NASDAQ Potential Bullish ContinuationNASDAQ price action seems to exhibit signs of potential Bullish momentum as the price action may form a credible Higher High (after tarriff delays on the EU) with multiple confluences through key Fibonacci and Support levels which presents us with a potential long opportunity.
Trade Plan:
Entry : 21600
Stop Loss : 20550
TP 1: 22649
Us100
15-minute chart, there exists another Fair Value Gap!Gold Price Technical Analysis.
At present, gold is exhibiting signs of continued bearish momentum as it trades below the 50% retracement level of the 30-minute Fair Value Gap (FVG). The fact that this critical level has been broken suggests a weakening of bullish strength in the short-term timeframe, and reinforces the likelihood of further downward pressure on the price.
Moreover, on the 15-minute chart, there exists another Fair Value Gap just below the current market level, which is offering minor support for the time being. This area has been acting as a temporary cushion, slowing the pace of decline; however, its sustainability remains uncertain under the current market sentiment.
Should gold decisively break below the 15-minute FVG as well, it would indicate a deeper structural weakness and open the possibility for an extended bearish move. In such a scenario, the next potential support level lies around the 3293 mark, which could act as a short-term target for sellers and a critical level for buyers to watch for possible reversal signals.
Traders and investors are advised to monitor price action closely around these key levels, as further developments could define the next major move in gold's short- to medium-term trend.
NASDAQ got the 4H MA50 confirmation it neededNasdaq (NDX) has been trading within a Channel Up since the April 21 bottom and last week it unfolded its latest technical Bearish Leg.
As the 4H RSI bottomed on the 30.00 oversold barrier and the 4H MACD formed a Bullish Cross, that Leg bottomed and today the index gave the confirmation of the new Bullish Leg by breaking above its 4H MA50 (blue trend-line).
This is similar to the April 21 bottom, so we expect at least a minimum of +9.18% rise on the current Bullish Leg, which gives a 22500 short-term Target.
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US100 (NASDAQ) BREAKOUT BLUEPRINT: LOOT LIKE A SMART TRADER!🔥 NASDAQ 100 HEIST: STEAL THE TREND LIKE A MARKET BANDIT! 🚨💰
Locked & loaded for the US100 (NASDAQ 100) heist? This slick blueprint cracks the code to loot profits—blending killer technicals with macro intel. Ride the bullish wave, but dodge traps near the Overbought Zone. Bears lurk, so secure your bag before the reversal hits! 🐻💨
🎯 ENTRY: STRIKE LIKE A PRO THIEF
Long the breakout near 21,500.0 (or ambush pullbacks at 20,400.0 & 19600.0).
Set stealth alerts to catch moves in real-time. 🕶️🔔
🛡️ STOP LOSS: ESCAPE ALIVE
Hide stops under the last 4H swing low/wick—no reckless bets!
Adjust for your risk—survivors play smart. ⚡
💸 TAKE PROFIT: VANISH WITH THE LOOT
Main Target: 22,250.0 (or bail early if momentum fades).
Scalpers: Trail stops & ghost out with quick wins. 🏃♂️💨
📡 WHY THIS HEIST WORKS
NASDAQ 100’s on fire: Fundamentals + COT data + macro tides align.
Sentiment’s bullish, but stay sharp—links below for the full intel. 🔍🌐
⚠️ WARNING: NEWS = POLICE SIRENS
Avoid new trades during high-impact news. 📢
Lock profits with trailing stops if you’re already in. 🔐
🤝 JOIN THE TRADING MAFIA
Smash LIKE, drop a comment, & let’s dominate the US100! �
Ready for the next big move? Stay tuned. 👀
Happy hunting, chart pirates! 🏴☠️📉
NASDAQ: Needs to reclaim the 4H MA50.Nasdaq is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 62.436, MACD = 467.180, ADX = 28.529) as it maintains its long term bullish trend through the Channel Up pattern, which recently is transitioning into a Rising Wedge. We are willing to turn bullish again upon a 4H candle closing over the 4H MA50 and aim for a +11.17% rise (TP = 23,000) on the HH trendline, like the April 21st rebound did.
