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Us100

NASDAQ Nothing to stop this uptrend. Next stop 21300.Time to update our Nasdaq (NDX) thesis from 2 weeks ago (June 20, see chart below), where we called for a pull-back and then a buy on a 20700 Target: As you can see we got the short-term correction within the (dotted) Channel Up and the index resumed the long-term uptrend of the 8-month (blue) Channel Up. Supported by both the 4H MA200 (red trend-line) and the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), we expect this uptrend to be extended in a similar way as the January 2024 post 4H MA200 correction rebound. That sequence completed a +25.78% from the October 2023 bottom, before pulling back near the 4H MA200 again. As a result, we upgrade our Target to 21300, closer to the top of the long-term Channel Up. See also how symmetrical the 1D MACD fractals are between the 2 sequences. We should now be expecting a Bullish Cross, to confirm this Leg's continuation. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by TradingShot
1
NASDAQ Time for a Correction?NASDAQ Time for a Correction? The recent events in the financial markets have highlighted growing uncertainty and the potential for a correction in the NASDAQ. A thorough analysis of both fundamental and sentimental factors provides valuable insights for investors looking to make informed decisions. Technical Overview This past week, NASDAQ failed to surpass its recent peak, marking a significant technical signal. There is a strong divergence appearing on technical analysis indicators such as RSI and MACD, suggesting a potential trend reversal. Macroeconomic Events The upcoming week is set to bring several key events that could significantly impact the markets: Tuesday: Fed Chair Jerome Powell is scheduled to speak. Recent statements from Fed officials hint that Powell may adopt a hawkish stance, potentially leading to further pressure on interest rate hikes. Wednesday: The release of the ISM Services PMI for June and the FOMC Minutes. These reports could set the tone for the markets in the coming weeks, offering insights into future monetary policy directions. Friday: Non-Farm Payrolls data, eagerly awaited by the market. The results could influence short-term economic expectations and future Fed decisions. Seasonality and Sentiment We are entering a period of seasonal stagnation and potential correction, which is typical in a U.S. election year. Market seasonality often affects investor behavior, leading to greater caution and reduced activity. COT Report and Market Sentiment The Commitment of Traders (COT) report indicates that 47.12% of funds hold short positions on NASDAQ, suggesting a bearish outlook among major market players. Additionally, retail sentiment is also negative, with around 60% in short positions. To avoid being on the wrong side of market sentiment, it would be preferable for this sentiment to drop to lower levels. The current situation on NASDAQ is fraught with uncertainty and potential challenges. Technical signals are warning of a possible correction, and upcoming macroeconomic events could bring further changes. Seasonality and market sentiment also indicate potential difficulties. Investors should remain cautious and be prepared to adjust their strategies quickly in response to evolving conditions.
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by InvestMate
3
US100 / LONG TRADE SIGNAL Hello Traders! This is my long trade setup on US100. The price is poised for a bullish move towards the supply level at 19600. I see a strong reaction from the demand zone and a bullish candle confirmation. This confluence signals a compelling opportunity for traders to capitalize on potential upward momentum. Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also, share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is the best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free, and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. www.tradingview.com
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by GoodTradeST
US30 - 15m Buy scalpThe Dow Jones Industrial Average (US30) is currently on an upward trajectory, showing strong bullish momentum on the 15-minute chart. As it continues to rise, it is approaching a key resistance zone that has previously served as a turning point. Traders should watch this level closely, as the price may test and react to this resistance, potentially leading to a breakout or a consolidation phase. This anticipated rise towards the resistance zone signals a pivotal moment for US30's short-term direction, providing opportunities for strategic entries and exits based on price action around this area.
