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Us100

NASDAQ: Stop the noise. Long term investors are buying here.Nasdaq may be recovering on its 1D technical outlook but remains bearish on the 1W (RSI = 37.616, MACD = -451.790, ADX = 38.564) as the timeframe is still under the dramatic effect of the 3 month correction. The market however appears to be finding support a little over the 1W MA200 and may turn out to be the new long term technical bottom as the 1W RSI rebounded from oversold grounds. The last three times that happened, the index rose aggressively. The 15 year pattern is a Bullish Megaphone and every rally inside it obviously gets stronger. As long as the market is holding the 1W MA200, the trend will be bullish and this is the right opportunity to buy for the long term, aiming at another +113.90% bullish wave (TP = 36,000) to get hit towards the end of 2027. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
NASDAQ:NDXLong
by InvestingScope
US 100 - At a Critical Crossroads The US 100 index shows intriguing price action as it navigates key technical levels. Currently trading at 18,967.2 , the market has formed a clear double top pattern at the resistance zone, suggesting potential exhaustion in the uptrend. Key Technical Observations: The chart reveals strong resistance near recent highs around 19,024.3 , with price struggling to break through this ceiling. Below current levels, we spot a double bottom formation that previously provided support, creating an interesting tension between these patterns. Notable price levels include: - Resistance: 19,024.3 (double top confirmation) - Support: 18,961.7 (recent swing low) - Critical zone: The weakened gap that remains to be filled below current prices Market Dynamics: The minimal +0.02% change indicates indecision at these levels. The presence of liquidity pools both above and below suggests potential for volatility when either side gives way. Trading Considerations: A break above the double top resistance could signal continuation of the uptrend, while failure to hold current levels may see price test lower supports to fill the gap. The tight range between 18,961.7 and 19,024.3 suggests an impending volatility expansion. The market appears to be at an inflection point where the next directional move could be significant. Traders should watch for either a confirmed breakout above resistance or breakdown below support before committing to positions. Final Note: This technical setup presents clear risk/reward opportunities, but requires confirmation before acting. The double top pattern would only be validated by a break below the interim support levels. Disclaimer: Market conditions can change rapidly. This analysis represents one interpretation of current price action and should be verified with additional indicators. Always use proper risk management.
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by wdstrades
23
US100 - Lots of opportunities unfoldingChart Overview: This analysis focuses on the US 100 (NAS100) index, sourced from CAPITAL.COM . The chart highlights critical price levels, Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) , and a Buy side liquidity (BSL) , offering actionable insights for traders. Key Observations: 1. Price Action & Structure: - The index has shown significant volatility, with a clear Break of Structure (BSL) indicating a potential shift in market sentiment. - The price is currently navigating between key support and resistance zones , marked by horizontal levels. 2. Fair Value Gaps (FVGs): - Two prominent FVGs are visible on the chart, representing areas where price may revisit to fill imbalances. These zones often act as magnet levels for price retracements. - Traders should monitor these FVGs for potential entry or exit opportunities , depending on price reaction. 3. Critical Price Levels: - Resistance Zones: - 20,250.0 : A major psychological barrier. - 19,750.0 - 20,000.0 : Intermediate resistance cluster. - Support Zones: - 17,000.0 - 17,250.0 : Strong historical support. - 16,000.0 : A pivotal level for long-term bias. Trading Strategy: - Bullish Scenario: A break above 20,250.0 could signal further upside, targeting 20,500.0 and beyond. - Bearish Scenario: A drop below 17,000.0 may confirm a deeper correction, with 16,250.0 - 16,000.0 as the next target. - FVGs as Confluences: Use the identified FVGs alongside volume and momentum indicators to refine entries. Timeframe & Validity: This analysis is based on the daily timeframe (Apr 19, 2025) and remains valid until key levels are breached or new structures form. Final Notes: Always pair this analysis with risk management (stop-loss, position sizing) and confirm with additional indicators (RSI, MACD, volume). The market may fill FVGs before continuing its trend. Like, follow, and comment if you found this useful! Happy trading!