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NASDAQ 100 Setup After Bearish Pullback. My Bullish Game Plan!🚀 NASDAQ US100 Update – Key Levels I'm Watching 💡📈
Looking at the NAS100 right now, we’ve seen a strong rally kick off after the weekend 📊🔥 — this comes on the back of an aggressive bearish pullback last week 📉.
📌 My bias is bullish, but with a condition: I want to see price retrace into the 10-minute fair value gap and hold above the previous low 🧠🔍.
If we get a clean pullback, followed by a continuation with higher highs and higher lows, I’ll be watching closely for the first bullish break after that next pullback — that’s where I’d look to position long 🐂📈.
🛑 Not financial advice.
👇 Drop a comment if you're watching these levels too!
NAS100 - Will the stock market go down?!The index is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. If the ascending channel breaks, expect corrective moves, and if this channel line is maintained, its upward path will be available to the next supply range.
In that range, we can also sell Nasdaq with appropriate risk-reward.
With Donald Trump announcing a 50% tariff on imports from the European Union, trade tensions have once again taken center stage in global economic news, temporarily drawing attention away from more structural issues. However, these new developments have not diminished deeper concerns about the U.S. debt crisis and the federal government’s fiscal policies. Last week, the release of details regarding a new budget bill in Congress—coupled with Moody’s downgrade of the U.S. credit rating—sparked renewed anxiety in the markets about America’s fiscal stability. These concerns have now taken on more complexity amid the intensifying trade conflict.
The bill, which narrowly passed through the House of Representatives, could potentially add up to $4 trillion to the federal debt. This projection triggered a sharp reaction in the U.S. Treasury market, causing long-term bond yields to rise significantly.
Trump’s threat to impose tariffs on European goods—specifically naming iPhones—negatively impacted market sentiment in U.S. equities. Past trade confrontations with China suggest that Trump typically avoids actions that significantly harm the stock market and tends to retreat from hardline positions. Thus, buying the dip might be a sound strategy, though accurately timing entry is crucial.
Pinpointing the right entry time remains difficult, and perhaps the most reliable signal would come directly from Trump himself. With the July 9 deadline for the tariffs approaching and no formal trade agreement in place, the best course for market participants is to remain cautious and watch for any signs of a policy reversal.
Despite persistent worries over budget deficits and rising Treasury yields, Morgan Stanley remains bullish on the outlook for U.S. equities and bonds.
Morgan Stanley projects the following:
• The S&P 500 is expected to reach 6,500 by mid-2026, representing a roughly 10% gain from current levels. Key drivers of this growth include lower interest rates, a weaker dollar, and productivity gains fueled by artificial intelligence.
• The recent spike in the 10-year Treasury yield is considered temporary, with expectations that it will decline to around 3.45% by mid-2026. There is still no strong evidence of a significant outflow of foreign capital from U.S. markets.
Although the upcoming week will be shortened due to the Memorial Day holiday on Monday, a packed economic calendar starting Tuesday is expected to quickly reenergize market activity.
Tuesday will bring the release of durable goods orders for April and the consumer confidence index for May—two data points that could provide clearer insight into domestic demand and household spending trends. On Wednesday afternoon, attention will turn to the minutes from the May FOMC meeting, where investors will search for clues about potential shifts in the Federal Reserve’s tone regarding future rate cuts.
Thursday will be loaded with key economic indicators: weekly jobless claims, the first estimate of Q1 GDP, and existing home sales data. The week will conclude on Friday with the release of the Core PCE Price Index, the Fed’s preferred measure of inflation, which plays a pivotal role in shaping its monetary policy decisions.
Meanwhile, Nvidia is preparing to launch its new AI chip, Blackwell, in the Chinese market at a more affordable price. Based on the Blackwell architecture, the chip will be priced between $6,500 and $8,000—lower than the H20 model, which costs between $10,000 and $12,000.
This price reduction results from simpler technical specifications and a lower-cost manufacturing process. The new chip uses GDDR7 memory instead of high-bandwidth memory and lacks the advanced CoWoS packaging technology.
US100 Tests Uptrend: Bearish Signals Emerge❗️ US100 Bearish Alert ❗️
Technical Breakdown Incoming?
📉 The NASDAQ 100 has hit a new local low and is now testing the uptrend line.
🔴 A bearish block order has formed.
📉 RSI signals clear bearish divergence.
