US-DOLLAR
DXY ... WOW!! A major reversal is coming to the dollar It will affect all these pairs - NU/USD EUR/USD GBP/USD USD/JPY AU/USD
The economy in the USA is doing great. lowest unemployment numbers in 17 years. Fed is slowly increasing rates. Even if inflation isnt moving up yet, Fed is still raising rates to have some ammunition for the next recession. Keep in mind inflation is a lagging indicator, by the time you start getting it whipping through the economy, its to late. Also, the first thing to show inflation isnt durable goods etc, its Assets. Large Assets in the US are inflating, houses are increasing in value at a strong pace.
The market has been bearish on the dollar for a long time dating back to march of 2017, even as far back as November of 2016. Market is bearish, fundamentals are strong. It doesnt add up. So it seems the pressure is building for the dollar to be bullish. Now throw in the technical analysis with a very nice bullish Bat on the WEEKLY chart with an RSI at 33. We are not there yet but we are getting very very close to a turn around in the dollar.
USDCAD - Long-Term SetupIf usdcad weekly candle closes below bollinger bands, i am looking at price to continue down around the 1.275-1.283 range. My "alligator" indicator is showing a full open mouth, with potential of more downside. If you look back on the chart, the last few times the candles close outside of the bollinger bands the market usually continues for a minimum of another 100-200 pips.
This small continuation puts us right around the white support/resistance line. Look for a good sign of a reversal at this time, if a pinbar forms i will be looking at opportunities to enter long into UC.
NZD USD Short!New Zealand US short here. New Zealands reports of trade surplus were below expectations and yellen is expected to hype up the rate hike. Beautiful rejection of the daily resistance. Currently in a symmetrical triangle with beautiful rejection wicks. Nice crossover on the daily stoch. RSI showing it is overbought. I'm shorting at 7300.00
BTCUSD Mixed signals!I'd stay away from this. Too many mixed signals on all time frames. Stoch shows continuing downside. Daily still needs to retest the ichimoku cloud. However..... This will continue to rally up. Let the sellers panic and then I would wait for a retracement around 2200. Once the indicators confirm upside, then continue the uptrend.
XAG USD Looks like a longI love the nice crossover on the daily stoch. Looks like it is bouncing of the support and potential ABCD and third wave of the elliot. On the 1 and 2 hour we see it broke the ichimoku cloud for further upside. Also showing a horizontal resistance at around 18.5ish. I'm long. Who's with me?
USD JPY Short on the dailyNice crossover on the daily stoch. Also we have been forming lower lows and lower highs. The icho clouds had a nice break and retest on the daily. (not shown) Potential 5 wave elliot and an ABCD which both project downwards towards the same area. Follow the trend till it bends. I use these 5 wave elliot's because it follows the trend with minimal RR ratios. Follow and comment for more! Thanks for looking and CONSTRUCTIVE criticism is always welcome.
XAU USD LONG ON GOLD!This looks as good as gold. On the daily we have a nice crossover on the RSI Stoch while it was in "oversold" territory. A beautiful rejection from the daily support. A clean break and even retest from the clouds. We have a valid ABCD pattern and a promising 5 wave elliot that seem to reach the same potential price for gold. Will buy now before a breakout and hold.
Trump dollar? Trump denies obstruction of justice in FBI probe#The president of the United States Donald Trump denied obstructing justice in the investigation of Moscow’s meddling in the US presidential election in 2016.
The wave of speculation was triggered by a tweet, according to which the president “had no idea” about the existence of conversation “tapes” with the former FBI chief James Comey, while a month earlier he threatened Comey with “compromising evidence” in case of information leakage to the press.
Confusion in testimonials may mean that Trump tried to silence the official acting with aplomb or that he attempted to conceal the records, which calls into question the president’s non-involvement in the investigation.
Important details heightened the uncertainty surrounding the investigation, provoking a sell-off in the dollar and a growth of defensive assets, particularly gold. Inconsistency in Trump’s statements turns the case against him, despite Comey’s denial that Trump was under investigation, which gives the investigators a reason to suspect the president of obstructing justice. Concerns about future details coming into light create an opportunity for long positions on gold, which is especially sensitive to changes in risk sentiment. In addition, the involvement of Trump in the investigation poses risks for the implementation of his plan for fiscal stimulation, which is definitely a bearish signal for the dollar.