EURUSD: Important Decision Ahead
hey traders,
EURUSD is currently trading within a very peculiar zone:
its upper boundary is based on the major rising trend line that the price broke in September and that currently serves as the resistance.
its lower boundary is based on the major falling trend line that the price has violated yesterday and that currently serves as the support.
for now, I see two equally possible scenarios:
either we close above the upper boundary of the zone and continue growing to 1.1935 level
or we drop below its lower boundary and initiate a short rally at least to 1.1705
for now it is hard to say exactly, which side the pair will select.
so I prefer to wait.
US-DOLLAR
BRICS currencies movement for the week – 16 October 2020A strong week for the US Dollar, with most Emerging Market currencies coming under pressure. Also look at my US Dollar Index Idea here:
Despite the USD strength, the ZAR remained resilient, having some of the best relative BRICS currency performance for the week.
BRICS currency/USD movements for this week:
Brazil -1.9%
Russia -1.1%
India -0.6%
China 0.0%
South Africa -0.5%
Euro /USD -1.7%
Technically, the ZAR broke and close the week off below all four the 8-, 21-, 50- and 200-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMA), which over the shorter-term, might provide some further momentum in the ZAR.
If this was a false break and we see the ZAR break and stay above the 200-day EMA (at R16.61) this week, we could see it move back to the 50-day EMA at R16.76. A break and close above this level could see the USDZAR test the diagonal resistance level at R16.85, with a break and close above this level, most probably bringing R17.10 back into play. With the runup to the US Elections, this (USD Strength) in my view can only happen if the momentum swings back from Biden to Trump, which at this stage seems highly unlikely.
The 14-day RSI is not in oversold territory yet, which will have me optimistic should the USDZAR break and close below R16.50 early this coming week. Momentum is turning and very much moving back into the favour of the Rand, which tend to make me believe that we might just be testing the R16.10 levels again over the shorter-term. Watch the US Dollar Index early this week. Should you be contemplating any short-term long positions in the ZAR (short USDZAR), I would only look at doing so below 93.20 on the Index.
EURUSD: Important Bearish Breakout!
good morning, traders!
EURUSD has violated a support line of a rising parallel channel on 4H.
high momentum bearish candle confirms a strong bearish sentiment.
to catch a bearish continuation, I would suggest being focused on a local expanding blue supply area.
I will look for an hourly reversal pattern within that to short the market.
first goal will be 1.17
good luck!
USDCAD: Time to Grow
USDCAD has formed an inverted head and shoulders formation on 4H.
during this night the price has successfully violated the horizontal neckline and closed above that.
now bullish continuation is highly probable.
if you missed buy entry here, I would suggest entering on retest.
goals:
1.318
1.320
USDCAD | SWING - 4 Oct. 2020Hello my friend | Welcome Back.
Please support this idea with LIKE if you find it useful.
***
After breaking the downtrend and retesting the broken area, we will notice a new rise to Fibonacci level 0.61.
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Here is the full analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied.
Remember this analysis is not 100% accurate No single analysis is To make a decision follow your own thoughts.
***
The information given is not a Financial Advice.
BTCUSD Apple GBPUSD EURUSD XAUUSD AUDUSD
EURGBP NZDUSD USDCHF USDJPY
AUDUSD: Strong Resistance Ahead!!!
AUDUSD is very close to a strong daily supply area.
this area is based on a broken support line of a major rising channel and the last horizontal higher low level.
bearish reaction from that zone will be expected.
I am planning my entry on 1h/4h charts and will wait for a confirmation before entering the trade.
goal for sellers 0.705
good luck!
USDCAD | SWING - 2 Oct. 2020Hello my friend | Welcome Back.
Please support this idea with LIKE if you find it useful.
***
It may swing at the trend line if the trend line is broken, and it is the support that will go according to the scenario that you set.
***
Here is the full analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied.
Remember this analysis is not 100% accurate No single analysis is To make a decision follow your own thoughts.
***
The information given is not a Financial Advice.
