Us100
S&P500 INDEX (US500): Bullish Trend Continue
US500 broke and closed above a resistance line of a horizontal
range yesterday on a daily and updated the All-Time High.
It confirms the dominance of the buyers and indicates
a highly probable continuation of the uptrend.
Next resistance - 5850
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Can the MAGNIFICENT 7 outperform once more?We have seen the Magnificent 7 (Apple, Microsoft, Google, Amazon, Nvdia, Meta, Tesla) underperform historically but since the start of the year this hasn't been as strong as previously (roughly +35% for M7 against + 25% for Nasdaq). The former can be seen on the left chart while the latter on the right. This goes so far against the aggressive nature of the Magnificent 7 (M7), which have outperformed Nasdaq on all previous rallied by around +50%.
In fact the M7's first major rally (2016 - 2018) rose by +140% while NDX's by +97%. The second major rally (2019 - 2021) registered +315% for MA7 and 'just' +185% for NDX. If there is any progression between them, we can argue that the current rallies will be even stronger. Of course the sample isn't big enough for solid conclusions and multi-year rallies can't keep getting stronger on each Cycle for ever.
What is reasonable to count on however, is that as the Fed stepped in recently and gave the market the first Rate Cut in years, a new Cycle of cheap money to invest with has started and we can expect rallies of equal strength with the previous ones. For M7 (+315%) that's $440, so around +60% from the current levels, while for Nasdaq (+185%) that's 30000, so around +47% from the current levels. Not an incredible difference considering the risk that highly volatile stocks like the M7 bear. This could be a sign that the market is shifting to other stocks during this Cycle and the M7 potential may be fading.
In any event, do you think the Magnificent 7 will start to outperform Nasdaq again and if so is this worth the risk than investing your capital on the 100 companies of the index?
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Nasdaq Thoughts 09-Oct-2024GOOD MORNING Everyone! Please find my Nasdaq market analysis for today below. As a price action trader, I encourage you to compare my charts with yours and use my insights to enhance your skills. These videos are designed for educational purposes only, not as trading signals. My goal is to help you grow and become a proficient trader."
Nasdaq Thoughts 09-Oct-2024GOOD MORNING Everyone! Please find my Nasdaq market analysis for today below. As a price action trader, I encourage you to compare my charts with yours and use my insights to enhance your skills. These videos are designed for educational purposes only, not as trading signals. My goal is to help you grow and become a proficient trader."
NASDAQ Fully bullish on a Channel Up.Nasdaq / US100 is making a rebound inside the Channel Up initiated on Sep 6th.
The pattern is similar to the Channel Up of the April 19th low, which stayed above the 1day MA50 and targeted the 2.618 Fibonacci level.
The 1day RSI indicates that we are on a similar level as May 31st.
Buy and target 22400 (Fib 2.618).
Previous chart:
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NASDAQ: Bullish breakout is taking placeNasdaq is marginally bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 57.848, MACD = 196.930, ADX = 44.220) and that shows the strong upside that the 1H momentum has today. Technically it is on a similar situation like Sep 19th when it crossed over a Channel Up and made a +3.00% rise on the 2.0 Fib. A 1H Golden Cross is about to take place, so we think that is a strong buy entry to target a +3.00 rise (TP = 20,300).
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US100 Is Very Bullish! Long!
Take a look at our analysis for US100.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 19,879.7.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 20,228.4 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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NASDAQ INDEX (US100): Bullish Move From Support
US100 has a nice potential to go up from a key daily horizontal support.
As a confirmation, I see a double bottom pattern on a 4H time frame
and a confirmed breakout of its horizontal neckline.
Goal: 20000
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Nasdaq Thoughts 08-Oct-2024Good morning all, Kindly see my Nasdaq thoughts for today. These videos are aimed at making you compare charts with mine if you are a price acton trader and use my thoughts to improve your skill. They are not meant as signals even if they seem like they are. I want you to learn and be great
US100 1.31212 -1.09% SHORT IDEA INTRADAY MULTI TF ANALYSISHELLO TRADERS
Hope everyone is doing great
📌 A look at NAS100 from MULTI TIME-FRAME ANALYSIS
From the 4H TF
* we swept Thursday highs, which was the short term high within the range.
* Beautiful rejection forming a wick favouring bearish move.
* So seems we may see a reversal before continuation with the bulls.
US100 1H TF
* Strong bearish rejection.
* 1H looking for a push into the - FVG (po3) ✔ to sell intraday
.
US100 15 TF
* Multiple rejection of bullish move.
* Looking at the 1H -fvg, this is where I would look for short as we are rejecting upside.
* Should this PD ARRAY hold will be Short for the US100.
* BASED on the price action served this week.
