USOIL Potential for Bullish Continuation| 19th January 2023Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for USOIL is bullish due to the current price being above the Ichimoku cloud , indicating a bullish market.
Looking for a retracement pullback buy entry at 76.84, where the 50% Fibonacci line is. Stop loss will be at 72.42, where the recent swing low is. Take profit will be at 84.70, where the 61.8% Fibonacci line is.
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USOIL Potential for Bullish Continuation| 18th January 2023Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for USOIL is bullish due to the current price being above the Ichimoku cloud , indicating a bullish market. Looking for a retracement pullback buy entry at 76.84, where the 50% Fibonacci line is. Stop loss will be at 72.42, where the recent swing low is. Take profit will be at 84.70, where the 61.8% Fibonacci line is.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
How did the U.S. biggest bank perform in 2022?During the summer of 2022, we laid out a thesis about the stock market progressing in the second stage of the bear market. We said that we would look for signs of corporate underperformance and downgrades in forward guidance within earnings statements for 3Q22 and 4Q22. In the 3Q22 earnings season, many companies began downgrading future outlooks and warning investors of a tough time ahead. For some sectors, inventories rose, and revenue streams showed a decline compared to the previous year's period.
With the start of the new earning season, we will pay close attention to the new data, which may or may not confirm our thesis about the market diving deeper into a recession. Interestingly, the last Friday, multiple big banks on wall street announced their earnings statements. These names included JP Morgan Chase, Bank of America, Citigroup, and Wells Fargo.
Today, we will briefly examine the biggest U.S. bank - JP Morgan Chase & Co. This bank has $3.66 trillion in assets and has not posted a yearly loss for more than 15 years. Its earnings report is divided into five segments: Consumer & Community Banking, Corporate and Investment Bank, Commercial Banking, Asset and Wealth Management, and Corporate.
The bank’s Consumer and Community Banking segment showed gradual growth in net income and net revenue quarter after quarter in 2022. Furthermore, it maintained relatively stable noninterest expenses throughout the year. However, despite that, it posted a 29% less net income in 2022 versus 2021.
In 4Q22, the Corporate and Investment Bank experienced a drop of 27% YoY (year over year) in net income. Additionally, in that same period, this division saw a decline in revenue by 9% YoY, and an increase in non-interest expenses by 10%. As for the full-year 2022, the Corporate and Investment Bank brought in 29% less net income versus 2021.
Meanwhile, the Commercial Bank brought $1.4 billion in net income for the company in 4Q22, showing an increase of 15% versus 4Q21. Furthermore, it also enjoyed a rise in revenue by 30% versus 4Q21. Despite that, these two segments underperformed when compared to 2021. For the full-year 2022, the net income of this division dropped 20% versus 2021.
The Asset and Wealth segment showed steady growth in net income quarter after quarter in 2022. However, it also suffered a drop of 8% in net income for the entire year 2022 versus 2021. The Corporate segment posted a net loss in the first three quarters of 2022 and a net gain in 4Q22. But for 2022, it is the only sector that posted a loss while still showing significant improvement from the last year.
For the full-year 2022, JP Morgan Chase & Co. gained $37.7 billion in net income, which is down 22% versus 2021. Its revenue increased by 5.6%, and non-interest expenses jumped by 6.8%. Meanwhile, the company’s stock declined by 16%.
Illustration 1.01
Illustration 1.01 shows the daily chart of JP Morgan Chase stock. The stock declined more than 16% in 2022.
2022 (full-year) vs. 2021 (full-year)
Net income 2022 = $37.7 billion
(vs. $48.3 billion in 2021; -22% YoY)
Revenue 2022 = $132.3 billion
(vs. $125.3 billion in 2021; +6.6% YoY)
Noninterest expenses 2022 = $76.2 billion
(vs. $71.3 billion in 2021; +6.8% YoY)
Pre-Provision profit/loss 2022 = $56.1 billion
(vs. $54 billion in 2021; +4% YoY)
EPS = $3.57
4Q 2022 vs. 4Q 2021 (year over year)
Net income 4Q = $11 billion
(vs. $10.4 billion in 4Q21; +5.8% YoY)
Net revenue 4Q = $35.6 billion
(vs. $30.4 billion in 4Q21; +17%. YoY)
Net interest income 4Q = $20.3 billion (+48% YoY)
Noninterest income 4Q = $15.3 billion (-8% YoY)
Noninterest expenses 4Q = $19.0 billion (+6% YoY)
USOIL Potential for Bullish Continuation Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for USOIL is bullish due to the current price being above the Ichimoku cloud, indicating a bullish market. Looking for a buy entry at 77.90, where the 23.6% Fibonacci line is. Stop loss will be at 72.42, where the recent swing low is. Take profit will be at 84.70, where the 61.8% Fibonacci line is.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
DXY Dollar Currency IndexInvesting.com - The U.S. dollar traded largely unchanged in limited European trade Wednesday, but posted gains against the Japanese yen after latest minutes from the Bank of Japan suggested its accommodative monetary stance is likely to remain in place.
