Us100
NASDAQ: Forming the new Low of the Channel UpNasdaq is on a neutral 1D technical outlook (RSI = 47.183, MACD = 55.990, ADX = 31.366) as the price is trading sideways on an upward slope at the bottom of the 1 month Channel Up. This is technically the new HL formation process and it is taking place under the 4H MA200 this time. The formation however of a 4H MACD Bullish Cross under 0.000 has been the most reliable buy indicator in the last two months, so it is a good enough reason to buy for us, since the risk factor at the bottom of the Channel Up is so low. The HH that followed the last HL was pcied on the 1.236 Fibonacci level and since the symmetry inside this pattern is high so far (Bearish waves indentical), our target is under the 1.236 Fib extension (TP = 20,750).
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NASDAQ - Nasdaq will lose the 20,000?!The index is located between EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. If the range of 20,000 is broken, we can witness the continuation of the decline
If the index rises towards the two specified supply zones, you can look for Nasdaq sell positions up to the bottom of the ascending channel
The U.S. jobs report for October indicated that only 12,000 new jobs were added to the labor market, significantly below expectations. This drop was primarily due to strikes, particularly at Boeing, and the impacts of recent storms. In October 2024, 512,000 workers were unable to work due to hurricanes Helen and Milton, much higher than the historical average of 47,000. These conditions led to a slowdown in job growth for October. The unemployment rate remained at 4.1%, but revised data from previous months show a decline in job growth.
Goldman Sachs analysts predict that the U.S. stock market will grow by the end of the year, driven by various factors. The end of October marks reduced sales by investment and pension funds, which could support stock price growth. This outlook contrasts with the consensus on Wall Street, which expects stock prices to decline after the presidential election. However, Goldman Sachs believes that stock market growth will continue under current conditions.
A survey by the Conference Board shows that 51.4% of American consumers expect stock prices to rise over the next 12 months. This represents the highest optimism level recorded since the survey began in 1987, although experts remain skeptical.
Warren Buffett continued selling a significant portion of his Apple shares in the third quarter of 2024, selling nearly a quarter of his holdings. This move reduced Berkshire Hathaway’s stake in Apple to 300 million shares, representing a 67.2% decrease from the end of the third quarter last year. Despite these sales, Berkshire Hathaway’s cash reserves have reached $325.2 billion. Buffett indicated that some sales might be due to tax reasons, but the volume of sales suggests other factors may also be at play. Interestingly, Berkshire did not purchase any stocks during this period.
Next week’s U.S. election will be in the spotlight, with market participants in a state of uncertainty as it is unclear whether conclusive results will be announced immediately after polls close on Tuesday night. Meanwhile, central banks will also be in focus; the Reserve Bank of Australia will announce its monetary policy on Tuesday, followed by the Bank of England and the Federal Reserve on Thursday.
Additionally, markets await the release of the U.S. ISM Services PMI on Tuesday, weekly jobless claims data on Thursday, and the preliminary University of Michigan consumer sentiment index on Friday. These data points could significantly influence market direction during this crucial week.
Nick Timiraos, an economic analyst from The Wall Street Journal, believes the U.S. jobs report will not significantly alter expectations for a 0.25% rate cut by the Federal Reserve.
JPMorgan analysts suggest that if Trump wins the election, more expansionary fiscal policies will be implemented, which could increase the budget deficit and inflation. As a result, the Fed may pause rate cuts. Conversely, if Kamala Harris wins, the economy is expected to continue its slow and steady path, and the Fed would likely proceed with a rate cut in November; however, with a Trump victory, this cut may be halted in December.
NASDAQ Rejected on the 1hour MA50 but bottom is in.Nasdaq / US100 is trading inside a monthly Channel Up.
Despite getting rejected today on the 1hour MA50, the Higher Low at the bottom of the Channel Up has been priced in.
This is a good buy opportunity. Target 20350 (the 0.618 Fibonacci level).
Previous chart:
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BTC POSSIBLE NEXT MOVE !With some delay on the time BTC finally decided to come down, it eventually did what we thought, came back to lower KL ;
but with the previous days' big spike up and down, it is now a perfect time for the price to "de-correct" and come back to the 75Ks, before coming back down ;
for now and the newt few weeks, it seems really tough to break 78/79K, probably next year.
US100 TOWARDS THE SKYWe missed the entry yesterday thinking it would bounce way harder than that, it actually took several hours to get back in an uptrend position ;
for now it seems a little corection to the LL is coming after the 15:30 rush ;
after that, US100 is going to the roof and taking the uptrend direction back.
NASDAQ Bottom of the Megaphone.Nasdaq is trading inside a Megaphone pattern on the (1h) time frame.
The price is very close to its bottom, which starts to signal a buy.
Each of the previous two bottom rallies, hit at least the 0.786 Fibonacci level.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy on the current market price.
Targets:
1. 20450 (litle under the 0.786 Fibonacci level).
