NAS100 Price ActionHey traders!
Looking at the current market structure, we can see that the price failed to make a new higher high , which is often the first sign of a potential trend reversal. This was followed by a break of two key structure levels, confirming a shift in momentum from bullish to bearish.
Interestingly, a supply zone was formed during this shift, but price didn’t even retest it — instead, it dropped right after its creation, showing strong bearish pressure. There's also an internal candle (IFC) marking the transition point.
With this kind of price action, it’s likely that the market is heading toward the next demand zone below. This could present a solid short opportunity, but always remember to manage your risk wisely and wait for clean confirmations.
Us100
NASDAQ: Short term Channel Up on critical Resistance.Nasdaq is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 49.418, MACD = -276.610, ADX = 37.535) as it has recovered from the oversold state of 2 weeks ago. By doing so, it has formed a Channel Up on the 1H timeframe but as the price hit its top and the 1H RSI has formed a bearish divergence like the previous HH, it is possible to see a quick pullback. As long as the price stays inside the Channel Up, target the 1H MA200 (TP = 19,900). If it crosses above the top of the Channel Up, buy and target the R1 level (TP = 20,650).
## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ##
## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
US100 Short Fear rises of FED possible ,,No-Rates Cut,,!wE CAN SIMPLY TELL THE SAME REASON trading stocks,indices! Simple: Economy under big inflation pressure.
2 approaches:Conservative and agressive entry. Where breakout traders enter,where others put their takeprofits,where others put stops: Thats my entry.Simple.
Near details ,please take a look at the chart above
NAS100USD Buy Idea: Bullish Momentum Targets 20705🚀 OANDA:NAS100USD Buy Idea: Bullish Momentum Targets 20705 💹 - 24h expiry
OANDA:NAS100USD - We look to Buy at 20025
Stop Loss: 19825
Target 1: 20705
Target 2: 20730
Resistance: 20234, 20705, 20730
Support: 20025, 19423, 19125
Technical Setup:
📈 Continued upward momentum from 19424 resulted in the pair posting net daily gains yesterday .
⚠️ Overbought extremes indicate scope for mild selling at the open, but losses should remain limited .
🔑 Medium-term bias remains bullish .
🏁 Key resistance level at 20705 .
📰 News Sentiment
📊 Recent sessions show a bullish uptick in News Sentiment (Red Line), aligning with the price movement (Blue Line).
🌟 Positive sentiment (Red Line) is extending higher, suggesting further upside potential in the short term.
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Will NASDAQ Rally Continue? Technical Analysis & Trade Idea.NASDAQ NAS100 (4H Chart) Analysis 📊📈
The NASDAQ NAS100 is showing strong bullish momentum on the 4-hour chart. The chart suggests a continuation of the uptrend, with a potential move toward the 21,013.0 target. 🚀
Key Levels to Watch 👀
Support Levels:
19,750.9: Near the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, this level has seen strong buying interest.
19,405.8: The 100% Fibonacci retracement, marking the swing low and a critical support zone.
Resistance Levels:
20,209.4: The 0% Fibonacci retracement, acting as immediate resistance.
20,611.2: The 50% Fibonacci extension, a key target for bullish continuation.
21,013.0: The 100% Fibonacci extension, representing the ultimate bullish target in this trend.
Volume Profile Insights 📉
The Volume Profile shows heavy trading activity between 19,800–20,000, confirming strong support in this range. Above 20,200, trading volume thins out, suggesting that a breakout could lead to a quick rally toward 21,000.
Momentum and Indicators ⚡
Trend: The index is in a clear uptrend, forming higher highs and higher lows since the recent swing low.
Fibonacci Confluence: The alignment of the 50% retracement and Volume Profile support strengthens the bullish outlook.
Curved Arrow Projection: A pullback to the 19,800–19,750 zone is likely before the next leg higher toward 21,013.0.
Social Media Sentiment 🌐
Twitter: Analysts are optimistic, citing strong tech sector performance and easing interest rate fears. Many traders are eyeing the 21,000 level as the next milestone.
