DOW JONES INDEX (US30): Detailed Support & Resistance Analysis
Here is my latest structure analysis for US30 Index.
Resistance 1: 40650 - 40850 area
Resistance 2: 41150 - 41300 area
Resistance 3: 42550 - 42850 area
Support 1: 40000 - 40250 area
Support 2: 39470 - 39650 area
Support 3: 38400 - 38650 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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Us100
NASDAQ INDEX (US100): Great Opportunity to Sell
NASDAQ Index formed a strong bearish pattern after a test of a key daily
resistance area.
I see a head & shoulders pattern on an hourly time frame
and a confirmed breakout of its horizontal neckline.
The index can continue decreasing.
Next support - 19240
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US100 - Weekend Gap Filled, What’s Next?The US100 1-hour chart shows that the weekend gap has been completely filled, and price is now approaching a critical Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone. This level could act as a strong resistance or a point of continuation for the current bullish momentum.
Here are two possible scenarios:
✅ Scenario 1: If price consolidates above the FVG and finds support, we could see a continuation towards the 0.618-0.65 Fibonacci retracement level, pushing towards 19,800+.
❌ Scenario 2: A rejection at the FVG zone could signal a bearish reversal, leading to a move back down towards 19,200 or even lower.
Which scenario do you think will play out? Let’s discuss! 🚀📉
Nasdaq updated forecast with sell-side & buy-side targetsNQ futures aiming at 18900 level off these last highs. Now seeing developing weakness... expecting sellers to take it down for one more low as we approach the implementation of Trump's tariffs on 4/2.
Look for renewed buyer strength after the next set of lows as we approach the next FOMC rate decision into first half of May 2025.
This is a great swing trade setup for TQQQ, if desired, or long dated in-the-money QQQ call options.
NASDAQ Huge Bullish Divergence points to 21350 inside April.Nasdaq (NDX) has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the July 11 2024 High. The latest rally that started on March 11 2025 after a brutal 3-week downtrend/ Bearish Leg, got rejected on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) as the market digested the disappointing PCE.
Despite this aggressive rejection, the price hit and rebounded yesterday exactly at the bottom of the Channel Up with the previous such contact going back to the August 05 2024 Low. Not to mention that both the March 11 2025 and August 08 2024 Lows were formed exactly on the secondary Higher Lows trend-line.
What's perhaps more critical than any of these though, is that the 1D RSI didn't make a new Low last week and remains above the oversold barrier on a Higher Low trend-line that is a huge technical Bullish Divergence against the price's Lower Lows.
As with the August 22 2024 High, our first short-term Target is on the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level at 21350.
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NASDAQ: Forming the bottom. Don't miss the 2025 rally to 28,000.Nasdaq is bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 35.342, MACD = -382.320, ADX = 38.919), headed towards oversold territory. 1W is also headed towards an oversold state (RSI = 36.953) as the price has crossed under the 1W MA50 and is approaching the 1W MA100. This is currently waiting at the bottom of the 2 year Channel Up. This 6 month correction is so far technically nothing but the bearish wave of this Channel Up and has been almost as strong (-15.89%) as the previous in July-Aug 2024.
Notice an key technical tendency here, no correction/bearish wave has ever crossed under the S1 level of two highs before. The current S1 is at 18,400. So taking those conditions into consideration as well as the fact that the 1W RSI is at the bottom of its Channel Down, we see this week as the bottom formation candle that will start a new bullish wave. The prior two such waves both made an incredibly symmetric rise of +52.60%, so expecting the same puts our target at TP = 28,000, most likely by December 2025-January 2026.
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DOW JONES (US30): Bullish Reversal Confirmed?!
Dow Jones finally looks strong.
I see a high momentum bullish candle after
a confirmed liquidity grab below the underlined demand zone.
I expect up move at least to 41750 resistance.
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Us100 Upward or downward?In the 5-minute timeframe, you can sell at the top of the trading range and buy at the bottom of the trading range (by observing reversal candles and patterns).
Alternatively, you can wait for a breakout and enter in the direction of the breakout.
Be mindful of fake breakouts.
NAS100 - Stock market still in a downtrend?!The index is trading below the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is trading in its descending channel. If the index moves down, it will be clear that it is heading for further moves. At the channel ceiling, I could be close to the next sell-off.
As the new US tariffs are set to take effect on April 2, new evidence suggests that they may be less than the markets had expected. According to a recent report in the Toronto Star, Canada is likely to face the lowest level of tariffs, while Mexico, another member of the US trade agreement, is likely to face a similar situation. In addition, Trump’s recent statements about significant progress in controlling fentanyl (an industrial drug), are seen as a positive sign for improving trade relations.