Tips:
1. The RSI (1h) turned oversold. A strong buy indicator.
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NASDAQ 100 - 31/10/2024 Daily IdeaSetup for today. Oversold conditions.
Once news drops we should expect a sweep of the lows at 20,115 grabbing sell-side liquidity then expecting the price to shoot up to fill the daily gap that was made at the start of the new trading day. This is in line with the continuation of the upward hourly trend which will grab buy-side liquidity. Beware of potential new ATH today after major earnings are reported.
Dow Jones Index (US30): Support & Resistance Analysis
Here is my latest support & resistance analysis for US30.
Resistance 1: 42450 - 42720 area
Resistance 2: 43280 - 43310 area
Support 1: 41616 - 41886 area
Support 2: 40850 - 41182 area
Support 3: 40000 - 40240 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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Is The NAS100 Set For Possible Bullish Move? Key Price Action Si👀👉 The NAS100 is showing bullish momentum across the monthly, weekly, and daily charts; however, a notable pullback is occurring at a critical support level. I’m monitoring this area for a potential buying opportunity that aligns with the key criteria discussed in the video. In this analysis, we’ll identify important price action signals to watch and outline strategic positioning for the next potential move. Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. 📊✅
US100 BREAKING THE UPTREND !!Possible new route for nasdaq as it has broken the green uptrend we were hoping that would never break ;
now it s sketchy, does it go all the way down and stops to the general uptrend, or does it also break that ?
it seems tough with RSI levels and current economic situations to break such a strong trend, but be ready for everything !
NASDAQ: Channel Up topped. Opportunity for short term selling.Nasdaq turned bearish on its 1H technical outlook (RSI = 38.742, MACD = -3.920, ADX = 40.192) as it crossed under the 1H MA50. This comes after almost an exact touch at the top of the September Channel Up and while the 1D timeframe has gone from bullish to almost neutral. The last two rejections at the top targeted at least the 1.236 Fibonacci level on the pullback. That is what we aim for on the short term (TP = 20,250).
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US100/NASDAQ NEXT MOVEAfter successfully forecasting today's move (white line), this big drawdown was unexpected but it means two things :
- it has to correct before tonight
- it will not go under the green lower uptrend limit, because then it turns into a whole new trend and the 1D/4H/2H RSI is too low for any downtrend to start now.
It will go back up at 3:30 PM fot the big daily punch.
DreamAnalysis | NASDAQ's Next Move Key Levels & Strategic Setups✨ Today’s Focus: NASDAQ (US100) – A Major Market Influencer
We’re diving into the latest NASDAQ price action to pinpoint crucial levels, assess potential trends, and uncover strategic trading opportunities.
📊 Market Overview:
Currently, NASDAQ is positioned in a deep premium. The price has broken through significant buy-side liquidity levels, including the Previous Month High (PMH) and Previous Week High (PWH), setting the stage for a potential move toward the all-time high. A bearish Smart Money Technique (SMT) signal also aligns with the SPX500 (ES), hinting at possible headwinds.
🔴 Short- and Long-Term Outlook:
We’ll explore both bullish and bearish setups, equipping day traders with insights to approach both short-term and long-term trends effectively.
🗣 Short-Term Outlook:
In the short term, two scenarios could play out: either a push into the Buy Side Liquidity targeting the all-time high or a rejection at the 4-Hour Imbalance, leading to a lower move. Lower timeframes will be crucial for monitoring these moves—drop down to spot key market movements in real-time.
🗣 Long-Term Outlook:
Looking long term, there’s potential for a pullback into a Discount level. For entries, tracking lower timeframes is essential, especially as we’re near the all-time high. The bearish SMT divergence with SPX500 (ES) reinforces the possibility of a downward expansion.
🕓 Key Levels to Watch:
These levels will likely shape price movement:
- PMH: Previous Month High
- PML: Previous Month Low
- PWH: Previous Week High
- PWL: Previous Week Low
- BSL: Buy-Side Liquidity
- SSL: Sell-Side Liquidity
- Weekly FVG: Weekly Fair Value Gap (Imbalance Zone)
Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) serve as pivotal retracement zones, potentially guiding the next price movement.
📈 Bullish Scenario:
In a bullish setup, watch for Low-Resistance Sell-Side Liquidity sweeps on lower timeframes (LTF). Look for entry signals targeting higher levels, including a potential move toward the all-time high (ATH).
📉 Bearish Scenario:
For bearish trades, focus on lower timeframes such as the 15-minute chart. Short entries within the 4-Hour Imbalance or a breakdown of Low-Resistance Buy-Side Liquidity provide further confirmation.
📝 Final Thoughts:
Stay adaptable as market dynamics shift. By monitoring these key levels and setups, you’ll refine your strategy and increase the potential for high-probability trades.
🔮 On the Radar:
We’re also tracking NASDAQ, DXY, EUR/USD, and other major markets for evolving insights and timely updates.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always do your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.