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#Bitcoin to US Narrow Money Supply (M1) ratio 1W chart;#Bitcoin to US Narrow Money Supply (M1) ratio 1W chart; I suggest you read it to the end. This type of chart is used to understand how much Bitcoin has gained or lost in value relative to the Narrow Money Supply in the US. In the chart, the total market capitalization of Bitcoin is plotted against the US Narrow Money Supply (M1). M1 includes money in circulation (cash) and demand deposits at banks. This type of ratio can help to understand how valuable Bitcoin is in the macroeconomic environment. In a nutshell; If the chart is rising : Bitcoin is rising. If the chart is falling : The US money supply is increasing. If the US money supply increases and Bitcoin's market capitalization remains the same, then the chart will fall again. It means that Bitcoin is losing value against the US dollar. In short, we need to look more carefully at what is causing the decline. When does the US Narrow Money Supply (M1) appreciate? - Raising interest rates - Economic empowerment - Liquidity reduction The first 2 points above are not hard to guess, but let's elaborate on point 3; The FED may implement monetary tightening policies to reduce the amount of dollars in the market. In this case, the money supply may contract and the value of the dollar may rise. This is called illiquidity. To summarize; An appreciation of the US money supply often puts pressure on risky assets such as Bitcoin and can depress their prices. There are also important historical notes above the chart The white trend line is important . Because every time it comes here, we see that it experiences strong price movements with important news. Therefore, it may be necessary to follow the agenda closely when it comes to this trend line again.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC
by ugurtash
US HOUSING MARKET CRASHUS Real Estate Price Index Analysis: The chart illustrates a long-term upward trend in the US real estate market, with prices consistently climbing over the years. However, we are now approaching a critical phase that requires close attention. Pre-Election Period and Mid-2025 Outlook: As we move towards the upcoming elections and into mid-2025, real estate prices in the US are expected to continue their ascent. This trend will be heavily influenced by consumer purchasing power and interest rates on loans, which individuals should monitor separately. The continued growth is driven by demand, but this is likely to face significant headwinds soon. Impending Crisis in 2025: As we enter 2025, the real estate market is on the brink of a major crisis. Prices are predicted to plummet, potentially falling to an average of $380,000 per home. If prices break below this level and sustain, we could see a further drop, possibly revisiting the 2020 price levels where the average home price ranged between $280,000 and $300,000. Market Correction and Future Growth: The market is expected to correct by approximately 30%, after which it should resume its growth trajectory. This correction will be tied to the growing unaffordability of new homes for the average family, as credit interest rates rise to levels beyond the reach of many. Consequently, more people will opt to rent rather than buy, leading to an oversupply in the market as homeowners struggle to keep up with mortgage payments. With the increasing number of properties flooding the market and demand not keeping pace, the imbalance will push prices down. Additionally, global military conflicts and the policies of the Democratic Party, should they win the election again, will likely lead to a prolonged two-year recession from early 2025 to the end of 2026. Real estate will be one of the last sectors to recover from this crisis. Strategic Buying Opportunity: Given this outlook, I anticipate a market bottom by the end of 2026, making early 2027 the optimal time to purchase real estate in the US. This period should offer the best prices before the market stabilizes and begins its next growth phase.
ECONOMICS:USSFHPShort
by trushkovskiy
Tesla on the rise...Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📉TSLA has been overall bearish trading within the falling channel marked in red. Currently, TSLA is hovering around a massive round number $200. 🏹 For the momentum to be shifted from bearish to bullish, a break above the last major high marked in red is required. 📈 In such a scenario, a movement towards the previous major high at $270 is expected. 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
NASDAQ:TSLA
by TheSignalyst
EURUSD 11/8/24This week in EUR/USD, we have liquidity placed above our highs in a bullish range. Last week, we played bearish within price action, ultimately putting in these highs to form liquidity. Based on this, we could run the liquidity coming into this week, or we may drop further into the range. We have met the 50% level of the range, so there is sufficient liquidity behind price to shift it higher. Now, of course, we have some fundamentals coming up this week, so price may shift accordingly. Overall, we are looking for price action to run the highs as we remain bullish, with fundamentals favoring dollar weakness. This leads us to believe that this scenario could play out. There is a hotspot within this liquidity, marked by our golden line, where price may react to sell back for a deeper retrace or blast through and take the high. We have a very clear area of demand at the base of our range. If we drop lower, we can look for that area to react. The main point is to follow what price is actually showing you, rather than what we want to see. Trade safe and follow your plan.
