NASDAQ THOUGHTS - 17-JUL-2024Hello all, Kindly see my NASDAQ thoughts for today. These videos are aimed at making you compare charts with mine if you are a price acton trader and use my thoughts to improve your skill. They are not meant as signals even if they seem like they are. I want you to learn and be great
Us100
US100 to a new ATHDue to respect of trendline moveaway and the strong support 20280, I predect to see the new ATH on CAPITALCOM:US100 again, StochRSI also show a oversold indication which support the idea. if we close bellow 20100 with a complete candle then we can see a reversal move of the trend to area of 18k.
DOW JONES INDEX (US30): Bullish Trend Continues
US30 index updated the ATH this week.
The market managed to violate a resistance level
based on the last higher high and close above that.
The Index has a nice potential to go higher.
Next resistance - 40800
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
NASDAQ Still a few weeks before it tops.Nasdaq (US100) has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the November 2022 market bottom and at the moment is unfolding its 3rd major Bullish Leg of the pattern. Supported on the short-term by the 1D MA50 (red trend-line), the index is aiming for at least a +26.20% rise from the April 15 Low, as the 2nd Bullish Leg rose by 5% less than the first.
The price has entered its peak formation process on the Channel Up Higher Highs as the 1W RSI has been overbought (above 70.00) for a month, similar to when the top started forming in June 26 2023 and February 2024.
Our immediate short-term Target remains 21300 as per our previous analysis.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ THOUGHTS 16-JUL-2024Hello all, Kindly see my NASDAQ thoughts for today. These videos are aimed at making you compare charts with mine if you are a price acton trader and use my thoughts to improve your skill. They are not meant as signals even if they seem like they are. I want you to learn and be great
US100 / NDX / USTECH Bullish Robbery PlanMy Dear Robbers / Traders,
This is our master plan to Heist US100/NASDAQ 100 Market based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Long entry. Our target is Red Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is overbought / Consolidation / Trend Reversal at the level Bearish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich.
Note: If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money.
Stop Loss : Recent Swing Low using 2h timeframe
Warning : Fundamental Analysis comes against our robbery plan. our plan will be ruined smash the Stop Loss. Don't Enter the market at the news update.
Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target.
support our robbery plan we can easily make money & take money 💰💵 Join your hands with US. Loot Everything in this market everyday make money easily with Thief Trading Style.
US100 Outlook ICT Concepts💰 Welcome to Your Channel!
Welcome to our channel where we delve into the intricacies of financial markets. Today, we focus on US100 , dissecting its current price action to uncover strategic trading opportunities. Join us as we analyze key levels and market dynamics, aiming to refine our trading strategies and maximize potential gains.
🔍 Identifying Key Levels
The chart highlights crucial levels and zones influencing the current market behavior:
• PMH: Previous Month High, a resistance level where liquidity might accumulate.
• PWL & EQL: Previous Week Low and Equal Lows, key levels for potential liquidity captures.
• BSL (ATH): Buy-side Liquidity at All-Time High, indicating where traders have placed their buy orders.
• SSL: Sell-side Liquidity, indicating where traders have placed their sell orders.
• FVG: Fair Value Gap, marking areas of market imbalance.
• SMT: Smart Money Technique, at lows with the pair ES.
📊 Key Considerations
• Swept PMH and Low Resistance Liquidity: The market has recently swept the previous month high and the low resistance liquidity created.
• Strong Displacement Lower: The price displaced strongly lower, creating a Fair Value Gap (FVG).
• SMT (Smart Money Technique): At lows with the pair ES, indicating potential bearish sentiment.
📉 Current Price Action
The market has swept the previous month high and the low resistance liquidity created, leading to a strong displacement lower. This displacement has resulted in the creation of a Fair Value Gap (FVG), which the price is likely to retrace back into before continuing lower.
📈 Bearish Scenario
Given the current market sentiment and the strong displacement lower, the bearish scenario is favored:
• Retrace into FVG: The price is expected to retrace back into the Fair Value Gap before continuing to move lower.
• Targeting Lower Levels: After retracing into the FVG, the price is likely to continue lower, targeting the PWL, EQL, and SSL for potential liquidity captures.
