Us100
US100 Is Very Bullish! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for US100.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 16026.2.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 16571.0 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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NASDAQ: Channel Up soon to test the ATH.Nasdaq is almost overbought again on the 1D technical outlook (RSI = 69.937, MACD = 245.100, ADX = 36.889) but that shouldn't affect it much as it is trading on the lower band of the November Channel Up. Leg 1 of the bullish sequence that made the Nov 15th HH extended to the 2.382 Fibonacci level. As the 1D RSI is identical to that Leg and shows that we are roughly halfway there, we remain bullish aiming again at the 2.382 Fib extension (TP = 16,840) which is marginally over the All Time High of 16,780.
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NASDAQ INDEX (US100) Bullish Rally Continues
US100 successfully violated a resistance of a horizontal range on a daily.
Taking into consideration that the market is trading in a strong bullish trend,
such a breakout confirms a highly probable trend continuation.
Next resistance - 16500
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NASDAQ BULLISH OUTLOOKThe Nasdaq 100 witnessed a robust recovery driven by investor enthusiasm surrounding the future of artificial intelligence (AI). This surge followed the launch of Google's cutting-edge Gemini AI model, generating positive market sentiment supported by analysts' favorable remarks. Simultaneously, market speculations about potential changes in the Bank of Japan's monetary policy saw the yen ascend while the dollar dipped.
In a swift market overview, the Nasdaq 100 rose by 1.5%, countering a three-day decline in the S&P 500. This surge in tech stocks like Alphabet (GOOGL) and AMD (AMD) reflected the bullish sentiment surrounding AI's anticipated role in future economic growth.
Key insights revealed a pivotal role for AI in driving economic growth beyond 2024, with investors speculating on potential central bank rate cuts in the coming year. Notable corporate developments included setbacks for Tesla's self-driving technology efforts and Dish Network's (DISH) significant stock surge post-FCC approval of its merger.
Looking ahead, market focus gravitated towards forthcoming economic data releases. Events like Germany's CPI and Japan's household spending and GDP data were anticipated alongside the US jobs report and University of Michigan consumer sentiment. These data points were expected to guide future economic and market directions.
The most recent US jobs report, indicating nearly 200,000 new nonfarm jobs in November with stable average earnings, bolstered market optimism. Although the report showed a positive labor market, it raised concerns about inflation due to higher average earnings, pushing yields higher. However, investors remained cheerful, interpreting the data as a sign of a softening, rather than collapsing, job market.
The Federal Reserve's stance on inflation and future rate decisions became a focal point for markets, with speculation around potential rate cuts in the coming months. The markets awaited signals from the Fed to gauge its approach in balancing inflation and economic growth.
The overall sentiment was cautiously optimistic, with markets closely monitoring developments in AI, central bank policies, labor market dynamics, and upcoming economic data releases to navigate potential market shifts in the days ahead.
On the technical side, both MACD and RSI are showing BUY signals, with possible target of 16307.48. If the trend reverses, as pivot point might be considered 16040.98, from where the price might drop to 15818.18.
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NASDAQ Targeting the ATH minimumNasdaq established its price action over the 4hour MA50 again.
A Channel Up is emerging, and could be a very aggressive one as the 4hour RSI is already overbought.
You can buy now and target at least the 16785 ATH.
If the price breaks over it and after re-testing it holds, re buy and target 17850 (+13.65% rise like the first leg of the Channel).
Previous chart:
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NASDAQ Last obstacle before a Christmas rally.Nasdaq (NDX) completed the short-term pull-back we called on our latest November 29 analysis (see chart below), hitting our 15750 target and then rebounding:
This rebound can seasonally be the start of the end-of-the-year rally, which the market calls 'Santa' or 'Christmas' rally. However, one last Resistance level remains before it is confirmed and that is the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the (blue) Channel Up, which happens to also be synched with the Lower Highs trend-line of the 4H RSI.
If the index closes a 4H candle above it, we will buy and aim for a +6.34% rally (from the bottom), which has been the minimum bullish sequence since June, and target 16680 (Resistance 1), which is the December 28 2021 High, essentially the first Lower High of the 2022 Bear Cycle. A notch higher on that rally, the index can even test the 16770 All Time High.
On the other hand, if Nasdaq breaks below the bottom (Lower Lows trend-line) of the Channel Down first, most likely will have made contact with the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) by then, we will sell instead and target 14900 (-7.60% from the Lower High, which is the minimum short-term decline since June).
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Nasdaq (us100) - H4 - Careful!!There is some reasons that I think Nasdaq is going to experience a fall in near future:
1) The federal reserve still wants to keep interest rates higher for longer.
2) These prices for stocks it means the market think the fed is going to decline interest rates for 1.25% in December 2024!
3) Retail investors buy 7 billion Dollar of stocks, but Banks just buy gold!
Be careful!
