uranium bull run in placeURA ETF is close to second level breakout
daily chart shows a breakout already.
monthly chart is at resistance but can move higher
in the next month. Cup and handle pattern
has formed on the monthly chart.
Electric cars will need to be charged and BYD is
going to overtake Toyota and Volkswagon in the next
decade.
While the empire was busy occupying,
China was quietly working to build its economy.
Now the world can have cheap electric cars which need
to be charged.
Uranium
bullish on Uranium bullish on uranium and expect this ETF to breakout soon
Support: $17
Resistance I: $43
Resistance II: $100
According to Munro, who is co-chair of the World Nuclear Association’s Nuclear Fuel Demand Working Group, “we are on the cusp of a new nuclear age in which decarbonisation imperatives collide head-on with unrealistic expectations of renewables penetration, leaving nuclear power to wean the world off coal and decarbonise the expanding electrical grid, domestic heating, industrial heating and hard to abate areas of industry including hydrogen production. If nuclear power can achieve its decarbonisation potential around the world, the implications for uranium demand will be astonishing.”
Rising supply could act as a headwind for uranium pricesThe price of uranium, known as yellow cake, has more than doubled in the past year amid a significant imbalance between supply and demand in the global market, sending uranium-related assets soaring to the sky. In addition, the return of Japanese appetite for carbon-free energy and the restart of two nuclear reactors last year, along with plans to restore more units in 2024, also contributed to rising prices. Then, more recently, the announcement of the U.S. ban on Russian imports of uranium and the approval of the GX Decarbonization Power Supply Bill in Japan, aimed at creating a carbon-free energy supply, have had the same effect, helping uranium to regain strength after a brief selloff in February and March 2024.
Illustration 1.01
Uranium-related assets, including Global X Uranium (URA), Sprott Physical Uranium Trust (SRUUF), Sprott Uranium Miners ETF (URNM), and Uranium Energy Corporation (UEC), all recorded huge gains in the past year or so.
Since the start of 2024, uranium has gained approximately 4.7%. Yet, for the year, its performance has been flat, which begs the question of whether the rally is not overdone at this point when the supply is coming online around the world, raising chances of the market moving toward balance and potentially leading to stabilization or reversal in prices. According to the quarterly Domestic Uranium Production Report published by the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), uranium production in the United States for the first quarter of 2024 already surpassed the total output last year. Moreover, data from 2021 and 2022 suggest countries like Australia and Canada are also trying to ramp up their production in response to rising prices.
Illustration 1.02
The image above illustrates the weekly graph of Global X Uranium ETF (URA) and a major resistance at $31.60.
Regarding Global X Uranium ETF (URA), it recorded remarkable 353% gains since its lows in 2020, coupled with a nearly 15% increase in the current year alone. However, despite these impressive gains, the ETF has encountered a significant hurdle at the $31.60 mark, signaling a potential barrier to further upside momentum. Besides that, there is a growing perception that events traditionally viewed as catalysts for price appreciation are losing their potency over time, indicating a potential shift in market dynamics.
Technical conditions
Daily time frame = Bullish (losing momentum)
Weekly time frame = Bullish
Monthly time frame = Bullish
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor or any other entity. Your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
Uranium Go Boom!Uranium looks ready to explode higher.
This commodity had a daily chart breakout today and no one is talking about it.
Silently triggering a bullish inverse head and shoulders, this should yield more upside.
I'm looking for this breakout move to be confirmed in the coming days. If it confirms a breakout this will be a likely trade that we can buy the dip on.
TD9 count, parabolic, MSM euphoria/ fear - Gold to Cool Offthe fundamentals on gold aren't good:
1. its a rock, King Midas can make the supply infinite
2. mining it is an environmental mess and energy waste
3. value is primarily speculative
4. ton of overhead bagholders from 1,500-2,000 days
5. crypto currency stealing new retail
6. being hoarded by fragile states/ regimes
7. regulatory risk during crisis times
8. massive derivatives & futures market pressure
9. new chemistry could obsolete its small set of utility applications
10. Peter Schiff, Rickards, Clif High, etc baby boomer ponzi crew
11. "Everyone Knows" its a good investment now right? Too Good to Be True pitfall
12. Its just a shiny metal from underground
13. Millennials are already post-gold, post-diamonds
Uranium Slingshot Cheetah Pattern Incoming!!I have identified 3 different types of similar variations in URNM and URA ETFS which show us that we could be in a cusp of a huge explosive move to the upside.
These shakeout patterns are almost identical to each other with the same behavioural patterns before a big move to the upside. 2 humps which are almost like a H&S pattern followed by a huge flush down to break the upwards trend then bouncing off the 200 DMA with a complete reversal to the upside.
All of this is happening at the same time we are bottoming on the URNM/UX1! ratio with huge positive divergence on momentum indicators
Denison Mines breaking outDenison Mines is breaking out of its 12 years range on massive volume.