Reddit: Discussions emphasize the importance of the 19,800 support zone, warning that a break below this level could invalidate the bullish setup.
Conclusion 📝
The NASDAQ NAS100 is set for a bullish continuation, with key support at 19,750–19,800 and resistance at 20,209.4 and 21,013.0. Watch for a potential pullback to the 50% Fibonacci retracement before the next upward move. A break below 19,750 could signal a shift in momentum, while a breakout above 20,209.4 would confirm the bullish trend. 🚀
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and not financial advice. Always do your own research and consult a professional before trading. 📢
NASDAQ The recovery has officially started.Nasdaq (NDX) has been trading within a 2-year Channel Up and with today's opening, it broke above the Lower Highs trend-line of February's Bearish Leg. Even though the confirmed bullish reversal signal technically comes above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), we already have the early bottom signals.
First and foremost, the 1D RSI rebounding from the same oversold (<30.00) level where all major Higher Lows of the Channel Up did (August 05 2024, April 19 2024, October 26 2023). Every time the price reached its -0.5 Fibonacci extensions following such bottoms. Also each Bullish Leg tends so far to be smaller than the previous.
As a result, targeting a +24% rise (-3% less than the previous Bullish Leg) at 23500 is a very realistic Target technically, as it is considerably below the -0.5 Fibonacci extension.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
US100 SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
US100 SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 19,765.3
Target Level: 19,601.3
Stop Loss: 19,874.3
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Bearish Alert: Nasdaq’s Downtrend May Deepen Beyond 5%Hey Realistic Traders, Will CAPITALCOM:US100 Bearish Trend Stop? Let’s Dive In....
On the H4 timeframe, Nasdaq continues to follow the bearish trendline and the EMA-200 . Both trend analysis tools clearly signal a bearish trend. The downtrend may persist as a rising wedge pattern has formed, followed by a breakout and a MACD crossover.
Based on these technical signals, I anticipate a potential downward movement toward the first target at 19,077. After reaching this level, a minor pullback is likely before the decline continues toward a new low at 18,544.
This outlook remains valid as long as the price move below the stop-loss level at 20,080
Besides technical factors, U.S. President Donald Trump still intends to implement new reciprocal tariff rates on April 2, adding further uncertainty to the market. This could limit growth potential and contribute to an inflationary environment by increasing the cost of imported goods. Given this uncertainty, we believe the market will continue to decline.
Support the channel by engaging with the content, using the rocket button, and sharing your opinions in the comments below.
Disclaimer: "Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on Nasdaq.
US100 BEARISH FLAG|SHORT|
✅US100 is trading in a
Strong downtrend and
The price has formed a
Bearish flag pattern so
And on top of that the
Horizontal resistance
Of 20,000 is ahead so
We are super bearish
Biased and IF we see a
Bearish breakout we
Will be expecting
A further move down
SHORT🔥
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
This RUT/NDX ratio may convince you to buy NASDAQ aggressively.Nasdaq (NDX) has been under heavy selling pressure in the past 30 days. This short-term pull-back however is nothing but a buy opportunity on the long-term, and this study shows you why.
The answer lies on the RUT/NDX ratio which shows that this may be the time to get heavier on tech. The use of the Russell 2000 index (RUT) is due to the fact it represents a wider array of companies. Naturally over the years (this 1M chart shows data since 2006), the ratio declines within a Channel Down as historically the riskier tech sector attracts more capital and grows more.
However there are instances where Russell gains more against Nasdaq. We are currently though at a time where this isn't the case as the ratio seems to be ready for decline following the completion of a consolidation that on previous fractals (March 2015, September 2008) was bearish, thus positive for Nasdaq.
As you can see, this movements can be grasped by the Sine Waves, though not perfectly, but still good enough to understand the cyclical pattern we're in, also with the help of the 1M RSI Triangles.