In this regard, CNBC reported that VAT and non-tariff barriers will not be taken into account in calculating the tariff rate, or at least not fully. The main concern is that by threatening to impose a 25% tariff, Trump is actually preparing Canada and Mexico to accept higher rates than the current conditions. It seems that his goal is to impose the highest possible tariff level. This decision could be an incentive to increase tariff revenue to reduce taxes. Of course, such an approach is associated with high risks, since any level of tariffs can lead to retaliatory measures from trading partners.
In the case of Europe, tariffs imposed on American goods are higher than in other countries, but a large part of them relate to the automotive industry. Europe has previously announced that it is ready to reduce these tariffs. The question now is whether the EU will take a different approach than Mexico and Canada? That is, first impose higher tariffs and then negotiate to reduce them.
This scenario could ultimately benefit the US economy, as the bulk of its trade is with Mexico and Canada. Meanwhile, China remains a complex challenge, as it is the main target of Trump’s tariff policies. In addition, the US president recently proposed imposing tariffs on Venezuela, which could be a pretext for intensifying trade pressure on China. Polls show that 50% of the market expects new tariffs on China, which indicates the level of investor concern.
The European Union has reacted to the Trump administration’s decision to impose new tariffs on imported cars and expressed regret over the move. European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen has said the bloc will seek a negotiated solution to ease tensions, but she has also stressed that Europe’s economic interests will be protected against US trade policies.
The US credit rating has risen to a new low, according to a new report from Moody’s, which warns that tax cuts and trade tariffs could widen the country’s budget deficit.
Analysts at Goldman Sachs and Deutsche Bank say investors expect the effective tariff rate on all imports to be between 9% and 10%, although some analysts at Goldman Sachs have suggested a rate of 18%. However, inflation and exchange rate expectations point to lower figures.
If Trump’s promise of “reciprocal tariffs” is implemented, the effective tariff rate could be even lower than 5 percent, although this depends on whether the agricultural sector is also subject to tariffs. Some reports also suggest that non-tariff barriers may be completely ignored.
According to Deutsche Bank, it is very difficult to determine market expectations precisely. But if the tariff rate ultimately falls between 5 and 7.5 percent, markets are likely to react with more confidence. Otherwise, more volatility and turbulence in financial markets are expected.
At the beginning of the year, markets were in a positive and optimistic mood. The Republican victory in the election, the continuation of tax breaks and the possibility of new support packages were among the factors that reinforced this optimism.
However, factors such as the high US budget deficit, the deadlock in Congress and the high inflation rate have now challenged this optimism. Meanwhile, two important support tools that were effective in the past may no longer be as effective:
1. During Trump’s first term, the stock market was of particular importance to him. Even during the COVID-19 crisis, he constantly talked about the stock market and considered it part of his successes.
The term “Put Trump” meant that even if he made harsh statements, he ultimately acted in the market’s favor.
2. But now, in Trump’s second administration, he talks about “short-term pain” and “economic detoxification.” Tariff threats, reduced investment and policy uncertainty have caused the S&P 500 to fall 10% since February. Trump still considers the market important, but he is no longer as staunchly supportive of it as he used to be.
In addition, this week will include the release of a series of key economic data. Including:
• Tuesday: ISM Manufacturing PMI and JOLTS.
• Wednesday: ADP Private Employment Report
•Thursday: ISM services index and weekly jobless claims.
One of the big risks to the markets is that economic data remains weak while the ISM price sub-indices rise. Such a situation could signal a deflationary tailwind. In such a situation, even if the Federal Reserve moves to lower interest rates, it will still be difficult for the stock market to grow.
NASDAQ Bullish Reversal (Potential Tariff Resolution?) NASDAQ price action went through a massive correction with a drop from the top worth approx. 14%.
However after the passing of the latest FOMC Meeting, we may finally see a direction towards the resolution of widespread tariff based uncertainty across the macro economic landscape.
This presents us with a potential Reversal opportunity if we see the formation of a credible Higher High (given a potential proper break out) on the 4 HR and shorter timeframes.
Trade Plan :
Entry @ 20045
Stop Loss @ 19070
TP 0.9 - 1 @ 20923 - 21020
US100 BULLS ARE STRONG HERE|LONG
US100 SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 19,170.0
Target Level: 20,308.4
Stop Loss: 18,413.4
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 9h
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NAS100: Likely rebound at major point within Ascending ChannelCAPITALCOM:US100 is likely to be undergoing a corrective move as it tests the lower boundary of the ascending channel, as shown on my chart. This boundary serves as dynamic trendline support and a significant bullish reaction could happen if buyers step in at this level.
A successful rebound from this support could lead to a move toward the midline of the channel, with the next target at around 22,000 . This scenario would maintain the overall bullish trend structure.
However, a clear breakdown below the trendline support would weaken the bullish outlook and could lead to further downside.