The huge demand for clean energy, particularly with AI's exploding growth and needs, means a lot of positive news coming for the nuclear industry.
Coupled with the devaluation of developped markets currencies, this could propulse DNN much higher.
Next resistance is the $4 area, then there is $8.50 before the all time high around $14.
Cameco (CCJ) vs peer group uranium miners (Jan 2023-April 2024)As a sector, uranium mining has been in a strong uptrend throughout 2023 with a peak in early 2024.
Pullback currently underway, based on Uranium U308 (UX1!) spot price softness since January 2024.
Geopolitical and operational factors to be considered: (a) Nuclear energy facilities in Europe and USA are reliant to a large degree on fuel sourced from Russia and Kazakhstan, which may be curtailed via legislation (sanctions on Russia and possibly Kazakhstan) or supply chain disruptions (reduced military presence in Niger, announced operational curtailments in Kazakhstan and Saskatchewan which together produce half of global supply). (b) Legacy nuclear facilities are being extended beyond scheduled retirement dates, which will add to demand-side pressure. (c) Nuclear energy is a significantly less elastic market than other types of fuel due to the continuous operational nature of facilities and imperfect substitution alternatives in the short term, which maintains a floor on uranium demand.
For consideration: Buy uranium miners located in stable jurisdictions, friendly to US and European interests, and located close to natural markets for fuel consumers.
Breakout into 155% measured move?OTC:GLATF TSX:GLO 's counter trend downward broadening wedge is testing its breakout. Fundamentally, the coup in Niger has kept this near term #uranium producer back, but it's time to catch up. We're looking at a 155% measured move based on the bottom of the wedge to the top.
The time frame here is generated via the falling wedge's staff overlayed at the point of breakout. This projects into 2025 which will likely coincide with some of the first pounds produced or reported.
This move has potential to be far more violent and sudden given how much this one has lagged and with consideration to being one of the few near term producers.
So long as the geopolitical issues relax (ECOWAS is rumored to be relaxing sanctions), we're looking good.
3 Year Cup and Handle for $URA UraniumWhen in doubt, zoom out. URA is forming the handle on the multi-year cup and handle pattern on the weekly. While doom and gloom besets the new investors, they would be wise to observe that this contraction is a part of a much larger pattern.
Besides, nothing in the fundamentals has changed.
Uranium could explode back half of 2024CCJ leader of uranium.
CCJ has been developing a text book Livermore Accumulation Cylinder. In the last uranium bull market CCJ developed this accumulation cylinder over 4 years from 2000-2004 and now its doing the same accumulation cylinder from 2020-2024.
We are in the final flush out stage 7 before an explosive wave 8 up.
The chart on the right shows CCJ/SPX. You can see we are in the final bearish flush-out stage before CCJ starts outperforming SPX massively. The ratio also signals CCJ is a long way from outperforming SPX so the real bull has not even started yet.
We can confirm this analysis by the miners underperforming the metal - URA/U.UN. Once the miners start outperforming the metal, the real bull takes place as we are on the APEX of that happening soon.
The Junior miners will be the stars of the show when the big capital rotates into the smaller developers and explorers.
Potential Long on PENPEN is currently in a descending wedge with bullish RSI divergence but still looks bearish on an intraday chart so should move down to support at around 0.07c. Look for a breakout and retest of upper trendline for entry or enter a small position on break of wedge, stoploss at last swing low move SL to BE when safe to do so. Good luck
Canalaska $CVV up 50% on new findNew uranium find has pushed Canalaska up 50% in a day. Wow!
Downward trend channel formed in April 2021 and almost 3 years later it has broken out, pulled back and now rocketed with volume.
0.85 therefore seems achievable and 1.54 all time high could also be possible.
As ever, this is not a solicitation to trade. Do your own research and you decide all aspects of your own trading.
Investing into Uranium-Backed Producers. Technical perspectivesUranium ore trades is at records highs, as several hedge fund managers are expanding their allocations to uranium stocks, with a conviction that an increasing embrace of nuclear energy as part of a "green" future - along with geopolitically-rooted ambitions to reduce dependence on Russian oil and gas -- means the trend has a lot of room to run.
On Wednesday, November 1, French President Emmanuel Macron arrived in uranium-rich Kazakhstan on the first leg of a trip to Central Asia.
According to a study by the World Nuclear Association (WNA,) published in August this year, Kazakhstan possesses 12 percent of the world's uranium resources and in 2021 produced about 21,800 tons. In 2009 it became the world's leading uranium producer, with almost 28 percent of world production. In 2019, the country produced a staggering 43 percent of the world's uranium.
A dozen years after the disaster at Japan's Fukashima reactor put nuclear energy on worldwide probation -- and in, Germany, gave it a death sentence -- various factors are combining to bring it back into the acceptable realm of energy solutions.
