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NASDAQ Reality will again hit those betting against the market.10 months ago (October 06 2023, see chart below), we published an idea with a similar title, as following a standard technical 3-month correction, there was a growing bearish sentiment amidst market fear over a potential economic slowdown of the 2023 recovery: As you can see none of the 'fears' prevailed and instead the index offered us the best buy opportunity at the time. The early August correction has been the best buy opportunity since then. After a 3-week correction, quite aggressive for sure, Nasdaq (NDX) reached its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time in almost 1.5 years and rebounded emphatically, making the strongest case possible that this Support level priced the new market bottom. We made slight changes on this 10-month chart and we've set 2 new long-term targets: Target 1 at 23250 (the 0.236 Fibonacci level) and 27000 (top of the Channel Up). We utilized the Fib symmetry of the previous Bull Phase, prior to the 2022 (inflation) correction and since Nasdaq is currently at 97 weeks (697 days) since its Bear Cycle bottom (October 10 2022), we could assume that proportionally, we are around November 02 2022, around the 0.382 Fib. The 1W RSI just rebounded on the 5-year Symmetrical Support Zone that only breaks during Bear Phases and the 1W MACD is also posting a similar sequence to Nov 2022. Note that as long as the 1W MA50 holds, the index is technically on a long-term Bull Phase with the Green Ichimoku Cloud supporting within the 1W MA50 and MA100 (green trend-line). Technically, the index can rise up to 29000 - 30000 before entering a new 1-year Bear Phase. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:NDXLong
by TradingShot
JPY, key to all other indexesJPY vs USD, key to the other index developments. As long as it holds its trendline, JPY will remain week vs the other global currencies, Japan exports will hold, carry trade arbitrages won't unwind, US bonds will not sell off (rising yields), volatility will remain contained. But if it breaks and doesn't hold the 139JPY/$, we could witness how algos start dumping US and Euro shares and bonds. Rising JPY should also affect the Nikkei 225, retaking the path to 30k
Short
by j_arrieta
2
Mastering High Probability Trading Across All AssetsGreetings Traders! Welcome back to today’s video! In this session, we're revisiting the critical concept of draw on liquidity. I'll guide you on how to take advantage of it with extreme market precision, focusing on when to trade, when to avoid the market, and how to increase your chances of high-probability trade outcomes. If you're looking to enhance your trading strategy and make smarter decisions, this video is for you. Let's dive in and start mastering these concepts! Refer to these videos as well: Premium Discount Price Delivery in Institutional Trading: Mastering Institutional Order-Flow Price Delivery Quarter Theory Mastering Algorithmic Price Movements: Best Regards, The_Architect
OANDA:NAS100USDEducation
by The_Archi-tect
US100 (NASDAQ) Outlook ICT ConceptsUS100 (NASDAQ) Analysis 💡 Previous Analysis Review: In the previous analysis, we noted the importance of price action around key liquidity zones. The market has now expanded higher, sweeping a significant Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL) and approaching a critical resistance area. 📍Current Market Overview: The NASDAQ (US 100) is currently trading at 19,497.2, having recently swept a Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL) level. The market is now positioned near the highs, indicating a potential reversal or continuation, depending on how price reacts in this zone. 🔍 Identifying Key Levels • PMH (Previous Month High): 20,800.0 • PWL (Previous Week Low): 17,235.0 • PML (Previous Month Low): 17,570.0 • SSL (Sell-Side Liquidity): Multiple levels visible around 18,180.0 and 17,940.0 • BSL (Buy-Side Liquidity): Recently swept near the current price. 