📊 Chart Analysis Summary
The market has shown a strong bearish sentiment by sweeping the previous month high and low resistance liquidity, followed by a strong displacement lower. The price is expected to retrace back into the Fair Value Gap before continuing its downward movement, targeting key levels such as the previous week low, equal lows, and sell-side liquidity. The presence of SMT (Smart Money Technique) at lows with the pair ES further supports the bearish sentiment. Understanding these key levels and the current market behavior helps in making informed trading decisions.
🙏 Thank you for joining us!
Exploring US100 today highlighted the importance of effective risk management in trading success. Prioritize research, implement robust strategies, and seek guidance for confident market navigation. Stay tuned for more insights on our channel. Here's to profitable trading and continuous learning!
⚠️ Disclaimer
The information provided here is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
US30 H4 - Sell SignalUS30 H4
We are slowly but surely inching closer to this major area of resistance and psychological price level of 40,000. Alerts have been set and we are waiting patiently, I wouldn't be surprised if we see this zone trigger today. We saw US100 selloff aggressively yesterday, we are hoping for something of similar nature here on US30.
A strong area of H4 resistance, supply and psychological price as previously mentioned.
NASDAQ/US100 Market Money Heist PlanMy Dear Robbers / Traders,
This is our master plan to Heist US100/NASDAQ Market based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Long entry. Our target is Red Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is overbought / Consolidation / Trend Reversal at the level Bearish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich.
Note: If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money.
Stop Loss : Recent Swing Low using 2h timeframe
Warning : Fundamental Analysis comes against our robbery plan. our plan will be ruined smash the Stop Loss. Don't Enter the market at the news update.
Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target.
support our robbery plan we can easily make money & take money 💰💵 Join your hands with US. Loot Everything in this market everyday
NAS100 US100 Trade Idea NASDAQConsidering the NAS100 is currently exhibiting a strong bullish trend, there may be a potential buying opportunity if it retraces into a discount zone near the 61.8% Fibonacci level. US100 NASDAQ
Trading involves risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct thorough analysis and consider risk management strategies before making any trading decisions.
NASDAQ Slow and steady rise within a 3-month pattern.Nasdaq (NDX) is simply extending the new Bullish Leg of the now almost 3-month (since April 19) Channel Up (blue) pattern. Supported by the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line), it should stay this way until the next Higher High, which we anticipate to be at 21300 at least.
That will be almost a968% rise, which is the smallest Bullish leg registered on the May 23 Higher High. The other was +10.40%, so there is a high degree of symmetry among the Legs of this Channel Up.
The 4H CCI on each Bullish Leg is also fairly symmetrical and it shows where we cyrrently might be relative to the previous sequences. Note also that the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) has been unbroken since May 06 (more than 2 months), indicating that at the moment is the strongest medium-term Support.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
US100 Important levels. Long Term!Yo MoTher......
They Planned a Top in 2024
Between 17850 and 19561
Anyway,
Support On this Long term levels is the Yellow Trendline of the STAR.
Horizntal line Support around 11000
21 March 2023 We are trying to Break above 12715 Resistance, Which will Turn into support Later once Closed weekly above it.
Notes:
horizontal lines are Support/Resistance .
Vertical lines are time pivots .
Appreciate your Comments.
GL
XAUUSD M30 - Sell Signal (trend)XAUUSD M30
As we can see actively, we are trying to break south of the previous area of M15 and M30 consolidation. Depending on how we trade as we settle in to the EURO/LON session, we may look to trade something on a similar basis to this M30 trend. Something similar to that indicated with the red arrows.
M30 LTF trend entries, or $2390/oz major resistance swing entry. It's obviously very early on in the week, and I'd like to see us settle into the week more, before jumping in to anything.
Nasdaq unbeatableCurrent Market Data and Seasonality
Nasdaq closed last week at new highs, indicating strong upward momentum. In terms of macroeconomic data, June's ISM Services PMI fell to 48.8 (previously 53.8), below the consensus of 52.5. This signals a weakening in the services sector, which might impact investor sentiment in the short term.
On the other hand, the Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data for June came in at 206,000, exceeding the consensus of 190,000 but below the previous reading of 218,000. Despite this, the data positively influenced the market as it brought the prospect of an interest rate cut by the Fed closer. Private sector employment stood at 136,000, below expectations of 160,000, which was interpreted as a sign that the Fed might be more inclined to ease monetary policy.
