CCJ URA Uranium Bulls running with itI like the idea of going long CCJ April 26 calls or a 26/28 debit spread with more time.
Uranium bulls have defended the trendline support and nice volume with technical indicators and moving averages implying more upside on a strong day already today.
Stop is below 20 day moving average (black line).
Uranium
2/27/22 CCJCameco Corporation ( NYSE:CCJ )
Sector: Non-Energy Minerals (Other Metals/Minerals)
Market Capitalization: 9.085B
Current Price: $22.81
Breakout price: $22.95
Buy Zone (Top/Bottom Range): $22.10-$20.55
Price Target: $26.40-$26.90 (1st), $28.30-$29.00 (2nd)
Estimated Duration to Target: 46-48d (1st), 90-93d (2nd)
Contract of Interest: $CCJ 4/14/22 24c. $CCJ 5/20/22 24c
Trade price as of publish date: $1.48/contract, $1.80/contract
Uranium Preparing for an 80% Move UpwardsThe SPROTT Physical Uranium Trust TSX:U.U is showing a triangle formation on the daily chart. There is a number of reasons why I am inclined towards higher Uranium prices:
1. Rising inflation.
2. Rising commodity prices.
3. Supply chain problems (although doesn't apply to Uranium that much).
4. Energy Crisis!
5. The world starting to see that Nuclear energy is the proper choice forward until we can transition to fully renewable energy infrastructure in 50 years or more. (this one will not affect price soon of course).
6. Uranium is not expensive as fuel at all. It costs only 5% of the annual expenditure of a nuclear plant. So price has a lot of room to go up before it's considered too expensive.
7. We have a Physical Uranium Trust now. So the market has direct exposure to physical uranium that was never there before.
With all that, the move hasn't yet been confirmed because we haven't broken the top of the triangle yet. Keep watching this post as I update it. If you are interested in this trade, set up an alert on TradingView and follow me for an update for my trade setup.
SPROTT PHYSICAL URANIUM TRUSTPOSITION TRADE
U.UN (TSE), SRUUF (OTC)
Catalysts:
The uranium market is in structural supply/demand deficit despite nuclear energy being an essential and growing form of clean energy.
Financial players and a utility contracting cycle mark near-term catalysts.
I expect both physical uranium and uranium producer baskets to aggressively outperform over the coming 1-3+ years.
Financial players significantly escalated their role in the uranium market, in particular, the Sprott Physical Uranium Trust (OTCPK:SRUUF). This trust exists to provide investors exposure to physical uranium, but in so doing, they take and sequester physical pounds from the market. Note that Yellow Cake plc (OTCPK:YLLXF) is a similar trust for UK based investors, although it is much less active in purchasing uranium.
SOURCE : Uranium: Potential Trade Of The Decade, SEEKING ALPHA, Live Hard Investing, Feb. 10, 2022
seekingalpha.com
Uranium - Is it getting ready for yet another rally? Over the past two years, the uranium sector has been experiencing a deficit on the supply side which led to a surge of more than 300% in the price of Global X Uranium ETF. The situation was even further exacerbated when in January 2022 Kazakhstan, world's largest producer, saw civil unrest spreading across the country. We foresee the deficit in the uranium market to be persistent throughout the whole year 2022 which we expect to have a positive impact on the price of this yellow metal. Recently, URA ETF saw bullish developments taking place on the daily time frame which possibly sets it for another rally.
Top ten biggest producers of uranium by country (2020):
1. Kazakhstan = 19 477 tonnes (approximately 41% of world supply)
2. Australia = 6 203 tonnes
3. Namibia = 5 413 tonnes
4. Canada = 3 885 tonnes
5. Uzbekistan = 3 500 tonnes
6. Niger = 2 991 tonnes
7. Russia = 2 846 tonnes
8. China = 1 885 tonnes
9. Ukraine = 744 tonnes
10. India = 400 tonnes
Meanwhile, the U.S. produced only 6 tonnes of uranium in 2020 which leaves it heavily dependent on foreign producers.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
RSI is very bullish. MACD is bullish, though it still remains in the bearish territory. Stochastic is bullish. DM+ and DM- performed bullish crossover recently. However, ADX contains low value which suggests no trend is currently present in URA. Overall, the daily time frame is bullish.
Illustration 1.01
Picture above depicts the daily chart of the URA ETF. It also shows resistance at slope. We will observe price action closely and we will look whether it manages to break above the resistance. If breakout occurs, then we expect such a phenomenon to strongly bolster the bullish case for the URA ETF.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
RSI continues to develop bearish structure. However, it already reversed which is bullish. We will watch whether it will manage to break its bearish structure. MACD is bearish but it shows first signs of flattening. Stochastic oscillates in the bearish territory, however, it points to the upside at the moment. DM+ and DM- show bearish conditions in the market. ADX suggests a lack of prevailing trend. Overall, the weekly time frame is bearish but signals very weak or no trend at all.
