Us100
NASDAQ 100 index / US 100 outlook Based on the previous week rejection of the 21742.33 zone, I'm anticipating price to come back to 21610.60 which is my daily point of interest for sell continuation (a pullback os anticipated) taking the Monday high as Inducement. But I'm looking forward to catching the pullback with the H4 POI: 21045.73 , yesterday's low as Inducement hence buying till we reach my daily poi before the sell continuation.
What's your outlook on this.
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US100 - Key Levels and Recovery Potential in Focus🚨 US100 Market Update 🚨
Today’s price action on the Nasdaq (US100) is displaying a recovery from a strong bearish impulse earlier in the session. Let’s dive into the chart and key actionable levels:
Key Levels:
Resistance Zones:
Bear Day: $21,380 is a critical resistance level. A breakout above this zone could pave the way toward the Close Day/Week level around $21,500.
Sellers are heavily defending this zone, making it a key battleground for the day.
Support Zones:
Bear Week (Yellow Dashed Line): $21,260 is providing strong intraday support. This level needs to hold for the bullish recovery to sustain.
Day - ATR: $21,120 represents the lower bound for today’s session. Breaching this level could trigger accelerated selling pressure toward $20,960.
Bullish Swing Zone:
The $21,240 region aligns with the start of bullish interest. A confirmed bounce here could lead to upward momentum toward the next resistance levels.
Volume Profile Insights:
High Volume Nodes (HVNs): A significant volume cluster exists between $21,260 and $21,300. This zone is pivotal for determining market direction.
Low Volume Nodes (LVNs): A gap near $21,180 suggests potential for rapid price movement if the price revisits this area.
Market Structure:
The recovery off the lows is showing signs of strength, but resistance at the Bear Day level has yet to be broken.
The Volume Profile reveals a consolidation near the mid-range of $21,300, indicating indecision in the short term.
Strategy Suggestions:
Longs:
Entry above $21,380 with a target of $21,500 and $21,520. Stop-loss near $21,320.
Alternatively, consider buying near $21,240 if bullish momentum resumes.
Shorts:
Entry below $21,260 targeting $21,120 and $20,960. Stop-loss above $21,300.
Scalping Opportunities:
Use the range of $21,260–$21,380 for intraday scalps until a breakout or breakdown occurs.
Final Notes:
Nasdaq is currently range-bound, and key levels like $21,260 (support) and $21,380 (resistance) will dictate the next move. Watch for volume spikes and strong candle closes to confirm any breakout or breakdown scenarios.
🔔 Are you bullish or bearish on Nasdaq? Let me know in the comments!
NASDAQ headed into a volatile January but uptrend remains intactNasdaq (NDX) is yet again testing the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) following the direct hit of December 20. Despite the pull-back, it is technically respecting the 2-year Channel Up that it's been trading in since the December 26 2022 market bottom. Its most recent Higher Low was on the August 05 2024 1W candle, which initiated the Bullish Leg we're currently in.
Until we get a 1W candle closing below the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), the pattern remains intact and the strategy is to continue buying into the current Bullish Leg. The previous two Bullish Legs had one main pull-back/ correction sequence each and apart from that, the majority of the Leg was technically a straight uptrend. Given that the current Bullish Leg has been trading above its 1D MA50 since September 12, it is not unlikely to see a correction below it.
Technically, it could be similar to the previous Bullish Leg (March 04 - April 15 2024), as we are trading within the 0.382 - 0.5 Fibonacci range. This means that one more rise above the 0.382 Fib is to be expected in the first week of January but it is likely to then see a correction for the rest of the month below the 1D MA50 into the first 2 weeks of February.
If after that, the 0.5 Fib and 1D MA200 levels hold, we expect the Bullish Leg to resume the uptrend and target 25300. That would be a rise of around +48%, which is the % rise of both previous Bullish Legs.
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"US100 / NASDAQ 100 / US TECH" Indices Market Bullish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
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NAS 100: Bullish Trend with Year-End Pullback - Where To Next?In this video, I analyze the NAS 100 on higher timeframes, starting with a quick top-down review to explore a potential trade setup. The three-week and weekly charts indicate a bullish trend; however, as we approach the end of the year, there’s some pullback and uncertain price action. I share my insights on the current market conditions and discuss a possible trade idea. Please note, this is not financial advice.