📉 MACD confirms momentum is fading for bulls.
🧲 A gap below is acting like a magnet for price action!
🚨 Trade Idea:
🔽 Sell US100 only on a confirmed break below 21070
🎯 TP1: 20745
🎯 TP2: 20188
📊 All indicators point to potential downside – are you prepared?
Risk-Off Mode: Indices Under Pressure, VIX Breakout in Play!🌍 Indices Under Pressure as Volatility Spikes – Market Analysis (May 22, 2025) 🚨
My TradingView multi-chart workspace is tracking major global indices alongside the VIX (bottom right). The visual tells the story: broad-based selling is hitting equities, and the VIX is on the rise, signaling a clear risk-off environment.
Key Observations:
Indices in the Red:
All major indices in my workspace are under pressure, with sharp declines across the S&P 500, NASDAQ, Dow, DAX, and others. This aligns with today’s global heatmaps, which are flashing red across sectors and regions. The selling is broad, not just isolated to tech or cyclicals.
VIX Volatility Index Elevated:
The VIX (CBOE Volatility Index) is spiking, up over 15% today and holding above the 20 level (FXEmpire). This “fear gauge” confirms that traders are hedging aggressively and bracing for more turbulence. Historically, a rising VIX alongside falling indices is a classic sign of heightened uncertainty and potential for further downside.
Macro & Geopolitical Backdrop:
The selling pressure is fueled by persistent US-China trade tensions, new tariffs, and a lack of clear central bank support. The White House remains firm on its trade stance, while the Fed is not signaling imminent rate cuts (VT Markets). This policy vacuum is amplifying volatility and risk aversion.
Global Sentiment:
Asian and European markets are also deep in the red, with historic single-day losses in some indices. The “Magnificent Seven” US tech stocks have entered bear market territory, and even traditional safe havens like gold are seeing some liquidation as investors scramble for cash.
What’s Next?
Short-Term Outlook:
With the VIX elevated and indices breaking key support levels, expect continued choppiness and possible further downside. Macro data releases and any shift in trade rhetoric will be key catalysts. Defensive positioning and risk management are crucial in this environment.
Potential for Rebound:
If we see a de-escalation in trade tensions or dovish signals from central banks, a relief rally is possible. But for now, the path of least resistance appears lower, with volatility likely to remain high.
Summary:
The charts don’t lie – indices are under heavy selling pressure, and the VIX is confirming a risk-off mood. Stay nimble, watch for headline risks, and be prepared for more volatility in the days ahead. 📉🟥⚡
NAS100USD: SMT Divergence Signals Reversal from Discount PricingGreetings Traders,
In today’s analysis, we are closely monitoring NAS100USD for a potential reversal of bearish institutional order flow. While the broader trend has been bearish, current price action presents strong confluence for a bullish shift, suggesting an opportunity to align with a possible upside move.
Market Context:
NAS100USD is currently trading in deep discount territory, which historically presents favorable conditions for institutional accumulation. We’ve observed a liquidity sweep—price took out previous sell stops—suggesting institutions may have order-paired against willing sellers at these discounted levels.
Key Observations:
SMT Divergence with S&P500: While the S&P500 took out its previous low, NAS100USD remained above its corresponding low. This divergence signals underlying strength and institutional buying on NAS100USD, offering a strong indication of a reversal.
Bullish Structure Hints: Minor breaks in market structure to the upside are emerging, further validating the bullish narrative.
Institutional Support Zone: Price is currently trading inside a bullish order block that is also aligned with a Fair Value Gap (FVG)—a strong confluence zone that may act as support for continued upside movement.
Trading Strategy:
Await confirmation of support holding within the order block and FVG zone.
Target 1: Relatively equal highs just above current price action—an engineered liquidity pool where buy stops are likely resting.
Target 2: The premium FVG, a key area of institutional interest where longs accumulated at a discount will be offloaded for profit. The area of fair value is an region where the institutions start to book their profits.
By reading the divergence, price action, and institutional behavior, we can strategically position ourselves to capitalize on a high-probability reversal.
Happy Trading,
The Architect 🏛📊
Going short on the Nasdaq 100CAPITALCOM:US100
The Nasdaq 100 has moved up impulsively on a 5-wave move over the past 6 weeks, which is very bullish long term. However, in the short term, it is overextended, with the RSI indicator over the 70 level.
