Unilever
Food & Beverage Titans: Macro Fib SchematicsThe biggest food and beverage companies in the world consist of Nestle, Coca Cola, Pepsi, Unilever, Mondelez, Kraft Heinz, Tyson, and Hormel. These are the main ones but there are other ones as well. I have linked the rest in my other idea below. While it does not cover every single company in the group, it highlights the Main Titans of the sector.
I have shown their main products showing why they are the Titans dominating grocery stores. Especially thing like Pepsi and Coca Cola. Just for example, people do not know that they own many other brands and companies themselves.
Unilever long above 40Unilever im long as long as its stays over 40.
its just filled the gap between 42-43. I expect either a push to the next level of resistance while the rsi is still bullish at around 43.60 or it sells off now and bounces at support.
classic inverse head and shoulders played out.
im long Unilever with they're pricing power over inflation and with they're restructure.
IT COULD DROP DURING A BLACK SWAN WHOLE MARKET DROP
Buying Unilever on dips.Unilever (ULVR) - 30d expiry - We look to Buy at 44.71 (stop at 43.89)
Daily signals are bullish.
Levels below 45 continue to attract buyers.
We look for a temporary move lower.
We look to buy dips.
Momentum is flat, highlighting the lack of clear direction.
Our profit targets will be 46.75 and 47.55
Resistance: 46.50 / 47.50 / 48.30
Support: 46.00 / 45.50 / 44.80
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group.
Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
Is this buy signal, or bull trap?Hi, Unilever seems to jump up from the bull flag pattern from 2012. I will still observe as GBP is not stable at this moment while current CEO resigns. Yet, assumed recession considered, dividend history, this is good time to go long? Ichimoku is up. RSI is near overbought. Any opinions?
A short opportunity in Unilever.Unilever (ULVR) - Intraday - We look to Sell a break of 44.49 (stop at 45.41)
Although the bulls are in control, the stalling positive momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
Short term momentum is bearish.
44.60 has been pivotal.
44.60 continues to hold back the bears.
Posted a Double Bottom formation.
A break of 44.60 is needed to confirm follow through negative momentum.
Our profit targets will be 42.31 and 41.71
Resistance: 45.30 / 45.60 / 46.00
Support: 44.60 / 44.00 / 43.50
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses
UnileverThis is a monthly chart of the entire price history of the company Unilever (UL). Unilever engages in the manufacture and sale of consumer goods.
Applied to the chart is a log-linear regression channel. This channel helps me better visualize extreme price deviations from the mean. The red line is the mean price, the top blue line is the price that is 2 standard deviations above the mean, and the lower blue line is the price that is 2 standard deviations below the mean. Statistically, there is a 95% chance that the monthly closing price will remain in this channel.
Currently, the channel is showing that the bearish sentiment right now is too extreme and Unilever's stock is trading too low. The price is currently more than 2 standard deviations below the mean. Statistically, price only trades this low less than 2.5% of the time. One can extrapolate that there is at least a 97.5% chance that Unilever's price will go up over time. Obviously, anything can happen, trends can end and companies can decline. However, I only trade based on probability and this stock has a very high probability of going up over the long term.
Check out my post from May about Unilever. I posted this right when Unilever was near its bottom:
I thought I'd post again in case anyone missed my post in May, and because I think price may potentially retest the low or at least consolidate for a few weeks, in which case, it's a good second chance to go long. My strategy has been to swing trade this stock because price so far below the mean carries less downside risk than price far above the mean. I bought back at the May bottom, sold at the end of July and am now starting to accumulate cautiously during the seasonal volatility between mid-August and late October. After October, assuming the price goes up, I'll switch from cautious accumulation to swing trading up until price reaches its mean (mean is actually all the way up at $100), or until the higher time frames print bearish signals, whichever comes first. It may take months to years to reach either one of these triggers so this is a long-term strategy.