BTCUSD Apple GBPUSD EURUSD XAUUSD AUDUSD
EURGBP NZDUSD USDCHF USDJPY
EURUSD: Multi Time Frame Analysis & Important Breakout
hey traders,
EURUSD reached a strong zone of confluence yesterday.
price hit a perfect match of a resistance line of a falling channel and horizontal resistance based on the last higher low on a daily.
after testing that area, the price broke below a support line of a rising wedge pattern on 4H.
moreover, the price has violated a neckline of a head and shoulders formation on hourly chart.
we see many many bearish signals and now the price is slightly recovering.
the expanding area between a neckline and broken support of the wedge will be a perfect zone for us to short the pair.
target levels:
1.169
1.165
DXY US Dollar Index Initial Target Hit $94.40. Retrace & Resume?DXY
I published a chart for DXY at beginning of September(linked below). This video furthers the idea that DXY is in correction mode.
I propose that DXY will make a retracement back to its local trendline, using the 14% retrace of March-September Swing as support now.
Looking for potential bounce from there($93.32 area), then a resumption of the correction to the 38.2% March-September Swing($96.04)
In 2016, after President Trump was elected the DXY proceed to top out soon after in Jan. 2017, until it put in a bottom in Jan. 2018, in correlation to Bitcoin & Crypto Market Bubble.
I expect similar results for the coming election and DXY price correlation. I expect The Donald to win, thus in turn ending the correction for DXY, and resume its drawdown into 2021...If
a one year downtrend ensues for DXY at that point, perhaps we see another bubble for Bitcoin late 2021, early 2022?
What's is your thought? I'd love to know...
Thanks for checking out my analysis!
USDJPY: Update & Time to Fall!
USDJPY broke and closed below a support line of a rising wedge pattern on 4H.
the breakout is considered to be confirmed and bearish continuation is now expected.
The best place to short the pair is the local expanding area between the last higher low level and broken wedge's support.
goals:
105.1
104.8
EURUSD: Key Level That You MUST Pay Attention to!
hey guys,
though bearish movement on eurusd is officially started,
always remember to look left at structure.
the market is very close to a key monthly/weekly support cluster
based on 2015's - 2020's price action.
with average weekly atr, chances are high that this level will be reached quite soon
and then most likely a pullback will follow.
consider that yellow area for your swing short targets or for an area to buy from, catching a pullback.
always wait for a confirmation on a lower time frame, because the area is relatively wide.
good luck!
EURUSD: Key Level That You MUST Pay Attention to!
hey guys,
though bearish movement on eurusd is officially started,
always remember to look left at structure.
the market is very close to a key monthly/weekly support cluster
based on 2015's - 2020's price action.
with average weekly atr, chances are high that this level will be reached quite soon
and then most likely a pullback will follow.
consider that yellow area for your swing short targets or for an area to buy from, catching a pullback.
always wait for a confirmation on a lower time frame, because the area is relatively wide.
good luck!
DXY US Dollar Index (Y20.P4.E2.v2).TA.Short termHi All,
** This is a continuation of my previous DXY post, link provided below **
I'm keeping this short to the point as the chart does all the explaining.
As per chart, i see more to the upside until it hits this strong resistance, chart below.
Please give me a like or tick for this post.
Cheers,
S.SAri.
Overview
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PREVIOUS DXY POST
USDJPY: Strong Supply Area Ahead!
hey guys,
USDJPY is approaching a major resistance cluster.
it is based on a horizontal daily structure and a falling trend line based on daily lower highs.
because the current trend is bearish, chances will be high that we will see a trend continuation from that zone.
look for confirmation and short opportunities within that on a lower time frame.
goals:
104.75
104.2
AUDUSD: Important Breakout & Bearish Continuation
hey guys,
if you missed a short rally on audusd and want to be involved in this movement,
I would suggest you be focused on the expanding supply area based on 0.721 level - last higher low and the broken support line
of a major falling channel that was broken yesterday.
aggressive on spot entry is not an option right now, because it will be hard to place a safe stop.
next goal for sellers is 0.702 structure and the market will most likely continue going there.
USDCAD On Focus! Potential Expansion Coming!
hey guys,
pay attention to USDCAD today.
it is currently attempting to break above the horizontal trading range where it is stuck for more than a week.
4H candle close above that will confirm a strong bullish sentiment and the pair will continue growing.
next goal will be 1.33 level
good luck!