BLACKBULL:US30Long
by Sober_Trading
NASDAQ Literally nothing to stop this long-term rally.Earlier this month (June 07, see chart below), we explained why we were very bullish long-term on Nasdaq (NDX) using the 1W time-frame: The price rose from 19000 to 19750 since and there is literally no technical sign of stopping this tremendous rally yet. In fact, today we bring you another approach, this time on the 2M time-frame. As you can see, since November 2023, the index is past a Bullish Cross on the 2M LMACD. Since the 2008 Housing Crisis, we have witnessed this signal only 3 times. In fact, despite the presence of a relentless 14-year Channel Up, the most recent LMACD Bullish Cross resembles more the first one on November 2009. Even though the 2022 Inflation Crisis wasn't the same as the 2008 Housing Crisis, it is the strongest we saw since then. The chart clearly shows that 2-year Channel Up (blue)/ Bullish Legs have been the vessels of upward continuation within the 14-year Channel, while at the same time +135% rises have been quite common. As a result, before the current rally takes a breather, we can expect to see as high as even 24500 (+135% from the November 2022 bottom). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:NDXLong
by TradingShot
US100 ( NASDAQ ) Outlook ICT Concepts💰 Welcome to Your Channel! Welcome to our channel where we delve into the intricacies of financial markets. Today, we focus on US100, dissecting its current price action to uncover strategic trading opportunities. Join us as we analyze key levels and market dynamics, aiming to refine our trading strategies and maximize potential gains. 📊 Let's Discuss NASDAQ Let's discuss my favorite asset, NASDAQ. The first thing we need to consider is the Smart Money Technique (SMT) which appeared on the ES (S&P500) chart yesterday, and now reflects on the NASDAQ chart. This technique is currently positioned below the chart. 📈 Anticipating Price Expansion We can anticipate the price to expand higher into the Daily Fair Value Gap (FVG) resting above the current price, potentially reacting to the Optimal Trade Entry (OTE) levels. 🔍 Key Levels to Watch In our key level area, we have the Midnight Open Price (00:00 NY Time) at 19691.5. Currently, the price is above this midnight open level, indicating a deep premium level, which supports our short scenario. 🔑 Liquidity Levels At the start of the Daily Fair Value Gap (FVG) we have both the 4-hour previous high, which is a buy-side liquidity (BSL), and a 4-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG). These are the key liquidity levels to watch. 📉 Long Position Scenarios For any long position scenarios, we need the sell-side liquidity to be taken out, which is quite far from the current price. We can look for lower time frame low resistance liquidity or the 50% retracement of the current range, resting at 19633. 🙏 Thank you for joining us! Exploring US100 today highlighted the importance of effective risk management in trading success. Prioritize research, implement robust strategies, and seek guidance for confident market navigation. Stay tuned for more insights on our channel. Here's to profitable trading and continuous learning! ⚠️ Disclaimer The information provided here is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
CAPITALCOM:US100
by RealArmin
1
Dow Jones Index (US30): Your Trading Plan For Today Dow Jones Index is testing, a recently broken key daily resistance. With a high probability, the broken structure turned into support. Our confirmation to buy will be a bullish breakout of a neckline of an ascending triangle formation on 1H time frame. Hourly candle close above 39185 will confirm the violation. A bullish continuation will be expected at least to 39325. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
BLACKBULL:US30Long
by VasilyTrader
1
US100 H1 - Long SignalUS100 H1 We are still very much in an uptrend on the US100, and as per the above H4 analysis, we ideally want to be trading with the trend. This hourly setup offer a long entry with stops covering arguably the previous lower high. The H1 timeframe looks good, 19700 price is a whole number price level. The only concern lays on the H4 timeframe, where it looks like we are wanting to break downside further. Not looking to jump in this yet, but if we can see some hourly support confirmation, this could be something we entertain as we move into the US market open.