(P.S. If you're wondering what I mean by "cautious accumulation", the main thing I'm referring to is buying an asset using cash, and not using margin. A trader should never accumulate or average down using margin. If the price goes down too low while you're accumulating and triggers a margin call it can force you to sell right at the bottom and at a significant loss. Accumulating using cash allows you to just sit and hold the position until the price goes up. Another aspect of cautious accumulation is knowing when to stop buying more. If price gaps down, I don't just blindly add more. I may be forced to exit at a loss and then re-enter when price consolidates. Few people realize that exiting at a loss and re-entering higher can still be profitable. As long as it results in you always shifting money out of losing positions and into winning positions right when they breakout. Traders should always wait for consolidation to add a long position. If you're not waiting until the price is consolidating you are paying an opportunity cost, because you're throwing money at an asset that is falling in price when you could be throwing money at an asset that's ready to breakout.)
Back to the analysis: Here's another interesting chart that makes me view Unilever as a good long-term investment option.
The above chart shows two things: (1) Unilever historically outperforms the broader market (SPY) during the years leading up to and including recessions (see my post linked below for why I believe a more sizable recession is likely coming in the years ahead) (2) the yearly stochastic RSI looks ready to begin oscillating back up, which can provide a tailwind for Unilever to outperform the broader market over the long term.
It's important to keep in mind that these yearly charts take a long time to manifest and are not suitable for trade entry, one needs to time entry using a chart on a lower timeframe. Additionally, even though Unilever may outperform the broader market, if the broader market is declining, Unilever's outperformance could just mean less of a decline, so this relative analysis does not mean the price will go up. I use relative charts more as a hedge to risk, meaning that I'd rather swing trade by using an asset that is likely to outperform the broader market over the long term. The risk of decline is always there for all assets, but I'd rather trade on assets that are shifting from underperforming to overperforming over the time during which I plan to swing trade.
Finally, here's one last chart that shows that further downside risk is probably limited:
Again, this is a monthly chart of Unilever. On the bottom is the indicator "WaveTrend" by @LazyBear. You can see that a buy signal was triggered while the oscillator was overextended to the bottom of its range. Although past data do not guarantee future price action, this type of buy signal is nonetheless quite rare and can lead to lucrative long-term investments.
As @TradingView reminds us: look first, then leap. Do your own charting on this stock and consider if/when investing would work for your strategy and portfolio. As noted above, the best time to accumulate is as the price is consolidating, moving averages are converging, and price starts printing long lower wicks and bullish reversal candlesticks on the timeframe you trade on.
Not a trade recommendation. The stock market always carries risk of loss. Trade at your own risk. Best of luck on your trades!
Rare Buying Opportunity: Unilever (UL)This is a yearly chart of Unilever over the past 50+ years (non-logarithmic).
The orange line is a smoothened 9-year moving average. This line provides the most conservative price at which Unilever will likely close the year (about 6% higher than the current price). The 9-year smoothened moving average has never failed to provide support in the past nearly half-century.
This is a rare buying opportunity for long-term investors who want to buy and hold assets for years. Unilever is a high-dividend stock and the price of the stock will likely grow steadily for years to come.
This long-term growth analysis has been validated by the Wave Trend Oscillator by @LazyBear. This extremely accurate oscillator indicates that Unilver's monthly price is overextended to the downside even more than the low of the Great Recession and that the downtrend will likely come to an end in the coming months if it has not yet already.
Please share your thoughts below. Not financial advice. As always anything can happen and trends can end. Invest at your own risk.
Unilever (ULVR) Intrinsic Value - DCF ModelUnilever DCF Assumptions:
Tax Rate = 23.5%
Discount Rate = 4.9%
Perpetual Growth Rate = 1.5%
EV/EBITDA Multiple = 12.5x
Transaction Date = 01/04/2022
Fiscal Year-End = 31/12/2022
Current Price = 41.92
Shares Outstanding = 2,610
Debt = 29,672
Cash = 4,495
Capex = 1,340
Base Case Scenario
In addition to the above assumptions, the below DCF model is based on our base case scenario, which assumes a revenue growth over the next five years of 5%, 3%, 3%, 3%, 3%. These assumptions are lower than analysts’ forecasts.