NASDAQ: Technical pullback presenting a buy opportunityNasdaq got oversold on 1H due to the strong selling on opening but remains neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 51.372, MACD = 205.380, ADX = 49.545) as it is still over the 1D MA50. More specifically, it was the rebound on the latter last Friday (Dec 20th) that has initiated the current bullish wave. This is the 5th bullish wave inside the 5 month Channel Up and as long as the 1D MA50 continues to support, we are expecting a new High. As with the prior Highs, we are targeting the 2.382 Fibonacci extension (TP = 22,550).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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NVIDIA | 4 HOUR TIMEFRAME | STOCK TRADINGHello guys, I made NASDAQ:NVDA analysis for you. For this kind of analysis, please value my analysis with your likes Thank you very much to everyone who supports me by liking
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NAS100 Overextended? Anticipating a Retracement to Re-BalanceThe NAS 100 has seen a sharp move to the downside and, in my view, is overextended. It has reached previous lows on the daily timeframe, sweeping southside liquidity. Considering the extreme nature of this move and the presence of significant gaps or imbalances above, I anticipate a retracement as the market seeks to rebalance. Additionally, there is buy-side liquidity resting above that could serve as a target. I’m watching for a potential buying opportunity if the conditions outlined in the video materialize. This is not financial advice.
NASDAQ Technical buy on this 1D MA50 bounce.Nasdaq (NDX) has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the September 06 Low and potentially has started the new Bullish Leg as on Friday it hit the 1D MA50 (red trend-line) and rebounded. The 1D MA50 has been holding since the September 12 bullish break-out.
Still, there is no confirmation yet, as the price remains below the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line). As you can see on this chart, every time the index broke above its 4H MA50, it never broke again until the next Higher High of the Channel Up, technically confirming the new Bullish Leg.
With the 4H RSI rebounding also from oversold (<30.00) territory, there are higher probabilities of this being the new Bullish Leg. If the confirmation comes, we expect at least another +9.08% rise from Friday's Low (which was the % rise of the previous Bullish Leg) to target 22500.
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NAS100 - Nasdaq, waiting for the final days of Santa Rally?!The index is located between EMA200 and EMA50 in the four-hour time frame and is trading in its ascending channel. If the index corrects towards the supply zone, you can look for the next Nasdaq sell positions with the appropriate risk reward. Nasdaq being in the demand zone will provide us with the conditions to buy it.
The Federal Reserve, in its latest meeting, reduced the interest rate by 25 basis points, bringing it to a range of 4.25%–4.50%. However, FOMC members now forecast the 2025 interest rate to hover around 3.9%, higher than their September projection of 3.4%.
Markets were largely surprised by the Fed’s hawkish stance, especially following Donald Trump’s victory in the U.S. presidential election. Jerome Powell, the Fed Chair, indirectly emphasized during the post-meeting press conference that policymakers are currently assessing the impact of Trump’s economic policies on inflation and growth.
This shift has unsettled investors, dampening the optimistic market sentiment that typically precedes the Christmas holiday. Concerns are rising that if the Trump administration follows through on its campaign promises regarding taxes, tariffs, and immigration, the Fed may have to reverse its rate-cutting trajectory and adopt rate hikes instead.
The outlook for 2025 has also seen adjustments. The Federal Reserve now expects only two rate cuts in 2025, compared to four cuts forecasted in September. This adjustment reflects the persistent inflation that remains above the central bank’s target range.
Following the Fed’s announcement, the S&P 500 experienced its steepest decline in 27 months, falling over 3.5%. The last time the U.S. stock index saw such a significant drop was in September 2022, during peak inflation and amid aggressive monetary tightening. Similarly, the Nasdaq dropped by 3.6%, marking its worst decline in five months.
Morgan Stanley also revised its outlook for the Fed, predicting two 25-basis-point rate cuts in 2025, instead of the previously anticipated three cuts.
On the economic front, the Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index, scheduled for release today, is likely to draw market attention. This index has risen steadily over the past two months, while one of its components—the sub-index measuring “job finding difficulty”—has declined during the same period. Given its strong correlation with the official unemployment rate, a further drop in December could signal job growth and a stronger dollar.