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by Trade_Simple_FX
NASDAQ Minor correction expected. Where to buy?Nasdaq (NDX) has almost reached the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the Channel Up pattern that started on the October 26 2023 bottom. The last Higher Low was made on April 19 2024 and ever since, a strong Bullish Leg in the form of a Channel Up (dotted), took the index above both the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and 4H MA200 (red trend-line). Since the last Bullish Leg topped at around a +20.87% rise, we can assume that the price has entered a rejection zone. The only parameter left to confirm this, is for the 1D MACD to form a Bearish Cross. As you can see the two Bullish Legs are fairly similar so far in their price action. With the late December 2023 - early January 2024 pull-back bottoming on the 4H MA200 exactly, we are expecting a symmetrical pull-back to that level again, where we will be looking to add more buys and target 20700 (top of the 8-month Channel Up). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:US100
by TradingShot
1
NAS100 (NASDAQ US100) Technical Analysis and Trade Idea👉 In this analysis, we focus on the higher time frame charts for the NASDAQ 100 index. Currently, the charts indicate a bullish outlook. However, it’s important to note that this assessment is speculative and not a definitive prediction. To confirm a true reversal, we must closely monitor specific price movements. The accompanying video provides an in-depth analysis of the trend, market structure, and price action. Remember that trading carries substantial risk, so always prioritize robust risk management strategies in your decision-making process. 📊✅
FX:NAS100
by fxtraderanthony
Nasdaq Index: A Bubble About to BurstLOver the past six years, I have been deeply immersed in the financial markets, conducting thorough and continuous analysis through various methods, patterns, and analytical schools. Today, I would like to share with you a bold opinion that may seem unreasonable to some, but I am confident in its accuracy: the current prices of the Nasdaq Index are merely a reflection of a massive bubble that is about to burst. #### Current Economic and Political Conditions Let's look at the broader context of recent economic and political events. Inflation in the United States has reached unprecedented levels in decades, forcing the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates repeatedly. These rate increases lead to tighter liquidity, making financing more expensive and reducing consumer and investment spending. This has significantly impacted multiple sectors, including technology, which constitutes a large portion of the Nasdaq Index components. #### Impact of Inflation and Interest Rates High inflation means that living and production costs increase, reducing the ability of companies to achieve substantial profits. Technology companies, in particular, are heavily affected due to their significant reliance on cheap financing to grow their businesses. As interest rates rise, these companies' ability to borrow and grow diminishes, leading to a decline in their market value. #### Expected Scenario for the Nasdaq Index Imagine this scenario: upon the Nasdaq Index reaching levels between 20,500 and 20,700 , the bubble that has inflated illogically will start to burst. This burst will lead to a dramatic drop that may reach levels between 18,400 and 18,800 in the short term. But the story does not end there. Considering potential corrections and the breaking of these supports, the drop could accelerate until the index reaches astonishing levels of approximately 16,700. #### Potential Recession and Economic Contraction This anticipated drop is not just a number on a screen but a signal of a severe financial crisis that could ravage the American economy and leave a deep impact on global markets. Major companies will see their values shrink, leading to a loss of market confidence and increasing pressure on the entire financial system. With declining investments and rising unemployment rates, the likelihood of an economic recession and severe contraction increases. For example, we can look at the global financial crisis of 2008, where the collapse of the housing market led to the downfall of major financial institutions and a significant rise in unemployment rates. Similarly, the economic crisis of the early 2000s, known as the dot-com bubble, saw a dramatic collapse in tech stock prices, leading to an economic recession. #### Potential Impact on the American Economy The current situation of the Nasdaq Index clearly indicates the unsustainability of high prices. The bubble we see today is built on unrealistic expectations and inflated market values. The anticipated drop will soon confirm the accuracy of this analysis, serving as a real test of the resilience of the economy and financial markets. In this scenario, we might witness a significant economic contraction, with a sharp decline in economic activities and rising unemployment rates, putting immense pressure on both the American and global economies. Therefore, I urge you to take this analysis seriously and exercise caution in your investment strategies. The bubble is about to burst, and the major drop will come unexpectedly and swiftly. Thank you, and I hope this analysis serves as an early warning for those seeking a deeper understanding of the current state of the Nasdaq Index and financial markets in general. Prepare yourselves, as the financial storm is approaching, and the upcoming events may change the face of the economy as we know it. Tamer Omar, Analyst and Financial Markets Enthusiast Date: June 17, 2024 Time: 21:17 PM (UTC+2)
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by tameraamr