DCF (5Y) EBITDA EXIT MODEL:
Terminal Value
Final Forecast EBITDA (m) = €12,873
EV/EBITDA Multiple = 12.5x
TERMINAL VALUE (m) = €160,909
Intrinsic Value
Enterprise Value = €162,651
Plus: Cash = €4,495
Less: Debt = €29,672
Equity Value = €137,474
EQUITY VALUE / SHARE = €52.68 / £44.25
DCF (5Y) PERPETUAL GROWTH RATE MODEL
Terminal Value
Final Forecast FCFf (m) = €8,742
Perpetual Growth Rate = 0.5%
TERMINAL VALUE (m) = €201,447
Intrinsic Value
Enterprise Value = €195,001
Plus: Cash = €4,495
Less: Debt = €29,672
Equity Value = €169,824
EQUITY VALUE / SHARE = $65.08 / £54.66
DISCLAIMER:
All information is the author’s views, opinions, and assumptions at the time of writing, and Bull Headed Bear makes no guarantees of the information’s reliability and accuracy. The information is to be used for entertainment and informative purposes only. Bull Headed Bear and its authors reserve the right to change their views, opinions and assumptions due to many influencing factors.
Any actions taken based on the information on the website are strictly at your own risk. All investments carry a risk of loss, and you could lose all your money. Consider seeking professional advice from a financial advisor. Bull Headed Bear and its authors will not be liable for any losses or damages from the information on this site.
DISCLOSURE:
I/we have open long positions in Unilever. We have no immediate intentions of altering this position in the short term but have the right to change this if more information becomes available.
$ULI like where this sits on the daily. We may be gaining some momentum long term even with uncertainty in the market. In my opinion, $UL is not a failing company and customers still use their products for daily needs. I believe this here is a discount from its previous high. Let's see how much price can retrace the most recent high. Last time price was in this area was march of last year. How ironic....
What do you think?
"Dying to Live"
Unilever point towards a collapse/bear market!Hi all,
Do I need to say more? Check the weekly chart of Fugro and see what happened after a triangle that formed for about 3 years (2011-2014). This one has been forming for about 2,5 years... Unilever made an early top in September 2019 and according to my own theory, sometimes gives big hints of what is to come or a big top or bottom in the overall market...
An alternative (which is not drawn in the chart) is that the blue 'D' should be the recent spike low and the E is still to be made (so we could go a little higher). For me it is potato/potatoe, I am in a put position and waiting for the move down. :)
I wish you all the wisdom to stay safe in the bear market that has started as of November 2021 (divergent higher high in America (ES for example) compared to Europe per the beginning of January). I am early to call this (it has been my preferred scenario since the middle of 2021), though I have been silent on TradingView and I will remain silent in the future (to busy with work and family life). I believe in this scenario until proven otherwise. So I act accordingly with my different option positions. ;)
So see this as a little present and enjoy it. ;)
Shalom,
Im
Unilever, Long at these pricesUnilever currently down due to widermarket conditions, investors have been putting money into growth, tech and recovery stocks, now its being dragged down due to wider downtrends. when people look for a safe place to park up, theyll come back to unilever and P&G. Unilever are currently restructuring they're portfolio with they're tea businesses and other areas. with more potenital growrth on the table for investors in the years to come, unilever is looking like nice buy around these levels. doubt itll go lower than £35
Unilever is consolidating above 200 MANYSE:UL is trading above the 200 MA with a minor downtrend, break of the trend will target around 64$. A close above all-time high will open the way for more gains. A good stock to hold for the long term with high dividends.
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This is only my own view and not financial advice, do your own analysis before buying or selling
Happy Trading!