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by Louigi_24
38
NASDAQ Trump's 2 TRADE WARS are identical! What you need to knowNASDAQ (NDX) had a massive bullish reversal 1W candle last week as, despite a Lower Low opening, the intra-week rebound surpassed the opening of the previous week. The sell-off reached almost as low as the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) , which has been the Support level of the late 2022 Inflation Crisis bottom and has been untouched for more than 2 year. This is not the first time we see this pattern. In an interesting twist of events, we saw the exact same formation during Trump's 1st Trade War, which bottomed on the week of December 24 2018, near the 1W MA200 as well and exactly on the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level from the Top. The similarities don't stop there as both Trade War periods were manifested within Megaphone patterns. Their sell-off/ Bearish Leg was -25% (now) and -23% (2018) respectively, while the set-up leading to those Megaphones was a +103.50% and +113.50% Bull Cycle respectively. Also both sell-offs got an oversold (30.00 or lower) 1W RSI bottom. So, since NDX has currently completed a -25% correction near the 1W MA200 and the 0.382 Fib with the 1W RSI bouncing off the oversold barrier, it is very likely that we've formed the pattern's bottom, especially if the global fundamentals point towards trade deals. If this Low remains intact, we expect a similar +35% short-term Top at 22500 within a 3-4 month period and then long-term rally near the -0.382 Fibonacci extension at 29000. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:NDXLong
by TradingShot
1
Trade the Structure: NAS100 Possible Retrace & Buy OpportunityThe NAS 100 recently broke its market structure after a twist in trade policy—with Donald Trump delaying tariffs by 90 days—which sparked a robust rally. On the 4‑hour chart, we're looking for a bullish setup where the initial surge might be followed by a pullback into a sideways accumulation zone. This consolidation is expected to form a "spring" pattern—a brief retest that could trap sellers—followed by a clear break of market structure that signals a renewed upward move. The entry is ideally on the breakout, backed by supportive volume, while risk management is maintained with a stop-loss positioned just below the range if/when price retraces into support. 🚀📈💰
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Long
by fxtraderanthony
2
Tactical US100 Trading: Converting 1W Trend into 30m Opportunity📈 The US100 index is currently exhibiting a bearish trend pattern on the weekly timeframe. We can observe a notable rally followed by a retracement into equilibrium when analyzed against the previous price wing range. 🔎 Currently, the index is positioned at a premium level, creating an environment where short sellers might be building positions in anticipation of further downward movement. However, market dynamics remain highly sensitive to external influences, particularly unexpected statements and social media announcements from influential figures like Donald Trump. 🌊 With such market unpredictability in play, focusing on shorter timeframes provides more actionable intelligence. Price action signals offer clearer guidance in this volatile environment. ⚡ Trade Opportunity: The 30-minute chart reveals a defined trading range worth monitoring. A definitive break above this range could present an opportunity to enter long positions, while a breakdown below support might signal a favorable short entry point. 🎯 This breakout strategy enables traders to respond to actual market movements rather than attempting to forecast the broader market direction—a particularly valuable approach given the current unpredictable market landscape. ⚠️ DISCLAIMER: This analysis is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading carries significant risk of capital loss and may not be appropriate for all investors. Historical performance does not guarantee future outcomes. Always perform independent research and consider your personal financial circumstances before executing any trades. Market conditions are subject to rapid changes, and no trading methodology ensures profits. The information presented should be used as one of many inputs in your decision-making process.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by fxtraderanthony
NAS100 (15min) – Bullish Entry Activated1. Symmetrical Triangle Formation Price was compressing inside a symmetrical triangle, with a series of lower highs and higher lows, indicating indecision and buildup of pressure. 2. Downside Fake-out (False Breakout) Price briefly broke below the lower trendline, suggesting a potential bearish breakout. However, there was no strong follow-through; instead, price quickly reclaimed the trendline and pushed back inside the structure. This is a classic fake-out, often trapping late sellers and providing liquidity for buyers. The rejection from the lows resulted in a long wick, signalling strong buying interest and failure to break down. 3. Aggressive Bullish Reaction After reclaiming the triangle support, price moved rapidly back to the top of the triangle. The next key move was a strong breakout above the upper trendline, confirming bullish intent. 4. Break and Retest Price action followed through with a clean breakout above resistance, followed by a minor pullback and retest of the broken trendline, which held as support. This retest offered a textbook entry point based on price action principles. 5. Bullish Structure Confirmation Post breakout, price formed a higher low and continued to make a higher high, confirming a trend shift. This structural change strengthens the bullish outlook.