by PipSurfingSociety
EURUSD - Shorting Again!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈As per my last analysis, attached on the chart, EURUSD rejected the upper bound of the rising blue channel. Currently, EURUSD is retesting that trendline again! Moreover, the zone marked in green is a strong resistance zone. 🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the resistance zone in green and upper blue trendline acting as a non-horizontal resistance. 📚 As per my trading style: As #EURUSD approaches the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
by TheSignalyst
14
Looking for reversal in DXY under 102.2 zone(8/5/2024)In our last analysis, our prediction played well, the DXY corrected to 103.7, and after NFP data reached 102.7. With the fear of recession and NFP data, We are expecting DXY to retest the 102 zones. Our technical view has been shown in the chart. If you like it then Support us by liking, Following, and Sharing. Thanks For Reading Team Fortuna -RC (Disclaimer: Published ideas and other Contents on this page are for educational purposes and do not include a financial recommendation. Trading is Risky, so before any action do your research.)
TVC:DXYShort
by fortunamarkets
47k Coming for Bitcoin?$Bitcoin #CME 1D chart; The gap formed by the opening last week has not yet been filled. I think the rise will not start before this place is filled. The Bat Harmonic structure, which is also formed in the current structure, points us to $ 47k levels. It is difficult to say anything clear if it will come true. However, we should not forget that this possibility also exists. Bitcoin had received an upward reaction with the support it received with its last visit to the IMB level. However, as can be seen, it has not yet made any contact with the IMB zone at $ 47k levels. It doesn't always touch these areas, of course, but why not:)
CME:BTC1!Short
by ugurtash
US500 - Decision Zone!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. US500 has been overall bullish trading within the rising channel marked in red. This week, US500 is in a correction phase and it is currently retesting the lower red trendline. 📈As long as the last low marked in red holds, we expect a bullish continuation. 📉 In parallel, if the last low in red is broken downward, a deeper correction towards the lower orange trendline and zone would be expected. 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
CAPITALCOM:US500
by TheSignalyst
1
NASDAQ - What do I expect?Hey Guys, the Quarterly and Yearly Chart are Bullish. The Monthly is showing 5 waves - could mean that some traders are willing to take some profits because they expect an ABC - Wave Correction from here. However, a Fifth Wave extension is not that unlikely because the third has not been extended. in simple words: We might see a bit of a correction - or we will see a straight continuation -break above and retest the Highs - but I guess many will be happy taking a bit of profit here, thinking about the upcoming election in the USA - a bit of Consolidation would be expected at least thats what I am thinking… Either Way - I will be cautious during the next week as it might indicate what Q3 will look like. Thank you for reading…
TVC:NDQLong
by MeruEU
1
Moderna - Correction Almost Done!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈 MRNA has been overall bullish , trading above the trendline marked in blue. Currently, MRNA is undergoing a correction phase in the shape of a falling channel. Moreover, it is retesting massive support zone in green. 🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for trend-following buy setups as it is the intersection of the green support and lower blue/red trendlines acting as non-horizontal support. 📚 As per my trading style: As #MRNA approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
NASDAQ:MRNALong
by TheSignalyst
Could US30 bounce from here?Price is falling towards a support level which is an overlap support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit. Entry: 38,606.09 Why we like it: There is an overlap support level which lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 38,120.14 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level which is slightly below the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 39,072.18 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance level which aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
VANTAGE:DJ30Long
by VantageMarkets