Nasdaq (which is represented by the blue trend-line) has started massive expansion Channel Up patterns following this unique signal given by the RUT/NDX ratio. The first was right after the 2009 Housing Crisis bottom and the second during the 2015/ 2016 E.U., VW and Oil crisis.
The key here is on the 1M RSI. The Triangle is about to beak to the upside and every time this happened in the last 20 years, it coincided with a pull-back on Nasdaq (blue circle) similar to the current one. What followed was massive rallies each time.
As a result, this could be an indication that even though the tariffs have rattles investor confidence lately, this is an opportunity for a strong buy position for at least the rest of the year.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
DAX Trade Log DAX Buy Setup with Ichimoku Confluence
Geopolitical tensions—especially the ongoing conflict in Eastern Europe—continue to influence risk sentiment, while inflation and central bank policy remain in the spotlight. The European Central Bank’s more hawkish stance contrasts with fears of slowing growth in the Eurozone. Despite these headwinds, the DAX could see a near-term bounce, supported by technical signals:
1. Ichimoku Confluence : Price is testing the Kijun and the lower edge of the cloud, aligning with a daily pivot. A close back above the Kijun/cloud area suggests potential upside.
2. Volume Spike : Recent volume surge around this support zone may indicate bullish absorption—watch for follow-through.
3. Macro Backdrop : Although persistent inflation and geopolitical uncertainties loom large, short-term volatility can present trading opportunities. Keep an eye on ECB communications and any unexpected developments in global tensions.
4. Risk Management : A 120-point SL (around 2% account risk) below the key support could help protect against false breaks. Targets include the top of the cloud or previous swing highs.
5. 8-Day Cycle : Day 2 in your cycle analysis suggests a potential upswing—confirmation will come if price holds above this confluence zone.
Stay vigilant, monitor news flow, and maintain discipline in your trading plan. This is not financial advice—always do your own due diligence.
NASDAQ: 4H MA50 broke. Time for a full recovery.Nasdaq is still bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 39.669, MACD = -426.120, ADX = 56.837) but crossed above its 4H MA50. The last time a bearish wave of this Channel Down crossed above the 4H MA50 was on August 9th 2024. It was achieved again after an oversold 1D RSI bounce and initially hit the 0.786 Fibonacci level and then peaked on the 1.382 Fib extension. The trade is long, TP1 = 21,500 and TP2 = 23,400.
## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ##
## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
US100 - Uptrend in Motion with Key Support LevelsOverview:
The US100 is currently trading within a well-defined upward channel, forming higher lows and maintaining a strong bullish structure. The price action suggests that as long as it stays within this channel, the bullish momentum is intact. However, there are key levels to watch if the structure is broken. A break below the channel could lead to a retracement toward an imbalance zone, which may act as a strong support area. If this level fails to hold, a deeper correction could follow.
Uptrend and Higher Lows Indicate Strength
The market is making consistent higher lows, confirming the presence of an uptrend.
The price remains within the ascending channel, suggesting that buyers are in control.
As long as the channel holds, we can expect a continuation of the bullish move with higher highs
Potential Scenarios:
Bullish Continuation Within the Channel
If the price continues to respect the channel structure, we could see further upside movement.
A bounce from the lower trendline of the channel would confirm strength and could lead to new highs.
Retracement to the Imbalance Zone
If the price breaks below the channel, it may find support at the imbalance zone.
This area has previously acted as a reaction point, and buyers could step in again.
A strong bullish reaction from this zone would provide confirmation for a potential move back up.
Bearish Breakdown Below the Imbalance Zone
If the imbalance zone fails to hold, selling pressure could increase.
This could trigger a deeper pullback, leading to a test of lower support levels.
Key Levels to Watch:
Channel Support – If price remains inside, expect continued bullish momentum.
Imbalance Zone – A critical area where price could find support if the channel breaks.
Lower Support Levels – If both the channel and imbalance zone fail, a larger correction could follow.
Conclusion:
US100 remains bullish as long as it trades inside the channel, with higher lows supporting the uptrend. However, traders should monitor the channel breakout, as a move below could lead to a retest of the imbalance zone. If buyers hold this level, the uptrend may resume, but failure to hold could open the door for a further drop.