📊 Key Considerations • BSL Sweep: The recent sweep of BSL suggests that a significant amount of liquidity has been captured. This could lead to a retracement if the market fails to push higher. • FVG and Reversal Potential: Though not directly visible in the provided chart, any failure to maintain higher prices after this liquidity sweep could signal a strong sell-off. • Low Resistance Liquidity Sweeps: For both bullish and bearish scenarios, it’s crucial to monitor lower time frame liquidity sweeps: • For a bearish scenario, additional BSL needs to be taken and a failure to break higher could indicate a reversal. • For a bullish scenario, if an SSL is swept and the market holds above the current level, it might target the PMH. 📈 Bullish Scenario A bullish scenario might unfold if: • SSL Sweep and Hold: If the market sweeps an SSL and holds above the current level, it could indicate that the market is ready to target higher levels, including the PMH. • Continuation Higher: A successful hold above the BSL sweep could lead to an exploration of higher price zones, particularly towards the PMH. 📉 Bearish Scenario A bearish scenario could develop if: • Failure at Current Levels: If the market fails to hold above the BSL sweep and shows signs of reversal, it could lead to a significant retracement. • FVG Rejection (if applicable): Any rejection at a nearby FVG could further confirm a bearish move, with targets at SSL levels or lower. 📊 Chart Analysis Summary • Bullish Expectation: A hold above the current level, especially after an SSL sweep, could lead to a continuation towards higher targets like the PMH. • Bearish Expectation: A failure to maintain higher prices post-BSL sweep, with a subsequent reversal, could lead to a sell-off targeting SSL and lower zones. 📝 Conclusion: The recent sweep of Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL) puts the market at a pivotal point. Monitoring the reactions around this level and lower time frame liquidity sweeps will be crucial. Both bullish and bearish scenarios are on the table, with the market's ability to hold or reject current levels being the deciding factor.
CAPITALCOM:US100
by RealArmin
NAS100 Technical Analysis - NASDAQ Next Move👀👉 In this video, we take a close look at the NAS100 currency pair, which has shown bullish momentum on the 4-hour time frame but now seems to be overextended. I’m expecting a potential pullback with the US100 to the Fibonacci 50% to 61.8% retracement levels. We cover the trend, price action, market structure, and other key elements of technical analysis. Additionally, we explore a potential trade setup and, crucially, how to approach it with a higher probability of success. As always, this video is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. It's essential to recognize that these insights are speculative and not guaranteed predictions. Make sure to verify specific price actions before executing any trades, as highlighted in the video. The analysis offers an in-depth look at the current trend, market structure, and price movements. Remember, this content is for educational purposes and does not guarantee success. Trading involves significant risks, so always apply robust risk management strategies. 📊✅
FX:NAS100
by fxtraderanthony
DowJones - 4H Bearish SetupBLACKBULL:US30 has been exhibiting signs of bearish pressure, despite recent upward movements. The chart shows a significant decline below the ascending trendline. The recent upward movement appears to be a pullback, potentially setting up for further declines. Two key resistance zones have been identified on the chart, where the index may face renewed selling pressure. Fundamentally, the broader economic environment is contributing to the bearish outlook. The possibility of a recession looms large as the Federal Reserve has postponed rate cuts in response to persistently high inflation. Rising unemployment claims are another concern, signaling potential economic weakness. These factors are creating an environment where risk assets like the Dow Jones are likely to struggle, and any rallies may be short-lived. The current pullback in the TVC:DJI could provide a better entry point for those looking to short the index. The key resistance levels identified on the chart could serve as optimal zones for initiating new short positions, with the expectation that the index will continue its downward trajectory. Given the macroeconomic uncertainties and technical setup, traders should remain cautious and consider the potential for further declines in the Dow Jones Industrial Average. This cautious stance is supported by both the chart analysis and the broader economic fundamentals.
