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BOIL- Premarket Long Trade Scalp RecapsBOIL is here on the 15- minute chart with a set of Bollinger Bands, a Bollinger Band Oscillator by LuxAlgo as well as a dual-time frame RSI indicator by Chris Moody. The settings for the Bollinger Band set up are period 49 EMA 14 standard deviations 2 /2.618 ( These are multiples of 7 and Fib #s for mathematical reasons. Entries are signal is price crossing the base line of the Bollinger Bands ( the EMA 14) or else the RSI lines crossing over the 50 level and green above red. Exits are the price action going outside the outer upper BB band and then fading back inside of both inner and outer bands or RSI green and red crossing such that green fades quicker than red. Entries and exits are managed with alerts/notifications to minimize screen time. The first trade began on 2/27 at 8:10 AM ended 2hours later. 50 shares taken gained $ 1.50 each for a total of $75.00 realized profit in the long scalp. The second trade on 2/28 was taken in the premarket at 6:45 AM EST with again 50 shares taken then closed at 9:15 AM for a 150 minute trade. Realized profit was $1.20 per share and $60 overall. Overall, there were 4.5 hours in the trades yielding $135.00 or $30 hr for the time in the trade. Risk was minimal as trades were taken at the lows with a stop loss outside the BB and below them. Time spent on the screen amounted to less than 30 minutes overall making the realized profit excellent for the time and effort expended. This idea illustrates good use of a Bollinger Band strategy coupled with alerts and notifications. Notably, I did not spend any effor adjusting the stop losses during the trade as I am very confident of the setup and the strategy. Today is another day for the same trade.
AMEX:BOILLong
by AwesomeAvani
KOLD Natural Gas Pivots Again LONGKOLD on the 15 minute chart has reversed and swung upside. The the anchored VWAP price dropped through the mean VWAP and is now in the deep undervalued territory of the second lower VWAP band line. This is an oversold zone for buying. On the chart, a green arrow is a buy while a red arrow is a sell. New share buys are funded with profits from BOIL positions now closed. Relative volatility and volume indicators support the analysis. I will add further to the position whenever there is an entry provided by a correction found on a lower time frame of 3-10 minutes.
AMEX:KOLDLong
by AwesomeAvani
2
BOIL 3X / Triple Leveraged Natural Gas ETFon the 4H chart is showing a round bottom reversal at the bottom of the high voume area and rose over the POC line of the intermediate-term voume profile. Price now has room for a 50% move to the top of the high volume area at $ 52. The chart shows the relative volume indicator supports a long buy as does the dual time frame RSI. A speculative call option trade would be $60 in 4 months while a safer call option would be in the money @ $30 in 7-9 weeks. I am also looking at UNG, LNG and XNGUSD on forex.
AMEX:BOIL
by AwesomeAvani
4
BOIL ( Natural Gas Futures 3X leveraged) heats up LONGBOIL in the past month fell from a head and shoulders pattern on the 15 minute time frame into a trend down which leveled out into a double bottom. Supply is in a draw down right now as might be expected when gas production is diminished in the middle of winter while demand is rising. The Economics 101 expectation is rising prices on the futures market. The chart shows a Fibonacci retracement would take price from its current level to about 29 or about 20% upside if that level holds and more if prices can make a stronger more or if short positions or puts are forced to closed causing some buying pressure synergy. The RSI indicator confirms the reversal at the double bottom and adds a bit of insurance to the risk. Accordingly, I am expecting a 20% in the next 2-3 weeks. Target for 2/3 of the position is 29 while the other 1/3 ( short squeeze scenario) to run to a target of 33 which is the neckline of the H & S pattern. Taking a look at OTM call options striking $ 30-31 range. Additionally, I will watch the AI algo indicator for a Sell Signal and reassess the position at that time given its 90% accuracy at this given time frame as evidenced by a 2000 candle backtest ( or about 500 hours or 82 trading days). Energy may not be the hottest sector right now but nor is it the coldest.
AMEX:BOILLong
by AwesomeAvani
12
XNGUSD Short BiasXNGUSD on the 30-minute chart is accompanied by drawn-in trendlines, a Fibonacci retracement as well as an anchored VWAP and volume profile. An RSI indicator is also added. Price hit a recent high of 2.81 on May 19th and then trended down to 2.11. While a 50% retracement might have been expected ( to 2.46) price only rose to 2.42. I consider this as showing selling pressure from sellers to be slightly exceeding buying pressure. Short bias for XNGUSD is confirmed since it is trading below the POC line of the long-term volume profile and below the anchored mean WVAP which are acting as confluent resistance. The RSI topped out at 60 during the retracement and has fallen below 50. Overall, the chart supports a short XNGUSD trade with a stop loss just above VWAP / POC and the target the trendline of support ( green line ) making for a Reward: Risk of about 2:1 Any leveraged forex trade would amplify both potential loss and potential profit.
FXOPEN:XNGUSDShort
by AwesomeAvani
Natural Gas, Uranium & NvidiaNatural gas has made an epic 2 day rally off the 52 week lows. Looks like the Covid support zone is holding & we can move higher off of tight consolidation. Uranium is into some minor daily chart support, a bounce is likely off the EMA 113. Nvidia reported earnings and had a double beat. This stock was up over 10% in the after-hours. Completely saving and rallying the Nasdaq. Semis will be hot tomorrow, the question is, do they hold their gains?