__________________________________________
Thanks for your support!
If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈
DOW JONES INDEX (US30): Pullback From Resistance
Dow Jones Index looks bearish after a test of a key daily/intraday resistance.
An inverted cup & handle pattern on that on an hourly and a strong
intraday bearish momentum this morning leaves clear bearish clues.
I think that the market can retrace at least to 41580 support.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
NASDAQ Most critical 4H MA50 test in 7 months!Nasdaq (NDX) has been trading within a Channel Up since the July 11 2024 High. The price action since the February 18 2025 High was been the patterns Bearish Leg and like the August 05 2024 bottom on the Higher Lows trend-line, it was done on an oversold (<30.00) 1D RSI.
Now that the price has Double Bottomed and bounced, it came across today with a 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) test. 7 months ago it was that test and eventual break-out that initiated Nasdaq's 4-month non-stop rise. Initially once broken, the first target was just below the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level.
As a result, you can get a confirmed buy signal once the index closes above the 4H MA50 and target 21450 (just below the 0.786 Fib).
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NAS100 - Stock Market Enters Downtrend?!The index is trading below the EMA200 and EMA50 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its descending channel. If the index moves down towards the specified demand zone, we can look for further buying opportunities in Nasdaq. A break of the channel ceiling will also continue the short-term upward trend in Nasdaq.
According to EPFR data reported by Bank of America, investors withdrew $2.8 billion from equity funds last week, marking the largest outflow of the year so far. Meanwhile, U.S. government bonds saw an inflow of $6.4 billion, the biggest weekly increase since August.
Scott Basnett, the U.S. Treasury Secretary, stated in an interview that there are no guarantees to prevent an economic recession. He welcomed the decline in stock markets, viewing it as a sign of a healthy market. Analysts believe this shift in tone—unusual for a Treasury Secretary who typically reassures economic strength—suggests an effort to prepare the public for a possible recession.
According to data from the Polymarket betting platform, the probability of a U.S. recession in 2025 is currently estimated at 41%. Reuters reports that American households are increasingly pessimistic about the economic outlook. However, the Federal Reserve may be reluctant to respond aggressively to a weakening economy, given growing concerns that the Trump administration’s trade policies could further fuel inflation.
These concerns were reflected in financial markets on Friday, as the University of Michigan’s consumer sentiment survey showed a decline in consumer confidence for March. Additionally, consumers now expect inflation to reach 3.9% over the next five years, the highest level in more than 30 years.
In an interview with Breitbart, Basnett emphasized the need to remain vigilant against persistent Biden-era inflation and expressed support for deregulation to lower costs. He also stressed that while tackling inflation, the government must also address affordability concerns. Additionally, he backed interest rate cuts to help reduce housing costs and auto loan payments.
This week will be packed with major economic events, creating a high-risk environment for precious metals traders amid ongoing geopolitical developments during Trump’s second term.
Central banks are back in the spotlight, as several key monetary institutions are set to announce their policy decisions in the coming days:
• Tuesday: Bank of Japan
• Wednesday: Federal Reserve
• Thursday: Swiss National Bank & Bank of England
Furthermore, a series of macroeconomic data releases could influence market sentiment, including:
• Monday: Retail sales & Empire State Manufacturing Index
• Tuesday: Housing starts & building permits
• Thursday: Weekly jobless claims, existing home sales & Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index
The Federal Reserve is expected to keep interest rates unchanged in its upcoming meeting. Market participants will closely watch the Fed’s updated economic projections and Jerome Powell’s press conference for insights into future monetary policy.
According to a Bloomberg survey, economists anticipate two rate cuts by the Fed this year, likely starting in September. However, despite declining stock indices and rising recession concerns, Powell is expected to maintain a cautious stance, avoiding any rushed rate cuts.
While consumer and business confidence has weakened, the Federal Reserve has limited flexibility to lower rates due to persistently high inflation indicators.