Seasonal Prospects
We are currently in a seasonally favorable period for the market, which could last until mid-July. Historical data indicate the potential for further gains, supported by seasonal analysis and technical signals.
Risk Pricing and Sentiment
The market currently prices in a 72% chance of the first rate cut in September. Additionally, 72% of retail investors hold short positions, which, from a contrarian perspective, is positive for further gains as potential short covering could drive stock prices higher.
S&P 500 Returns After 20 or More All-Time Highs at Midpoint of the Year
The table shows that the S&P 500 market typically performs well after achieving numerous all-time highs by mid-year. Historically, these years end with positive returns for the full year.
S&P 500 Returns After >10% YTD at Midpoint of the Year
The data indicates that years with over 10% YTD returns by mid-year often continue positive trends throughout the rest of the year, resulting in significant gains by year-end.
Nonfarm Payrolls and Job Market Data
Nonfarm payrolls increased by 206,000, although revisions for previous months lowered these figures by 111,000. Despite this, the unemployment rate remains low, indicating a strong job market.
AAII Member Sentiment on Stock Market Direction
A significant portion of AAII members are bullish about the market direction over the next 6 months, with bullish sentiment higher than historical averages.
Most Anticipated Earnings Releases for the Week Beginning July 08, 2024
In the upcoming week, earnings reports from several significant companies, such as PepsiCo, Delta, and JPMorgan Chase, are expected, which may significantly impact market sentiment.
S&P 500 Earnings Growth for Calendar Year 2025
Projections indicate the highest earnings growth in the information technology and healthcare sectors, with more moderate growth in other sectors such as real estate and consumer staples.
Growth in Disposable Income and Compensation vs. Inflation
The growth in disposable income and compensation exceeds inflation, indicating increased purchasing power for consumers.
Consumer Spending Trends
Consumer spending is rising steadily and remains above trend despite economic fluctuations.
S&P 500 vs. Rising 10-Year Treasury Yield Strategy
The current situation indicates stability in the bond market and continued growth in the S&P 500 index. The lack of a signal to switch to cash suggests that the stock market is in good condition, allowing investors to benefit from the rising market while monitoring bond yields for future warning signals.
Key Economic Events in the Coming Week
Next week, several key economic events are expected, which could influence the markets:
Current market conditions suggest further potential gains for Nasdaq. Despite some concerns about the labor market, overall sentiment, seasonal support, and technical indicators point to a continuation of the upward trend. It will be essential to monitor further macroeconomic data and Fed decisions, which will be crucial for future market movements.
Nasdaq ready to rally higherNasdaq ready to rally higher
On Tuesday, the Nasdaq index closed its session with a 1% increase, drawing significant attention from investors worldwide. This optimistic outcome was largely driven by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, whose speech was notably dovish and full of optimism about the current economic situation. Here are some of his key statements:
Fed's Powell: "The disinflation trend shows signs of resuming."
"The data represents significant progress."
"If the labor market unexpectedly weakens, that would also cause us to react."
"The risks are becoming much more balanced."
"Inflation may get back to 2% late next year or the following year."
These remarks have provided a significant boost to the markets, fueling further growth. Moreover, we are entering the best period of the year in terms of returns on American indices, which statistically averages over 2% in July during bull markets.
Statistical Analysis: Bullish Market Signals
Below, we present several statistical data points that confirm the bullish nature of the current markets:
Economic Growth: The growth rates are at very satisfactory levels, contributing to overall market optimism.
Retail Positioning: Retail investors are currently 67% positioned for a decline, which is actually a positive signal for continued market growth. When a large portion of the market bets on a decline, it often sets the stage for a contrarian upward movement.
Job Openings: The JOLTs Job Openings for May came in at 8.14 million, surpassing the expected 7.91 million. This indicates a robust labor market and strong economic activity.
Interest Rate Cut Probability: The probability of a rate cut in September has increased to 61.5%. This expectation of lower borrowing costs is another factor that has fueled the recent market rally.
Tomorrow, we await critical data releases, including the ISM Services PMI for June and the FOMC Minutes, which are expected to further reinforce Powell’s bullish stance.
