UNG
BOIL UPDATE LONGTERMOn the daily chart, BOIL price has never been lower and the relative volume has never
been higher in the past five years. Being mindful, this is leveraged it falls faster than an
the unleveraged counterpart of the same commodity ( UNG INL) However moves in the
opposite directions are also amplified. Horizontal red lines are drawn in consideration
of pivots on the 4H. Price was nearly $600 in 2019. Can you think of a fundamental
reason why price cannot rise from the present price to something closer to that
of 2019. To go from $4 to $600 is 150X in otherwords 15000%. Is there anything
wrong with my math or the chart?
UNG - Natural Gas ETF - Potential Double Bottom Support PlayUNG (US Natural Gas ETF) has formed a double-bottom price pattern on the Daily chart.
The Price has found temporary support above $8.21.
Support Price Targets are: $8.21, $8.16, $7.72, $6.11.
Resistance Price Targets are: $8.99, $9.93, $10.97, $11.97.
UNG etf does not always correlate & follow technical analysis charts.
Be aware of global fundamental news changes regarding energy assets (government policies, corporate policies, supply & demand, etc).
Natural Gas Full Bear Control. Short term 15m EMA 12 Guide- NG UNG is on a downtrend in every time frame, bears are in full control.
- Bulls would hope we hold the 52 week low
- need an hourly trend change back to the bulls for we to potentially get a 4h and daily bounce going and shape up an Equilibrium pattern.
- short term intra-day 15m 12 EMA is our guide for full bear control.
- I definitely wouldn't be shorting all the way down here but also there's no signs for me to be interested long as well atm unless bulls can start to shape up some hourly trend change.
Natural gas is almost done consolidating On the 4th hour chart , natural gas looks to be forming a minor bullish divergence on the MACD. It has also formed a falling wedge , which has a higher probability of breaking to the upside. The current sell off was obvious when natural gas rallied to the upper trend line and couldn't break it. A move to the lower trendline is almost finished , a grind lower to tag it is very possible , and a move to 2.22 is not to be ruled out. The zone that natural gas has entered will , in my opinion, yield a reaction very soon.
$UNG to sub $2? I know this would be a crazy move and I have no clue what would cause it, but the chart says that this is a possibility.
As you can see, the chart has formed a H&S pattern and is breaking down. If you take the length of the pattern and extend it down past the breakdown, you get a price target of sub $2. Maybe this is a move that plays out like oil did in 2020?
$NG $UNG $BOIL Where Price would be for the Next couple weeks- UNG NG BOIL have retraced over 50% fib of the A to B move from the bottom, that's a clear sign that we will likely get an equilibrium base on how significant these swings are.
- NG has a tendency to break a resistance and have no follow through vice versa breaking a support and have no follow through so im looking for a equilibrium tightening up price action the next couple weeks.
- Short term bears still in full control
Natural gas is prepping for a big moveNatural gas is prepping for a big move to the upside after the gap fill that's marked on the chart (2.35 vicinity). The gap coincidently lines up with the lower trend line of a falling wedge , making this area a magnet. The move in Natural gas in the previous weeks was very large , which subsequently required some consolidation before another leg. Assuming the general markets can sustain some footing or stall , despite the Silicone Valley bank debacle, natural gas can make a move to the $4 mark.
Natural Gas $NG $UNG $BOIL Tips for Riding your Profit- 4H 12EMALast weeks NG video i mentioned that this is likely a climax bottom and we are heading higher with potential inverse H&S pattern, it ended up playing out in the hourly time frame and bulls were a lot stronger than i expected.
- Looking at the 4h time frame 12 EMA as full bull control support if we don't lose it then we wont be getting 4h and daily consolidation yet.
- im still holding my $BOIL position (it 2x leverage of UNG) its a small position so i'm letting it ride at least 20~30% of course ill still be watching how we consolidate on 4h and daily time frame will tell me a lot if the bull move will continue.
Natural gas is overextended Natural gas looks to be forming a near-term top in what I think is an ABC move up. Bearish divergences are building on the hourly and 4 hr chart. Although,
these divergences can continue to build while Natural gas grinds up , the risk-reward ratio warrants caution. Where does the B wave look to target? The $2.40 vicinity looks plausible, being there was a lot of price action there, a gap , and an attractive fib extension zone. The subsequent C wave will be spectacular, with the potentional of having a 3 or 4 handle.
Natural Gas gaining momentumThe rally continues, what's next for Natural Gas?
Massive long term reversal signals on watch.
Natural gas is stuck, but nearing a move Natural gas has been oscillating in a wide range between $2.34 and $2.60, give or take a few cents. $2.50 support/resistance has been the decision level for a sharp move in either direction. At this point, both extremities have been tested multiple times , weakening both support and resistance. I believe that if natural gas bounces here and tests the higher extremity, it will be broken with ease. However , the longer it stays near the bottom of the range, a break of $2.34 becomes likely and a fall to the $2.20 level materializes. $2.20 is roughly the top of the resistance channel that natural gas has been stuck in since December of last year (highlighted by the green box). That flush might wipe out the remaining stops and a big portion of the bulls that are remaining in natural gas, which could yield a nice bounce and trigger a short squeeze.
Natural Gas: on watch for a breakout!We discuss the latest daily and intra day price action.
Some education about basing formation and what we need to see to gain likely more upside.
Natural Gas at supportNat Gas, the widow maker - is at the 100 month ma (green line), which was a resistance level during it's consolidation and should be a support here. How much of a bounce it can get is hard to say but my guess is at least to 6 dollars sometime this year. This is a monthly chart.
Decision time for natural gas The daily candle that just opened is forming in a very interesting place. It will encounter some strong resistance around the $2.50 mark, which coincides with the last candle and down trend line since December. If Nat gas manages to push thru and break above $2.50 and close above the down trend line, then game on to +$3. If it fails at $2.50 and heads lower to the recent low at $2.39, it is likely to break much lower and make new lows , around the $2.20 mark.