FX:NAS100Long
by Naren_2410
2
Inversion Fair Value Gaps (IFVGs) - A Deep Dive Trading GuideIntroduction Inversion Fair Value Gaps (IFVGs) are an advanced price action concept rooted in Smart Money theory. Unlike standard Fair Value Gaps (FVGs), IFVGs consider the idea of price revisiting inefficiencies from an inverse perspective. When price "respects" a previously violated gap from the opposite side, it creates a powerful confluence for entries or exits. This guide will cover: - What an IFVG is - How it differs from traditional FVGs - Market context for IFVG setups - How to trade them effectively - Real chart examples for clarity --- What is an IFVG? An Inversion Fair Value Gap (IFVG) occurs when price trades through a traditional Fair Value Gap and later returns to that area, but instead of continuing in the original direction, it uses the gap as a support or resistance from the other side. Standard FVG vs. IFVG: - FVG: Price creates a gap (imbalance), and we expect a return to the gap for mitigation. - IFVG: Price violates the FVG, but instead of invalidation, it respects it from the other side. Example Logic: A bullish FVG is formed -> price trades through it -> later, price revisits the FVG from below and uses it as resistance. --- Structure and Market Context Understanding structure is key when trading IFVGs. Price must break structure convincingly through a Fair Value Gap. The gap then acts as an inversion zone for future reactions. Ideal Market Conditions for IFVGs: 1. Market is trending or has recently had a strong impulsive move. 2. A Fair Value Gap is created and violated with displacement . 3. Price retraces back to the FVG from the opposite side . 4. The gap holds as support/resistance, indicating smart money has respected the zone. --- Types of IFVGs 1. Bullish IFVG: Price trades up through a bearish FVG and later uses it as support. 2. Bearish IFVG: Price trades down through a bullish FVG and later uses it as resistance. Note: The best IFVGs are often aligned with Order Blocks, liquidity levels, or SMT divergences. --- How to Trade IFVGs 1. Identify a clear Fair Value Gap in a trending market. 2. Wait for price to break through the FVG with momentum . 3. Mark the original FVG zone on your chart. 4. Monitor for price to revisit the zone from the other side. 5. Look for reaction + market structure shift on lower timeframes. 6. Enter trade with a clear stop loss just beyond the IFVG. Entry Confluences: - SMT divergence - Order Block inside or near the IFVG - Breaker Blocks - Time of day (e.g., NY open) --- Refined Entries & Risk Management Once the IFVG is identified and price begins to react, refine entries using: - Lower timeframe market structure shift - Liquidity sweeps just before tapping the zone - Candle closures showing rejection Risk Management Tips: - Set stop loss just beyond the IFVG opposite wick - Use partials at 1:2 RR and scale out based on structure - Don’t chase missed entries—wait for clean setups --- Common Mistakes to Avoid - Confusing IFVG with invalidated FVGs - Trading them in low volume or choppy conditions - Ignoring market context or structure shifts - Blindly entering on first touch without confirmation Tip: Let price prove the level—wait for reaction, not prediction. --- Final Thoughts IFVGs are an advanced but powerful tool when used with precision. They highlight how Smart Money uses inefficiencies in both directions, and when combined with other concepts, they can form sniper-like entries. Practice finding IFVGs on historical charts. Combine them with SMT divergences, OBs, and market structure, and soon you’ll start seeing the market through Smart Money eyes. Happy Trading!