DXY - Are You Ready?📈Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📉 DXY has been overall bullish trading within the rising channel marked in red. Currently, it is undergoing a correction phase, and approaching the lower bound of the channel. Moreover, it is retesting a strong demand zone highlighted in orange. 🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the orange demand and lower red trendline. 📚 As per my trading style: As #DXY is hovering around the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
TVC:DXYLong
by TheSignalyst
3
ETH - It is Happening! 🦋Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders, As per my last analysis, shown in the attached chart, ETH rejected the $3000 round number and surged by over 20%. What's next? 📈As long as the $3500 round number holds, we expect a continuation towards the previous all-time high of around $4800. 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! And always remember: All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
by TheSignalyst
1
US30For now it is to watch and let effect take as to what will happen. We don't predict the market but we forecast from signs of the market and we build ideas on that, then according to our plans we set out to make the most we can. Hear we have different highs and probably why the sell off has not began. But we know that we are in a correction of a bearish leg. This gives perspective on to the longer term view and what to expect long term. 39035 - 39040 is our target and what price does here will explain what we do next.
PEPPERSTONE:US30
by Mhangwane1
NASDAQ100 - US MARKETS UPDATEInvesting isn't always that easy, heh? Especially in Bear Markets, the market circumstances seem to trick one into thinking, that the next bull run will happen soon. The Bull is climbing up the stairway and it takes a while, whereas the bear jumps out of the window. Looking at YTD 32.88% decline as of 27.06.2022 in the US TECH 100 is one of the worst Q1 and Q2 in the history of US markets. Inflation is at 8,6% in the United States (10.06.2022) and around 7.5% in Europe. The western world faces a huge backlash after rising the interest charges by 0.75 percentage-points to a range between 1.5%-1.75%. Covid-19 is still around and has sluggished the world economy and growth view for the past two years. Facing climate change may be one of, if not the biggest threat of the 21. century and the Ukraine conflict does not make it look better at all:- ) All the Quantitative Easing and Printing money have led to massive inflation all over the place. The only real solution is to simply "produce more". Sounds easier than it's done, with a view to collapsed supply chains. Chart: RSI is at lows forming a triangle, indecision. 200MA is a good trivial indicator to get a minimum idea of the AVERAGE price of this derivate. I think a retest of 14.500 is in play, after which the bear market could continue. I think we have not seen the bottom here, since the real sell-off hasn't happened yet. Being liquid in dangerous times is the best thing you can do and is actually the only way to really make some money. So, catching a falling knife is always a risky thing to do, but if you catch it, this could change your life. These kinds of opportunities are not that often in life, maybe once in a lifetime or once every one or two decades. The NASDAQ doubled in on year, literally mooning, due to the printed money, which was flooded into the markets, to catch the markets and secure a fluid economy, but guess what, we have used our last gun powder, and no we are facing the costs of this two-year printerage. It was necessary, but the consequences are real and in my personal opinion, most of the stocks are overpriced. I'm just gonna say it, they are OVERPRICED. Especially tech and housing market looks bubbly and an honest recovery after a healthy bull market from literally the 2008 crisis. So I think we can go down and test the highs before the Covid-19 Crash (16.03.2020) at around 10.000 points. I feel like September could be a stop to raising rates, which would lead to more upside, but IF we somehow manage to find a bottom and to not test lower levels, highs as 20.000 until 2024 is absolutely in play! No one knows what will happen, so my personal bet would be bearish until the market, the government and the economy gives massive positive signals to the public, to reenter a bull market. Until then i personally stay bearish and stay liquid. I try to average in an amount here and there from time to time. At one point it will turn because everything comes to an end at a certain point. All right, if you made it until here, thanks for reading! Take care, gqt
TVC:NDQ
by GER-Quality-Trades