I expect it to decline over the next couple of weeks to the area marked in the green rectangle, between the 50% and the 78.6% Fibonacci Retracement level.
I hope you find this interesting.
Good luck to you
Nasdaq’s Next Move Revealed This Week – Don’t Miss the Breakout Following a strong surge at the start of the trading week, the Nasdaq reached a new high since March 26th. At this juncture, I anticipate a potential pullback before any sustained upward movement. My analysis suggests monitoring for a retracement to the New Week Opening Gap (NWOG), where price action will likely provide critical insights. I see two probable scenarios:
1. A move to the NWOG, followed by a strong bounce, potentially targeting a new all-time high, as some market commentators have suggested.
2. A weak reaction at the NWOG, leading to a breakdown below this level, with 16,000 as the next key support target.
This week's price action will be pivotal in determining the Nasdaq's near-term direction. I recommend close observation of these levels and disciplined risk management when positioning for either outcome.
At this point market successfully taped into the!Gold Market Analysis – Bullish Momentum Building
Gold has recently broken through a significant call option (CE) resistance level, signaling heightened bullish aggression among market participants. This breakout suggests that buyers are currently in control, pushing prices decisively above the CE threshold.
At this point, the market has successfully tapped into the previous swing low liquidity and appears to be forming buy-side liquidity above the current price action. With this structure, we anticipate a potential move toward the Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone marked on the chart. A clean breakout above this FVG, followed by a retest and successful hold of that level, would serve as a strong confirmation of continued bullish intent.
Should this scenario play out, our next upside targets lie in the 3320–3330 range. Traders are advised to monitor price action closely and wait for confirmation signals before making entries. Strategic decision-making is key—avoid emotional trading and prioritize high-probability setups.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) before making any investment decisions.
NASDAQ: Channel Up to soon initate the new bullish wave.Nasdaq is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 67.876, MACD = 566.960, ADX = 50.516) as it is still holding the Channel Up of almost 1 month back, whose support is the 1H MA200. Right now the price is consolidating around the 1H MA50, approaching the bottom of the pattern. Once it does, we expect it to initate the new bullish wave. With the shortest one of the Channel Up being +5.90%, we remain bullish here and look towards a TP = 22,250 by early next week.
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NASDAQ Critical level for short-term.Nasdaq (NDX) is testing a strong short-term Support Cluster, the Lower Lows trend-line and the bottom of the 1H Channel Up. Being below the 1H MA50 (blue trend-line), the trend is right now neutral until one of the two levels breaks.
If the index breaks above the 1H MA50, we will turn bullish again, targeting 22200 (+5.70% from the current Low, the minimum % rise in the past month).
If it breaks below the Support Cluster, we will turn bearish, targeting the 1H MA200 (orange trend-line) at 20800.
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-------------------------------------------------------------------------------Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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NAS100 - Will the Stock Market Reach Its Previous High?!The index is trading above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. If the trend line is broken, I expect corrective moves, but if the index corrects towards the demand zone, we can look for further buying positions in Nasdaq with a risk-reward ratio. Maintaining this trend line will lead to a continuation of the Nasdaq upward trend.
The strong rally in U.S. equities that had pushed the S&P 500 close to record highs for 2025 came to a halt on Friday, following the release of disappointing consumer sentiment data. A report from the University of Michigan revealed a drop in consumer confidence and a surge in inflation expectations to levels not seen in decades—factors that have amplified concerns about the economy’s outlook.
Despite this, some analysts remain hopeful that robust corporate earnings and the temporary suspension of tariffs could provide needed support for the market. Meanwhile, rating agency Moody’s warned that U.S. federal debt is projected to climb to 134% of GDP by 2035, up from 98% in 2024.
Moody’s noted that while the U.S. economy and financial system remain strong, the weakening of certain fiscal indicators has diminished the ability of these strengths to offset negative effects. According to their analysis, trade tariffs will not significantly impact long-term U.S. economic growth, and substantial changes in mandatory spending are unlikely in the near future.
Although the U.S. credit rating has been downgraded, the country’s long-term domestic and foreign credit ceilings remain at AAA. However, Moody’s has revised the overall credit rating for the U.S. down from AAA to Aa1.