BLACKBULL:US30Short
by Sober_Trading
US100 18.992.0 +2.52% MID-WEEK MULTI TF ANALYSISHELLO TRADERS Hope everyone is doing great 📌 A look at NAS 100 & S&P500 from HTF - MULTI TIME-FRAME ANALYSIS NAS100 DAILY TF * We started the week on some BULLISH runs into a bearish BB. * Entering the premium zone looking for rejection of this -BB. * NAS100 currently taking LQ, looking for that internal range LQ to be taken(+OB). * We are entering discount price looking for a bullish continuation long term on Nasdaq but intraday some shorts could be profitable. * With PO3 looking for THURSDAY TO REVERSE for th week. NAS 100 4H TF * The week to opened Bullish into the 4h FVG + OB because our HTF BIAS (PO3) on D & W looking for possible reversals before we continue higher. * looking for short positions OPPORTUNITIES. * We will see what does the market dish. * On the 4 hourly ERL > IRL. S&P500 4H TF * sentiment stays the same we still bullish, running into higher tf pd arrays. US100 1H TF * STRONG rally with the bulls, strong momentum to the upside. * The is a 1H FVG, this is where i would look for short entries this week. * Should this PD ARRAY hold will be short for the NASDAQ * BASED on the price action served this week. But we might just reverse some where might as well be in these FVG prices S&P 500 1H TF * sentiment stays the same we still bullish, running into higher tf pd arrays HOPE YOU ENJOYED THIS OUT LOOK, SHARE YOUR PLAN BELOW,🚀 & LETS TAKE SOME WINS THIS WEEK. SEE YOU ON THE CHARTS. IF THIS IDEA ASSISTS IN ANY WAY OR IF YOU ENJOYED THIS ONE SMASH THAT 🚀 & LEAVE A COMMENT. ALWAYS APPRECIATED ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ * Kindly follow your entry rules on entries & stops. |* Some of The idea's may be predictive yet are not financial advice or signals. | *Trading plans can change at anytime reactive to the market. | * Many stars must align with the plan before executing the trade, kindly follow your rules & RISK MANAGEMENT. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | * ENTRY & SL -KINDLY FOLLOW YOUR RULES | * RISK-MANAGEMENT | *PERIOD - I TAKE MY TRADES ON A INTRA DAY SESSIONS BASIS THIS IS NOT FINACIAL ADVICE TO EXCECUTE ❤ LOVELY TRADING WEEK TO YOU!
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by PULEMokhothu
4
NASDAQ - US100 Facing Bearish PressureThe CAPITALCOM:US100 index is currently facing significant downward pressure, largely due to mounting concerns about the U.S. economy. The potential for a recession is growing as recent data points to an increase in unemployment claims, and the Federal Reserve has decided to delay interest rate cuts. This has created uncertainty in the markets, as higher unemployment could lead to reduced consumer spending, further exacerbating the economic slowdown. The anticipation of prolonged higher interest rates is also weighing on investor sentiment, making the stock market, particularly tech-heavy indexes like NASDAQ, more vulnerable to declines. Technically, the BLACKBULL:NAS100 index has been following a clear pattern of reactions to its trendlines. The index recently fell and touched the third trendline support, which has historically been a critical level for determining market direction. After this touch, the index attempted a recovery, moving back towards the second trendline, which now acts as a breakeven point. However, the failure to break through this level and the subsequent rejection suggests that the bears are firmly in control. The pattern indicates that the index may face further declines, particularly if it breaches the third trendline support. In conclusion, both fundamental and technical factors are pointing towards a bearish outlook for the NASDAQ index. The rising possibility of a recession, driven by increasing unemployment claims and the Fed’s cautious approach to rate cuts, has dampened investor sentiment. On the technical side, the index’s inability to reclaim key trendline supports indicates that more downside is likely. As a result, investors should be cautious and prepared for potential further declines in the NASDAQ index in the coming weeks.