Support and resistance
Major resistance lies at 31.60 USD. Short-term resistance sits at 23.26 USD. Resistance 1 is at 26.37 USD and Resistance 2 at 28.72 USD. Resistance 3 is at 29.77 USD. Short-term support sits at 21.72 USD. Support 2 can be found at 17.23 USD.
Please feel free to express your own ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Your own due diligence is highly advised before entering trade.
$URA weekly chart uranium rotationoil money rotated into natgas and we saw some massive gains this week. 2000% on our UNG calls.
everyone is ignoring uranium just like they did natural gas. this whole russia debacle is about ENERGY not oil.
if it costs more to produce electricity via natural gas , uranium will become more profitable as its at these lows.
simple supply and demand
SPROTT Physical Uranium Trust. A Simple Short-Term Trade.TSX:U.U is showing an ascending triangle on the hourly that spans the past eight trading days. This is a simple trade with the stop loss below the swing low and the target at the height of the triangle. Gives us a 6.83% potential profit to 3.1% potential loss, a reward-risk ratio of 2.22. Of course that depends on whether the triangle breaks upwards in the first place. If it does, we have a confirmation and the trade is on. I anticipate it going up because the Dollar is weakening and commodities are going up. Good luck with the trade.
Fission May Slide to Weekly SupportFission Uranium is owner of one of the premier uranium deposits in the world with Triple R. Fundamentally I think Fission will be a top performer in this bull market. For now though, Fission may return to test weekly support at $0.56 before continuing upward.
UUUU Head & Shoulders FormationUUUU formed a nice looking ascending head and shoulders formation and we saw the neck line break on January 13th. The head and shoulders formation most commonly indicates a reversal, but in this case we could see similar price action as March through April of 2021. However, as the overall market has been performing poorly it is likely we see further downside to support at $6.42.
Uranium Bulls are Back $CCJ $URAMillions of premium in calls flying around today, specifically a big buyer of a March 24/26 debit spread $CCJ
I like the technicals as chart is supporting the upward trendline.
Want to see a move at least up towards the AVWAP with follow through.
I'm long March 24 calls ... Naked ... when uranium moves it MOVES.
Idea to trade to the AVWAP then move stop loss accordingly to lock in profits !
Let's gooooo
Bullish Uranium Bullish URNMURNM is ranging after moving out of the downward channel. The uranium thesis is extremely bullish. I expect this stock to be much higher by year's end. The current structure looks like it follow a similar path to the orange squiggly lines. Entry for a trade would be just below the New year open of $75.78.
URACount on URA looks like 5 up followed by an irregular top which in EW terms means that after 5up impulsive waves complete the correction ensues but wave A falls short to correct the prior impulsive move then the B wave over shoots the top of wave 5 in an irregular top, the C wave that follows should be 5 down and make up for the A wave which was small in % compared to the trend. C wave should retrace to 618% fib lvl around $18
Urally Need To See ThisUranium is poised for a move. Charts show demand is ramping up and supply is slow to catch it as world leaders slowly catch on to it's inevitable necessity. As long as commodities hold up, URA should stay on trend and begin to take it's next leg up from the bottom of the channel.
Should prices break down, it could mean a plunge lower to the fib retracement levels. Sooner or later though, the yellow cake wants to go to 66
Fission Uranium Trend ReversalFission Uranium market structure has shifted and looks like the uranium market reversal is done. Close above $0.76 on the daily and we are looking at a return to $0.95 area.
$URA, not too late to the party tradethe price bounced back two times from the 0.618 fib level;
previous retrace was also around 28%; we will see one another 80% increase?
if you are looking for a mid term trade, there is a 3 to 1 RRR;
nuclear power is getting more attention; also the technology around it is getting better.
URANIUM might disappointAt the risk of sounding like a bear I think we have come too far, which is why we have seen the sharp pullback of late, I regret that I didn't catch this bearish divergence as it was emerging but my focus was elsewhere...
Let's imagine we have completed the first five waves from the 2020 bottom. That means that we are overdue a pullback that retraces a good proportion of the first wave.
I believe in Uranium and CCJ and am waiting for a better position, but for now, I'm not a buyer at the 200 day MA. I'll layer into names like PDN and AGE etc. as we approach the 0.5 retracement, but there may be more pain if we get a wider market pullback in future. Hoping I'm wrong for the uranium bulls out there but I'm gonna stay conservative for now, good luck friends!