Heavy Market Drop: Bitcoin and UNI Analysis🔍Let's dive into today's analysis. The market experienced a significant drop, especially Bitcoin. Altcoins also fell, but since Bitcoin's dominance decreased, Bitcoin's drop was more substantial than that of altcoins. Today, I want to analyze UNI, which has dropped less than Bitcoin. But first, let's look at Bitcoin's analysis.
👑 Bitcoin Analysis
🔍 We're analyzing Bitcoin on the 1-hour timeframe. As you can see, after breaking 64,247, which was a trigger mentioned in previous analyses for short positions, the descending channel was broken from below. This can lead to two scenarios:
Trend Fatigue: The price may re-enter the channel.
Sharp Downtrend: The price may continue a sharp downtrend, which happened in this case with a 9% drop to the 58K low. It was then supported at 59,323 and is currently ranging around 61,300.
🔄 I hope you utilized the short triggers mentioned in previous analyses. Our triggers were 64,247 and 63,583, and with a break strategy, you could have easily taken a position with a risk-to-reward ratio of 5 to 20, depending on which trigger and stop-loss size you used.
📊 The selling volume in the market has increased significantly, and as the price takes a breather, the current buying volume is negligible compared to the selling volume during the downtrend, indicating the strength of the bearish trend.
📈 I am not recommending any long positions because it's illogical to open long positions when the market has such a strong bearish momentum.
📉 For short positions, we currently have the 59,323 trigger. If you want to enter earlier, you can use Dow Theory and open a short position whenever a lower low is made. I believe the price will wait for the SMA 99 to catch up since it's quite far from the current price.
📚 Bitcoin Dominance
Let's look at Bitcoin dominance. As I mentioned, Bitcoin's larger drop compared to altcoins is due to the decline in Bitcoin's dominance. This chart shows the percentage of money in the crypto market that is in Bitcoin.
🔑 Yesterday, with the break of 55.06%, Bitcoin dominance dropped, causing money to flow out of Bitcoin into altcoins. Part of this money became Tether, and part went into altcoins, causing both Bitcoin and altcoins to drop, but Bitcoin more so. Currently, dominance is ranging between 53.74% and 56.31%. With a break of the 55.06 trigger, it can move to the lower end of the range.
🦄 UNI Analysis
🔍 Now, let's analyze UNI. I've previously discussed the Uniswap project and its court case with the US in detail, so let's go straight to the chart.
🔄 In the previous analysis, I mentioned that you could open a long position with a break of 11.567, but a fake breakout occurred, and the price couldn't stabilize above this area. Subsequently, the price dropped past the POC fixed range volume profile and continued down to the 6.412 area. After a brief consolidation, it dropped again to the box low of 8.871.
📉 For shorts, the 8.871 trigger is very suitable, especially if Bitcoin dominance increases, making it a great short trigger. The target for this move could be 8.226, and after that, 6.768. A break of 26.35 in RSI could introduce bearish momentum into the market, making lower targets achievable.
📈 For longs, wait for the price to build a new structure. Until then, wait for a break of 10.82, which overlaps with the POC.
📝In conclusion, the market has shown a significant bearish movement, especially in Bitcoin, which has led to cautious market sentiment. For Bitcoin, short positions remain more favorable due to the strong bearish momentum. For UNI, the short trigger of 8.871 is a key level to watch, while long positions should be approached with caution, waiting for a more defined structure and stronger buying signals. Always ensure to manage risk and wait for clear triggers before entering positions.
