The scale of what is happening cannot be understated. Massive amounts of money have been printed, then burned immediately. It is as if the FED is trolling us... Or we are being trolled by our own minds. Equities reflect the mental state of investors, big and small alike. The dilemma is causing headaches, it has reached a paradoxical state. No human, not even...
Hi. Of course there will be some sort of technical rollback soon, it will take a year or so. But, most importantly there is a super bullish quick signal for The 10-Year Treasury Yield. It has happened now, this month, for the first time since 1986. Obviously there is a long cycle of rising 10-year yields ahead of us. Good article in Forbes from a month ago....
Money printing has been a double-edged sword. One one hand ample liquidity helped the exponential productivity of the economy, on the other hand inflation hit hard. In periods of stagflation like the 1970s, immense inflation created an impenetrable ceiling for equities. In periods of extreme deflation (2010s), equities bubbled. It is interesting that in this...
There has been a lot of anxiety on the market whether the Fed will hike interest rates for one more time till the end of this year, as Fed Chair Powell mentioned a few months ago. However after the inflation data were officially released during the previous week, the market is currently almost quite sure that the Fed will not further increase its interest rates....
Hello traders! If you "Follow" us, you can always get new information quickly. Please also click “Boost”. Have a good day. ------------------------------------- (USDT chart) A large volatility occurred on November 8th and the gap continues to rise. Accordingly, we can see that funds are continuously flowing into the coin...
Historical data can be hard to compare against modern ones. The longer back an analyst goes, the better the results of their analysis. 100 years of yield rate analysis may seem enough... 5000 years of interest rates however is a whole new story. Money has been as cheap as it has been for the past 5000 years. Incredible numbers... Source: ...
Charting is amazing. The excitement it gives me is far greater than the satisfaction a good trade could ever give me. It is easy for me to state this fact since I don't trade. I consider the stock market as a super-long-term strategy. A strategy that lasts for generations, not a career. After all, the most wealthy have ancestors heavily invested in the stock...
US 10 years treasuries yields long term chart since 1790 is forming an expanding flat pattern ABC (Red), where it probably just completed wave II ( Blue Circled) = the first pullback of long term downtrend impulsive C wave ( Red )( further detail in next lower time frame chart ).
Fed Chair Powell's speech in front of the IMF audience in Washington had some impact on the Treasury yields, but it seems that the market is still not ready to take another rate hike for granted. Namely, Powell`s hawkish tone on a possibility of another rate hike if the inflation “reaccelerate'' had an short impact on 2Y Treasuries which moved back to 5%, but the...
After a more subdued week on the event risk front, the week ahead refocuses traders’ attention on global growth dynamics, with China, Europe, and the US in the spotlight. The US CPI print is the marquee data point, but it will take a big upside surprise (vs consensus expectations) to bring the December or January FOMC meeting to a ‘live’ status, and interest rates...
Copper price continued to provide negative trades affected by the frequent stability below the additional barrier at 3.7280, to manage to reach some negative stations by touching 3.6100. Also, RSI stochastic continues to provide the negative momentum to allow us to suggest forming new negative waves to attack the additional support near 3.5000 followed by...
We can see that GPSC is correlated with US10Y. . US10Y is at a peak level of 5.00% , And with a possible of retracement to 50% Equilibrium of the highest and the lowest of US10Y which is at 2.680% (as of1 Aug 22) . With this information we can target GPSC at the same level of 1 Aug 22 which is 71 Baht. . Entry around this level will possibly gain around...
US Bonds probably the "Most Highly Bought Bonds" by any Countries's govermnt in the world (as safe haven). Time to buy US Bond ETF? E.g TLT, AGG, IEF etc?. What do you think saving money in US FIXED deposit bank aiming for 5% +/- gain ( while waiting for US dolar depreciate against most currencies pair) or buying US Bonds ( which is the inverse of US Bonds...
TVC:US10Y intraday mapping/analysis. US yields dip while bonds & stocks rip. US10Y in clear downtrend with potential bearish H&S pattern developing, TBC. H&S development would correlate with bonds/stocks pullback before further bullish momentum into EOY. Left shoulder, head & neckline outlined. Right shoulder parameters: Rally above ascending 1st...
10-year US Treasury bond Black Swan and WOLFE detected EMA.50 and EMA.200 are possible targets Look : PRZ Levels: Fibonacci / Bollinger / ICHIMOKU
The U.S. Government Bonds 10YR Yield (US10Y) is having the first red month (1M) after rising non-stop since May. It has been on extremely overbought levels for the last 12 months as the price established itself above the multi-decade Bearish Megaphone pattern, the same way it was oversold below it following the March 2020 COVID crash. As you know the price quickly...
The final breakthrough for the US Treasury yields was the latest FOMC meeting where the Fed decided not to increase further interest rates. Although, they are leaving the possibility for further hikes in case that inflation remains persistent, still, the market perceived it as the end of the Fed's rate hikes. At the beginning of the week, the 10Y US Treasuries...
In December 2022, Howard Marks told in an interview that a "sea change" is underway in markets. When I have seen below charts of TVC:US10Y , I have remembered that interview: (Unfortunately I needed to remove the graph due to lacking reputation points. Maybe you can view with //x/HZKlWa8U ) TVC:US10Y was in a downtrend in a channel since 1980 and this...