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United

United Airlines Zones Colors Red = Sell Green = Buy Gray = Do nothing Orange = Small short till blue Blue Institutional buying = already happened at least once Pink = Probably Bankruptcy or something at least in 2020 prices that low I would be worried lol IF the earnings report gets crushed it will go back down probably to the blue zone so keep an eye out big time. These gray area lines are extremely powerful if you look back. One interesting thing is I am finding cash flow of Quarterly Operating Expenses of drastic change immediately the next month or two lead to downtrends/or reversals of a decent amount. Need to do some algorithms in Tableau to test out my theory. It makes sense, if the company has less operating cash flow how can they run a profitable business for the next earnings report?
NASDAQ:UAL
by DigitalData
7
$AAL EPS Projection = -$2.47 / Falling WedgeI will be looking for $AAL to follow this falling wedge downwards and likely lag till earnings. Earnings may cause more downside. Wall Street Journal EPS Projection: -$1.83 More realistic EPS: -$2.47 I believe revenue projections are heavily understated as shown by Ford. $UAL has quarterly revenues under 10 billion and predicted a revenue loss in march alone at 1.5 billion . $AAL I am betting will have lost more revenue than 1.5 billion in March. If we take into account $UAL projecting losses of 1.5billion in March when their revenue is under 10 billion a quarter it is safe to say that $AAL would lose 1.5 billion in revenue as well, which is generous because they could have lost more. Projected Revenues/Expenses/Net Income/EPS Operating Expense for Q1: 10.157 billion Operating Expenses for January: 3.386 billion Operating Expenses for February: 3.386 billion Operating Expenses for March: 3.386 billion Operating Revenue for Q1: 10.757 billion Operating Revenue for January: 3.585 billion Operating Revenue for February: 3.585 billion Operating Revenue for March if it were a normal month, based on trends: 3.585 billion Non operating expenses: 158 million Net income in January: 200 million Net income in February: 200 million (generous) Expected losses in revenue for March: 1.5 billion Expected Operating revenue for March: 2.085 billion. Net income in March: -1.3billion 200 mill + 200 mill -1.3billion - 158 million = -1.058 billion before taxes No clue how this loss would be taxed, so let's just leave that alone, but this means their real net income after tax will be worse than -1.058 billion -1.058 billion / 428.2million weighted outstanding shares = -$2.47 EPS or worse. This is important because a normal falling wedge like this would break towards the upside, however if earnings are truly this bad I believe there may be more downside.
NASDAQ:AALShort
by bishopknight
Airlines Investment PlanAirlines are currently taking a beating and Throughput is decreasing drastically each day. At the beginning of March throughput via TSA was recorded at 2,280,522. On March 31st, throughput was recorded at 146,348. 68 TSA screening agents have tested positive for COVID-19 and Airlines will continue to suffer while throughput is low. This makes for a great time to buy discounted shares in $UAL and $DEL Plan: Accumulate shares in Delta Airlines as well as United Airlines once a week or every $2 down for the time period that United Airlines and Delta are in their respective buy areas. United Airlines and Delta will recover! The government will also likely bail them out! Ask yourself this. 2 years from now what do you see the Airline Industry looking like? Are you willing to let your investment sit for 2 years? If the bottom ends up being $5, great you likely were able to accumulate at $22.50, $20, $18, $16, $14, $12, $10, $8, $6 and more. If the bottom ends up being $15, great you likely were able to accumulate at $22.50, $20, $18, $16 and more. If the bottom is $23 you don't get a single buy-in, great you risked nothing. Do not purchase shares because you feel that you missed out on your target prices. Stick with your targets. My goal is to get 5-20 buys of Delta/United in the buy area. If your unit size is $1000 each that is $5000-$20000 invested. The goal is to hold these shares to a minimum of $45 each before I start exiting. I do not plan on exiting all at once.
NASDAQ:UALLong
by bishopknight
8
October 18 Earnings: United Airlines-Hurricanes, Expenses & FuelUnited Airlines has its second largest hub in Houston, Texas where 7,400 flights were canceled over the course of the Hurricane. The company expects PRASM to decrease 3.5% to 4% due to impact from the Hurricane. Slightly higher fuel prices should impact YoY comparisons even if an overall edge is still present. I believe the company's higher expenses, catastrophe PRASM loss and high YoY comparison will hurt the quarter. I'm starting United Airlines with a $58 PT for the post earnings move.
UShort
by TraderDanER