NASDAQ:NVDA
0
by Trading-Capital
1
BOIL vs KOLD Natural Gas Leveraged ETFs : LONG KOLDThe KOLD / Boil Ratio is shown here on a daily char. A rising ratio level indicates KOLD is rising and BOIL is falling making the ratio rather extreme If KOLD rises 10% in a week and so BOIL falls, in a hypothetical say they start out 140 and 20 respectively and KOLD goes to 154 while KOLD falls to 18 the ratio moves from 7 to 154/18 = 8.55 the ratio moves 22% for the week. What does this all mean ? With triple leveraging and management fees taken out long leveraged ETF shares may experience time decay on a daily basis. Share values are net after expenses. From the chart's visible the only time the ratio fell and BOIL was the long play was September 25,'23 to November 15, '23 and December 14, '23 to January 14, '24. In 2023 prior to late September KOLD was always the long play, In 2024, after January 15 and to the present KOLD is the long play and the ratio is accelerating and getting more volatile as it is potentially getting over-extended. Combined volume in the range of 20 M /day is 2X showing great interest by market participants. I conclude especially since natural gas spot prices are falling as recession fears are not yet in the past, that KOLD is the leveraged gas futures ETF to take long. This trader considers the management fees as a cost of business. The futures are stratified and leveraged obivously the cost brings value. I will take shares of KOLD and take a call or two along the way for an expiration in the fall whenever price rises about an even $5.00 amount to be assured of the lowest price. I will follow KOLD on a 60-90 minute chart looking for topping wicks or a price fall under the EMA 7 as a sign that it should be on watch for a market top. Frankly, I do not expect to see it. This is because on the 2-time frame RSI indicator ( by Chris Moody) with the 4H in green and the 1W in red, both lines are rising and in a healthy 75 +/- range. If they top out and fall, then I again think I might be seeing bullish divergence and put the trade on watch. For those who trade VWAP bands and volume profile, the ratio has been in an obvious breakout since early November with a pullback in mid-December after the ratio rose outside the third upper VWAP band. Using the VWAP bands and the volume profile will make any fades very obvious most especially on lower time frames.
AMEX:KOLDLong
by AwesomeAvani
3
Natural Gas - Before Ouching Territory, Let's Rally to $3.8One thing appears to be rather obvious: crude's rally has fizzled out: Oil - Bulls Will Be Totally Annihilated And that's bad news for bulls. If crude's rally has fizzled, can natural gas counter rally? Well, natty hasn't done much all year. One of the reasons is probably that the world, which is controlled by the Communist Party, wants to SaVe ThE WoRlD FrOm CliMatE cHaNge by destroying the plastic industry, which natural gas supplied. Next, they want to get rid of furnaces, which natural gas supplies, and have everyone live on heat pumps (an air conditioner with a blow side that can get hot instead of just cold), which rely on electricity and not natural gas. At least electricity generation itself still mostly relies on natural gas, and that's never going to be replaced by solar and wind because the technology doesn't meet the requirements of modern consumption. At the end of July, I called that Natty would not go up until it goes down more, because it seemed to me at the time that the charts just don't have institutional support to go uppy past $10 this year. NatGas - No Moon Until Doom \ Right now, if you want to go long on anything, because it doesn't matter if it's DoCToR CoPpEr or equities or gold, you have to be either low risk or hedged, because of the imminent threat of the collapse of the Chinese Communist Party. Xi Jinping has the game theory problem of being the head of the most wicked and heinous regime in all of human history, the Party that dared to commit organ harvesting and genocide against Falun Dafa's 100 million practitioners. Although that persecution was launched by former, and now-dead Chairman Jiang Zemin, and although Xi has been killing the Jianglings for years in his Anti-corruption Campaign, the problem is Xi is still the head of the Party, and you always kill a dragon by severing its head. And its tail was already severed recently when former Premier Li Keqiang was killed by "an heart attack" at the ripe age of 68, which is very young for a Party prince to die. If Xi dumps the CCP Gorbachev-USSR style in the middle of the night, especially if it happens on a Friday or a Saturday, everything is going to be gap down gap down gap down gap down and never come back because of the time difference between Beijing and Manhattan. And if Xi really is too stupid to do that much, there's still a raging pandemic besieging Zhongnanhai, and the Emperor's bedroom has never been immune to plague. So over the last few months, what's happened with natural gas is, it's up apparently a lot. Like, from $2.7 to $3.6 sort of a lot and looked almost rampy on the monthly bars until it corrected this November: The weekly, though, shows the pain that the rallies keep getting sold off: And this is because the rallies weren't really rallies. What would happen is one month would settle and the next month's contract, which is trading in contango, would roll in and give the appearance of uppy and smash up levered futures traders. But the ETFs show that natty has done absolutely nothing all year. UNG, which is an unlevered fund: Is down 56% this year, hasn't rallied one bit, and looks poised to break necks around $4, because what doesn't go up is going to go down. It's been flat for too long. 2x leverage BOIL (long) had a 20:1 reverse split 6 months ago, never rallied, and looks pretty puketacular right now: And 2x leverage KOLD (short): Has spent 6 months in a 35% range killing options buyers in what looks like a "bear flag" that's just taken way too long to do the thing bear flags are supposed to do. And so we can only surmise that the once-fabled $1.8 to $1.6 range on Natty is incoming. Perhaps we'll see this magic before the end of the year. If you want to short natty, I have some reservations that this $3.6 monthly high is going to remain the monthly high, because it was set on the first day of the month. And so there is a potential trade opportunity, roughly now, to take out like $3.8 and net a 25% bagger. Or just wait until $3.7 and go short on a size that you aren't going to get liquidated on until $5 and be willing to put up with $4 for a day or two. But most importantly, natty couldn't possibly have topped at $10, and simultaneously couldn't possibly have bottomed at $1.9 with the way 2023 is playing out. The most sadistic MMs on any asset are the Natty overlords and they're about to get started, I believe.
NYMEX:NG1!Long
by LordWrymouth
4