If the US10Y does not intervene, danger bells will begin to ring for the stock markets.
like in the heading we are looking at the united states 10 year or other known as 10 year T note . we have tracked this chart before on the way down as we have seen in the previous GAP now since then we are seeing a market possibly rebounding and heading back to the northside of town follow for your self and make your own charts here on trading view.
after trading in a tight range since days it looks like we are breaking lower the 0.6 resistance break out or fake out?
So much for the 5th wave... the formulation has truncated after the payrolls report. This is an example of an erroneous freeing. In similar patterns, the rebound will translate in a 5 wave impulsive sequence which is somewhat cramped after the knee-jerk reaction from covid. The appropriate positional response to the lows here is to ride the pig , what we are...
With CPI hitting 0.1%, this was a clear cut obvious example of failed growth. With Powell capping the yield curve, it may appear that some could be confused. When growth and inflation both go down, and CPI has printed the wrost number ever. This was deflationary, and anything above this would be at best quad 2, but it won't sustain.
US 10yr- Symmetrical Triangle. 60% probability of Upward breakout (40% downward). From Thomas Bulkowski's Encyclopaedia of chart patterns based on over 1000 trades studied.
Stoploss at breakeven after almost 9% decline in price into our target for the week from the suggested entry short earlier today.
Downside target posted. Last week's trade was killer and we will be using profit from that trade too scale further. 19:32:09 (UTC) Tue Apr 28, 2020
from my view, the price has made lower high and hit the significant resistance zone. would be going down, and vice versa to US10y meaning bond interest rate would be higher
US10y Daily Short Range - Thu Apr 9, 2020 12:18:02 ( UTC ) Thu Apr 9, 2020
The US 10 Year and really, yields around the world, have plummeted to levels no one thought was possible. However, the unthinkable has become thinkable. I believe the US 10 year is likely only a week or so from 0.500 and if the Fed cuts rates again this month (as is likely), we could see 0 by the end of the month. The real question though is will the 10 Year stop...
More sideways is highly highly unlikely. Boom or bust! US market cap to GDP 157% (LOL). Perhaps the most ridiculous thing of the last 11 years is when the moving monkeys on CNBC repeat "this time is different". For that to be true, the market should have no problem going to 180% of GDP. Think about that. Good luck. Yields rise, it tightens credit conditions....
S&P 500 PE and US 10 Year note PE for comparison... 1.2 updated version minor improvements The last two cycles, bonds were most of the time more expensive than stocks... the same thing happened in the 1940s in the US interested rate history, unfortunately, there is not historical data to be showed here about that particular time....
SP500 earnings yield greater than 10 Year US Bond Yield ...
A quick update that I will try to keep relatively short for those charting the US10Y we have important updates after markets struggled to shake off risks from China. The support in Yields is starting to form a bullish basing pattern, although the medium term structure is weaker the immediate horizon looks strong and stable above the 1.50 line in the sand. ...
A deliberate soft closing down at the 1.50 lows (instead of breaking through allows for an underestimation in the bounce); here, the systematic approach of buying the dip deserves victory. We can cast some light together on playing through the flank: In the extraordinarily traditional sense an inversion which we are looking at always leads to a recession and...
A timely update to the 10yr US Bond Yields chart as we enter into NFP territory. I am still expecting to see further upside with a strong bid in 1H20. Targeting the 38.2% retracement which coincides with the cluster of macro stops makes sense. We come up against the last case in variation for the move, erroneously described as a surrender. To put simply...