The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the value of the US Dollar (USD) against basket of other six major currencies, extends its losses for the 5th consecutive week in a row, hovering below 102 points during the U.S. regular hours on Monday, August 19. Over the past week, Gold spot (XAUUSD) has topped $2500 per ounce psychological high also, minting new all...
Lets draw few parallel lines. Looks like cross of green supports shows start of the party and crossing red resistances means music isn't playing anymore. Could be coincidence. Looks like green support is coming. If we pierce it could be bullish. Unfortunately this time is different because of inversion. We will see.
There are several factors that can drive gold prices up in long term. Some of the key factors include: 1. Global Economic Uncertainty: Gold is often seen as a safe-haven asset during times of economic uncertainty or market volatility. Investors tend to flock to gold as a store of value when traditional investments like stocks and bonds are perceived as risky. 2....
And there goes the the 2Yr Yield, it is whimpering. Unless something happens this is rolling over further. 10Yr Yield had a nice bounce but it is also rolling over. TVC:TNX is only 33 basis points from normalization! Short term #yield is looking very weak, 6 month and 1 Yr, not shown. More info see profile...
Yields are pulling back a bit from the run they had yesterday. It was expected to have a bounce at the support levels. The 2Yr & 10Yr #Yield both look as if they want to settle a bit but time till tell . We will see how Yield reacts over the next few days. It is important as a crashing yield can mean higher prices all across the board in many assets. We've...
And there they go! The 2Yr bounced right at the support level, AGAIN It is forming lower highs though. 10Yr #yield looks a bit weaker that its counterpart. TVC:TNX In reference to the #interestrate post after the one quoted... The weekly up trend is NO LONGER BROKEN! TVC:VIX not moving much, interesting.
GOOD MORNING! The 2Yr & 10Yr have broken the triangle pattern we posted on long ago. The TVC:TNX (10Yr) has gone lower compared to the 2Yr in the same time frame. Again, natural normalization is still out the window! What does this point to? Will fed do what they are good at & mess it up again? --- Now look @ the 10Yr on a weekly chart! AH HA! Are Bond...
The 2Yr yield has paced itself recently. The 10Yr #yield is picking up steam. Both went from a bearish moving average crossover, circles, to a bullish (Data not seen here, more info in profile) 2Yr is almost @ last years bank failure rates. 10Yr has been trading mostly above. Weekly 2Yr looks like it wants to skyrocket, if breaking out of the ascending triangle...
Crash Zone highlighted in Red. Fair warning is given as well; "Sell Sell Sell"
World's most important and the largest financial market is the US Treasury. Annual issuance of U.S. Treasuries has exploded. A record USD 23 trillion of treasuries were issued in 2023. This market is experiencing gradual but notable shifts due to the Federal Reserve (Fed) recent tapering of quantitative tightening and the Treasury buyback. Collective impact has...
Short term bonds are still trading below the bank fiasco crisis. 1 & 2YR Yields. However....... Long term #yield is higher than it was during the bank fiasco. 10 & 30 YR #Yield. Normalization of the curve is still a ways off.
- US 10 Years Government Bonds(Yield) TVC:US10Y experienced a pull back in the fourth week of August, after having rallied previously for five (5) consecutive Weeks, printing only green *W candlesticks. The Weekly pullback retraced to a Weekly price level of 4.09% for $U10Y (key level marked on dashed green line) We can clearly see TVC:DXY being dragged...
Copper price continued to provide negative trades affected by the frequent stability below the additional barrier at 3.7280, to manage to reach some negative stations by touching 3.6100. Also, RSI stochastic continues to provide the negative momentum to allow us to suggest forming new negative waves to attack the additional support near 3.5000 followed by...
Up coming Federal Reserve meeting, there's still underlying inflation in the USA but the amount of interest on debt + Japan buying US debt while their currency is almost completely free falling. Would be one of the worst fiscal policy disasters since 2009. Looking at Japan's society they're completely clueless of how close they are to blowing up.
Good Afternoon! Long Term #interestrates are PUMPING today!!! The 10 & 30 Yr have been struggling in this area. They are currently forming a negative divergence. We'll see how that goes. 3Month - 1Yr haven't moved much. 2Year #yield is also moving. This is "good"! That means that the normalization of yield curve is not happening yet. #stocks #gold #silver
🚨🚨🚨🚨🚨🚨🚨 1 & 2Yr #yields are falling pretty decently today. This can be very good short term. However....... It's conceivable BAD in the long term (has been historically) IF the curve normalizes. Current rates 2Yr 5.056 vs 10Yr 4.749 The #Fed rarely does things right. I Wonder. Why is that? Can it be by design? #bonds #stocks TVC:TNX
Dear friends The difference between the returns of 10-year and 2-year bonds and the lower the value of these two charts, the slope of the reduction curve (Flat) and vice versa, the more we grow in these two charts, the slope of the curve has increased (Steep). I compared the behavior of this chart to Bitcoin. American financial and economic data.
I'm a big fan of exotic charts. It is often tough to gauge the current markets by looking at individual charts so sometimes I like to combine them together. Here is a rough rationale of this chart: TOTAL Crypto Total seems to have a good representation small cap behavior and is often a leading indicator of the broader risk-on market. S&P Large caps,...