At 02:35 ET (07:35 GMT), the Dollar Index, which tracks the greenback against a basket of six other currencies, traded largely flat at 103.870, above its lowest level since mid-June at 103.44 seen on Dec. 14.
Joe Gun2Head Trade - USDCHF into resistance. Highly speculative.Trade Idea: Selling USDCHF
Reasoning: Double top on the weekly chart. Into intraday resistance. Highly speculative ahead of CPI at 1:30Uk.
Entry Level: 0.93382
Take Profit Level: 0.9167
Stop Loss: 0.9398
Risk/Reward: 2.82:1
Disclaimer – Signal Centre. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Buying Berkshire's break higher.Berkshire Hathaway B - 30d expiry - We look to Buy a break of 321.11 (stop at 312.39)
Daily signals are mildly bullish.
Short term momentum is bullish.
There is no clear indication that the upward move is coming to an end.
A break of the recent high at 320.50 should result in a further move higher.
This is curremtly an actively traded stock.
Our profit targets will be 342.8 and 348.8
Resistance: 320.50 / 330.00 / 340.00
Support: 314.00 / 305.00 / 297.00
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
Nasdaq going to 11111 .... I think 🤔 good to buy Triangle patterns show the direction
Hope I it reach target 11111
Good luck everyone
Risk is your own
Life is simple 😌
Daily Bitcoin UpdateUS FED DECISION
Bitcoin Reached 18400 before selling off to 17800 due to the market's reaction to the US Fed's decision to raise their key interest rate by 50 basis points during yesterday's session.
As we all know, the market tends to react positively in a low-interest environment. Although this key rate increase is lower than the previous quarter's 75 basis point increase, it is still a rate increase nonetheless.
TECHNICAL SIDE
The price of Bitcoin still closed slightly higher in spite of the selloff during yesterday's session which means that there's still a certain level of interest in this asset.
I added more units today at 17899.23. I set my key support level at 16000 while my key resistance price is set to 21200.
Microsoft bottomed out?Microsoft - Medium Term - We look to Buy at 252.55 (stop at 236.92)
Price action looks to be forming a bottom. A bullish reverse Head and Shoulders has formed. Neckline comes in at 256.15. We have a Gap open at 252.54 from 12/12/2022 to 13/12/2023. Further upside is expected although we prefer to set longs at our bespoke support levels at 252.55, resulting in improved risk/reward.
Our profit targets will be 298.90 and 310
Resistance: 263.92 / 266.65 / 267.45
Support: 252.55 / 242.21 / 238.21
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
Sonos - All about the Base (Pattern)US CPI NUMBER TODAY - EXPECT EXTREME VOLATILITY
Sonos Inc - Medium Term - We look to Buy a break of 18.33 (stop at 16.59)
Price action looks to be forming a bottom. Broken out of the Head and Shoulders formation to the upside. Bespoke resistance is located at 18.28. A break of 18.28 is needed to confirm follow-through bullish momentum. Although the anticipated move higher is corrective, it does offer ample risk/reward today.
Our profit targets will be 22.76 and 24.50
Resistance: 18.28 / 21.30 / 22.76
Support: 16.33 / 15.17 / 14.85
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
Joe Gun2Head Trade - Crazy move higher on a weaker CPI number?Trade Idea: Buying SPXUSD
Reasoning: Crazy move higher on a weaker CPI number?
Market expects 7.3%. JPMorgan suggesting a move of <6.9% could see stocks rally by 8-10%?"
Entry Level: 3993
Take Profit Level: 4398
Stop Loss: 3907
Risk/Reward: 4.6:1
Disclaimer – Signal Centre. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Footlocker - Stomping lower?Foot Locker - Medium Term - We look to Sell at 38.81 (stop at 40.86)
Trading within a Bearish Channel formation. Price action continued to range between key support & resistance (30.02 - 40.00) although we expect a break of this range soon. Short term momentum is bearish. Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
Our profit targets will be 30.34 and 24.10
Resistance: 38.81 / 40.20 / 45.59
Support: 37.88 / 33.19 / 30.02
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
Joe Gun2Head Trade - GBPUSD grinding higher?Trade Idea: Buying GBPUD
Reasoning: Grinding higher
Entry Level: 1.2239
Take Profit Level: 1.2334
Stop Loss: 1.2196
Risk/Reward: 2.19:1
Disclaimer – Signal Centre. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.