Education
by Louigi_24
85
Gold TA 25.4.5Hello everyone, I hope you're doing well. In the 1-hour timeframe, the price of gold has taken a downward trend and has formed two lower lows. There is a very strong order block visible on the chart, and I expect that after the price retraces to this order block, it will react and continue to move down. We will wait for the price to reach this order block, then in the 5-minute timeframe, we will take the right trades and enter a short position. Keep in mind that in higher timeframes, the market is moving upwards, so short positions carry higher risk. ⚠️ This Analysis will be updated ... 👤 Sadegh Ahmadi: GPTradersHub 📅 25.Apr.5 ⚠️(DYOR) ❤️ If you apperciate my work , Please like and comment , It Keeps me motivated to do better
FX:XAUUSDShort
by GPTradersHub
Bitcoin TA 25.4.12Bitcoin is currently correcting towards the range of 87 to 90 thousand dollars, and after that, we will enter a short position if we see a valid setup. The target levels are 74 thousand dollars, 70 thousand dollars, and lower targets can also be observed in this view. We will wait for the valid setup before entering the short position. ⚠️ This Analysis will be updated ... 👤 Sadegh Ahmadi: @GPTradersHub 📅 25.Apr.12 ⚠️(DYOR) ❤️ If you apperciate my work , Please like and comment , It Keeps me motivated to do better
Short
by GPTradersHub
NAS100 Triangle Apex – Breakout or Breakdown ImminentBullish View: • Price is forming higher lows and holding above the lower ascending trendline. • A breakout above the upper descending trendline near 18,500 would confirm bullish momentum. • If the breakout is sustained, potential upside targets include 18,650 and 18,800. Bearish View: • Price has tested the lower support trendline and shown weakness near the apex of the triangle. • A breakdown below 18,100 would indicate bearish momentum and invalidate the ascending structure. • If the breakdown is sustained, potential downside targets include 17,950 and 17,700.
FX:NAS100
by Naren_2410
Nasdaq is not done yet, dont be fooled! On Wednesday, April 9, 2025, the Nasdaq experienced a significant 15% surge, driven by news catalysts. This upward movement aligned with the price reaching the daily Fair Value Gap (FVG), effectively absorbing all internal liquidity at that level. The critical juncture now lies in how the Nasdaq (NQ) performs over the next few days. Should we see a retest and breach of the recent highs from this news-driven rally, it could signal a strong potential for the index to achieve new all-time highs (ATH). Conversely, if the momentum falters and fails to sustain these levels, a swift decline toward 16,000 could materialize, with a further potential downside target of 14,000.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by Almenio
DOW JONES INDEX (US30): Bearish More From Resistance It looks like US30 is returning to a bearish trend again. I see a strong bearish sentiment after a test of a key daily resistance. The price formed an inverted cup and handle pattern and we see a strong bearish imbalance with London session opening. Goal - 39.685 ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:US30Short
by VasilyTrader
1
NASDAQ: Cyclical correction most likely completed. ATH by June?Nasdaq remains oversold both on its 1D (RSI = 25.630) and 1W (RSI = 28.851, MACD = -442.980, ADX = 36.399) technical outlook as yesterday's rally is being corrected today on strong technical selling. Long term it looks like this was a cyclical correction, reached -25%, hit the 3W MA50/1W MA200 zone (which has been the best buy entry in the past 10 years) that has most likely been completed. In addition, the 1W RSI is on the same oversold levels as May 16th 2022, the lowest it has been since 2008. According to the Fibonacci Channel Up, the market can hit 22,300 as early as June. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
NASDAQ:NDXLong
by InvestingScope