Monitoring candlestick patterns and volume at this critical zone is essential for identifying buying opportunities. Proper risk management is advised, always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management.
If you have any thoughts on this setup or additional insights, drop them in the comments!
NASDAQ Will the disappointing PCE today form a Double Bottom?Nasdaq is on a strong 3 day correction that has almost erased the recovery attempt since the March 11th low.
That was a higher Low inside the 8 month Channel Up and the current correction may be a bottom formation attempt like September 6th 2024.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy before the closing market price.
Targets:
1. 23350 (the 1.382 Fibonacci extension).
Tips:
1. The RSI (1d) illustrates the similarities with July-September 2024 in a much better way. Strong indication that the Channel Up is attempting to price a bottom.
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Nasdaq100 Update: Another Leg Down Likely After Recent Reversal?For quite some time, I have been highlighting the possibility of a strong correction in the Nasdaq 100 ( TRADENATION:USTEC ), with the 17,500 level remaining a realistic downside target.
In my more recent analyses, I argued that while a reversal from the 19,100 support zone was likely, it was merely a dead cat bounce , and the index could decline further from the 20,300-20,500 resistance zone. The lower boundary of this range was tested, and as expected, the index has started to fall again.
Although a temporary rally above 20,000 cannot be ruled out, my overall outlook remains unchanged—I still anticipate another leg down.
In conclusion, selling into rallies continues to be my preferred strategy, with 17,500 as the medium-term target.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
20323.3-20647.3 The key is whether it can rise above this level
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The April TradingView competition is sponsored by PEPPERSTONE.
Accordingly, we will look at the coins (tokens) and items that can be traded in the competition.
Let's talk about the NAS100 chart.
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(NAS100 1M chart)
I think the stock market is fluctuating due to the rapidly changing situation and various economic issues.
Therefore, I think it is not easy to analyze index charts such as NAS100 and US30.
However, since the HA-High indicator of the current 1M chart is newly generated and is showing a downward trend, if it does not rise above 20647.3 when the competition starts, it is likely to eventually fall.
If it falls below the M-Signal indicator of the 1M chart, it is necessary to check for support near the Fibonacci ratio range of 0.5 (15898.2) ~ 0.618 (17130.8).
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(1D chart)
The key is whether it can receive support near 19598.6, the HA-Low indicator point of the 1D chart, and rise above the M-Signal indicator of the 1W chart.
If not, it is expected that it will eventually meet the M-Signal indicator of the 1M chart and determine the trend again.
Currently, the price is being maintained above the M-Signal indicator of the 1M chart, so it is maintaining an upward trend in the medium to long term.
Therefore, when the competition starts, you should respond depending on whether the price is being maintained above or below the M-Signal indicator of the 1D chart.
Currently, the short-term support zone is 19269.9-19598.6, and the medium to long-term resistance zone is 20323.3-20647.3.
Even if it is supported and rises in the short-term support zone, if it fails to break through the medium to long-term resistance zone, it will eventually fall.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful transaction.
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NASDAQ INDEX (US100): Bullish Reversal Confirmed?!
I see 2 very strong bullish reversal confirmation on US100 on a daily.
First the market violated a resistance line of a falling channel.
Then, a neckline of a cup & handle pattern was broken.
Both breakouts indicate the strength of the buyers.
We can expect a growth at least to 20300 resistance.
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US100 NASDAQ100 Long Market turns!U.S. stocks ended higher on Tuesday on optimism that President Donald Trump’s reciprocal tariffs, which go into effect from April 2, will be less aggressive than previously expected
Therefor as traders we are very flexible and have to react fast,because a lot of people say a lot of things, and that makes the markest move faster and turning back more quickly.
Also its essential to take profits immediately as the markets move fast and turning, before giving that money gained back to the market.
Below the red line Bearish setups.
Rockets:Conservative(near of support) AND AGGRESSIVE ENTRIES.
Risk and money management is essential.Think about your stops!
US100 - Bullish Continuation Inside Ascending ChannelThis TradingView post showcases a technical analysis of the US100 (Nasdaq 100 Index) on the 4-hour timeframe. The chart highlights a well-defined ascending channel, reflecting the current bullish structure. Price action is seen retracing after touching the upper boundary of the channel, moving towards a key region of interest labeled as "IFVG" (Imbalance Fair Value Gap), where potential demand is expected.
The analysis predicts a retracement to the 0.618–0.65 Fibonacci retracement zone, aligning with a confluence of support levels within the channel. A potential bullish reversal is anticipated at this level, aiming for a continuation towards new highs near the upper boundary of the channel. The green projection line illustrates the anticipated path of price action.
This setup combines channel dynamics, Fibonacci levels, and market structure concepts to identify a favorable trade opportunity.