In conclusion, the current market conditions, coupled with optimistic statements from key policymakers, suggest a positive outlook for the Nasdaq index. The statistical data and upcoming economic reports will be crucial in confirming this trend. As we move forward, staying informed and attentive to these developments will be essential for making well-informed investment decisions. The market is showing signs of strength, and with the right insights, investors can navigate this landscape effectively.
NAS100 NASDAQ Technical Analysis and Trade Idea US100👉🔍 In this video, we analyze the NAS100 index. It's evident that the NASDAQ has been showing strong upward momentum in a bullish trend. However, considering today is Friday, I anticipate a potentially sharp retracement with the US100. My strategy involves monitoring the 15-minute chart for signs of sideways movement and a potential reversal, which could present a selling opportunity targeting the previous swing low.
It's important to note that these observations are speculative and not a definitive forecast. Confirming specific price movements is crucial before considering any buying or selling decisions, as elaborated in the video. The video provides a comprehensive analysis of the current trend, market structure, and price dynamics. Remember, this educational content is designed to enhance understanding and does not guarantee outcomes. Trading inherently involves substantial risks, so employing robust risk management techniques is essential. 📈🔔
US100 Outlook ICT Concepts💰 Welcome to Your Channel!
Welcome to our channel where we delve into the intricacies of financial markets. Today, we focus on US100, dissecting its current price action to uncover strategic trading opportunities. Join us as we analyze key levels and market dynamics, aiming to refine our trading strategies and maximize potential gains.
🔍 Identifying Key Levels
The chart highlights several key levels:
Previous Week High (PWH)
Previous Week Low (PWL)
Previous Month High (PMH)
Previous Day Low (PDL)
Fair Value Gap (FVG)
Buy Side Liquidity (BSL)
📈 Current Price Action
The price has recently broken above the Previous Week High (PWH) and the Previous Month High (PMH). It has also taken out the Buy Side Liquidity (BSL), indicating that significant buy orders have been filled, which may lead to a reversal or retracement .
🔻 Potential Short Scenario
Given that the price is currently in a premium zone after taking out the BSL, a retracement lower is likely. Key levels to watch for a potential short scenario include:
PDL (Previous Day Low): The price could retrace towards this level, which may act as support.
PWL (Previous Week Low): This level is also significant and could act as a target for the retracement.
FVG: The Fair Value Gap below the current price may attract the price to fill this gap, leading to a further move down.
📉 Long Scenario Considerations
For a long scenario, we need the price to react positively at key support levels. Confirmation for long positions can be found by observing the lower time frames (LTF) for:
Low Resistance SSL: Watching for lower resistance sell-side liquidity being taken in lower time frames can indicate a possible shift towards bullish momentum.
🔎 Lower Time Frame Confirmation
SSL (Sell Side Liquidity): In lower time frames, observing the price action around these SSL levels can provide clues for potential long entries. If the price takes out these SSL levels and reclaims them, it can indicate a buying opportunity targeting higher levels such as the previous highs or the FVG above.
📊 Chart Analysis Summary
Current Price at Premium Zone: After taking out BSL and PMH, a retracement is expected.
Key Levels Above Price: The price is currently above PWH and PMH, indicating it is in a premium zone.
Key Levels Below Price: PDL, PWL, and FVG are potential targets for a retracement.
FVG: This gap below the current price is an area of interest for a potential retracement.
By considering these key levels and market behaviors, traders can better prepare for potential scenarios, whether the market continues higher or retraces to lower levels.
🙏 Thank you for joining us!
Exploring US100 today highlighted the importance of effective risk management in trading success. Prioritize research, implement robust strategies, and seek guidance for confident market navigation. Stay tuned for more insights on our channel. Here's to profitable trading and continuous learning!
⚠️ Disclaimer
The information provided here is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
NASDAQ - Expect retracement !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on US100.
Technical analysis: Here we have the same scenario as on S&P500, expect price to make a retracement to fill the imbalance lower and then to reject from bullish order block to open a long position.
Like, comment and subscribe to be in touch with my content!
NASDAQ INDEX (US100): Bullish Rally Continues
I see one more bullish pattern on US100 index.
This time it is the ascending triangle formation.
The price successfully violated its neckline and closed above that.
It is a strong bullish trend-following pattern.
With a high probability, growth will continue.
Next resistance - 20500
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️