opportunity!
Just a trading idea, not a recommendation.
Best wishes,
Trade Journal
🐱The FTSE 100 is what a dead-cat bounce looks likeCompared to major indices in the US, Europe and Asia, the FTSE100 is getting beaten up, and beaten up bad.
Macro economic factors for the UK are very bearish, with huge job layoffs and big unemployment numbers when the UK furlough scheme ends, not a lot has changed since my last update.
Major FTSE 100 companies like Taylor Wimpey, BP, Lloyds, BT etc are all leading the way with the beat downs.
The bounce started strong and we got all the way up to 6,500 before getting chopped down back to 6,000.
Since then the FTSE has never really gotten off the ground and has been playing around the 6,000 level for the last few weeks.
Without strong fundamentals to lead the FTSE higher, it looks like the next level is going to be lower.
Using fib and past support and psychology levels the next areas of support are 5,900, 5,700 and then 5,500.
Have a question about the FTSE100? Leave a comment below.
Tencent & Youzan Position UpdatesThe remaining of three trades taken here remain open prior to the open of Asian equity market's tomorrow. I've gotten some questions regarding my Chinese holdings, and the Trump ban on Tik-tok. I stand behind these calls and will be holding both and will provide updates on partial closes when taken.
FTSE trade planPrice formed a falling channel near the resistance zone. A break higher is a continuation signal to target 6500, previous highs. 2nd target is at 61.8% fib retracement of the March sell-off.
Sentiment is positive as markets prices in the reopening in UK and Europe.
Please support the idea and share your thoughts on FTSE!
Good Luck and Stay Healthy!
UKX Potential Short IdeaAccording to last week movement and market structure, I found a potential reversal zone. Hope it helps! :)
Risk to Reward 1:2
WARNING: This is just my idea and check Monday's movements and decide by yourself!