US100 NASDAQ Technical Analysis And Trade Idea NAS100Lately, the NAS100 has displayed a strong bullish trend. This video extensively explores the trend, meticulously analyzing price movements and identifying possible trading prospects by thoroughly assessing both the weekly and daily timeframes. Anticipate a detailed assessment of price behaviors, market patterns, trend assessments, and key technical analysis components. It's crucial to emphasize that the content provided is purely for educational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice.
US100 H4 | Bullish bounce?US100 could bounce off our buy entry level and potentially reach our take profit level.
Entry: 15596.04
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Stop Loss: 15394.07
Why we like it:
There is a swing low support level.
Take Profit: 15851.34
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
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NASDAQ: Healthy pullback serving as end of year rally vessel.Nasdaq is pulling back today after the 1D MACD formed a Bearish Cross and the 1D technical outlook turned neutral (RSI = 54.419, MACD = 183.360, ADX = 45.724). This has so far achieved at offsetting the previous overbought condition on the chart. Technically it can be a HH rejection on a newly emerging Channel Up. This can serve as a buy opportunity either on the S1 level or if it is extended on the S2 and the 1D MA50 for the end of year rally. Our target is the ATH (TP = 16,775).
See how our prior idea has worked:
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Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) ~ December 4H SwingNASDAQ:QQQ chart analysis/mapping.
QQQ ETF in consolidation phase after strong November rally.
Trading scenarios:
Further consolidation = descending trend-line (light blue) / multiple EMA confluence zone.
Continuation rally #1 = top range of Fib / ascending trend-line (green) confluence zone.
Shallow pullback #1 = 78.6% Fib / 200MA confluence zone.
Shallow pullback #2 = descending trend-line (white dotted)\
Deeper pullback #1 = gap fill / ascending trend-line (green) / Golden Pocket confluence zone.
Capitulation #1 = 50% Fib
Capitulation #2 = 38.2% Fib / gap fill / ascending trend-line (light blue) confluence zone.
Capitulation #3 = 23.6% Fib
Navigating Market Trends: Nasdaq Retracement SignalsI am currently observing the US100/Nasdaq on the 4-hour chart, and in my analysis, it appears that we are poised for a retracement lower. This week, there was a rejection from the weekly rejection block dated July 23, 2023, situated in the upper quadrant. 📉
There is a noteworthy weekly correlation with ES/US500 from August 28, 2023, to the present week. While Nasdaq managed to surpass the previous high, ES fell short. Consequently, I anticipate a downward movement. If today's candle closes below 15905, we would establish a bearish order block, adding another layer of confluence for a potential retracement lower. 📊
Upon examining the 4-hour chart, there seems to be a developing breaker formation. If this breaker takes shape and the market tests it tomorrow or in the coming week, it could present lucrative selling opportunities with a favorable risk and reward ratio. 💰 #MarketAnalysis #TradingInsights #TechnicalAnalysis #FinancialMarkets
NASDAQ to see a limited rally?NAS100USD - Intraday
An Evening Doji Star formation has been posted at the high.
A Fibonacci confluence area is located at 16029.
Bespoke support is located at 15315.
Selling spikes offers good risk/reward.
There is scope for mild buying at the open but gains should be limited.
We look to Sell at 16029 (stop at 16129)
Our profit targets will be 15779 and 15729
Resistance: 16029 / 16166 / 16200
Support: 15815 / 15500 / 15315
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The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
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NASDAQ Sell signal on 4H.Nasdaq is testing the MA50 (4h) since yesterday as the Rising Resistance weighs.
The middle line (dashed) of the Channel Up is the final level of Support before a short term pull back.
The Bearish Divergence on the RSI (4h), which is inside a Channel Down, is in favor of this short term pull back.
Trading Plan:
1. Sell if the price crosses under the dashed middle of the Channel Up.
Targets:
1. 15450 (Rising Support).
Tips:
1. The MACD (4h) is also descending while the index rises (another Bearish Divergence) and is about to form a Bearish Cross. Additional sell signal.
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NASDAQ Small pull-back before final rally.Nasdaq (NDX) exceeded all expectations this month as following our November 01 buy signal (see chart below), not only did it hit the target but broke aggressively above the former Channel Down:
Since November 21 basically it has turned sideways, in an attempt to normalize the previous overbought 1D technicals. It has already hit the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) and that is the first sign of exhaustion. If the 4H RSI gets rejected on its Lower Highs trend-line (testing it today), then expect a short-term pull-back, which we will short and target 15750 (-2.25% decline and above Support 1).
We take this target as during a similar 4H RSI Lower Highs rejection (September 15), NDX decline initially by -2.25%, similar also with the October 12 rejection. We expect this symmetry to play out at least on the short-term before the end-of-the-year rally, not necessarily on the long-term, where we need to see a 1D candle closing below Support 1, in order to signal a short towards the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line).
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