- ASIA HIGHS
- DAILY OPEN
-TRUE DAILY OPEN
- LONDON HIGHS
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NAS100 / US100 (NASDAQ) Technical Analysis and Trade Idea👀 👉 The US100 (NASDAQ) has maintained a bullish trend, but we recently observed a bearish break in market structure, followed by a bullish shift in the trend again. Currently, price action appears uncertain. However, I am watching the NAS100 closely for potential opportunities if and when the conditions discussed in the video unfold. Disclaimer: Trading carries significant risk, and market conditions can change rapidly. The information in this video is for educational purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making any trading decisions. 📊✅
NASDAQ critical crossroads for the short-term.Nasdaq (NDX) recovered its 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) on Friday, which is something that puts the short-term pull-back since September 26 on hold. In fact, as long as the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) holds, the index is more likely to resume the long-term Channel Up pattern and post a similar +11.00% rebound. So for now, we remain bullish, targeting 21600 (+11.00% from the last week's low).
If on the other hand the 4H MA200 breaks, we will most likely extend the short-term correction all the way to the dotted Higher Lows trend-line. Of course in that case, the (blue) Channel Up will be invalidated, and we will take the loss on the long and sell instead, targeting 19000.
The 4H RSI is posting a Bear Flag similar to August 29 - September 02, which favors the bearish scenario.
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US100 H4 - Sell SignalUS100 H4
Working from the slightly larger timeframes at the moment, as we are trying to block out the market open gaps/noise and surrounding factors. If the dollar is looking to trade closer to 103.000 we could see NAS fall in the short term and continue, but we could also see the correction unfold for the dollar.
At the moment, we are in no mans land, we are neither confident in longs or shorts, we are merely just waiting for a little bit more confirmation on where we are heading, so we can then try and measure opportunity accordingly. Hopefully we can see something for consideration around the time of US market open.
US100 Is Bearish! Sell!
Here is our detailed technical review for US100.
Time Frame: 8h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 20,018.3.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 19,597.4.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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NASDAQ INDEX (US100): Bullish Outlook Explained
Nasdaq Index formed a strong bullish pattern on a 4H time frame.
The price violated a neckline of the ascending triangle formation.
With a high probability, the market will continue growing.
Next resistance - 20100
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DreamAnalysis | Nasdaq Analysis Trends and Key Levels✨ Today’s Focus: US100 (Nasdaq) – A Critical Market Asset
We’ll analyze recent price movements and share insights on potential future trends based on key market levels.
📊 Current Market Overview:
Currently, the price has swept a significant Sell-Side Liquidity (SSL) level, but there hasn’t been much movement since. The market is consolidating, and it’s essential to monitor the recent Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL) and SSL levels. Based on current conditions, we anticipate a likely downward movement, and we’ll explain why.
🕓 Key Levels to Watch:
Here are the critical zones we’re tracking:
- PMH: Previous Month High
- PML: Previous Month Low
- PWH: Previous Week High
- PWL: Previous Week Low
- BSL: Buy-Side Liquidity
- SSL: Sell-Side Liquidity
- 4H FVG: Fair Value Gap (imbalance zone)
These levels represent crucial areas where price may accumulate liquidity or rebalance. Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) indicate zones where the market might retrace to gather orders before continuing its trend.
📈 Bullish Scenario:
For a bullish outlook, we would look for long positions following a sweep of the Previous Week Low (PWL). However, we need to wait for the SSL to be taken out first. Once that occurs, we can target long positions aimed at the Buy-Side, specifically focusing on the BSL and Equal High (EQH).
📉 Bearish Scenario:
The optimal bearish scenario involves a sweep through the Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL), followed by a tap into the 4H Fair Value Gap (4H FVG), which coincides with the 0.5 Fibonacci Retracement level. Alternatively, we could see the price rise higher, taking out the EQH or even the Previous Month High (PWH) before reversing. Therefore, we’ll need a lower time frame (LTF) entry model rather than entering shorts impulsively.
📝 Conclusion:
Stay adaptable to evolving market conditions. By closely monitoring these key levels and scenarios, you’ll enhance your strategy and identify potential opportunities.
🔮 Looking Ahead:
Keep an eye out for updates as we track the NASDAQ, DXY, EUR/USD, and other major currency pairs. Expect timely insights as market trends unfold.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This information is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
US100 H1 - Short SignalUS100 H1
Here is a little range we were discussing yesterday evening on the call, this 19,850 resistance price, down to 19,600 support price, a nice 250 point range which could be utilised. I'm not going to go too heavy with the setups today, because until we see the data cluster, we want to observe rather than to be involved so much.
Markets are often hesitant and stagnant around these types of economic events. So lets just sit cash for a while and evaluation post event, hopefully the data will give us some opportunities and entries and the stock market open will really help push the volume and give us some drive we need to yield some nice profit.
Nasdaq Thoughts 04-Oct-2024GOOD MORNING Everyone! Please find my Nasdaq market analysis for today below. As a price action trader, I encourage you to compare my charts with yours and use my insights to enhance your skills. These videos are designed for educational purposes only, not as trading signals. My goal is to help you grow and become a proficient trader.