UXC URANIUM U3O8 Futures Price, over the past 5 years.
First reason, the International Energy Agency says that, in order to meet "net zero" goals -- which describes a state where carbon emitted into the atmosphere matches the amount removed from it - global nuclear generation capacity must double from 2020 levels by 2050.
In addition to nuclear energy coming to the fore as a zero-carbon-emitting power source, it's also seen as a way for the western economies to reduce their need for Russian oil and gas. The fact that Russia currently accounts for about 8% of the world's uranium reserves underscores the need to develop new supply sources. There's also an increasing appetite for nuclear power in Asia and Africa.
Taken together, the uranium-friendly trends could power significant gains in the sector. Uranium equities could see dramatic upside -- 50%, 100%, possibly MultiX more.
The main graph represents technical perspectives for AMEX:URA - The Global X Uranium ETF that provides investors access to a broad range of companies involved in uranium mining and the production of nuclear components, including those in extraction, refining, exploration, or manufacturing of equipment for the uranium and nuclear industries.
The Global X Uranium ETF is 35.66% year-to-date return in this time, that is much stronger against top 4 American well-known indices i.e. S&P500 Index SP:SPX (11.95% YTD), Nasdaq-100 Index NASDAQ:NDX (35.22% YTD), Russell 2000 Index TVC:RUT (-3.38% YTD) , and Dow Jones Industrial Average DJ:DJI (1.94% YTD).
Top 5 Holdings of AMEX:URA - The Global X Uranium ETF (as of November 1, 2023)
# Weight Name
1. 23.80% TSX:CCO - CAMECO CORP
2. 11.25% TSX:U.U - SPROTT PHYSICAL
3. 6.77% LSIN:KAP - NAC KAZATOMPROM-DR
4. 6.45% NYSE:NXE - NEXGEN ENERGY LTD
5. 5.41% AMEX:UEC - URANIUM ENERGY CORP
👉 The main graph says, there're alternative technical perspectives for AMEX:URA - The Global X Uranium ETF in this time, where the major break out of multi year highs can open the door to further huge, MultiX upside price action under well-knoww Technical figure "Cup-and-Handle".
👉 Vice versa, if resistance is still strong, it can bring the graph to its main 5yrs SMA support.
Macro trend reversal: Uranium ETFMultiple geopolitical and macroeconomic factors providing strong tailwind for Nuclear power.
From a technical perspective, there is a massive macro trend reversal playing out here with volume behind it, which presents a promising long-term opportunity.
DYOR.
happy trades,
CD
Breakout for Canalaska?Is this a breakout for Canalaska? No retest of the channel yet and over head resistance at 0.67 and 0.84. In support: over 4x average volume on week commencing 25th September and a higher pivot high compared to Jul 22.
WARNING: This is not a recommendation to trade. Do your own research and decide your own trades.
CCJ reached important macro-resistance zonePrice has reached an important macro resistance zone: 39.40-45.91-48, that coincides with 0.618% extension of wave I (2000 low - 2007 top time span) from wave II bottom (2020 lows).
Monthly view
This 0.618% extension aligns with standard 2.00% resistance of the fifth wave - wave (5) - of first impulsive structure (wave (1)-(5)) that started in March 2020.
If price stays bellow the top boarder of the resistance zone (48), the structure is prone to the start of the possible multi-year correction to support zone: 20-12.
I price will be able to move confidently above 48 and close above it on volume support for several session, than the proposed price structure needs to be revised. Next resistance zone in that case is close to 76-80 area.
Breaking bellow 21ema with volume increase could be confirmation sign for the larger correction starting. This levels could be used by any shorts with 21 ema or prior (Feb 2021) left side pick at 44.81 as a covering guide (with resonable 2-3% latitude).
Thank you for your attention!
Uranium ETF Update - The perfect trade playing out Uranium ETF - $SRUFF
✅ 45% increase since entry at 200 day bounce
✅ Pennant Breakout confirmed trend
🎯 Target remains 0.618 Fib Ext at $45.00
❌ Stop Raised to $26.67 guaranteeing 27% profit
(Stop placed here as it is the most recent higher
low and should remain intact for short term trend
to remains valid)
Hope this simplifies the approach and structure of the trade.
Thanks
PUKA
Another uranium stock squeezing its way to a decision! This diversified mineral explorer stock is closing in on a decision!
Note: CEO Warren Stanyer is a regular buyer of this stock -- owning 13% relative to other top shareholders.
$URA: Bulls at 30 seem positioned wellAMEX:URA showing promise here at 30 and we could be looking at a turn around in price soon. Growth stocks may need to find their footing and dollar may need to soften a bit but for now, this seems like a decent spot for longs. Best of luck traders..
The green line at 27.5 was where our previous trade occured for a nice little run and is linked to this post.