On Tuesday, November data for durable goods orders and new home sales will be released. Durable goods orders, which grew by 0.3% in October, are expected to decline by 0.4% month-over-month. However, investors often focus on the more specific “non-defense capital goods orders (excluding aircraft),” which tends to exhibit less volatility and is a key input for GDP calculations.
Overall, if market volatility persists during the holiday season, equities and bonds are likely to be impacted. The Fed’s hawkish tone is unfavorable for stocks, suggesting continued selling pressure as Treasury yields rise. The U.S. Treasury plans to auction two-year, five-year, and seven-year notes this week. If demand falls short of expectations, bond yields could face additional upward pressure.
Deutsche Bank, in a recent note, highlighted a significant shift in the Fed’s tone. Although the Fed reduced the interest rate by 25 basis points to a range of 4.25%–4.50%, analysts noted a more hawkish stance than expected.
One key indicator of this shift is the upward revision of the 2025 median inflation forecast to 2.5%, which Deutsche Bank described as “notable.” According to this report, the Fed does not anticipate inflation returning to its 2% target until 2027.
Furthermore, the Fed’s updated forward guidance lacked any clear indications of future rate cuts. Jerome Powell described the December rate cut as a “difficult decision,” which faced opposition from Loretta Mester, President of the Cleveland Fed.
Deutsche Bank analysts believe the Fed is unlikely to take any action during its January meeting, and the current pause could extend into a prolonged hold throughout 2025. Forecasts suggest that interest rates will remain above 4% next year, with no additional cuts anticipated.
NAS100USD: Targeting Low-Resistance Liquidity ZonesGreetings Traders!
In today’s analysis of NAS100USD, we observe a recent bullish shift in price action, presenting opportunities to capitalize on buying setups. Wednesday’s volatile move to the downside, triggered by the FOMC announcement, created a liquidity void—an inefficiency in price delivery where only sell-side action was present. The market tends to revisit these zones to rebalance, making them key areas of interest.
This liquidity void also qualifies as a low-resistance liquidity zone, where minimal obstacles exist to impede price movement. Consequently, we aim to target price progression through this zone until reaching the high-resistance liquidity zone, the last area where significant price resistance occurred.
Key Observations:
Institutional Perspective: Price moved from a discount zone, where institutions order-paired against sell stops, indicating they are now running their trades toward fair value.
Fair Value Areas: Liquidity voids and fair value gaps are prime zones for institutions to scale out of their positions, making them strategic targets for our trades.
Trading Strategy:
We will look for confirmation to align with bullish institutional order flow and target the liquidity void as a fair value zone. The FOMC-induced displacement provides a clear inefficiency that institutions are likely to use to balance their positions.
Let’s analyze the price action carefully and adapt as the market develops. Share your thoughts or questions in the comments, and let’s navigate the markets together!
Kind Regards,
The Architect
NAS100USD: Strategic Selling Amidst Bearish MomentumGreetings Traders!
In today’s analysis of NAS100USD, we reflect on yesterday’s high volatility, which triggered a significant displacement to the downside. Such strong movements often leave inefficiencies in price action that may be revisited in the near future. However, the prevailing bearish institutional order flow suggests opportunities to capitalize on selling setups.
Key Observations:
1. Consolidation in Premium Zones:
Currently, price is consolidating at a premium level, providing an optimal zone to initiate sell positions. Following the principle of selling in premium and buying in discount, this setup aligns with institutional trading strategies.
2. Bearish Momentum:
The bearish structure remains intact, reinforcing the likelihood of price continuing its descent toward discount zones.
3. Potential Reversals in Discount:
When price reaches discount levels, it is possible for a reversal back into premium zones. This necessitates a strategic and observant approach to anticipate the next market move.
Trading Strategy:
Entry: Seek confirmation to sell at premium levels during this consolidation phase.
Target: Discount zones, where sell-side liquidity resides, will serve as the primary profit-taking area.
As always, remain vigilant and adaptive to market dynamics. If you have insights or questions, feel free to share them in the comments. Let’s learn and grow together!
Kind Regards,
The Architect
NAS100 NAS100 price is still in a strong uptrend, but we expect that in the short term, there is a chance that the price will correct in the 22195-22247 zone. If the price cannot break through the 22247 level, the price may decline. Consider selling in the red zone.
*Very Risky Trade
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Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you.
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