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by Sober_Trading
Dow Jones Index (US30): Detailed Support and Resistance Analysis Here is my latest structure analysis and important key support and resistance levels to pay close attention to. Vertical Structures Vertical Resistance 1: Rising trend line Horizontal Structures Support 1: 38250 - 38550 area Support 2: 38015 - 38105 area Resistance 1: 39500 - 39700 area Resistance 2: 39800 - 39960 area Resistance 3: 40900 - 41415 area Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
BLACKBULL:US30Short
by VasilyTrader
1
NASDAQ New Bullish Leg targeting 20900.Early last week (August 05) we mentioned the importance of Nasdaq (US100) to close its 1W candle above the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), after touching it for the first time is 17 months: Eventually it succeeded at it and that caused a strong weekly reversal that even closed the 1W candle in green, which was the first after three straight red weeks. Technically, this could translate into the stop of the Channel Up correction, but this is only confirmed after a break above and successful re-test of the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). During the previous two Bullish Legs that followed a Channel Up Higher Low, the index made initially a +20.88% rise and then on a more long-term horizon, extended to +48.00%. As a result, even though we are long-term bullish on the index, you can go after even shorter term targets, with the immediate one being 20900 (+20.88% from last week's Low). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by TradingShot
3
Dow Jones Index (#US30): Your Trading Plan Explained Dow Jones is currently stuck on a key daily/intraday horizontal resistance. The price is trading within a narrow range on that on a 4H time frame. Your confirmation to sell the Index will be a bearish breakout of the support of the range. A 4H candle close below 39325 will confirm the violation. A bearish continuation will be expected to 38890 then. Alternatively, a bullish breakout of the underlined blue resistance will push the market higher. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
BLACKBULL:US30Short
by VasilyTrader
3
US100 Outlook ICT ConceptsNASDAQ-100 (US100) Analysis 💰 Welcome to Your Channel! Welcome to our channel where we delve into the intricacies of financial markets. Today, we focus on US100, dissecting its current price action to uncover strategic trading opportunities. Join us as we analyze key levels and market dynamics, aiming to refine our trading strategies and maximize potential gains. 💡 Previous Analysis Review: In the previous analysis, we anticipated the price to begin expanding higher after a significant move to the downside, which has occurred as expected. 📍 Current Market Overview: • Price Reaction: The NASDAQ-100 (US100) had a strong bullish reaction after sweeping the Sell-Side Liquidity (SSL) and tapping into the Daily Fair Value Gap (FVG). • Expansion Higher: Currently, the price is expanding higher, moving into a premium zone as marked by the Fibonacci retracement levels. 🔍 Identifying Key Levels: • PMH: Previous Month High • PWH: Previous Week High • PML: Previous Month Low • SSL: Sell-Side Liquidity • Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL): The levels that can be targeted if we go long. • Daily FVG: The Daily Fair Value Gap, where the price had a significant reaction. • 4H Bearish FVG: A 4-hour timeframe Fair Value Gap located above the current price. • Fibonacci Retracement Levels: Key Fibonacci levels (0.50, 0.62, 0.705, 0.79) indicating potential resistance or retracement areas in the current premium zone. 📊 Key Considerations: • Premium Zone: The price is currently in a premium zone, as identified by the Fibonacci retracement levels. This zone is generally where we anticipate some form of retracement or consolidation. • Daily and 4H Bearish FVG: These gaps are significant resistance levels above the current price, which might act as targets if the price continues to move higher. • Possible Retracement: Given that we are in a premium zone, a retracement lower is possible. However, further upside cannot be ruled out, especially if the price breaks through to the daily or 4H bearish FVG. 📈 Bullish Scenario: • Sweep of Lower Time Frame SSL: For any new long positions, we need to see a sweep of lower time frame Sell-Side Liquidity (SSL). After this, longs can be considered, targeting the Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL) levels. • Targets: The primary targets would be the Daily Bearish FVG and the 4H Bearish FVG above. 📉 Bearish Scenario: • Retracement from Premium Zone: Given the current position in a premium zone, we could see a retracement lower. If this occurs, the key levels to watch would be the SSL areas or any previous supports near the Daily FVG. 📊 Chart Analysis Summary: • Bullish Expectation: We have seen the long scenario play out successfully. For new longs, wait for a sweep of lower time frame SSL before targeting BSL, with potential targets being the Daily and 4H Bearish FVGs above. • Bearish Expectation: Consider the possibility of a retracement from the premium zone. If the price shows signs of weakness, a move lower to previous supports or SSL levels could be expected. Conclusion: The NASDAQ-100 is currently at a critical junction in the premium zone, with the possibility of either further expansion to the upside or a retracement lower. The key to the next move lies in observing the price action around the Fibonacci retracement levels and the reaction to the bearish FVGs above. Any long positions should be taken cautiously after a lower time frame SSL sweep, targeting BSL levels, while keeping an eye on potential retracement scenarios. 🙏 Thank you for joining us! Exploring US100 today highlighted the importance of effective risk management in trading success. Prioritize research, implement robust strategies, and seek guidance for confident market navigation. Stay tuned for more insights on our channel. Here's to profitable trading and continuous learning! ⚠️ Disclaimer The information provided here is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
CAPITALCOM:US100
by RealArmin