One noteworthy detail is that since April 21, the index has seen only one negative trading day—May 9, which experienced only a slight decline. Falling Treasury yields have reduced some market risks, while Donald Trump’s trip to the Middle East has also helped ease political tensions at home. The market clearly reflects growing investor appetite for risk, though the possibility of a correction at these levels remains real.
Looking ahead to this week, traders will closely monitor preliminary purchasing managers’ index (PMI) data for May on Thursday. They will also pay attention to speeches from several Federal Reserve officials to gauge whether the Fed remains focused on economic growth or has shifted more attention to inflation, especially in light of recent U.S.-China trade agreements.
A rise in PMI figures may suggest that business sentiment has improved since tensions eased between the U.S. and China, but investors are also eager for clear guidance on the Fed’s next policy steps. Key speakers include John Williams (New York Fed), Raphael Bostic (Atlanta Fed), Lorie Logan (Dallas Fed), and Mary Daly (San Francisco Fed). If these officials continue to express concerns about elevated inflation risks, the U.S. dollar could continue to strengthen, as markets may price in fewer rate cuts ahead.
As for the equity markets, their reaction remains uncertain. Recently, equities have risen even as expectations for rate cuts have diminished—primarily due to a reduced fear of recession following tariff adjustments. However, with recession fears now less pronounced and a growing narrative around sustained higher rates due to sticky inflation, Wall Street may pull back if Fed officials emphasize upside inflation risks.
In related news, President Donald Trump harshly criticized Walmart’s pricing strategy, stating that the company should absorb the cost of tariffs rather than passing them onto consumers. In a public statement, Trump pointed out that Walmart made billions in profit last year and argued that American shoppers should not bear the burden of higher prices caused by trade tariffs.
Trump also implicated China in the issue, stating that either Walmart or China should take responsibility for these added costs. He warned that both he and consumers are closely watching how Walmart handles the situation.
NASDAQ Trade Setup: Bullish Bias, But Waiting for Retrace!✅ NASDAQ Breakdown: Waiting for the Retrace 🎯
I'm currently watching the NASDAQ 🧠, and here's what I'm seeing across multiple timeframes:
📈 Daily & 4H Timeframes show a strong bullish rally with significant momentum. However, in my view, price is overextended and currently trading at a premium.
📉 Although my bias remains bullish, I'm anticipating a retracement into equilibrium—specifically around the 50% to 61.8% Fibonacci zone 🔁. This would offer a more favorable entry based on value.
📊 In this video, I walk you through:
- The overall trend direction
- Where and how we can anticipate a break of market structure for a clean entry
- Why my buy idea is conditional on the 30-minute chart trending down, then flipping bullish via a structure break 🔄
⚠️ Patience is key! The trade setup may play out at various price levels—wait for confirmation from price action, as detailed in the video 🎥.
GOLD Has Shown A Significant Bullish Move!!Gold Market Analysis
Over the past week, gold has shown a significant bullish move by touching its weekly bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG) and closing a candle above it. This price action serves as a strong indication that the market is currently exhibiting bullish momentum. However, it is important to note that the sustainability of this bullish trend will be confirmed only through future market developments and price behavior.
As of now, our analysis suggests that gold, after revisiting and respecting the weekly bullish FVG, is trending upward. Looking ahead, we anticipate a minor retracement in the short term. This pullback could provide a healthy opportunity for the market to gather momentum before making another move upward. Ideally, we expect the price to retrace slightly and re-enter the highlighted yellow zone. Within this zone, we will be watching for a Market Structure Shift (MSS), which would act as our confirmation signal to consider entering a long position.
Once confirmation is received through MSS or similar price action cues, our strategy would be to target the liquidity zones situated above the current price level. It is also worth mentioning that the market has already cleared liquidity on the sell-side, which further strengthens the bullish case. Based on current technical indications and liquidity structure, there is a high probability that gold could reach as high as $3,250 in the upcoming sessions.
That said, market conditions can evolve rapidly, and it is essential to monitor price action closely. Traders and investors are strongly advised to conduct their own research (DYOR) and await clear confirmations before making any trading decisions. Staying vigilant and informed will be key to capitalizing on potential bullish movements in the gold market.