WHY EVERYTHING IS GOING DOWN? ANSWER IS HERE!Understanding the Simultaneous Decline in EVERYTHING! 1. The Influence of U.S. Treasury Yields and Interest Rates The U.S. 10-year Treasury bond yield is a major benchmark in global finance. When yields rise, it signifies that bonds are becoming more attractive relative to riskier assets. Rising yields typically occur when: Investor Demand Shifts: Investors move from risky assets (like equities or crypto) to safer, higher-yielding government bonds. Inflation Expectations: Higher inflation expectations often lead investors to demand higher yields, which in turn increases borrowing costs. Cause and Effect: When Treasury yields increase, the opportunity cost of holding lower-yielding assets rises. This makes stocks, precious metals like gold, and speculative assets like cryptocurrencies less attractive. Even gold, typically seen as a safe haven, can lose its charm if fixed-income assets provide competitive returns with significantly lower risk. 2. M2 Money Supply Dynamics The M2 money supply measures the total liquidity available in the economy, including cash, checking deposits, and easily convertible near-money assets. Changes in M2 can impact asset prices in several ways: Expanding M2: More liquidity in the market initially can boost asset prices. However, if this expansion leads to rising inflation, it may eventually trigger higher interest rates and bond yields. Contraction or Slowing Growth in M2: A tightening in liquidity can reduce the flow of money into various asset classes. This dampens overall market sentiment and makes riskier assets less attractive. Cause and Effect: If M2 growth slows or contracts, there is less capital to chase after higher returns in equities and crypto. At the same time, if there is an expectation of tightening monetary policy, investors recalibrate risk expectations, which leads to a broader sell-off across multiple asset classes. 3. Investor Sentiment and Risk-Off Behavior In periods where both Treasury yields are rising and the money supply signals less liquidity, the overall investor sentiment often shifts toward a "risk-off" stance. This means: Safe-Haven Demand: Investors move into safe assets like government bonds, which drives up bond prices and yields while pulling money out of riskier assets such as stocks, gold, and cryptocurrencies. Correlation Effect: As riskier assets are sold off, their prices fall in tandem. Therefore, even if gold typically acts as a counterweight to stocks, in a severe risk-off environment, all asset classes might decline. Cause and Effect: With a risk-off sentiment dominating the market, traditional safe havens (like gold) and growth-oriented assets (stocks and crypto) can experience simultaneous declines. Rising yields encourage a rotation away from these riskier positions, which reinforces the downward trend across multiple markets. 4. Historical Context: The Trump Era and Beyond During the Trump administration, we observed episodes where Treasury bond prices surged significantly (e.g., a 10% surge) as investors sought refuge during periods of political and economic uncertainty. Eventually, as market sentiment shifted, yields rose, and this led to higher borrowing costs. The resulting effect was a broad-based retreat in many asset classes. Example: In those periods, as yields climbed to around 4%, investor appetite for risk diminished. The market corrected across equities, precious metals, and cryptocurrencies, with all asset classes experiencing pressure concurrently. Cause and Effect: In the current climate, if similar dynamics are at work—namely, rising yields accompanied by tightening M2 growth—then we might see a similar pattern: gold, the S&P 500, and crypto all experience declines together because investor risk appetite is sharply reduced. Conclusion The simultaneous decline in gold, the S&P 500, and cryptocurrencies can primarily be attributed to rising U.S. Treasury yields and tightening M2 money supply. As yields rise: The relative attractiveness of low-risk government bonds improves, encouraging a shift in investment away from riskier assets. Increased yields raise borrowing costs, which in turn dampens economic growth and investor sentiment. Slowing liquidity (as measured by M2) further restricts the available capital chasing after higher returns. This confluence of factors leads to a widespread "risk-off" environment where even traditional safe havens like gold may fall as the entire market adjusts to a higher interest rate and lower liquidity backdrop. Investors thus move across asset classes in a coordinated fashion, leading to declines in gold, equities, and crypto alike. Understanding this cause-and-effect relationship is crucial for professional traders who rely on disciplined strategies. With a clear view of the broader economic signals, you can navigate these shifts with precision—helping you not only to avoid costly mistakes but also to capitalize on high-probability opportunities that emerge during these market transitions.
TVC:US10Y
by UmutTrades