Hello,Traders!
US10 Yield is trading in an uptrend
And the price broke an important key level
Went up and is now retesting the broken level
Which became a support, and I am bullish biased
So I think this is a good opportunity
For a trend-following long trade
Buy!
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US10Y TNX may be topping out. It is both a measure of economic activity & inflation expectation. So is the economy starting to slow down or is inflation slowing down shortterm? It will take years for inflation to come down. If the FED can pull inflation down to at least 4% in a soft landing, it will already be a big success. Stagflation (rising inflation in a...
This is temporary until we see some serious inflation abatement. This pull back is flight from equities driven bonds catch a bid. iF THE REAL economy doesn't improve soon then the bonds only support is flight from worse outcomes. Also the fed balance sheet run off will support yields in the medium term as it constitutes a supply increase. So if inflation...
Currently watching the 10Y Treasury Yield to hit resistance and pull back.
3% should be a big resistance level for now.
Short term Fibonacci target of ~2.6%.
This will be bullish for equities.
The recent pivot low broke structure to the left, where the low in late April was broken.
This is now a bearish retracement towards the highs, and will be watching for fib...
So the 10 year yield has run hard on interest rate hike expectations.
However, as can be seen from the chart, the yield is currently about 93% above its 50 month moving average, the highest it has ever been...by far.
Using the TD indicator one can also see that the yields are potentially topping this month.
As can be seen from the Stochastic and RSI below, both...
The U.S. Government Bonds 10 YR Yield (US10Y) has been trading within a Bearish Megaphone with Higher Highs and Lower Lows since late 2013. The current 1W RSI pattern resembles that of the price Channel Up that in 1 year led to the most recent Higher High in 2018.
As a result, we expect a slow Channel Up towards the end of 2022/ early 2023, which will add to the...
If history is any indicator we shouldn't expect any pivots in monetary policy until 10Y Bond Yields come down to Interest Rates or Interest Rates hike to the former's level.
For 10Y Bond Yields to come down we need to see lower inflation or inflationary pressure.
The Nasdaq is stuck in a tight range and seems to be coiling up for an explosion! Is the US10Y and the DXY giving us a clue as to which direction the break will be? I think the CPI result tomorrow will show us the answer.
Happy trading
Linton
The U.S. Government Bonds 10 YR Yield (US10Y) has been trading within a short-term Channel Down on the 1D time-frame with the 4H MA100 (red trend-line) as the Resistance and the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) as the Support. This is turning into a tight squeeze and whatever level breaks first, should give us the direction on the longer term.
A break below the 1D MA50...
The US10Y Has made a likely reversal with a head and shoulders pattern currently in action, you can see in the diagram how it is potentially a market altering pattern, due to the sequence of highs and lows.
Hello,Traders!
US10Y has retested a strong horizontal resistance
And we are already seeing a bearish reaction
So I think that the move down will continue
With the target being the broken falling resistance
That has turned into a support level
Sell!
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US10Y has reached a major resistance zone 3.00% and it could go higher, resulting in a false break of that level.
There is an overbought condition on the D timeframe and US10Y is making lower lows on 4H.
We expect a short-term retracement.
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✅US10Y broke the falling resistance
And now I am locally bullish biased
So I think we will see the price
Go up soon towards the target above
LONG🚀
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Many people look at this chart and start their trend line in 1981. If you start it at the 1987 peak, you get more reactions including the one we just had. Is this time different? we closed above the 200 month moving average for the first time ever. If that is flipped as support then this time is different! I will also say that the inverse head and shoulders...
In this update we review the recent price action in the US10Y Yeild and identify the next high probability trading opportunity and price objectives to target
Bond yields are starting to fall
And oil is rising again, as USOIL is currently at $114.17 a barrel, which supports the Canadian dollar
So the USDCAD pair has bearish factors
technically
The end of a five-wave impulse rise and the beginning of a strong decline
Important observation area
2820 - 2780
